The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
|
|
|
- Myrtle Phoebe Porter
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 // The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University January, 3 Recession Recovery Patterns of GDP Past Four Recessions % Change in GDP* 98-Q3 99-Q -Q 9-Q *in 99 or 9 Chained Dollars Quarters After Trough Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis
2 // Contributions to Post Recession Recoveries Average Growth After Quarters Avg % Chg 6. GDP Personal Consumption Residential Investment Exports Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Q3 99-Q -Q 9-Q Recession.% Increasing Role of Exports % of GDP Quarters Post-Recession 3.%.%.%.% Percent of GDP.% 8.% 6.%.% 9.3% 8.9% 6.%.8% 7.% 98-Q3 99-Q -Q 9-Q.%.% Quarters After Start of Recession Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis
3 // reasing Role of Residential Investment % of GDP Quarters Post-Recession 7.% Percent of GDP 6.%.%.% 3.%.%.%.%.%.8%.8% 3.%.3% 3.% 3.%.7% Quarters After Start of Recession 98-Q3 99-Q -Q 9-Q Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis U.S. Leading Index Month-Over-Year Percent Change Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Source: The Conference Board, GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
4 // Jan Jan U.S. Coincident Index Month-Over-Year Percent Change Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Source: The Conference Board, GMU Center for Regional Analysis ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indices Mfg N-Mfg Source: Institute for Supply Management GMU Center for Regional Analysis
5 // (s) Annual Change in Payroll Jobs US Month-Over-Year Nov = +.8M (s) 7 US Payroll Job Change Month-to-Month 3 Nov = Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis
6 // U.S. Payroll Job Change by Sector Nov 3 Nov Ranked by Size in Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Prof. & Bus. Svcs Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Manufacturing Financial Construction Wlse Trade Other Services Transp. & Util. Federal Govt. Information (s) Total =, Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis U.S. Payroll Job Change by Sector Oct Nov Ranked by Size in Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Prof. & Bus. Svcs Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Manufacturing Financial Construction Wlse Trade Other Services Transp. & Util. Federal Govt. Information (s) Total = Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 6
7 // (s) Initial Claims for Unemployment -Week Moving Average 7 98 Source: Department of Labor (s) Initial Claims for Unemployment -Present -Week Moving Average Source: Department of Labor GMU Center for Regional Analysis 7
8 // U.S. Unemployment Rate % Nov =.8 IHS FCST Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Seasonally Adjusted), IHS Economics ember, $/barrel Oil Prices $ per barrel Forecast > > > > > > > Source: IHS Economics ember, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 8
9 // Consumer Confidence 8 6 Expectations Current Situation Nov-9 Nov- Nov- Nov- Nov-3 Nov- Source: The Conference Board, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3 - % Consumer Prices - 9 Forecast > > > > > Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, IHS Economics ember, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 9
10 // Interest Rates Forecast > > > > Yr -Yr Treas Fed Source: IHS Economics ember, U.S. New and Existing Home Sales (s) 6,,,,, 3, 3,,, Existing (Left Axis) New (Right Axis) (s) Source: National Association of Home Builders (New), National Association of Realtors (Existing) GMU Center for Regional Analysis
11 // % 6 Growth in Total Consumption Outlays Forecast > > > > > Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, IHS Economics ember, U.S. Economic Performance % Forecast > > > > GDP Residential Fixed Non-Res: Structures State & Local Federal Bus. Inv.-Eq & Sfwr Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, IHS Economics ember, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
12 // % 6 U.S. Gross Domestic Product Quarterly Change: 7 Forecast Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, IHS Economics ember, Annual Change in US Employed Workers* (s) 6 Nov = +.9 M *employed workers include full-time, part-time, self-employed and contract workers Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Not Seasonally Adjusted) GMU Center for Regional Analysis
13 // U.S. Coincident and Leading Indices Oct 8 Oct... RECESSION C.I L.I Nov-8 Nov-9 Nov- Nov- Nov- Nov-3 Nov- Source: The Conference Board The Washington Economy GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
14 // Washington MSA Leading Economic Index.% Month-Over-Year Percent Change.%.% -.% -.% -Month Moving Average -.% Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis Washington MSA Coincident Economic Index.% Month-Over-Year Percent Change.%.% -.% -.% -Month Moving Average -.% Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis
15 // (s) Annual Job Change MOTYC Washington MSA (s) 8 Annual Job Change MOTYC District of Columbia GMU Center for Regional Analysis
16 // (s) 8 Annual Job Change MOTYC Suburban Maryland (s) 8 Annual Job Change MOTYC Northern Virginia GMU Center for Regional Analysis 6
17 // (s) Largest Job Markets Job Change: Nov 3 Nov Washington +8,9.%.% Largest Job Markets Job Change: Nov 3 Nov Washington +.6% 3.%.%.%.% -.% GMU Center for Regional Analysis 7
18 // Annual Job Change Washington MSA, - Annual Data (s) Annual Month over Year Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Nov 3 Nov Washington MSA (s) Total = 8,9 3 3 (.) (.) GMU Center for Regional Analysis 8
19 // Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Oct Nov Washington MSA - - (s) Total = 8,6 3 (.) (.) Professional & Business Services Washington MSA (s) Annual Data Annual Month over Year Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar 8 Nov- Total: 78. GMU Center for Regional Analysis 9
20 // Federal Government Washington MSA (s) Annual Data Annual Month over Year Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar Sep Jun Mar 8 Nov- Total: 36.7 (s) Annual Data Annual Job Change District of Columbia, - 8 Annual Month over Year 3 GMU Center for Regional Analysis
21 // Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Nov 3 Nov District of Columbia - (s) Total,6 3 (.) (.) Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Oct Nov District of Columbia - - (s) Total, (.) (.) GMU Center for Regional Analysis
22 // (s) Annual Data Annual Job Change Suburban Maryland, - 8 Annual Month over Year 3 Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Nov 3 Nov Suburban Maryland (s) Total,3 3 3 (.) (.) GMU Center for Regional Analysis
23 // Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Oct Nov Suburban Maryland - (s) Total 3,8 3 (.) (.) (s) Annual Data Annual Job Change Northern Virginia, - Annual Month over Year 3 GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
24 // Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Nov 3 Nov Northern Virginia (s) Total 6, 3 (.) (.) Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Oct Nov Northern Virginia - (s) Total 3,6 3 (.) (.) GMU Center for Regional Analysis
25 // Unemployment Rates in the WMSA By Sub-State Area, DC.8 U.S..7 SMD. MSA NVA Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Region - Not Seasonally Adjusted, US Seasonally Adjusted) 8. % Largest Job Markets Ranked by Unemployment Rate Nov. US.8 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (Region - Not Seasonally Adjusted, US Seasonally Adjusted) GMU Center for Regional Analysis
26 // (s) Metro Washington Annual Change in Employed Residents Month-Over-Year Annual Change Residents Employed Washington MSA (s) Annual Data Annual Month over Year 9 3 GMU Center for Regional Analysis 6
27 // WMSA Payroll Job Change: Private Sector The Great Recession and Recovery Prof. & Bus. Svcs Educ & Health Svcs Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financial Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Aug 8-Feb Feb -Nov (s) Total -78 Total (s) Largest Job Markets Job Change: 8 6 Washington +39, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 7
28 // (s) Largest Job Markets Job Change: Washington + 3,3 Housing Market Trends GMU Center for Regional Analysis 8
29 // Percent Change in Inventories of Existing Homes Month-Over-Year, MSA Nov = +7.6% Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis. Total monthly inventory includes listings active at the end of the month plus sales during the month., Existing Home Sales Washington MSA Through Nov,, 8, -Month Moving Average 6,,, Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 9
30 // Total Listings Per Sale Nov Each Year PW PG - LDN ARL DC MONT FFX Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis (s) 3 3 Median House Sales Price Washington MSA $37.3K Nov Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
31 // % Average Sales Price Percent Change Washington MSA All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis % 3 - Average Sales Price Percent Change District of Columbia All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
32 // % Average Sales Price Percent Change Suburban Maryland All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis % 3 - Average Sales Price Percent Change Northern Virginia All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
33 // Average Sales Price Percent Change Metro Area Single Family Detached % Annual Change Annual Change by Month Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis Nov % : DC = -. SM = -.6, NV = +. % Average Sales Price Percent Change Metro Area Single Family Attached Annual Change Annual Change by Month Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis Nov % : DC = +., SM = +.9, NV = +.7 GMU Center for Regional Analysis 33
34 // Average Sales Price Percent Change Metro Area Condos % 3 - Annual Change Annual Change by Month Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Apr Aug Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis Nov % : DC = +6., SM = -., NV = -.,, 3, 3,,,,, Washington MSA Building Permits, 3-Month Mvg Avg Source: Census Bureau, GMU Center for Regional Analysis GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
35 // Total Active Listings Per Sale Nov Each Year Metro Area 8 6 Source: Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (MRIS), GMU Center for Regional Analysis % Economic Outlook (GRP), -8 Washington Area and Sub-State Areas (Annual % Change) NV MSA SM DC Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis, Forecast: October GMU Center for Regional Analysis 3
36 // Employment Change in the WMSA by Sub-State Area (s) D.C Sub. MD No. VA REGION Source: BLS, IHS Economics, GMU Center for Regional Analysis NOTE: The regional totals include Jefferson, WV. Average Annual Change 99- = 3,8 % 8 U.S. GDP and Washington Area GRP 8 6 U.S. - Washington Source: IHS Economics, GMU Center for Regional Analysis, Forecast: October GMU Center for Regional Analysis 36
37 // Thank You Questions cra.gmu.edu GMU Center for Regional Analysis 37
The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
/8/ The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University November 8, Recession Recovery Patterns of GDP Past Four Recessions
The U.S. Economy s Current Performance and Outlook
/3/4 Board of Directors, Northern Virginia Association of Realtors The Current Economic Outlook & Area Housing Market Conditions Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor
Delta Associates. The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
// Delta Associates The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis George
The U.S. Economy s Current Performance and Outlook
Delta Associates Spring Seminar The U.S. and Washington Area Economies: Current Performance and Outlook: 24-29 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center
NonProfit Speakers Series. The Economic Outlook for The Washington Metropolitan Area
/3/ NonProfit Speakers Series The Economic Outlook for The Washington Metropolitan Area Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis
The US and Northern Virginia Economy Trends and Outlook
NVBCC Annual Meeting The US and Northern Virginia Economy Trends and Outlook Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University November 8, 1 Recession
SAME/ACEC June Conference. The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond
6/24/23 SAME/ACEC June Conference The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 23 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for
The U. S. Economy: Current Performance and Outlook
9// D.C. Institutional Investor Conference The Outlook for the U.S., Washington Area and District of Columbia Economies Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor George
The Breakfast Group. The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond
The Breakfast Group The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
The Outlook for the Washington Area and Northern Virginia Economies
9// Northern Virginia Association of Realtors 5 th Annual Economic Summit The Outlook for the Washington Area and Northern Virginia Economies Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Recent Economic Trends and Comparative Performance: U.S., Commonwealth of Virginia, Washington Metropolitan Area and Northern Virginia
8// Capital One Bank and the GMU Center for Regional Analysis The Washington Area Economy: A Mid-Year Review and Early Forecast for Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor
The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond
Boland Open House The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 213 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Northwest Federal Credit Union
3/28/211 Northwest Federal Credit Union The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Sh Schar Faculty Chair and University it Professor Director, Center for
Washington Building Congress. The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
Washington Building Congress The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis
NVTC. Economic Performance and Outlook
3//11 NVTC The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook John McClain, AICP, Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy, George Mason University
Washington Area & Northern Virginia Economic Performance and Outlook
Washington Area & Northern Virginia Economic Performance and Outlook Presentation to Northern Virginia Association of Realtors Economic Summit Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Center for Regional Analysis Schar
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University June 18, 218 U.S. Gross Domestic Product 6. Quarterly Change
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University August 22, 218 6. U.S. Gross Domestic Product Quarterly Change
Market and Economic Briefing. Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Market and Economic Briefing Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University
The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth
Finance and Administration Roundtable The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
Economic Outlook and Housing Market Forecast
Economic Outlook and Housing Market Forecast NVAR Housing Finance Summit Terry L, Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University May
Finance and Administration Roundtable. The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth
5/2/25 Finance and Administration Roundtable The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor George Mason University
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University April 8, 219 U.S. Gross Domestic Product 6. Quarterly Change
The Current Performance and Near-Term Outlook for The U.S. and Washington Region s Economies Plus Prince William County
Prince William County Chamber of Commerce The Current Performance and Near-Term Outlook for The U.S. and Washington Region s Economies Plus Prince William County 2015-2025 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. The
The Commonwealth of Virginia s Economy: Recession and Recovery
11/18/215 House Appropriations Committee Retreat The Virginia and Northern Virginia Economies: Current Trends and Future Prospects Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor
Housing Market Trends in the Washington Area
Housing Market Trends in the Washington Area Mark White, Ph.D. Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University March 1, 218 6. U.S. Gross Domestic
HAND/CNHED Joint Meeting. Washington Area Economy and Housing Market Trends and Outlook
1/26/12 HAND/CNHED Joint Meeting Washington Area Economy and Housing ket Trends and Outlook Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University October
The Washington Region s Housing Market and Outlook
The Washington Region s Housing Market and Outlook John McClain, AICP Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis, School of Public Policy George Mason University January 14, 2009 U.S.
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Presentation to: Southeast Fairfax Development Corporation Mount Vernon Lee Chamber of Commerce Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis
The Washington Area s Post- Federally Dependent Economy
Potomac Officers Club Post-Sequestration Summit The Washington Area s Post- Federally Dependent Economy Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for
The Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce. The Driving Forces Behind Fairfax County s Future Growth
1/22/214 The Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce The Driving Forces Behind Fairfax County s Future Growth Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for
Economic Performance and Outlook: Washington Metro Area and Northern Virginia
Economic Performance and Outlook: Washington Metro Area and Northern Virginia Dr. Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University e 22, 215
Atlanta Regional Commission Link. Overview of the Greater Washington Region: Trends and Challenges
Atlanta Regional Commission Link Overview of the Greater Washington Region: Trends and Challenges Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Presentation to: Greater Washington Association of Financial Professionals Mark C. White, Ph.D. Deputy Director Center for Regional Analysis Schar School
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Presentation to: Southeast Fairfax Development Corporation Mount Vernon Lee Chamber of Commerce Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Montgomery County, Maryland Economic Outlook, 2020
11/9/211 Montgomery County Council Montgomery County, Maryland Economic Outlook, 22 Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis School
Hobart and Wm. Smith Colleges. The Economy of the Washington Metropolitan Area: Its Performance and What Makes It Different
Hobart and Wm. Smith Colleges The Economy of the Washington Metropolitan Area: Its Performance and What Makes It Different Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director,
The Vision Series,
The Vision Series, 212-213 The Washington Area Economy: Transitioning From Federal Dependency to a Global Business Base Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director,
What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 2017
Montgomery County Chamber of Commerce What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 217 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 2017
Leadership Montgomery Breakfast Club What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 217 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
The Washington Region s Current Economic Performance and Near-Term Outlook
The Washington Region s Current Economic Performance and Near-Term Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, The Stephen S. Fuller Institute for Research
Metropolitan Washington Area Key Economic & Demographic Indicators
Metropolitan Washington Area Key Economic & Demographic Indicators Arlington County Community Facilities Study March 11, 2015 Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Vice President of Research National Housing Conference
U.S. and Oklahoma Economic Update. Megan Williams Associate Economist and Manager, Oklahoma City Branch. The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy
U.S. and Oklahoma Economic Update Megan Williams Associate Economist and Manager, Oklahoma City Branch The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy GDP growth was relatively strong in the second half of Growth
Decline in Economic Activity Larger Than Advance GDP Estimate February 27, 2009
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 5 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois 663 northerntrust.com Asha G. Bangalore agb3@ntrs.com Decline in Economic Activity Larger Than Advance GDP Estimate February 27,
ANALYSIS OF THE CENTRAL VIRGINIA AREA HOUSING MARKET Annual Market Report. Lisa A. Fowler, PhD. John McClain, AICP
ANALYSIS OF THE CENTRAL VIRGINIA AREA HOUSING MARKET 2008 Annual Market Report By Lisa A. Fowler, PhD John McClain, AICP George Mason University Center for Regional Analysis The U.S. officially entered
Status of the Unemployment Trust Fund and Related Issues. Commission on Unemployment Compensation. Ellen Marie Hess, Commissioner.
Status of the Unemployment Trust Fund and Related Issues Commission on Unemployment Compensation August 8, 2018 Ellen Marie Hess, Commissioner 2 Trust Fund Data Standard Forecast (Millions of Dollars)
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org Overview of the Federal Reserve System The Fed consists of three main
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org/oklahomacity Recent Oklahoma Economic Trends Oklahoma s economy has
Economic and Housing Outlook
Economic and Housing Outlook Home Builders Association of Virginia June 22, 2018 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist Housing Market Growing; Single-Family Lags Tax reform changes Macroeconomics post-tax
Q1 16 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Washington Metro Area
www.capitalbankmd.com PARTNERS in YOUR VISION Q1 16 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Washington Metro Area Dr. Stephen Fuller Published March 216 Capital Bank N.A. 1 Church Street, Suite 3 Rockville, MD 28 www.capitalbankmd.com
Current Economic Review April 16, 2014
Current Economic Review April 16, 2014 Brian Bonnenfant Project Manager Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada, Reno 784-1771 bonnen@unr.edu 230,000 225,000 **Peak = 228,100 Emp **Start of Great
Outlook for the Texas Economy. Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. June 29, 2016
Outlook for the Texas Economy Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. June 29, 2016 Research Economist Texas Gas Association Contents 1. Economic Outlook 2. Housing Market 3. Challenges and Issues During the
The Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, and Economic Indicators
The Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, and Economic Indicators Megan Williams Associate Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Oklahoma City Branch The Creation of the Fed The first two national
Nonfarm Payroll Employment
PRESIDENT'S REPORT TO THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON Current Economic Developments - June 10, 2004 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy continues to
Outlook for the Texas Economy. Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. August 26, 2016
Outlook for the Texas Economy Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. August 26, 2016 Research Economist Texas Society of Architects Contents 1. U.S. Economic Outlook 2. Texas Economic Outlook 3. Challenges and
Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist
Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist Office of Economic Development and International Trade Miami-Dade County cruzr1@miamidade.gov / www.miamidade.gov/oedit Office of Economic Development and International
Arkansas Economic Outlook
Arkansas Economic Forecast Conference 2011 Arkansas Economic Outlook Dr. Michael Pakko Chief Economist and State Economic Forecaster Institute for Economic Advancement, UALR November 2, 2011 Arkansas Experience
Uinta Basin Energy Summit Economic Overview September 10, 2015
Uinta Basin Energy Summit Economic Overview September 10, 2015 Overview National Economic Conditions Utah Economic Conditions Utah is One of the Fastest Growing CA States in the Country Percent Change
An Update on Economic Conditions. January 5, 2010
An Update on Economic Conditions Raymond Owens January 5, 21 Real Gross Domestic Product 8 7 6 5 4 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate 3 Q3 2.2% 2 1-1 -2-3 -4-5 -6-7 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist Miami-Dade County 305-375-1879 cruzr1@miamidade.gov www.miamidade.gov/economicdevelopment Department of Regulatory and Economic Resources Page 1 Local economic indicators
The U.S. and California Is The Recovery Here at Last? UCLA Anderson School of
The U.S. and California Is The Recovery Here at Last? Jerry Nickelsburg Senior Economist UCLA Anderson Forecast State of the County January 20, 2010 SEPTEMBER 2008 In September 2008 Financial Markets Stopped
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies Sam Chapman Associate Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily
The President s Report to the Board of Directors
The President s Report to the Board of Directors April 4, 214 Current Economic Developments - April 4, 214 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy was a bit stronger in the fourth
F I S C A L & E C O N O M I C U P D A T E
W A S H I N G T O N C O U N T Y, M A R Y L A N D S E P T E M B E R 2 1 5 F I S C A L & E C O N O M I C U P D A T E M A J O R E C O N O M I C T R E N D S Inside this Report: Employment Data 1 The following
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS LABOR MARKET Contributions to Change in Nonfarm Payrolls 2 Unemployment and Labor Force Participation Rate 3 MANUFACTURING ISM Manufacturing Index 4 CONSUMERS Light Vehicle
A View from the Fed: Slouching toward 2016
A View from the Fed: Slouching toward 2016 28 th Annual Economic Outlook Conference, University of Alabama Culverhouse College of Commerce Montgomery, AL January 14, 2016 The views expressed are those
Old Dominion University 2016 Regional Economic Forecast. Strome College of Business
Old Dominion University 2016 Regional Economic Forecast January 27, 2016 Professor Vinod Agarwal Director, Economic Forecasting Project Strome College of Business www.odu.edu/forecasting 1 Presentation
The Stimulus Didn t Work An Overlooked Fact that Needs Mention September 18, 2009
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 0 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois northerntrust.com Asha G. Bangalore agb@ntrs.com The Stimulus Didn t Work An Overlooked Fact that Needs Mention September 18, 9
The Washington Region s Economy in 2017 and Outlook for 2018 and Beyond
The Washington Region s Economy in 2017 and Outlook for 2018 and Beyond By Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. and Jeannette Chapman The Stephen S. Fuller Institute for Research on the Washington Region s Economic
Old Dominion University 2017 Regional Economic Forecast. Strome College of Business
Old Dominion University 2017 Regional Economic Forecast January 25, 2017 Professor Vinod Agarwal Director, Economic Forecasting Project Strome College of Business www.odu.edu/forecasting The views expressed
Rising Risks for the Housing Outlook
Rising Risks for the Housing Outlook Master Builders Association of Pierce County October 17, 2018 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist Population Growth Pierce County population growing faster than
CRA Roundtable August 19, Megan Williams
CRA Roundtable August 19, 214 Megan Williams Associate Economist and Manager, Oklahoma City Branch Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org/oklahomacity The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy
WA S H I N G TO N / BALT I M O R E
D E L T A A S S O C I A T E S WA S H I N G TO N / BALT I M O R E R E A L E S T A T E M A R K E T O V E R V I E W MULTIFAMILY MARKET OVERVIEW 0 9. 2 9. 2 0 1 5 B y W i l l i a m R i c h, C R E P r e s i
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org Overview of the Federal Reserve System The Fed consists of three main
Economic Indicators December 2017
Economic Indicators December 2017 General Economy GDP % Change U.S. GDP Growth First two consecutive quarters over 3% in 3 years 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% Last 3 quarters: 3Q17: 3.2% 2Q17:
Revised October 17, 2016
Revised October 17, 2016 60 ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (September 2015 September 2016) 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 Sept-15 Oct Nov Dec Jan-16 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Purchasing
Center for Business and Economic Research Dixon Hughes Goodman Triad Business (October 2014)
Center for Business and Economic Research Dixon Hughes Goodman Triad Business (October 2014) The is developed and maintained by: Dr. G. Donald Jud, Center for Bus. & Eco. Res., Bryan School of Bus. & Eco.,
XML Publisher Balance Sheet Vision Operations (USA) Feb-02
Page:1 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 ASSETS Current Assets Cash and Short Term Investments 15,862,304 51,998,607 9,198,226 Accounts Receivable - Net of Allowance 2,560,786
NORTH TEXAS ECONOMY Emily Kerr Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas October 19, 2017
NORTH TEXAS ECONOMY Emily Kerr October 19, 217 The views expressed are of the speaker and should not be attributed to the Dallas Fed or the Federal Reserve System. North Texas Overview Home to over 7.2
Review of Northern Virginia Market Conditions and Trends
Review of Northern Virginia Market Conditions and Trends Prepared for Northern Virginia Area Association of Realtors November 12, 2011 Virginia Housing Development Authority Northern Virginia s existing
City of El Segundo Office of the City Treasurer
City of El Segundo Office of the City Treasurer Date: September 15, 2015 From: Office of the City Treasurer To: El Segundo City Council RE: Investment Portfolio Report As of June 30, 2015 Introduction:
The U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook Gering/Scottsbluff Economic Forum August 23, 216 George A. Kahn Vice President and Economist The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions
There has been considerable discussion of the possibility
NationalEconomicTrends February Housing and the R Word There has been considerable discussion of the possibility that ongoing troubles in the housing market could push the economy into recession 1 But
RECESSION AND RECOVERY IN MISSOURI AND THE U.S.
RECESSION AND RECOVERY IN MISSOURI AND THE U.S. Alison Felix Senior Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily reflect the positions
The Federal Reserve has set the target range for the federal
NationalEconomicTrends October Monetary Policy Stance: The View from Consumption Spending The Federal Reserve has set the target range for the federal funds at to 5 percent and intends to keep this near
Real Deal The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
Real Deal 2011 The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis George Mason
December Employment Report: Further Deterioration of Labor Market Conditions January 9, 2009
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 50 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois 60603 northerntrust.com Asha G. Bangalore agb3@ntrs.com December Employment Report: Further Deterioration of Labor Market Conditions
BUENA VISTA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
BUENA VISTA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT FOURTH QUARTER 2015 FINANCIAL MARKET REVIEW Buena Vista Investment Management LLC P.O. Box 1206 241 3 rd Street South Wisconsin Rapids, WI 54495-1206 715-422-0700 buenavistainv@buenavistainv.com
2018 Texas Economic Outlook: Firing on All Cylinders
218 Texas Economic Outlook: Firing on All Cylinders Keith Phillips Assistant Vice President and Senior Economist 4/5/218 The views expressed in this presentation are strictly those of the presenter and
With the tax filing season in full swing, these summary
NationalEconomicTrends March Income Taxes: Who Pays and How Much? With the tax filing season in full swing, these summary figures may provide some perspective on the issue of who is paying federal individual
VECTRA BANK 23 RD ANNUAL ECONOMIC FORECAST BREAKFAST START SMART IN 2016! Member FDIC VectraBank.com
VECTRA BANK 23 RD ANNUAL ECONOMIC FORECAST BREAKFAST START SMART IN 2016! Member FDIC VectraBank.com Economic Presentation April 26, 2016 Tatiana Bailey, Ph.D. Director, UCCS Economic Forum A Little Humor
We only need a few things for recovery
US U.S. and dcolorado Economic Conditions Mark C. Snead Vice President and Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch 1 We only need a few things for recovery Moderate growth in
R EA L E S TAT E L E N D E RS ASSOCIAT I O N
R EA L E S TAT E L E N D E RS ASSOCIAT I O N MULTI-FAMILY ROUNDTABLE A P R I L 2 5, 2 0 1 3 Real Estate Lenders Association DC R E A L E S T A T E L E N D E R S A S S O C I A T I O N M U L T I - F A M
June 2018 MLS Statistical Report
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec June 218 MLS Statistical Report Total Sales The Month to Month Unit Sales graph shows that sales have started their seasonal decline. For the year, residential
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org History and Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Reserve
The relatively slow growth of employment has
NationalEconomicTrends August Please go to researchstlouisfedorg/publications/net for important information about your subscription Labor s Share The relatively slow growth of employment has been a prominent
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FEDERAL RESERVE BALANCE SHEET Assets and Liabilities 2-3 REAL ESTATE Construction Spending 4 CoreLogic Home Price Index 5 Mortgage Rates and Applications 6-7 CONSUMER
Sharp declines in home prices, followed by a financial
NationalEconomicTrends April Household Retrenchment Sharp declines in home prices, followed by a financial crisis and a steep recession, rattled US households in Economic misfortunes have caused many to
State of the Economy: US, New Mexico
University of New Mexico Bureau of Business and Economic Research State of the Economy: US, New Mexico New Mexico Women s Agenda Lobbying Workshop Advocates Working Session on Economic Security and Women
Zions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Utah Institute of Real Estate Management Economic Summit September 12, 2017 National Economic Conditions August Job Indicators Indicator Expectation Actual Total Nonfarm Payrolls