Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine. September 14 October 10, 2017

Transcription

1 Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine September 14 October 10, 2017

2 Methodology The survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas) from September 14 to October 10, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents homes. The sample consisted of 2,400 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by gender, age, region, and settlement size. An additional 4,800 respondents were also surveyed in the cities of Dnipro, Khmelnytskyi, Mariupol and Mykolaiv (i.e. 1,200 respondents in each city). A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection. Stage One: The territory of Ukraine was split into 25 administrative regions (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv). The survey was conducted throughout all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of the occupied territories of Crimea and the Donbas. Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to their size: Cities with a population of more than 1 million Cities with a population of between 500, ,000 Cities with a population of between 100, ,000 Cities with a population of between 50,000-99,000 Cities with a population up to 50,000 Villages Cities and villages were selected at random. The number of selected cities/villages in each of the regions is proportional to the share of population living in cities/villages of a certain type in each region. Stage Three: Primary Sampling Points (PSP) were described. The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 1.7 percent. The average response rate was 63.7 percent. National Sample Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. The survey was financed by U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). 2

3 Methodology In addition to the national sample, four oversamples were conducted in the cities of Dnipro, Khmelnytskyi, Mariupol and Mykolaiv. The data was collected in each city from September 14 to October 10, 2017 through face-to-face interviews at respondents homes. The sample size in each of the four cities consisted of 1,200 citizens aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. The samples are representative in terms of gender, age, and size of settlement. A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday methods for respondent selection. The margin of error does not exceed 2.8 percent in each city. The response rate in each city was: 58 percent in Dnipro 70 percent in Khmelnytskyi 56.3 percent in Mariupol 63.8 percent in Mykolaiv Regional Oversamples Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. 3

4 Geographical Key *Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea and the separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts ( the Donbas ) were not surveyed in this poll. 4

5 National Mood

6 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer 80% 70% % % % 50% % 3 30% 29% % Nov 2011 May 2012 May 2013 Feb 2014 April 2014 Sept 2014 July 2015 Sept 2015 Nov 2015 Feb 2016 June 2016 Sept 2016 April 2017 June 2017 Sept

7 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Ukraine changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer September 2017 < June April 2017 < 3 3 September % June February November September July % September % 5 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7

8 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer September 2017 < June2017 < April September 2016 < June % February November % September July % 5 September % 3 40% April March % 1 February September % 4 30% 1 May % 1 September May % 4 30% 1 March % 3 1 November % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8

9 In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change? Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Difficult to answer September June % April % September June % February November September July % 19% 2 2 September April March February % September % 1 1 May % 1 1 September May March November % % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 9

10 Assessment of Ukrainian Authorities Performance

11 Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer September June April September % 4 June % February November September % 40% July September % 2 1 April % 2 1 March % % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 11

12 Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Cabinet of Ministers under the leadership of Volodymyr Hroisman? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer September June April % 49% September June % 30% 29% 2 February November September % 5 July September April March % 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% * Volodymyr Hroisman has been Prime Minister of Ukraine since April Previous IRI polling data reflects attitudes toward prior prime ministers. 12

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the Parliament of Ukraine? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer September June April 2017 < 2 60% September 2016 < 29% 5 June % 3 4 9% February % 59% November September July % 3 49% September % April March February % 50% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 13

14 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Have not heard the name Difficult to answer Former MP, leader of the Okean Elzy band, Svyatoslav Vakarchuk % Head of the political party Civic position, Anatoliy Hrytsenko 19% MP, leader of the political party Fatherland, Yulia Tymoshenko Leader of the political party For Life (Za Zhyttia), Vadym Rabinovich Mayor of Lviv Andriy Sadovyi Prime Minister Volodymyr Hroisman 1 30% 4 Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klychko 1 29% 4 1 MP, leader of the Opposition Bloc, Yuriy Boyko President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko MP, leader of the Radical Party, Oleh Lyashko 29% 4 9% Leader of the Movement of New Forces, Mikheil Saakashvili % 1 Leader of the political party Svoboda, Oleh Tyahnybok 2 49% 1 Former Head of SBU Valentyn Nalyvaychenko Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko 3 4 MP, Opposition Bloc, Oleksandr Vilkul 2 40% 1 1 Head of the Parliament Andriy Parubiy 2 50% 1 Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, Oleksandr Turchynov Minister of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov 2 49% 1 Former Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk 2 6 9% 0% 40% 60% 80% 100% 14

15 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) Favorable Unfavorable 80% 60% 40% 0% Petro Poroshenko % % % 80% 60% 40% 0% Volodymyr Hroisman % % Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 Vitaliy Klychko 80% % 7 60% 60% % 80% 60% Andriy Parubiy % 0% % % 0% Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 15

16 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) Favorable Unfavorable 80% 60% Yuliya Tymoshenko % % % 80% 60% Oleh Tyahnybok % % 7 40% 40% 0% % % 19% % 60% Mikheil Saakashvili % 69% 69% 70% 80% 60% Valentyn Nalyvaychenko % 40% 0% Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 40% 0% Nov.15 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 16

17 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) Favorable Unfavorable 80% Yuriy Boyko 70% % % Anatoliy Hrytsenko 60% 60% 5 50% % 0% % 0% Jun. 16 Sep. 16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep % 60% 40% 0% Andriy Sadovyi 59% % % Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17Jun. 17Sep.17 17

18 What is your opinion of each of the following Ukrainian politicians or members of the Ukrainian government? (continued) Favorable Unfavorable 100% 80% 60% 40% 0% Arseniy Yatsenyuk % 8 89% % 59% % 39% 1 1 9% 80% 60% 40% 0% Oleh Lyashko % 70% 69% Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 18

19 Foreign Policy

20 If Ukraine could only enter only one international economic union, which of the following should it be? European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer September % 2 June April September % 1 1 June % February November September July September % 1 9% 1 April March February % 1 September May % 3 1 September May March % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 20

21 If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union, which of the following should it be? (continued) (Disaggregated by region) European Union Customs Union Other Difficult to answer West 80% 1 Center South East % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 21

22 If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would not vote Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Difficult to answer September June % April September % 1 1 June % February % 1 November % 1 September July % 1 1 September April % 1 March % 1 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 22

23 If a referendum was held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? (Disaggregated by region) Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would not vote Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Difficult to answer West % Center 39% 1 29% South 2 40% 1 2 East 9% 40% 2 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 23

24 How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries? Very warm Warm Neutral Cold Very cold Difficult to answer/no answer Poland European Union 40% 40% Canada 3 4 Lithuania 3 4 Germany 40% 4 United States 3 4 Belarus 3 4 Georgia 3 4 Moldova 2 5 Russia 1 29% 2 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 24

25 How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries? (continued) Warm Cold 60% 50% European Union % 50% % 5 50% 4 40% % 50% Poland % 4 40% 39% 40% 40% 30% 30% % 1 9% 1 9% 1 0% May 13Sep.13Feb.14 Apr.14 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15Nov.15Feb.16Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 0% May 13Sep.13Feb.14Mar.14Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15Nov.15Feb.16Jun.16Sep.16Apr.17Jun.17Sep.17 Germany Lithuania 60% 50% 40% % 40% % 4 60% 50% 40% % 4 30% 1 1 9% 9% 1 30% 1 9% 0% 0% 25

26 How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries? (continued) Warm Cold 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 0% Russia % % % 4 19% % May 13Sep.13Feb.14Mar.14Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15Nov.15Feb.16Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 0% Belarus % Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 0% Moldova 39% 3 39% % 29% % 9% 9% Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 0% Georgia 5 50% % % 4 Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 26

27 How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following countries? (continued) Warm Cold United States Canada 60% 50% 40% 30% % 40% 39% 40% % 50% 40% 30% % % 1 9% 0% May 13Sep.13 Feb.14Mar.14Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15Nov.15Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 0% Sep.14 Jul.15 Sep.15 Nov.15 Feb.16 Jun.16 Sep.16 Apr.17 Jun.17 Sep.17 27

28 Why do you have a very warm or warm attitude toward the United States? (Respondents who have warm attitudes toward the U.S.: N=1,067) Because of their support for Ukraine in its ongoing war with Russia, including through the sanctions placed on Russia 2 Because of their economic support to Ukraine, including investments and ongoing aid projects 2 Because of America s support for Ukraine s democratic development, including ongoing aid projects 1 Because of America s leadership role in the world 1 Other Difficult to answer/no answer 1 0% 30% 40% 50% 28

29 Views on Issues

30 Which of the following are the three most important issues for Ukraine? Corruption within state bodies Military conflict in Donbas Growth of prices Low industry production Unemployment 2 Government incompetence 19% Political instability 1 Social protection for the poor 1 Hryvnia devaluation 1 Relations with Russia 1 Crime 1 Healthcare 9% Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Russian presence in the Crimea Delay in salary/pension payments Rights to land ownership Russian language status Other Difficult to answer/no answer < 29% % 30% 40% 50% 60% 30

31 Which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally? Growth of prices Military conflict in Donbas Unemployment Social protection for the poor Hryvnia devaluation Healthcare Corruption within state bodies Government incompetence Low industry production Political instability Crime Lack/Possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Delay in salary/pension payments Relations with Russia Rights to land ownership Russian presence in the Crimea Russian language status Other Difficult to answer/no answer 9% % 40% 60% 80% 100% 31

32 If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy? Democracy is definitely more important to me Prosperity is somewhat more important to me Difficult to answer Democracy is somewhat more important to me Prosperity is definitely more important to me September June April June February % 2 1 November % 30% 1 July % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 32

33 Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of the judicial system of Ukraine? 1 Strongly approve 29% Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer 5 33

34 In your opinion, where does corruption take place most commonly in Ukraine? 1 Among oligarchs At the highest levels of government 1 Among local officials (i.e. city, oblast, rayon or village level) In everyday life (e.g. in hospitals, educational institutions, kindergartens etc.) Other 5 Difficult to answer/no answer 34

35 Do you support the prohibition of the social networks Odnoklassniki and Vkontakte in Ukraine? 9% 2 9% Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat do not support 1 Do not support at all Difficult to answer/no answer 40% 35

36 Are you an owner of a plot of land? 3 Yes No Difficult to answer/no answer 6 36

37 If not, would you like to become an owner of a plot of land? (Respondents who are not owners of a plot of land: N=1,498) 1 Yes 4 No Difficult to answer/no answer 4 37

38 Have you heard about the July 2017 vote that was considered in Parliament to revoke the immunity of six parliamentarians?* 4 Yes No Difficult to answer/no answer 5 *The Ukrainian Constitution states that parliamentary immunity is guaranteed to parliamentarians of Ukraine, who cannot be held criminally liable, detained or arrested without the consent of the parliament. In July 2017, the parliament considered stripping the immunity of six parliamentarians, but only one had his immunity revoked. 38

39 If yes, do you support the decision by the Parliament to retain the immunity of these parliamentarians during this vote? (Respondents who have heard about the July 2017 vote: N=1,336) 2 Strongly support Somewhat support 3 Somewhat do not support Do not support at all Difficult to answer/no answer

40 Have you heard about the pension reform proposed by the Government of Ukraine? 1 Yes No Difficult to answer/no answer 8 40

41 If yes, do you support the pension reform proposed by the Government of Ukraine? (Respondents who have heard about the pension reform: N=2,014) 1 1 Strongly support Somewhat support 3 2 Somewhat do not support Do not support at all Difficult to answer/no answer 41

42 Electoral Mood

43 Do you support the idea of holding early parliamentary elections in Ukraine? Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer September June % 1 April September % 2 1 June February % 2 1 November September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 43

44 If early parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, would you vote? Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer September June April % September % 19% June % 2 1 February % 2 November % September % 1 July % 3 9% September April % 3 1 March February September May % September May % 3 1 March % 3 9% 1 November % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 44

45 If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated, for which party would you vote? Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna) Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Opposition Bloc Civic Position Radical Party Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich) Svoboda Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) Movement of New Forces People's Front National Movement of D. Yarosh Nash Krai Party Justice Movement Democratic Alliance UKROP Left Opposition Strong Ukraine Political party 5.10 Agrarian Party of Ukraine Right Sector People s Movement of Ukraine Other I would not vote Difficult to answer/don t know (All respondents) < < < < 9% 0% % % 45

46 If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated, for which party would you vote? Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna) Bloc Petro Poroshenko "Solidarnist" For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Opposition Bloc Civic Position Radical Party Self-Reliance Party (Samopomich) Svoboda Revival Party (Vidrodzhennia) Movement of New Forces People's Front Nash Krai National Movement of D. Yarosh Justice Movement Democratic Alliance UKROP Left Opposition Strong Ukraine Political party 5.10 Agrarian Party of Ukraine Right Sector People s Movement of Ukraine Other Difficult to answer/don t know (Likely voters: N=1,881) < 1 39% 0% % 3 40% 4 50% 46

47 If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated, for which party would you vote? (All respondents) Sept.17 Jun.17 Apr. 17 Sep.16 Jun.16 Feb.16 Nov.15 Sep. 15 Jul.15 Fatherland Party (Batkivshchyna) 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% Bloc Petro Poroshenko Solidarnist 1 For Life Party (Za Zhyttia) Opposition Bloc Civic Position Radical Party Self-Reliance (Samopomich) 9% Svoboda UKROP Movement of New Forces Other party % 9% 1 1 I would not vote 2 19% Difficult to answer 30% 29% 19% 1 19% % 47

48 Oversample: Dnipro (N=1,200) September 14 October 10, 2017

49 Dnipro Ukraine Dnipro Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine and your city are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer June September % 1 June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 49

50 Dnipro Are you proud of your city? Definitely yes Somewhat Not very Definitely no Difficult to answer June % 9% September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 50

51 Dnipro If Ukraine could enter only one international economic union, which of the following should it be? European Union (EU) Customs Union of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer June September % 1 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer June % 1 2 September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 51

52 In your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal authorities? Housing and communal services Medical institutions Roads Industrial areas/industrial development Social protection Security Environment Government transparency and openness Heating Public transportation Establishing mechanisms for citizens to participate in local decision making Administrative services provision Street lightning Garbage collection Pavement Kindergartens Schools Sewage Yards and areas near buildings Land issues Public parks and gardens Water supply Street markets Accessibility for persons with disabilities Sports facilities Parking Cultural premises Other Difficult to answer/no answer Dnipro 1 1 9% < < % 29% 40% 3 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 52

53 Dnipro How would you rate the quality of each of the following services and/or public goods that are available in your city? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer Kindergartens Public parks and gardens Street markets Street lighting Universities, technical institutes, colleges Schools Water supply Transportation infrastructure/public transport Cultural premises Trash collection Roads Sports facilities Police activities Heating Yards and areas near buildings Sewage Sidewalks Parking Medical institutions Industrial zones/industrial development Environment Accessibility for persons with disabilities 9% 1 1 9% 9% 9% 9% % 9% % % % % % 49% 2 29% 29% % 29% % 2 29% < < 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 53

54 Dnipro Over the past two years, have you interacted with your city government offices (mayoral office, executive committee, city council, rayon council, rayon administration, communal enterprises)? If yes: How would you rate the service you received from the local authorities? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible I haven t interacted Difficult to answer Manner in which office staff treated me 2 < 60% Waiting time 19% 60% Simplicity and clarity of the decisions and/or advice provided by the officials 60% Quality of service received % Level of office staff s knowledge of the subject matter % 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 54

55 Dnipro Why haven t you interacted with your city government officials? (Respondents who have not interacted with city government offices: N= 720) I didn t have reason to interact with them I don t trust my city authorities to objectively solve my problems My city authorities don t have skills and knowledge to solve my problems within their competences Don t know/no answer 8 55

56 City Council Mayor Dnipro Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your mayor and city council? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer June % 1 September June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 56

57 City council Mayor Communal enterprises Dnipro How would you rate the accessibility of information about each of the following? Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessible Inaccessible Difficult to answer June % 19% 2 September June September % 4 2 June September % % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 57

58 Oversample: Khmelnytskyi (N=1,200) September 14 October 10, 2017

59 Ukraine Khmelnytskyi Khmelnytskyi Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine and your city are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer June % September June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 59

60 Khmelnytskyi Are you proud of your city? Definitely yes Somewhat Not very Definitely no Difficult to answer June September < 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 60

61 Khmelnytskyi If Ukraine could enter only one international economic union, which one of the following should it be? European Union (EU) Customs Union of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer June % September % 1 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 61

62 Khmelnytskyi In your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal authorities? Medical institutions Housing and communal services Roads Social protection Public transportation Industrial areas/industrial development Schools Increasing government transparency and openness Kindergartens Establishing mechanisms for citizens to participate in local decision making Yards and areas near buildings Accessibility for persons with disabilities Parking Environment Pavement Street lightning Heating Security Sewage Garbage collection Administrative services provision Land issues Public parks and gardens Cultural premises Sports facilities Street markets Water supply Other Difficult to answer/no answer 19% % 4 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 62

63 Khmelnytskyi How would you rate the quality of each of the following services and/or public goods that are available in your city? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer Public parks and gardens Street markets Water supply Trash collection Cultural premises Universities, technical institutes, colleges Yards and areas near buildings Sidewalks Sports facilities Street lighting Heating Sewage Schools Kindergartens Transportation infrastructure/public transport Police activities Industrial zones/industrial development Environment Roads Parking Medical institutions Accessibility for persons with disabilities % % % 39% % 50% % % < < 1 9% % 1 1 0% 40% 60% 80% 100% 63

64 Khmelnytskyi Over the past two years, have you interacted with your city government offices (mayoral office, executive committee, city council, rayon council, rayon administration, communal enterprises)? If so, how would you rate the service you received from the local authorities? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible I haven t interacted Difficult to answer Manner in which office staff treated you Quality of service received Level of office staff s knowledge of the subject matter Simplicity and clarity of the decisions and/or advice provided by the officials Waiting time % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 64

65 Khmelnytskyi Why haven t you interacted with your city government officials? (Respondents who have not interacted with city government offices: N=800) I didn t have reason to interact with them I don t trust my city authorities to objectively solve my problems My city authorities don t have skills and knowledge to solve my problems within their competences Don t know/no answer 9 65

66 City Council Mayor Khmelnytskyi Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your mayor and city council? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer June September % 3 June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 66

67 Communal enterprises City council Mayor Khmelnytskyi How would you rate the accessibility of information about each of the following? Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessible Inaccessible Difficult to answer June September June % 2 September June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 67

68 Oversample: Mariupol (N=1,200) September 14 October 10, 2017

69 Ukraine Mariupol Mariupol Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine and in your city are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer June September % June % 2 September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 69

70 Mariupol Are you proud of your city? Definitely yes Somewhat Not very Definitely no Difficult to answer June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 70

71 Mariupol If Ukraine could enter only one international economic union, which of the following should it be? European Union (EU) Customs Union of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer June September % 1 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 71

72 Mariupol In your opinion, which areas should be a top priority for your municipal authorities? Housing and communal areas Environment Medical institutions Social protection Roads Industrial areas/industrial development Security Public transportation Increasing government transparency and openness Water supply Heating Yards and areas near buildings Kindergartens Schools Establishing mechanisms for citizens to participate in local decision making Administrative services provision Sports facilities Pavement Cultural premises Street lightning Accessibility for persons with disabilities Public parks and gardens Street markets Garbage collection Sewage Land issues Parking Other Difficult to answer/no answer 1 < % 5 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 72

73 Mariupol How would you rate the quality of each of the following services and/or public goods that are available in your city? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer Street markets Public parks and gardens Trash collection Street lighting Public transportation Sewage Universities, technical institutes, colleges Schools Water supply Cultural premises Yards and areas near buildings Kindergartens Sports facilities Police activities Sidewalks Heating Roads Industrial zones/industrial development Medical institutions Parking Accessibility for persons with disabilities Environment < 1 1 < % 29% % 40% % 3 40% % % 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 73 49% < 4 < % % % % < << <

74 Mariupol Over the past two years, have you interacted with your city government offices (mayoral office, executive committee, city council, rayon council, rayon administration, communal enterprises)? If yes: How would you rate the service you received from the local authorities? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible I haven t interacted Difficult to answer Manner in which office staff treated you < 80% Level of office staff s knowledge of the subject matter < 80% Simplicity and clarity of the decisions and/or advice provided by the officials 80% Quality of service received < 80% Waiting time 80% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 74

75 Mariupol Why haven t you interacted with your city government officials? (Respondents who have not interacted with city government offices: N=965) I didn t have reason to interact with them I don t trust my city authorities to objectively solve my problems My city authorities don t have skills and knowledge to solve my problems within their competences Don t know/no answer 89% 75

76 City Council Mayor Mariupol Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your mayor and city council? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer/no answer June September June % 3 September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 76

77 Communal enterprises City council Mayor Mariupol How would you rate the accessibility of information about each of the following? Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessible Inaccessible Difficult to answer June % 3 September % June % 39% September % 3 June September % 3 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 77

78 Oversample: Mykolaiv (N=1,200) September 14 October 10, 2017

79 Mykolaiv Ukraine Mykolaiv Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine and your city are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer June % 1 September June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 79

80 Mykolaiv Are you proud of your city? Definitely yes Somewhat yes Not very Definitely no Difficult to answer June September % 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 80

81 Mykolaiv If Ukraine could enter only one international economic union, which of the following should it be? European Union (EU) Customs Union of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer June September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how would you vote? Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO Would not vote Difficult to answer June % 4 19% September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 81

82 Mykolaiv In your opinion, what areas should be a top priority for your municipal authorities? Industrial areas/industrial development Roads Housing and communal areas Medical institutions Social protection Yards and areas near buildings Security Public transportation Government transparency and openness Pavement Garbage collection Establishing mechanisms for citizens to participate in decision making Public parks and gardens Environment Heating Schools Accessibility for persons with disabilities Sewage Kindergartens Street lightning Parking Sports facilities Cultural premises Street markets Administrative services provision Land issues Water supply Other Difficult to answer/no answer % 4 59% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 82

83 Mykolaiv How would you rate the quality of each of the following services and/or public goods that are available in your city? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible Difficult to answer Street markets Schools Kindergartens Water supply Universities, technical institutes, colleges Cultural premises Street lighting Public transport Trash collection Public parks and gardens Sports facilities Police activities Heating Parking Environment Sewage Sidewalks Accessibility for persons with disabilities Medical institutions Yards and areas near buildings Roads Industrial zones/industrial development < 19% 1 < 1 < < < < < < 3 30% % 50% % 6 29% % < 9% 1 < < 1 1 < < 1 < 2 19% < 19% % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 83

84 Mykolaiv Over the past two years, have you interacted with your city government offices (mayoral office, executive committee, city council, rayon council, rayon administration, communal enterprises)? If yes: How would you rate the service you received from the local authorities? Excellent Good Average Bad Terrible I haven t interacted Difficult to answer Manner in which office staff treated you < 8 < Level of office staff s knowledge on the subject matter < 8 How simple and clear the decisions and/or advice provided by the officials were < 8 Quality of service received < 8 Waiting time 8 < 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 84

85 Mykolaiv Why haven t you interacted with your city government officials? (Respondents who have not interacted with city government offices: N=1,044) 1 I didn t have reason to interact with them I don t trust my city authorities to objectively solve my problems My city authorities don t have skills and knowledge to solve my problems within their competences Don t know/no answer 8 85

86 City Council Mayor Mykolaiv Do you approve or disapprove of the activities of your mayor and city council? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Difficult to answer June % 1 1 September June % September % 2 9% 3 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 86

87 Communal enterprises City council Mayor Mykolaiv How would you rate the accessibility of information about each of the following? Easily accessible Somewhat accessible Somewhat inaccessible Inaccessible Difficult to answer June % 1 1 September June September June % 1 1 September % 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 87

88 Demographics

89 OCCUPATION EDUCATION LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME AGE GENDER Male Female Ukrainian Russian Both Ukrainian and Russian equally Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary Vocational secondary Higher/Incomplete higher Worker Farmer/Peasant White collar Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Self-employed/Entrepreneur Other Demographics Nationwide % 1 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 89

90 REGIONS TYPE OF SETTLE- MENT RELIGION Demographics Nationwide Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) 4 Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) Greek Catholic Catholic Protestant Judaism Muslim Atheist < < I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion 2 Other Don t know/no answer City 70% Village 30% West 2 Center 3 South East 2 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90

91 FAMILY FINANCES Demographics Nationwide We need to save money for food 19% We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes 3 We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner 3 We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g. appliances) 1 We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment I can buy anything at any time < Difficult to answer 0% 30% 40% 91

92 OCCUPATION EDUCATION LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME AGE GENDER Male Female Ukrainian Russian Both Ukrainian and Russian equally Other Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary Vocational secondary Higher/Incomplete higher Worker Farmer/Peasant White collar Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Self-employed/Entrepreneur Other Demographics Dnipro % 2 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 92

93 RELIGION NATIONALITY Demographics Dnipro Ukrainian 8 Russian Other Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) 49% Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) Greek Catholic Protestant Atheist I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion 3 Do not know/no answer 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 93

94 FINANCIAL SITUATION OF THE FAMILY Demographics Dnipro We need to save money for food 1 We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes 3 We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner 3 We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g. appliances) We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment I can buy anything at any time < Difficult to answer 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 94

95 OCCUPATION EDUCATION LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME AGE GENDER Male Female Ukrainian Russian Both Ukrainian and Russian equally Other Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary Vocational secondary Higher/Incomplete higher Worker White collar Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) Student Housewife Unemployed Self-employed/Entrepreneur Other Demographics Khmelnytskyi % 29% 1 2 9% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 95

96 RELIGION NATIONALITY Demographics Khmelnytskyi Ukrainian 9 Russian Other Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) 7 Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) Catholic Atheist I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion Other Do not know/no answer 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 96

97 FINANCIAL SITUATION OF THE FAMILY Demographics Khmelnytskyi We need to save money for food 2 We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes 29% We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner 3 We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g. appliances) 1 We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment I can buy anything at any time Difficult to answer 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 97

98 OCCUPATION EDUCATION LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME AGE GENDER Demographics Mariupol Male 4 Female % Ukrainian Russian 9 Both Ukrainian and Russian equally Other Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary 1 Vocational secondary 4 Higher/Incomplete higher 3 Worker 2 Farmer/Peasant < White collar 1 Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) 3 Student Housewife Unemployed Self-employed/Entrepreneur Other < 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 98

99 RELIGION NATIONALITY Demographics Mariupol Ukrainian 6 Russian 2 Other Difficult to answer Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) 2 Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) 30% Atheist I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion 2 Do not know/no answer 9% 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 99

100 FINANCIAL SITUATION OF THE FAMILY Demographics Mariupol We need to save money for food 29% We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes. 39% We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner. 2 We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g. appliances) We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment < Difficult to answer < 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 100

101 OCCUPATION EDUCATION LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME AGE GENDER Demographics Mykolaiv Male 4 Female Ukrainian Russian 70% Both Ukrainian and Russian equally 2 Other Primary/Incomplete secondary General secondary 2 Vocational secondary Higher/Incomplete higher 3 3 Worker White collar 2 1 Higher or medium level executive Pensioner (not working) 3 Student Housewife 1 Unemployed Self-employed/Entrepreneur Other 0% 40% 60% 80% 101

102 RELIGION NATIONALITY Demographics Mykolaiv Ukrainian 8 Russian 1 Other Difficult to answer Orthodox (Kyiv Patriarchate) 2 Orthodox (Moscow Patriarchate) 1 Atheist 1 I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion 4 Other Do not know/no answer 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 102

103 FINANCIAL SITUATION OF THE FAMILY Demographics Mykolaiv We need to save money for food 2 We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes 3 We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing more expensive things (e.g. appliances) We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases like a car or an apartment I can buy anything at any time < Difficult to answer 0% 30% 40% 50% 60% 103

104 Center for Insights in Survey Research