Media Release. Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll 1 st June 2009

Transcription

1 Peninsular Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll 1 st June

2 All rights reserved. This report is published by proprietary subscription. No parts of this publication may be distributed, reproduced, copied or transmitted in any form or by any means including photocopying without the permission of the copyright owner, application for which should be addressed to the same. The distribution, reproduction, copying or transmission including the quotation of a part of the whole thereof by a non-customer is strictly prohibited MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: /1499 Fax: info@merdeka.org Web: 2

3 Methodology 1067 randomly selected registered voters aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age Survey was carried out between 6th 15th May 2009 Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.1 Important events during survey period: May 7 Perak state assembly sitting, mass arrest following Perak state sitting, Wong Chin Huat arrested and released, HINDRAF trio released, High Court declared Nizar as rightful Perak MB, Court of Appeal granted stay to Zambry, and Malaysia confirmed 1 st A(H1N1) influenza case. 3

4 Respondent Profile pt.1 Ethinicity 56% 3 Age 27% 25% Region - 34% 1 Malay Chinese Indian 1 19% 17% Above 60 Central 38% Eastern 19% Northern 19% Southern 24% Setting Gender Education Level 49% Urban 5 Rural 49% Male 49% Female 5 4% No formal education 25% Primary school Secondary school 1 1 Diploma & equivalent Degree No response

5 Employed - Private Employed - Govt Business owner Self employed Unemployed Student Homemaker Retired Lost ability to work Respondent Profile pt. 2 8 Religion Occupation 23% 1 5% 14% 3 13% 57% 2 8% 3% 3% 6% None Islam Buddhism HinduismChristianity Taoist No response Monthly household income 26% 8 Internet access 67% - < RM1,500 RM1,501 RM3, RM3,001 RM5,000 6% 4% > RM5,000 Don't know No response 18% At home 5% 5% Workplace/ school At home and workplace/ school Other locations No internet access 3% No response

6 Overview 6

7 Considering the conditions in the Malaysia today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction 8 45% 46% 4 29% Oct Mar Mar - 2 Apr May 09 35% Apr 3: Najib took over as PM 4 7

8 Right direction Wrong direction Don't know Right direction Wrong direction Don't know Right direction Wrong direction Don't know Right direction Wrong direction Don't know Media Release Considering the conditions in the country today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction? 57% % 39% 34% 35% 33% % 16% % 18% 7% 7% 15% 16% 1 17% 8% Overall (1067) Malay (602) Chinese (364) Indian (101) 8

9 29 Feb - 4 Mar Mar Apr - 5 May Jul Aug Oct - 8 Nov Feb Mar May 09 Media Release Generally speaking, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way things are going in the country at present? Peninsula 8 7 March 8 th 66% 44% June 5: Petrol hike by Aug 23: Fuel prices reduced for the 1 st time 38% Aug 26: Permatang Pauh byelection 43% Jan 17: KT by-election 39% 36% 5 28% Aug 7: Anwar s sodomy charges Sept 16 th Apr 3: Najib took over as PM 9

10 What in your view, is the most important problem that needs solving in the country today? Unfavourable economic condition in general Crime & public safety in general 9% 15% Political instability in general 8% Don't know 8% Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living 7% Lack of employment opportunities 5% Social problems among youth 5% Racial inequality 5% No problem 5% Others 4% Mat rempit/ illegal racing 3% Lack of unity among Malaysians Other economic issues 3% Aggregated Influx of migrants (effecting jobs & safety) Moral decline Poverty & developmental issues Corruption & cronyism Quality of governance/ civil service Economic issues 3 Social issues 1 Drug abuse Neglecting religion/ religious teachings Crime & public safety 1 Education issues (PPSMI, schools etc.) Fair treatment Malay issues (Rights, split in the community etc.) Listen to/ take care of the people Quality of politicians/ leadership Political issues 9% Racial issues 6% Bickering & power struggle among politicians Perak political crisis Corruption Undemocratic & authoritarian practices (govt, court, ISA) No response 10

11 5-7 Mar Mar Apr - 5 May 08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep Oct - 8 Nov 08 Dec Mar Mar - 2 Apr May 09 Media Release What in your view, is the most important problem that needs solving in the country today? Economic issues Crime & public safety Social problems Corruption & power abuse Racial issues Political issues 59% 55% 5 45% 48% 5 44% 37% 38% 33% 33% % 1 13% 1 13% 1 1 3% 4% 3% 9% 11

12 Confidence in the economy shows some improvement Moving on to the subject of the economy, please tell me if you think it is favourable or unfavourable at the present time... The economy in general 8 Peninsula M'sia % saying favorable 6 59% 24% 24% 39% 9-19 Feb Feb Jul 08 Mar 09 May 09 12

13 Likewise, optimism in economic prospects is improving How do you expect the economy to be one year from now? 7 Peninsula M'sia % saying will improve 5 49% 47% 3 29% Feb Feb Jul Oct - 8 Nov 08 Mar 09 May 09 13

14 Moving on to the subject of the economy, please tell me if you think is favourable or unfavourable at the present time... Your personal income, prices of consumer goods and services, job opportunities, business opportunities Personal income Prices of consumer items and services Job opportunities Business opportunities % saying favorable 5 49% 34% 33% 47% 46% 35% 37% 26% 46% 36% 29% 26% 24% 25% 13% 14% 8% Feb 08 Jul 08 Oct-Nov 08 Mar 09 May 09 14

15 Tracking on Economic Issues Merdeka Center Archives How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with way the government is managing the economy at present? 8 Peninsula M'sia % saying satisfied 59% 54% 36% Feb Feb Jul Oct - 8 Nov 08 15

16 Public Perceptions of Recent Policies 16

17 Public awareness of economic liberalization measures remain limited Are you aware of the liberalisation of the services sector announced by Prime Minister Najib Razak recently? Yes No/ Don't know 8 77% 63% 55% 45% 5 48% 36% 23% Overall (1067) Malay (602) Chinese (364) Indian (101) 17

18 Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Media Release Strong approval for liberalization policy from non-bumiputeras How strongly do you agree of disagree with the liberalization of the services sector announced by Prime Minister Najib Razak recently? % 5 15% 3 37% % 8% 9% 3 25% 1 2 8% 13% 4 28% 1 8% 54% 8% 23% 4% 4% Overall (1067) Malay (602) Chinese (364) Indian (101) 18

19 Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Media Release How confident are you that the liberalization of the services sector will bring in more investment and job opportunities? 8 67% 56% 53% 58% 36% 34% 45% 2 15% 6% 2 24% 19% 15% 7% 25% 2 17% 2 13% 4% 47% 17% 13% 4% 17% Overall (1067) Malay (602) Chinese (364) Indian (101) 19

20 Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Media Release How confident are you that liberalizing the financial sector by allowing higher foreign ownership will bring in more investment and job opportunities? 8 55% 5 66% 16% 35% 28% 33% 34% 45% 18% 1 17% 18% 19% 15% 16% 15% 19% 17% % 9% 1 26% Overall (1067) Malay (602) Chinese (364) Indian (101) 20

21 Approval Rating 21

22 How strongly do you satisfied or dissatisfied of the way Najib Razak is performing his job as the prime minister? (% saying satisfied (May 2009) or agree) Note: Prior to May 2009, question was worded as: In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good prime minister? Najib took Peninsula Msia 8 over as PM on Apr 3 46% 34% 43% 4 34% 44% 45% Mar 08 Jul 08 Sept Oct - 8 Nov 08 Dec Mar Mar - 2 Apr May 09 22

23 Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Media Release How strongly do you satisfied or dissatisfied of the way Najib Razak is performing his job as the prime minister? 8 64% 53% 45% % 23% 53% 14% 16% 1 5% 39% 2 13% 9% 4% 34% 23% 16% 7% 1 15% 1 4% 2 Overall (1067) Malay (602) Chinese (364) Indian (101) 23

24 What in your view is the most important issue the Prime Minister needs to address? Address economic issues 23% Don't know 1 Fair treatment to all races Give assistance to the poor and rural areas/ poverty 7% 7% Solve social problems 6% Unite all races/ strengthen ethnic relations Reduce prices Fight corruption Solve crime and public safety Stabilise political situation in the country None 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Solve conflicts in Perak Others 3% 3% Uphold Islam & Malay special privileges Revamp certain policies (PPSMI, ISA, education etc.) Revamp BN / UMNO / administration No response Clear allegations against him/ regain the trust of the people No confidence in Najib in solving any problem at all 24