Public Opinion Survey 2013 Peninsular Malaysia Voter Survey. 4th 12th December 2013

Transcription

1 Public Opinion Survey 13 4th th December 13

2 Methodology 15 voters aged 21 and above were interviewed via telephone The survey respondents are from all states across Peninsular Malaysia Voters were selected through random stratified sampling method along the lines of ethnicity, gender, age and parliament constituencies. All of the constituencies ( states and 165 parliament constituencies) were surveyed and the selection of the respondents is proportional with respect to the population in each parliament constituency. Respondents were interviewed in their own language of preferences Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.9% The survey was conducted on 4 th th December 13 This release contains data from previously unreleased surveys conducted on: 29th June - 8th July 13, N=16 22nd August - 3rd September 13, N=18 Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 1% due to rounding up of figures. Page 2

3 Respondent Profile Ethnicity Gender Occupation Malay Chinese Indian Male Female Government/ GLC 1 31% 9% 5% 5% Private Self employed/business Homemaker Retired 1 19% % Students/ Unemployed 2% Internet Access Age Group Household income (RM) Yes No % 1,5 27% 31-31% 1,51-3, 3% 32% ,1-5, 18% 68% % > 5, 19% >6 7% Refuse/Unsure Page 3

4 Direction of the Country Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Strongly to right direction Somewhat to the right direction Strongly to the wrong direction Somewhat to the wrong direction Unsure Refuse 8% 2% 9% 49% Wrong Direction 13% % Right Direction 32% 3 Q: Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten on the wrong track? Page 4

5 Direction of the Country Right versus Wrong direction 9% 8% 7% 5% DNA bill 'a ploy to convict Anwar' June 9 Perak Crisis February 9 45% 42% PM slashes spending in Budget 1 October % 5% 4 MACC to investigate Najib's 5 mil remark July 1 Sarawak state election // Anwar sex video April BERSIH 2. July BR1M 1. March BERSIH 3. April Right Direction 54% 55% 54% 53% 5 58% 58% 59% 55% % 53% Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Himpunan KL 2 January 13 BR1M 2. RCI Sabah February 13 announced Wrong Direction 54% 51% GE13 Announcement of GST October 13 Fuel Price Hike September 13 49% 49% % 3% % 1% % 45% % Oct 8 9 % % 34% 34% 3 37% 3 37% 38% % 33% 34% 37% 39% 37% 31% 32% 32% 29% 3% 31% 31% 32% 27% MCA leadership crisis November 9 Jul Aug Sept Dec Jan 1 Mar Nov Feb NFC Scandal December 1 Najib announces Bumiputera unit in MRT corp. December Aug Oct Dec Feb BN Sabah MPs defect to PKR August RCI Sabah start September Apr June Oct Dec 23/1- /3- /4-6/ /3 17/4 Lahad Datu Incident March 13 4/ /5 29/6-8/7 22/8-3/9 % Announcement of Electricity Tariffs Dec13 4/- / Q: Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten on the wrong track? Page 5

6 Direction of the Country Right direction across Ethnicity 9% Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Right Direction Malay Chinese Indian 8% 7% 5% % 73% 75% 71% 68% 6 67% 6 64% 65% 6 69% 71% 72% 73% 73% 7% 69% 69% 7% 6 67% 67% 7% 64% 71% 61% 68% 63% 5 57% 59% 59% 67% 64% 5 54% 61% 63% 54% 5 58% 67% 67% 64% 59% 5% 54% 55% 54% 53% 5 58% 58% 53% 57% 57% 64% 55% % 58% 58% 54% 5 53% 53% 54% 43% 51% 45% 4 47% % 49% 48% % 42% 42% 3% % 1% 33% 21% 1 27% 17% 18% 21% 22% 22% 22% 27% 2 3% 31% 27% 32% 32% 28% 31% 24% 1 % 25% 24% 2 14% 22% 19% 9% % Oct 8 9 Jul 9 Aug 9 Sept 9 Dec 9 Jan 1 Mar 1 1 Nov 1 Feb Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr June Oct 15-28/ 23/1-6/ /3 /4-17/4 4/ /5 28/6-8/7 22/8-3/9 4/- / Q: Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten on the wrong track? Page 6

7 Direction of the Country Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Ethnicity Gender / Setting Age Group 8 6 Right direction Wrong direction Overall Malay Chinese Indian Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Male Female Urban Rural > 6 Occupation Household income (RM) Internet access / Voter status 8 6 Page 7 Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Gov/ GLC Private Self employed/ Business * Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed *Not formally employed < 1,5 1,51-3, ,- 5, > 5, Q: Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten on the wrong track? Internet No internet Old voter New voter

8 Direction of the Country Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 42% RIGHT DIRECTION (n=8) 49% WRONG DIRECTION (n=49) Improving economy 14% Price hike/inflation/rising cost of living 3% Rapid or good development/good condition of infrastructure 13% Unfavourable economic condition in general 15% Peaceful condition in the country/state 1% Quality of national leadershipnegative 9% Good national administration 8% Crime & public safety in general (eg. rob, snatch, rape) Quality of national leadership (e.g. keep promises) Corruption in general 5% Political stability in general Political instability in general 5% Q: What is the reason for you to say so? (open-ended) Page 8

9 Issues Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December % Crimes and social problems Racial issues Economic concerns 67% 5% Political issues 4 44% 44% 44% 44% % 3% % 1% % 32% % 15% % 38% 39% % 3 32% 33% 34% 31% 3% 28% 2 25% 23% 21% 22% 18% 18% 18% 18% 19% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 17% 14% 1 % % 1% 1% 9% 9% 9% 1% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 8% 5% 4% 3% 5% 3% 1% 2% 7% 4% 3% 2% 38% 34% 32% 22% 19% 1 13% 1% 1% 1% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 7% 5% 4% 4% Mar 9 9 Jul 9 Sept 9 Dec 9 Nov 1 Feb Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr June Oct Dec Jan 13 Mar 13 Apr Jul 13 Aug 13 Dec 13 Q: Being as specific as you can, what is the number one problem facing people in this country today? (open-ended) Page 9

10 National Economy Personal Financial Perception on the Economy Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Concerns over the impact of rising costs driving pessimism across all key indicators Improve Decline Improve Decline Improve 3 26 Decline Improve Decline Page 1 One Year Ago Economic Optimism

11 General Economic Sentiments Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Sentiments over income and prices have become negative but remain steady on jobs and business opportunities Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Price of consumer goods and services Business opportunities Job opportunities Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Personal income Favorable Unfavorable The economy in general Q: Please tell me if you think is favorable or unfavorable at the present time? Page

12 July 9 Dec 9 Feb Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Oct Dec Jan 13 Mar 13 July 13 Aug 13 Aug 13 % of favorable General Economic Sentiments Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 % respondents expressing favorable 7% 63% 5% % 3% % 1% 48% 47% % 31% 25% 59% 59% 59% 55% 5% 61% 58% 58% 58% 54% 47% 53% 5% 51% 51% 47% % % 42% 43% % % 24% 25% 2 23% 19% % 1 59% 49% 45% 23% 58% 57% 48% 43% 2 59% 5 5% 45% 5 57% 54% 51% 51% 49% 59% 57% 55% 48% 47% 47% 48% 44% 43% 44% % 29% 29% 29% 29% 21% 13% Price of consumer goods & services Business opportunities Job opportunities Your personal income The economy in general % Q: Please tell me if you think is favorable or unfavorable at the present time? Page

13 Performance of the Prime Minister Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Very dissatisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Unsure Refuse 3% 1 % Dissatisfied 15% Satisfied 2 3 Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister? Page 13

14 Performance of the Prime Minister Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Ethnicity Gender / Setting Age Group 8 Satisfied Dissatisfied 8 Satisfied Dissatisfied 8 Satisfied Dissatisfied Overall Malay Chinese Indian Male Female Urban Rural > 6 Occupation Household income (RM) Internet access / Voter status 8 6 Satisfied Dissatisfied Gov/ GLC Private Self employed/ Business * Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed *Not formally employed 8 6 Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied < 1,5 1,51-3, ,- 5, > 5, Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister? Internet No Internet Old Voter New Voter Page 14

15 Satisfaction towards Najib Tun Razak Satisfaction versus Dissatisfaction Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 1% Satisfied Dissatisfied [Unsure/Refused] 9% 8% 7% 5% % 3% % 1% 65% % 72% 71% 69% 69% 69% 67% 65% 6 65% 64% 65% 63% 64% 61% 61% 62% 62% 59% 5 57% 45% 39% 3 22% 23% 23% 25% % 21% 24% 25% 27% 29% 3% 32% 3% 3% 31% 32% 32% 28% 28% % 22% 23% 21% 1 13% 14% % 7% 7% 8% 8% 19% 8% 7% 8% 8% 5% 7% 7% 8% 9% 7% % 8% % 9 Jun 9 Jul 9 Sept 9 Dec 9 Mar 1 1 Nov 1 Feb Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr June Oct 15-28/ 23/1-6/ /3 /4-17/4 4/ /5 29/6-8/7 22/8-3/9 4/- / Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak? Page 15

16 Satisfaction towards Najib Tun Razak Satisfaction across Ethnicity Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 1% Peninsular Malay Chinese Indian 91% 9% 8% 7% 5% % 3% 64% 53% 4 45% 34% 71% 72% 74% 67% 65% 6 48% 49% 64% 68% % 7% 6 54% 75% 69% 51% 77% 8% 72% 58% 85% 7 74% 69% 67% 65% 54% 53% 73% 67% 65% 49% 69% 69% 59% 38% 82% 8% 8% 79% 77% 77% 75% 75% 73% 71% 79% 72% 74% 69% 68% 7 75% 71% 69% 69% 6 65% 64% 65% 63% 63% 61% 5 54% 54% 4 42% 37% 34% 34% 7 73% 74% 72% 73% 7% 7 7% 7% 7% 71% 71% 64% 61% 62% 62% 57% 37% 37% % 6 57% % 28% 25% 27% 21% 1% % Mar 8 9 Jun 9 Jul 9 Sept 9 Dec 9 Mar 1 1 Nov 1 Feb Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr June Oct 15-28/ 23/1-6/ /3 /4-17/4 4/ /5 29/6-8/7 22/8-3/9 4/- / Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak? Page 16

17 Perception towards Government Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Happy with Government Dissatisfied with Government Angry with Government Unsure/ Refuse 1 8% 38% 39% Q: Some people say they are happy with Government while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry? Which one best describes how you feel? Page 17

18 Perception towards Government Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Ethnicity Gender / Setting Age Group 8 6 Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry Overall Malay Chinese Indian Male Female Urban Rural > 6 Occupation Household income (RM) Internet access / Voter status Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry Gov/ GLC Private Self *Not formally < 1,5 1,51-3,- > 5, Internet No Internet Old Voter New Voter employed/ employed Business 3, 5, * Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed Q: Some people say they are happy with Government while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry? Which one best describes how you feel? Page 18

19 Feb Apr June Oct Dec Jan 13 Mar Jul 13 Aug 13 Dec 13 % of happiness Perception towards Government Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 % respondents expressing happy 8% 7% 5% % 3% 64% 5% 48% 68% 51% 49% 65% 47% 48% 58% 42% 42% 63% 48% 67% 45% 35% 63% 51% 48% 67% 5% 47% 61% 43% % 63% 51% 47% 67% 5% % 38% Overall % 1% % 17% 19% 18% 13% 19% % 17% 9% 13% 15% 1% Malay Chinese Indian Q: Some people say they are happy with Government while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry? Which one best describes how you feel? Page 19

20 Trust in Economic Performance Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 Strongly believe Somewhat believe Strongly disbelieve Somewhat disbelieve Unsure Refuse 9% 1% 7% 54% Disbelieve 21% 28% 35% Believe 33% Q: In your view, how strongly do you believe or do not believe the statements made by government leaders about the country s economic performance? Page

21 Understand the GST Public Opinion Survey 13 N=15, 4 th th December 13 A great deal Quite a lot None at all Not very much Unsure Refuse 55% Do not understand % 1% % 44% Understand 33% 35% Q: During the tabling of budget 14, the Prime Minister introduced the Goods and Services Tax (GST) which will be implemented in 15. How much would you say that you understand what the GST is all about? Page 21