Ukraine May 14-28, 2013

Transcription

1 Public Opinion Survey Residents of the Ukraine May -, International Republican Institute Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization Rating Group Ukraine with funding from the National Endowment for Democracy

2 Methodology The survey was conducted by the Public Opinion and Market Research Company Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine. The main sample consisted of,0 permanent residents of Ukraine aged and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education and religion. Data were collected on May,, through face-to-face in-home interviews with the respondents. The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus. percent. The response rate was percent. The sample design was a multi-stage random sample: Stage one: Ukraine is divided into official administrative regions ( regions of Ukraine, Kiev and Sevastopol). All regions of Ukraine were surveyed. Stage two: selection of the settlements - towns and villages. Settlements were selected at random. The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular type of the settlement in each region. Towns were grouped into subtypes according to the size: City more than one million residents City 00,000-,000 City 00,000-,000 City 0,000-,000 City to 0,000 Village Stage three: primary sampling units were described. The closest birthday rule was used for selection of the respondent. The households were selected using the random route method.

3 MOOD OF UKRAINE

4 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong direction? May August May March November Right direction Wrong direction DK/NA

5 Over the last months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? May 0 August May 0. 0 March November 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot DK/NA

6 In the next months, how do you expect the economic situation in Ukraine to change? May 0. August May March Nov 0 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot DK/NA

7 ISSUES

8 Do you think it is acceptable or not if some groups of people use the following methods of protests? How acceptable is each of these forms? Collecting signatures for petition, letter Legal demonstrations Legal strikes Boycott 0 Demonstrations without permission 0 Strikes without permission Blocking of major roads Occupation of buildings or enterprises Acceptable Not acceptable DK/NA

9 If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, who should it be with? May 0 August May March November The European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other DK/NA

10 What have you heard about the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the European Union? DK/NA % Heard a lot about it % Haven't heard anything about it Heard something about it % 0

11 Do you think the Association Agreement with the European Union, if signed, will be useful or harmful for Ukraine? (Respondents who have heard about the Association Agreement with the EU, N=) DK/NA Very useful % Very harmful % Rather useful % Rather harmful %

12 Do you think the Association Agreement with the European Union, if signed, will be useful or harmful for Ukraine? (Respondents who have heard about the Association Agreement with the EU, N=) Very useful Rather useful Rather harmful Very harmful DK/NA ALL RESPONDENTS ALL RESPONDENTS GENDER REGIONS Male 0 Female West 0 AGE Center - years 0 South 0- years 0 years and older East 0 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00%

13 How would you evaluate your attitude towards the following entities? Russia Poland European Union 0 0 USA 0% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 00% Warm Neutral Cold DK/NA

14 Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine? (Three mentioned issues) Unemployment Corruption within the state bodies Low industry production Control over price growth Social protection for poor Government incompetence Political instability Crime Delay in salary/pension payments Relations with Russia Rights to land ownership Hryvnia devaluation Lack of/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Russian language status Russian Black Sea Navy presence Other DK/NA

15 Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine? (Three mentioned issues) Male Female - years 0- years 0 years and older Unemployment % % % 0% Corruption within the state bodies % % % 0% 0% Low industry production % % % 0% % Control over price growth % % % 0% Social protection for poor Government incompetence % % % % % % Political instability % % % Crime % % % % % Delay in salary/pension payments % 0% % % % Relations with Russia % % % % 0% Rights to land ownership % % % % % Hryvnia devaluation % % % % % Lack of/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water % % % % Russian language status % % % Russian Black Sea Navy presence % % Other % % % DK/NA % 0%

16 Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for Ukraine? (Three mentioned issues) REGIONS: West Center South East Unemployment % % % % Corruption within the state bodies % % % % Low industry production % % % Control over price growth % % % Social protection for poor % % Government incompetence % % % % Political instability % % % Crime % % % Delay in salary/pension payments 0% 0% % 0% Relations with Russia % Rights to land ownership % % % % Hryvnia devaluation % % % % Lack of/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water % % % Russian language status % % % Russian Black Sea Navy presence % % % % Other % % % DK/NA % 0%

17 What are the most important problems facing Ukraine? (Top four issues identified) 00 0 Unemployment Low industry production Corruption within the state bodies Control over price growth Nov- Mar- May- Aug- May

18 Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally? (Three mentioned issues) Control over price growth Unemployment Social protection for poor Corruption within the state bodies Low industry production Delay in salary/pension payments Crime Government incompetence Lack of/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water Political instability Hryvnia devaluation Rights to land ownership Relations with Russia Russian language status Russian Black Sea Navy presence Other DK/NA 0 0

19 Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally? (Three mentioned issues) Male Female - years 0- years 0 years and older Control over price growth % % % % % Unemployment % % 0% 0% % Social protection for poor % % % 0% 0% Corruption within the state bodies 0% 0% % Low industry production % % % % Delay in salary/pension payments % % % Crime % % % Government incompetence % % % % % Lack of/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water % 0% % % 0% Political instability % 0% % 0% % Hryvnia devaluation 0% % % % 0% Rights to land ownership % % % % % Relations with Russia % % % % % Russian language status % % % % Russian Black Sea Navy presence % 0% 0% % 0% Other % % % % 0% DK/NA %

20 Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for you personally? (Three mentioned issues) REGIONS: West Center South East Control over price growth % % % % Unemployment % % 0% Social protection for poor % % % % Corruption within the state bodies 0% % Low industry production % % Delay in salary/pension payments % % % Crime % % % 0% Government incompetence % % % Lack of/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water % % % 0% Political instability % % % % Hryvnia devaluation % % % Rights to land ownership % % % % Relations with Russia % % % 0% Russian language status % % % Russian Black Sea Navy presence % % 0% % Other % % % DK/NA 0% %

21 What are the most important problems facing residents of Ukraine? (Top three issues identified) 00 0 Control over price growth Unemployment Social protection for poor Nov- Mar- May- Aug- May

22 POLITICS

23 If pre-term parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such elections? DK/NA % Definitely no % Definitely yes % Rather no % Rather yes %

24 If pre-term parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such elections? Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no DK/NA ALL RESPONDENTS ALL RESPONDENTS GENDER REGIONS Male Female West 0 AGE Center - years South 0- years 0 0 years and older East 0 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00%

25 If the election for the president of Ukraine were held next Sunday, would you vote in such election? DK/NA % Definitely no % Rather no % Definitely yes % Rather yes %

26 If the election for the president of Ukraine were held next Sunday, would you vote in such election? Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no DK/NA ALL RESPONDENTS ALL RESPONDENTS GENDER REGIONS Male Female West 0 AGE Center 0 - years South 0- years 0 years and older East 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00%

27 In your opinion, has the situation in the following areas improved or worsened during last two years? Prices Healthcare 0 Employment Political stability Economy of Ukraine Government competence Agriculture Fight against corruption 0 Social protection Small and medium business Housing and communal services Fight against criminality 0 Relations with Russia Stability of the hryvnia Rights to land ownership 0 Salary/Pension payments Situation with languages European integration of Ukraine 0% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 00% Worsened Stayed the same Improved DK/NA

28 If a referendum was held on the following issues, how would you vote? Introduction of constitutional law on the right of citizens to dismiss officials, deputies, judges, heads of law-enforcement agencies of all levels Joining of Ukraine to the European Union Joining of Ukraine to the Customs Union of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia 0 Election of the President of Ukraine only in one round of elections 0 Introduction of purely majoritarian system of parliamentary elections Introduction of bicameral parliament 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% Yes No Will not participate DK/NA

29 Do you feel that the parliamentary elections were free and fair and reflected political preferences of the people? DK/NA % Definitely yes % Rather yes % Definitely no 0% Rather no %

30 Do you feel that the parliamentary elections were free and fair and reflected political preferences of the people? Definitely yes Rather yes Rather no Definitely no DK/NA ALL RESPONDENTS 0 ALL RESPONDENTS 0 GENDER REGIONS Male Female West 0 AGE Center - years 0 South 0- years 0 years and older 0 East 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% 0

31 How many times per week do you access the Internet? May August May March November Every day - times per week - times per week - times per week Less often Never DK/NA

32 How many times per week do you access the Internet? Every day - times per week - times per week - times per week Less often Never DK/NA ALL RESPONDENTS ALL RESPONDENTS GENDER REGIONS Male Female 0 0 West AGE Center - years 0 0 South 0 0- years 0 years and older East 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00% 0% % 0% 0% 0% 00%

33 SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS

34 Gender Ukraine Female Male Age groups Ukraine

35 Education University/Higher education Non-complete higher Vocational secondary General secondary Non-complete secondary 0 Ukraine Religion DK/NA Atheist Other 0 Believe in God but don't belong to any religion Greek Catholic 0 Ukraine Orthodox

36 Sector of employment Ukraine Occupation 0 Ukraine Don't work Public nongovernment sector State sector Private sector Other Unemployed Housewife Student Pensioner Higher and medium level executive White collar Farmer Blue collar

37 Ethnicity 0 Ukraine Other Russian Ukrainian Language usually spoken at home Other Ukrainian and Russian equally Russian Ukrainian 0 Ukraine

38 Membership in a political party or nongovernmental organization Member of a nongovernmental organization Member of a party None Ukraine 0 Regions* 0 West Ukraine Center Ukraine South Ukraine East Ukraine *Oblasts included in each region: West Ukraine Volyn, Zakarpartia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Khmelnitskiy, Chernivtsi Center Ukraine Vinnitsya, Zhitomyr, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Sumy, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, Kyiv City South Ukraine Crimea Autonomous Region, Zaporizhia, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson East Ukraine Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kharkiv