PENINSULAR MALAYSIA VOTERS OPINION POLL QUARTER 4 / Nov 11 Dec 2010

Transcription

1 PENINSULAR MALAYSIA VOTERS OPINION POLL QUARTER 4 / Nov 11 Dec

2 All rights reserved. This report is published by proprietary subscription. No parts of this publication may be distributed, reproduced, copied or transmitted in any form or by any means including photocopying without the permission of the copyright owner, application for which should be addressed to the same. The distribution, reproduction, copying or transmission including the quotation of a part of the whole thereof by a non-customer is strictly prohibited MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: /1499 Fax: info@merdeka.org Web: 2

3 Methodology 1,005 randomly selected registered voters aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age Survey was carried out between 30 Nov 11 Dec 2010 Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.09% Important events during survey period: Govt. announces subsidy reductions on petrol, diesel, gas and sugar; Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 10 due to rounding up of figures. 3

4 Respondent Profile pt.1 Ethnicity 8 Gender 59% 3 9% Male 5 Female 5 3 Age Malay Chinese Indian 19% 23% 2 17% & above

5 Respondent Profile pt. 2 Education level 49% Monthly household income 33% 26% 3% 18% 14% 16% 13% 16% 8% 4% No formal Primary school Secondary Diploma & education school equivalent Degree & above <RM1500 RM1501- RM3001- >RM5000 Don't know No RM3000 RM5000 response 8 Religion Occupation 59% 3 26% 2 8% 3% 4% 4% Islam Buddhism Hinduism Christianity Taoism None 1 4% Management 1 1 4% Executive Professional Self employed 19% Non-executive 4% Student Unemployed Homemaker 17% Retired

6 Marital status and dependents Respondent Profile pt. 3 8 Internet access 8 54% 18% 6% 1 3 5% 7% Widowed with dependents Widowed without dependents Married with dependents Married without dependents Single/ Never married with dependents Single/ Never married without dependents No internet access Mobile internet Other locations At home and workplace/sc hool/ipt Workplace/sc hool/ipt At home Setting State 17% 14% 13% 9% 1 7% 8% 6% 7% 5% 8% Rural 4 Urban 59% 4% Johor Melaka Negeri Sembilan Pahang Terengganu Kelantan Kuala Lumpur Selangor Perak Pulau Pinang Kedah Perlis

7 National Direction 7

8 For media release only Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll Q4/ Q2/ Nov Dec May, 10, n = Considering the conditions in the country today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction? 8 66% 67% 54% 48% 4 13% 36% 3 1 7% 8% 49% 48% 3 27% 4 24% 4% 24% 25% 17% 18% 3% 6% 7% 3% 3 23% 9% Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 8

9 For media release only Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll Q4/ Q2/ Nov Dec May, 10, n = Considering the conditions in the country today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction 8 45% 45% % 47% 34% 34% % 36% 46% 5 34% 54% 36% Oct 08 May 09 July 09 Aug 09 Sept 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Mar 10 May 10 Nov 10 9

10 For media release only Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll Q4/ Q2/ Nov Dec May, 10, n = Considering the conditions in the country today, how strongly would you say that things are heading in the right or wrong direction? 8 Right direction Malay Chinese Indian 66% 7 68% 64% 6 67% 67% 56% 57% 59% 59% 64% 63% 66% 45% 33% 4 43% 5 48% 54% 46% 47% % 57% 46% 5 54% 27% 27% 2 16% 17% 18% Oct 08 May 09 July 09 Aug 09 Sept 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Mar 10 May 10 Nov 10 10

11 For media release only Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll Q4/ Q2/ 2010 Right Direction 30 Nov Dec May, 10, n = And what would you say is the issue that is the main reason for your answer? Good economic conditions/ economy turns better Rapid or good development/ good condition of infrastructure Quality of national leadership Peaceful condition in the country/ state Don't know Good national administration Political stability in general None Others No response Good national policy and concept Improvement in education system Unfavourable economic condition in general Political instability in general Society social problems Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living n=540 27% 14% 14% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3%

12 For media release only Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll Q4/ Q2/ 2010 Wrong Direction 30 Nov Dec May, 10, n = And what would you say is the issue that is the main reason for your answer? Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living Political instability in general Unfavourable economic conditions in general Quality of national leadership Society social problems Corruption in general Racial inequality Others Education problem Crime & public safety in general (e.g. rob, snatch, rape) Don't know Development problem in general Bad administration No response Lack of transparency Non-Islamic national leadership Quality of politicians - attitude/ work behavior Malay issues Poverty in general None 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% n=365 17% 1 1 9% 9% 6% 6% 5% 1 12

13 For media release only Peninsular Malaysia Voters Opinion Poll Q4/ Q2/ Nov Dec May, 10, n = What in your view is the most important problem that needs solving in the country today? Social problems among youth Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living None Crime & public safety in general (eg. rob, snatch, rape) Don't know Corruption in general Unfavourable economic condition in general Political instability in general Racial inequality Lack of unity among Malaysians/ Worse ethnic relations Poverty in general Quality of politictians Others Quality of education Lack of employment opportunities/unemployment Illegal foreigners No response Malay issues Social problems Development problem Issues with administration Environmental cleanliness Political stability in general 4% 3% 3% 3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 7% 8% 9% 13% 1 Issue Groupings Aggregated % Economic issues 24% Social problems, illegal aliens 16% Race relations 1 Political instability 8% Crime and public safety 8% Corruption & administration issues 7% 5% 1 15% 13

14 Perceptions on Personal and National Economics 14

15 Moving on to the subject of the economy, can you tell me how favourable or unfavourable are things with respect to the following.? Very favourable Somewhat favourable Somewhat unfavourable Very unfavourable Don't know No response % 8% 8% 5% 6% 14% 7% 9% 28% 7% 35% 3 27% 35% 5 46% 46% 43% 43% 7% 6% 7% 5% The national income Your personal income Business opportunities Job opportunities Prices of consumer goods and services 15

16 Moving on to the subject of the economy, can you tell me how favourable or unfavourable are things with respect to the following: The national economy 8 53% 6 56% 46% 43% 35% 5 35% 29% 35% 34% 47% 47% 39% 33% 7% 8% 4% 4% 1 6% 3% 3% 13% 5% 5% 9% 5% 5% 5% Favourable Unfavourable Favourable Unfavourable Favourable Unfavourable Favourable Unfavourable Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 16

17 Moving on to the subject of the economy, can you tell me how favourable or unfavourable are things with respect to the following.? The national economy Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian 8 % reporting favorable 73% 59% 4 38% 33% 33% 24% 24% 13% 55% 56% 5 48% 48% 39% 45% 46% 25% 26% 23% 6 58% 57% 47% 47% 5 46% 33% 29% 26% 6 56% 53% 35% Feb Jul 08 Mar 09 May July 4-14 Sept 09 Dec 09 March-April May 2010 Dec-10 17

18 Moving on to the subject of the economy, can you tell me how favourable or unfavourable are things with respect to the following.? Personal income Prices of consumer items and services Job opportunities Business opportunities 8 % reporting favorable 56% 55% 44% 19% 5 49% 24% 34% 33% 29% 47% 46% 35% 37% 26% 46% 36% 26% 25% 49% 43% 36% 28% % 45% 46% 44% 39% 24% 23% % 2 13% 14% 8% 9-19 Feb Feb Jul Oct - 8 Nov 08 Mar 09 May 09 September December 09 March - April May 2010 Nov

19 How do you expect our country s economy to be one year from now? 19

20 How do you expect our country s economy to be one year from now? 8 Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian % reporting improve 7 67% 66% 6 49% 33% % 24% 15% 39% 29% % 3 57% 55% 47% 29% 6 58% % 27% 53% 53% 37% 37% 58% 57% 47% 26% 13% Feb Feb Jul Oct - 8 Nov 08 Mar 09 May Sept 09 Dec 09 March- April May 2010 Nov

21 Awareness on the Economic Transformation Plan and Perceptions of NKRA Achievements 21

22 Are you aware of the Economic Transformation Plan (ETP) recently launched by the Prime Minister? % 5 48% % 38% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 22

23 How much do you understand about initiatives such as the Economic Transformation Plan? % 78% 35% 35% 38% 19% 14% 14% 47% 15% 15% 3% 46% % 15% 15% 6% 59% A fair amount Not very much NR A fair amount Not very much NR A fair amount Not very much NR A fair amount Not very much NR Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 23

24 In your opinion, how strongly are you confident or not confident that the Economic Transformation Plan will propel Malaysia into becoming a developed nation? % 55% 47% 34% 37% 23% 9% 1 19% 18% 47% 14% 25% 18% 7% 36% 15% 19% 23% 14% 18% % 1 14% Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 24

25 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know No response 8 10 Improve quality of education in primary & secondary schools 4 2 8% 7% Providing assistance to those that need it 15% 43% 28% 8% 6% Improve public transport in major cities such as KL 14% % Improve living standards in rural areas 1 43% 26% 9% 9% Reducing crime 1 37% 3 2 Fighting corruption 8% 27% 3 28% 6% 25

26 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Fighting corruption % 59% % 27% 46% 48% 27% 8% 28% 6% 6% % 5% 18% 4% 3 9% 9% 3 15% 28% 5% 5% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 26

27 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Fighting corruption % 39% 29% 36% 3 35% 3 3 8% 23% 25% 9% 8% 1 29% 4% 3% 27% 8% 28% 6% 6% Dissatified Dissatified Dec-09 May-10 Dec-10 27

28 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Reducing crime % 37% % 43% 4 24% 26% 43% 53% 46% % 18% 25% 28% 26% 13% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 28

29 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Reducing crime 5 39% 46% % 34% 47% 37% % 24% 23% Dissatified Dissatified Dec-09 May-10 Dec-10-29

30 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Providing assistance to those that need it 8 67% 69% 57% 5 43% 36% 45% 3 37% 43% 53% 27% 15% 28% 7% 8% 6% % 8% 3% 3% 7% 13% 1 16% 16% 1 4% 4% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 30

31 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Providing assistance to those that need it 31

32 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Improve living standards in rural areas 8 63% 69% 55% 43% 1 35% 26% 1 9% 9% 45% 18% % 35% 5% 5% 43% 36% 7% 55% 17% 14% 24% 14% 8% 1 8% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 32

33 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Improve living standards in rural areas 5 55% 4 43% 35% 29% 26% 1 1 8% 1 1 7% 9% 9% Dissatified - May-10 Dec-10 33

34 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Improve public transportation in major cities such as KL 8 55% 63% 47% 7 44% 4 14% 3 15% 1 13% 44% 18% 2 14% 15% 8% 13% 35% 34% 3 25% 18% 4% 26% 15% 16% 14% 1 5% 4% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 34

35 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Improve public transportation in major cities such as KL 35

36 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Improve quality of primary and secondary education % 76% 63% 5 53% 46% 4 29% 2 8% 8% 7% 29% 29% 18% 26% 13% 3% 5% 3% 39% 18% 14% 16% % 9% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 36

37 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of the federal government in the following aspects? Improve quality of primary and secondary education 37

38 From the following, please choose two (2) issues which you think need attention from the federal government: 1st Overall (n=1005) 2nd Total 1st & 2nd Fight corruption 48% 6% 53% Improve on the police and security service 7% 17% 24% Reduce inflation 13% 1 24% Provide affordable housing 6% 15% 2 Protect the environment 1 5% 15% Expand public infrastructure in rural areas 13% 14% Improve government efficiency 5% 8% 13% Bring in foreign investment 5% 6% 1 Improve judicial independence 1 1 Improve media freedom 4% 5% No response 4% 4% Don't know 4% 38

39 From the following, please choose two (2) issues which you think need attention from the federal government Fight corruption Improve on the police and security service Reduce inflation Provide affordable housing Environmental protection Expand public infrastructure in rural areas Improve government efficiency Bring in foreign investment Improve judicial independence Improve on media freedom No response Don't know 1st Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 2nd 5 6% Total 1st & 2nd 1st 2nd Total 1st & 2nd 1st 2nd Total 1st & 2nd 57% 46% 5% 5 34% 4% 39% 6% 13% 8% 25% 33% 8% 15% 23% 9% 9% 18% 17% 14% 3 25% 6% 3 8% 28% 3% 7% 1 5% 15% 7% 5% 17% 18% 6% 5% 8% 5% 6% 8% 5% 1 1 9% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 1 16% 18% 1 17% 5% 23% 7% 1 13% 1 13% 4% 19% 24% 9% 14% 16% 8% 8% 4% 9% 7% 4% 4% 1 9% 4% 5% 39

40 Other Issues 40

41 Recently the government announced that a state-owned corporation, PNB will be constructing a building taller than the Petronas Twin Towers, some people feel that it is a waste of funds while others say it will generate further economic growth. Do you agree or disagree with the proposal to build the skyscraper? 8 76% 65% 2 19% 3 58% 14% 25% 15% 1 43% 1 9% 3 19% 13% 4 1 8% 9% 7% 47% 13% 1 33% 15% 18% 44% 9% 8% Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 41

42 Recently the media has been reporting about Parti Keadilan Rakyat's internal conflicts. Do you think The reports are a true reflection of the troubles in PKR The reports present an exaggerated picture of the situation 42

43 How strongly do you agree or disagree that the recent retirement of Samy Vellu will help to regain the trust of the Indian community in MIC? 8 53% 57% 3 28% 45% 33% 39% 5% 26% 29% 2 19% 1 8% 3% 25% 28% 19% 2 3% 9% 18% 1 34% 6% 16% 13% % 14% 13% Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 43

44 PM s Approval Rating 44

45 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister? 10 85% 8 69% 74% 47% 2 24% 19% 7% 5% 6% 44% % 7% 54% % 4% 3% 3% 15% 13% 46% 39% 1 1 4% 4% Overall (1005) Malay (590) Chinese (322) Indian (93) 45

46 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister? % 53% 47% 19% 2 15% 6% 7% 5% 2 24% 19% 7% 5% 6% Dissatified Dissatified May-10 Dec-10 May 2010: 5 net satisfaction Dec 2010: 45% net satisfaction 46

47 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister? Peninsula Msia Malay Chinese Indian % 4 53% 45% 64% 74% % 68% 7 67% 69% 65% 64% 64% 66% 56% 54% 5 48% 49% % 85% 74% 69% 54% 34% 36% 15% 17% 25% 9% 3-9 Mar Mar - 2 Apr May Jun -1 Jul July Sept 09 Dec 09 March -April 10 May 10 Dec 10 47