Peninsula Malaysia Voter Survey 4 th Quarter 2008 January 2009

Transcription

1 Peninsula Malaysia Voter Survey 4 th Quarter 2008 January

2 MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA Tel: /1499 Fax: Web: 2

3 Methodology 1018 randomly selected registered voters aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age Survey was carried out between 26 Dec 08 and 2 Jan 09. Survey margin of error estimated at ±3. Important Recent Events during polling period: Announcement of PAS candidate for Kuala Terengganu by-election, Gunung Rapat elected village head, Christmas and New Year celebrations. 3

4 Respondent Profile pt. 1 Ethinicity Age Region % 3 9% Malay Chinese Indian 3 26% 28% % 2 19% 19% Northern Central Southern Eastern State Gender Male Female 15% 13% 16% 15% 5 5 5% 8% 8% 5% 8% 5% 7% Perlis Kedah P. Pinang Perak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Negeri Sembilan Melaka Johor KelantanTerengganuPahang 4

5 Respondent Profile pt. 2 Level of education 3 Occupation 28% 3 No formal schooling 1 19% Primary Employed -Employed - Private Govt 1 LCE/ SRP/ PMR Own Business 1 3 MCE/ SPM 3% 5% HSC/ STPM 5% % Diploma & Degree & equivalent above 13% Self Unemployed Student Homemaker Retired employed Household Income 3 Religion % 57% 23% > RM1500 RM1501 RM3000 Internet access % RM RM5000 9% 1 > RM5001 Don't know/no response 3% 5% None Islam Buddhism Hinduism Christian Taoist 17% At home 7% 8% Workplace/ school At home and workplace/ school Other locations Mobile internet 63% No internet access 5

6 Issues and Recent Developments 4 th Quarter 2008 Peninsula Malaysia Voter Survey 2 January

7 What is the most important issue or problem in the country today? Unfavourable economic condition 2 Inflation & rising cost of living 17% Racial inequality 9% Corruption 9% Worsening ethnic relations 6% Crime and public safety 6% Social problems Political instability Unemployment Lack of unity among Malaysians Quality of politicians 43% concerned about economic issues Poverty & uneven development Ineffective/ unconcerned government Education issues 17% ethnic related concerns governance related issues Influx of illegal immigrants Need for Malay empowerment/ unity Others 3% None Don't know 3% 7

8 What is the most important issue or problem in the country today? Economic issues Crime & public safety Social problems 6 5 Corruption & power abuse Racial issues Political issues 55% 59% 48% 45% % 3 37% 38% 3 27% 23% 25% 25% 25% 2 13% 1 Oct 06 Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Dec Feb Feb Mar Mar 08 3% 30 Apr - 5 May 08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep Oct - 8 Nov 08 Dec-08 8

9 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the federal government's performance on that issue? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know No response Corruption 19% 4 36% Worsening ethnic relations % Racial inequality 13% 3 5 Unfavourable economic condition 26% 38% 3 Inflation & rising cost of living 2 33% 4 9

10 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's performance as Prime Minister? % 5 46% 46% % 3 39% % 3 33% 4 16% 15% 1 17% Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 10

11 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's performance as Prime Minister? 10 Peninsula M'sia 8 67% % 4 43% 45% 46% Oct 07 Dec Feb Feb Feb - 4 Mar Mar 08 * 30 Apr - 5 May 08 Jul 08 Aug 08 Sept Oct - 8 Nov 08 Dec 08 11

12 In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good prime minister? 6 57% 56% % 36% 37% 3 29% 18% 28% 27% 28% 15% 18% 2 45% 1 17% 1 17% 16% 7% Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 12

13 In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good prime minister? 8 Peninsula Msia 6 55% 47% 45% 46% 43% 4 3 Oct 06 Apr 07 Feb 08 Mar 08 Jul 08 Sept Oct - 8 Nov 08 Dec 08 13

14 Recently, the parliament approved the formation of Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission (MACC) to replace the Anti-Corruption Agency (ACA). How confident or not confident are you that the MACC will be successful in fighting corruption? 6 57% 5 43% 45% 53% 43% 5 38% 33% % 28% 27% 33% 33% 26% 17% 15% 13% 26% 2 26% Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 14

15 How confident or not confident are you that the Judicial Appointment Commission will be able to bring about greater independence of the judiciary? 6 57% 5 43% 45% 53% 43% 5 38% 33% % 28% 27% 33% 33% 26% 17% 15% 13% 26% 2 26% Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Confident Not confident Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 15

16 How strongly do you agree or disagree to the privatization of Institut Jantung Negara (IJN National Heart Institute)? % 13% 87% % % 67% 9 7% 7% 3% 3% 7% 3% 3% Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 16

17 How strongly do you agree or disagree to the teaching of science and mathematics subjects in English from primary to secondary schools? % % 23% 39% 55% 27% 43% 5 23% 85% 3 17% 18% 19% % 25% 28% 1 6% 7% Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 17

18 Perspectives on MCA in th Quarter 2008 Peninsula Malaysia Voter Survey 2 January

19 Among the statements stated below, what is your expectation for the new MCA lineup? Pressure government to treat Malaysians fairly irrespective of race 39% Resolve economic problems like the recession 19% Stand up for Chinese rights like vernacular education, Chinese culture Pressure UMNO to reform Reform Barisan Nasional 7% 6% Support Najib Combination of pressuring govt to treat Malaysians fairly etc. Respect Malays/ Islam All of the above None Others 3% Don't know 7% No response 19

20 How strongly can you accept or not accept a leader who. to hold a senior government post? 10 Strongly accept Somewhat accept Somewhat don't accept Do not accept at all Don't know No response 17% % 93% 38% 19% 2 49% 13% 36% 3% 5% 6% 1 Tainted by sex scandal Involved in corruption Lack of higher education Too young 20

21 Do you think component parties like MCA are treated equally within BN? 8 66% 6 58% 56% 37% 37% 58% 66% 56% 37% 37% 16% 15% 6% 7% 8% 5% 16% 5% 7% 7% 16% 16% 1 7% Yes Maybe No Yes Maybe No Yes Maybe No Yes Maybe No Total (1018) Malay (576) Chinese (344) Indian (96) 21

22 If forced to a corner, what should MCA do to ensure survival? Stay in the coalition and merge with other parties 35% Leave the coalition, join Pakatan Rakyat 1 Leave the coalition, stay independent 1 Stay in the coalition grudgingly Stay in the coalition and work towards expelling other coalition partners 7% Stay in BN with a different attitude/ reforms Leave BN/ Dismantle the party Others Don't know 15% No response 22