HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1
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1 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1 Interviews: 900 Adults, including 405 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: September 14-18, respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. Study # Male 52 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 900 interviews among Adults is ±3.27% The margin of error for 741 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.60% Unless otherwise noted by a + or ++, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) and over... 7 Not sure/refused... 1 Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic No, not Hispanic Not sure/refused... 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White Black Asian... 2 Other... 4 Hispanic (VOL)... 6 Not sure/refused... 2 White, Non-Hispanic Q3 Registered Voter. Yes No... 18
2 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 2 Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 9/17 8/17 6/17 Strongly approve approve disapprove Strongly disapprove Not sure /17 8/17 6/17 5/17 4/17 2/17 Total Approve Total Disapprove Not sure Moving on Q5 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE REST) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Donald Trump September August June May April February January December October 10-13, October 8-10, September August July June May April March February January December October 25-29, October 15-18, September July February May December October July High February Presidential Term Low August All-time Trump Low April
3 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 3 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Mitch McConnell September February October January November April January January November 11-15, September October January Chuck Schumer September February Paul Ryan September April February December October 10-13, July June May April October 25-29, October 15-18, December October September 26-30, August June
4 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 4 Q5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Nancy Pelosi September February October November October 8-12, January January November 11-15, October 28-30, September August 5-9, January 10-14, October September July June February January October 4-5, January April January December October September December February SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE D/S Chuck Schumer Donald Trump Paul Ryan Nancy Pelosi Mitch McConnell Q5 (cont'd) Now, let me read you some terms, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the term, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Sanctuary Cities September Dreamers, who are young adults whose family brought them to this country illegally when they were children September
5 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 5 Q6 Changing topics, knowing it is a long way off, what is your preference for the outcome of next year s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? 9/17+ 6/17+ 4/17+ 10/10-13/16+ 10/8-10/16+ 9/16+ 8/16+ 6/16+ 5/16+ 4/16+ Republican-controlled Congress Democrat-controlled Congress Not sure /25-28/13+ 10/7-9/13+ 9/13+ 7/13+ 6/13+ 10/12+ 9/26-30/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/ /25-10/30-10/8-29/15+ 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14+ 6/14+ 4/14+ 3/14+ 1/14+ 12/ /12+ 4/12+ 3/12+ 1/12+ 12/11+ 11/11+ 10/11+ 8/11+ 6/11+ 10/28-30/ /14-18/10+ 9/10+ 8/26-30/10+ 8/5-9/10+ 6/10+ 5/20-23/10+ 5/6-11/10+ 3/10+ 1/23-25/10+ 1/10-14/ /09+ 10/09+ 9/09+ 7/09+ 4/09+ 11/08+ 10/08+ 9/08+ 8/08+ 7/ /08+ 4/08+ 3/08+ 11/07+ 9/07+ 10/06+ 9/06+ 7/06+ 6/06+ 4/ /06+ 1/06+ 12/05+ 11/05+ 10/05+ 7/05+ 5/05+ 10/04+ 9/ /04+ 5/04+ 3/04+ 1/04 12/13/03 10/02+ 9/02 7/02 6/ /02 12/01 12/99 10/99 7/99 6/99 4/99 3/99 10/ /98 7/98 6/98 2/98 1/98 12/97 9/97 7/97 4/
6 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 6 (ASKED AMONG REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) Q7 Now, thinking about Republican leaders in Congress such as (ROTATE) Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan and Leader Mitch McConnell in the U.S. Senate...would you say you are (ROTATE) satisfied or dissatisfied with their ability to achieve Republican legislative goals and priorities? (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK) And are you very or just somewhat (satisfied/dissatisfied)? + Among GOP Voters satisfied... 6 satisfied dissatisfied dissatisfied Not sure... 5 RELATED SEPTEMBER 2015 TREND Now, thinking about Republican leaders in Congress such as (ROTATE) Speaker of the House, John Boehner and Leader Mitch McConnell in the U.S. Senate...would you say you are (ROTATE) satisfied or dissatisfied with their ability to achieve Republican legislative goals and priorities? (IF CHOICE, THEN ASK) And are you very or just somewhat (satisfied/dissatisfied)? ^ satisfied... 2 satisfied dissatisfied dissatisfied Not sure... 5 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary Talking now about some different issues (RANDOMIZE Q8, Q9-9a, Q10-10a, Q11a-14, & Q15) Q8 Has been held for later release. Q9 From what you know about global climate change or global warming, which one of the following statements comes closest to your opinion? (READ AND ROTATE STATEMENTS TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) 9/17 4/17 6/14 12/09 10/09 1/07 6/06 7/99 Global climate change has been established as a serious problem, and immediate action is necessary There is enough evidence that climate change is taking place and some action should be taken We don't know enough about global climate change, and more research is necessary before we take any actions Concern about global climate change is unwarranted Not sure Q9a As you know, in the past few weeks two major hurricanes, Harvey and Irma, have hit the United States. Do you think that this (ROTATE) is due to climate change or is the result of an exceptionally strong hurricane season, but not related to climate change? If you don t know enough to say either way just say so. * Due to climate change Result of exceptionally strong hurricane season Don t know enough to say Both (VOL)... 2 Neither (VOL)... 2 Not sure... 1 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
7 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 7 Moving on Q10 Would you favor or oppose a single payer health care system in which all Americans would get their health insurance from one government plan that is financed by taxes? Favor Oppose Not sure... 7 (ASKED IF FAVOR SINGLE PAYER HEALTH CARE SYSTEM) Q10a And, if you learned that virtually all health care costs would be covered, but it would eliminate employer provided health plans and there would be only one government plan, would you favor or oppose a single payer health care system? Among All Adults Among Favor Single Payer Favor Oppose Not sure Oppose/Not sure on Q NA COMBINED Q10/Q10A DATA Favor Oppose Not sure... 9 Thinking about another topic Q11a Generally speaking, do you think businesses in this country pay more than their fair share of taxes, less than their fair share of taxes, or about the right amount? (ROTATE TOP TWO) 9/17 11/85 1 More than fair share Less than fair share About the right amount Not sure November 1985 data from an NBC News/WSJ survey not conducted by Hart Research Associates or Public Opinion Strategies. Q11b And what about you personally? Do you think you pay more than your fair share of taxes, less than your fair share of taxes, or about the right amount? (ROTATE TOP TWO) 9/17 3/99^ 11/85 1 More than fair share Less than fair share About the right amount Not sure ^ In March 1999, question wording was, Do you feel that you pay more than your fair share in federal income taxes, less than your fair share, or is the amount you pay about right? 1 November 1985 data from an NBC News/WSJ survey not conducted by Hart Research Associates or Public Opinion Strategies.
8 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 8 Q12 In order to fund the government and work to make certain the economy is healthy, would you (ROTATE TOP TWO) increase, decrease, or keep taxes about the same as they are now for each of the following? (RANDOMIZE) TABLE RANKED BY % WHO SAY INCREASE Increase Decrease Keep Taxes About the Same Not Sure The wealthy September Corporations September You and your family September The middle class September Small business September Q13 Which one best describes what you think Congress should do as regards federal taxes? (ROTATE TOP TWO) Cut taxes on individuals Cut taxes on businesses... 4 Cut taxes on BOTH individual and businesses Not cut taxes at this time Not sure... 2 Q14 And, if there is a major reduction in the amount that corporations pay in taxes, do you agree or disagree that it would encourage companies to significantly expand and increase the number of jobs? Agree Disagree Not sure... 6 On another topic Q15-16 Have been held for later release. Changing topics and talking some more about President Trump Q17 Do you think that in his time as president, Donald Trump has accomplished a great deal, a fair amount, only some, or very little? Accomplished a great deal Accomplished a fair amount Accomplished only some Accomplished very little Not sure... 1 APRIL 2009 OBAMA TREND Do you think that in his first one hundred days in office Barack Obama has accomplished a great deal, a fair amount, only some, or very little? Accomplished a great deal Accomplished a fair amount Accomplished only some Accomplished very little Not sure... 1
9 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 9 Q18 For each of the following please tell me if you approve or disapprove of President Trump s handling of each item. If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) TABLE RANKED BY % WHO SAY APPROVE Approve Disapprove No Opinion Not Sure Agreeing with Democratic leaders Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi on legislation that would provide money for hurricane relief and keep the government open for 90 days September The economy September Border security and immigration September The situation in North Korea September 2017^^ Changing business as usual in Washington September 2017^ Health care September Race relations September Providing a pardon to Joe Arpaio, a sheriff from Arizona September The environment and climate change September The way the president uses Twitter to communicate with the American people September The events in Charlottesville, Virginia when a white nationalist protest turned violent September ^ Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A) on September 14; asked of all September ^^ Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B) on September 14; asked of all September
10 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 10 Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. (ASK IF REGISTERED VOTER SAMPLE) QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF SOMEONE ELSE, ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL)... 2 Voted for Jill Stein (VOL)... 1 Voted for someone else (VOL)... 4 Voted, not sure... 2 No, Did Not Vote... 8 Not sure... 3 (ASK OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN TRUMP VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? Supporter of Donald Trump Supporter of the Republican Party Both (VOL)... 2 Neither (VOL)... 1 Not sure... 1 (ASK ALL) QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager White-collar worker Blue-collar worker Farmer, rancher... 1 Not Currently Employed Student... 2 Stay at home mom/dad... 6 Retired Unemployed, looking for work... 2 Other... - Not sure... - QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school... - Some high school... 5 High school graduate Some college, no degree Vocational training/school year college degree year college/bachelor's degree Some postgraduate work, no degree years postgraduate work/master's degree Doctoral/law degree... 3 Not sure/refused... -
11 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 11 QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat Not very strong Democrat Independent/lean Democrat... 9 Strictly Independent Independent/lean Republican Not very strong Republican... 7 Strong Republican Other (VOL)... 5 Not sure... 3 QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Not sure... 5 QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member Union household... 8 Non-union household Not sure... 1 QF7 How would you describe your economic circumstances (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor... 9 Working class Middle class Upper middle class Well-to-do... 3 Not sure/refused... 1
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