The margin of error for 810 interviews is ± 3.4% The margin of error for 414 employed interviews is ± 4.8%

Transcription

1 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page Connecticut Avenue, NW Interviews: 810 adults, including Washington, DC who only have a cell phone (202) Dates: June 13-17, 2013 FINAL Study #10863b 48 Male 52 Female [109] Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 810 interviews is ± 3.4% The margin of error for 414 employed interviews is ± 4.8% 1a. For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "REFUSED," ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? [ ] and over... 8 Refused b. And to ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic [150] No, not Hispanic Not sure/refused c. And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race white, African American, Asian, or something else? White [151] African American Asian... 3 Other... 4 Hispanic (VOL)... 5 Not sure/refused... 1

2 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 2 2a. How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or poor? 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 Excellent [152] Good Only fair Poor Not sure /11 12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/18, 20-21/08+ 9/10-12/08 6/ /08 12/07 10/05 1 3/05 1 8/04 1 3/04 1 1/03 1 1/ Comparative data prior to 12/07 comes from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry, Mermin Associates. + Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters. 2b. And over the course of the next year, do you think the state of the economy will get better, stay about the same, or get worse? 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 Will get better [153] Will stay about the same Will get worse Not sure Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters. 12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/18, 20-21/08+ 9/10-12/08 6/08 2/ Q.2a and Q.2b COMBINED: CURRENT AND FUTURE VIEW OF THE ECONOMY 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 Optimistic now/optimistic for the future Optimistic now/pessimistic for the future Pessimistic now/optimistic for the future Pessimistic now/pessimistic for the future Not sure for now or the future * Results for 9/18,20-21/08 among likely voters. 12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 9/18, 20-21/08* 9/10-12/08 6/08 2/

3 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 3 3. Considering your expectations for what you thought your standard of living would be at this point in your life, would you say that your current standard of living has exceeded your expectations, met your expectations, or fallen short of your expectations? 6/13 3/07 Exceeded expectations [154] Met expectations Fallen short of expectations Not sure Changing subjects 4ab. Are you currently employed? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "NO," ASK:) Are you a student, a homemaker, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "YES, CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? Currently Employed Professional/manager [ ] White-collar worker CONTINUE Blue-collar worker Farmer/rancher... - Not Currently Employed Student... 5 Homemaker... 6 Retired Unemployed, looking for work... 8 Skip to Q.6a Volunteer (VOL)... - Disabled (VOL)... 5 Not sure/refused... 1 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4a) 4c. And do you either work for yourself or own and operate your own small business? Yes [163] No Not sure... - Student/Homemaker/Retired/Unemployed/Volunteer/Disabled/ Not Sure/Refused (Q.4ab)... 48

4 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 4 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4a) 5a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that your wages will increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [164] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.5a) 5b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.5a) 5c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect your wages to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] EMPLOYED ADULTS 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 12/10 10/10 Decrease Stay the same Total increase Increase 1% to 3% Increase 4% to 10% Increase 11% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median / /09 12/08 9/08 6/08 2/08 12/07 10/07 6/07 3/07 Decrease Stay the same Total increase Increase 1% to 3%... NA Increase 4% to 10%... NA Increase 11% or more... NA Increase not sure how much... NA Mean... NA Median... NA Comparative data for August 2010 comes from a survey conducted by Hart/McInturff for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal. (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4a) 5d. Would you say that your job makes full use of your abilities, that it makes use of many, but not all, of your abilities, that it makes use of just some of your abilities, or that it makes use of very few of your abilities? EMPLOYED ADULTS 6/13 3/07 Makes full use of abilities [171] Makes use of many, but not all, abilities Makes use of just some abilities Makes use of very few abilities Does not make use of any abilities (VOL) Not sure

5 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 5 6a. Over the next twelve months, do you expect that the cost of living that is, what you pay for everyday goods and services will increase, decrease, or stay about the same? [172] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.6a) 6b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you think the price of everyday goods and services will increase in the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.6a) 6c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you think the price of everyday goods and services will decrease in the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 Decrease Stay the same Total increase Increase 1% to 3% Increase 4% to 5% Increase 6% to 10% Increase 11% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median /10 12/09 12/08 9/08 6/08 2/08 12/07 10/07 6/07 Decrease Stay the same Total increase Increase 1% to 3% Increase 4% to 5% Increase 6% to 10% Increase 11% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median

6 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 6 7a. Do you expect the value of your home to increase, decrease, or stay about the same over the next twelve months? If you do not own your home, please just say so. [179] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "INCREASE" IN Q.7a) 7b. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to increase over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DECREASE" IN Q.7a) 7c. If you had to give your best estimate, by what percentage do you expect the value of your home to decrease over the next twelve months? Please use only whole numbers, without any decimals. [ ] 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 1 5/12 3/12 11/11 6/11 3/11 Respondents Who Own Their Home Decrease Stay the same Total increase Increase 1% to 4% Increase 5% to 9% Increase 10% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median /10 12/09 12/08 9/08 6/08 2/08 12/07 10/07 3/07 Respondents Who Own Their Home Decrease Stay the same Total increase Increase 1% to 4% Increase 5% to 9% Increase 10% or more Increase not sure how much Mean Median Results shown among respondents who own their home, consisting of 77% in 6/13, 74% in 3/13, 74% in 11/12, 77% in 9/12, 76% in 5/12, 77% in 3/12, 77% in 11/11, 75% in 6/11, 78% in 3/11, 80% in 12/10, 83% in 10/10, 84% in 12/09, 77% in 12/08, 85% in 9/08, 86% in 6/08, 81% in 2/08, 82% in 12/07, 82% in 10/07, and 84% in 3/07

7 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 7 8. Do you have money invested in the stock market and mutual funds, including IRAs and 401(K)s? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS YES, ASK:) And is the value of these investments above or below fifty thousand dollars? 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 Yes, Have Money invested Above $50, [214/215] Below $50, Not sure No, no money invested Not sure/refused /12 11/11 6/11 3/11 12/ NA NA /10 12/09 12/08 Less than $10, At least $10,000 but less than $50, At least $50,000 but less than $100, At least $100,000 but less than $200, At least $200,000 but less than $300, At least $300,000 but less than $500, At least $500,000 but less than $1,000, $1,000,000 or more No, no money invested in the stock market Not sure/refused In your opinion, would you say this is a good time or a bad time to be investing in the stock market? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "GOOD TIME OR BAD TIME," ASK:) Would you say it is a very (good time/bad time) or just a somewhat (good time/bad time)? 6/13 3/13 11/12 9/12 5/12 3/12 11/11 Very good time [216/217] Just a somewhat good time Just a somewhat bad time Very bad time Not sure /11 3/11 12/10 10/10 12/09 12/08 10/ Does the fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently hit an all-time high make you more likely to invest in stocks, make you less likely to invest in stocks, or does it make no difference to you either way in whether you invest in stocks? 6/13 3/13 More likely to invest [218] Less likely to invest No difference either way Not sure

8 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page Now I'm going to list several elements of the economy. During the course of the next year, please tell me which one or two, if any, you think will most affect you personally and your family in a negative way. (IF MORE THAN TWO, ASK:) Well, if you had to choose just one or two, which would they be? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 6/13 3/11 9/08 The price of groceries and other essentials [ ] The price of energy and gas > Health care costs Not having enough retirement savings Your job security Having too much credit card debt A decline in home values Changes in the stock market None of these Not sure Now I have a few questions about jobs and income. (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4a) 12. Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with your job? EMPLOYED ADULTS Very satisfied [221] Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied... 4 Not sure... 1 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4a) 13a. And are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the following aspects of your job? If an item does not apply to you, please say so. EMPLOYED ADULTS THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY VERY SATISFIED Very Satisfied Somewhat Satisfied Somewhat Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied Does Not Apply Your coworkers [224] Your commute [226] Your hours [231] Your boss [225] How technology is used in your workplace [232] Your work-life balance [227] The training you receive [230] The recognition you receive for your work [228] Your benefits [223] Your salary or wages [222] Your opportunities for promotion and advancement [229] Not Sure

9 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 9 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "YES, EMPLOYED" IN Q.4a) 13b. And which two or three of these are MOST important to you when it comes to your level of satisfaction with your job? (DO NOT READ LIST. ACCEPT UP TO THREE RESPONSES) EMPLOYED ADULTS THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Your salary or wages [ ] Your work-life balance > Your coworkers Your benefits Your boss The recognition you receive for your work Your hours Your commute Your opportunities for promotion and advancement The training you receive... 8 How technology is used in your workplace... 5 Other... 2 Not sure Do you think having a college education is an essential part of the American Dream, or do you think that having a college education is NOT an essential part of the American Dream? Having a college education is an essential part of the American Dream [242] Have a college education is NOT an essential part of the American Dream Not sure Suppose you had a son or daughter who wanted to continue their education after high school. Which of the following would you recommend to them? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "DEPENDS ON THE STUDENT," ASK:) I understand it might depend on the student, but just generally speaking which of the following would you recommend? A trade or vocational school where they would earn a certificate in a specific trade [243] A two-year college or community college where they would earn an associate's degree A four-year college where they would earn a Bachelor's degree Not sure When it comes to getting a FOUR-YEAR college degree, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view? A four-year college education is worth the cost because people with a four-year degree have a better chance to get a good job and earn more money over their lifetimes [244] A four-year college education is not worth the cost because people often graduate without specific job skills and with a large amount of debt that takes many years to pay off Not sure... 7

10 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 10 Now I have a few questions about the deficit and federal government spending. 17. Given the current economic conditions is this a good time to deal with the deficit or should the deficit only be dealt with once the economy improves and there is less unemployment? 6/13 12/10 1 This is a good time to deal with the deficit [243] The deficit should be dealt with when the economy improves Not sure Comparative data comes from a survey conducted for NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. 18. In your view, which is the bigger problem with government today-that it spends too much money, or that it spends it on the wrong things? If you think neither of these things is a problem, please say so. 6/13* 1/95 1 Spends too much money [246] Spends money on the wrong things Both (VOL) Neither Not sure * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). 1 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted for NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. 2 In January 1995, Neither was a volunteered response that was not read to respondents. 19. Which ONE of the following do you think is MOST responsible for the federal budget deficit? ** THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan [247] The policies of Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress The policies of George W. Bush and the Republicans in Congress The economic recession Other (VOL)... 5 None (VOL)... 2 Not sure... 7 ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). 20. The federal debt ceiling limits the amount of money the government can borrow. When the U.S. Treasury needs to issue debt above the ceiling in order to avoid going into bankruptcy and defaulting on its obligations, Congress needs to vote to raise the ceiling. Which of the following causes you more concern? 6/13 6/11 That Congress will NOT raise the debt ceiling and the federal government will not meet its financial obligations, such as defaulting on its loans and not making payments to Social Security recipients and government workers [248] That Congress WILL raise the debt ceiling and that federal spending will increase and the government will go further into debt as a result Or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time Not sure

11 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 11 FACTUALS: Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. F1a. Are you currently registered to vote? Registered CONTINUE [249] Not registered Skip to Q.F2a Not sure... 1 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "REGISTERED" IN Q.F1a) F1bc. A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the election for president earlier this month? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS YES, ASK:) For whom did you vote Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or someone else? Yes, Voted 88 Voted for Barack Obama [250/251] Voted for Mitt Romney Voted for someone else... 5 Not sure... 9 No, did not vote Not sure... - F2a. What is the last grade that you completed in school? Grade school... 1 [ ] Some high school... 5 High school graduate Skip to Q.F3a Some college, no degree Vocational training/2-year college year college/bachelor's degree Some postgraduate work, no degree... 2 CONTINUE 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree Doctoral/law degree... 2 Not sure/refused... 1 Skip to Q.F3a (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY BACHELORS, SOME POSTGRADUATE WORK, MASTER'S, OR DOCTORAL/LAW DEGREE FROM Q.F2a) F2b. Which of the following best describes your experience with student loans to pay for your own education? You currently have student loans that you are making payments on... 7 [254] You previously had student loans that you have paid off You never had student loans Not sure... - Grade school - Vocational training/2-year college/not Sure/Refused (Q.F2a) Total Have Or Had Student Loans 17 F3ab. Have you, or has anyone else who lives with you in your household, been laid off from a job in the past four years? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS YES, ASK:) As was that you or someone else in your household? Yes respondent has been laid off [255/256] Yes someone else in household Yes both (VOL)... 2 Yes not sure... - No, no one has been laid off Not sure... 1

12 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 12 F4. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? Strong Democrat [ ] Not very strong Democrat Independent/closer to Democratic Party... 7 Strictly independent Independent/closer to Republican Party... 6 Not very strong Republican... 7 Strong Republican Something else Not sure... 6 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN" OR SOMETHING ELSE OR NOT SURE IN Q.F4a) F5. Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party Movement? Yes [260] No Depends (VOL)... 5 Not sure F6. Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal... 7 [261/262] Somewhat liberal Moderate Somewhat conservative Very conservative Not sure... 9 F7. Are you currently single and never married, unmarried and living with a partner, married, separated, widowed, or divorced? Single [263] Unmarried and living with a partner... 5 Married Separated... 1 Widowed... 8 Divorced... 8 Other (VOL)... - Not sure/refused... 2

13 HART/McINTURFF Study #10863b--page 13 F8. If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, what would the total be? I'm going to read some income ranges, please stop me when I reach the range for your family less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, between one hundred thousand dollars and two hundred thousand dollars, or more than two hundred thousand dollars? Less than $10, [ ] Between $10,000 and $20, Between $20,000 and $30, Between $30,000 and $40, Between $40,000 and $50, Between $50,000 and $75, Between $75,000 and $100, Between $100,000 and $200, More than $200, Not sure/refused... 16