THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

Transcription

1 THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL February 16, 2015 OBAMA STAYS UNPOPULAR IN NH By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603/ DURHAM, NH President Barack Obama s favorability and job approval ratings remain at low levels. Perceptions of the administration s handling of the economy and foreign affairs remain low, and most Granite Staters think the country is headed in the wrong direction. These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and nine (509) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between February 5 and February 12, The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.3 percent. Presidential Approval President Obama s overall job approval rating has declined since he was reelected in 2012 and still remains low in New Hampshire. Currently, only 42% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the job Obama is doing as president, 53% disapprove, and 5% are neutral. However Obama s popularity, which will likely be a key factor in the 2016 presidential election, is significantly better than George W. Bush s at this point in his second term (31% approve, 66% disapprove). 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 66% 63% 61% 55% 55% 48% 50% 51% 51% 53% 50% 49% 52% 49% 53% 50% 48% 49% 49% 49% 49% 51% 53% 50% 55% 55% 53% 47% 46% 44% 46% 46% 44% 46% 41% 29% 33% 21% Barack Obama Approval, All NH Adults 47% 47% 44% 45% 43% 47% 42% 44% 45% 45% 42% 39% 38% 38% 42% Approve Disapprove We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

2 Obama s approval numbers have rebounded among Democrats (86%) but they remain low among Independents (33%) and very low among Republicans (7%). 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 97% 93% 91% 66% 63% 65% 61% 55% 65% 62% 63% 39% 36% 26% Presidential Approval in NH by Party Identification (% Approve) 95% 84% 85% 86% 88% 92% 94% 85% 87% 88% 87% 91% 86% 81% 83% 78% 79% 78% 74% 76% 73% 55% 48% 50% 51% 51% 53% 50% 46% 46% 44% 46% 47% 47% 49% 49% 44% 45% 41% 42% 39% 38% 38% 42% 45% 47% 42% 46% 39% 46% 48% 39% 41% 35% 32% 34% 36% 41% 38% 37% 24% 34% 15% 31% 12% 13% 13% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9% 10% 12% 11% 12% 10% 11% 4% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 3% 29% 31% 32% 33% All NH Adults GOP IND DEM Obama s personal favorability ratings also continue to be low in New Hampshire. Obama is currently viewed favorably by only 42% of New Hampshire adults, 49% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 9% are neutral or don t know enough about him to say. Obama s net favorability rating, the percentage having a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an unfavorable opinion, is -7%, which is up from -13% in October. Perceptions of Obama are very polarized, he is very popular among Democrats (net favorability rating of +77%), but is unpopular among Independents (-13% net), and very unpopular among Republicans (-78% net). 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 58% 53% 36% 31% 71% 16% Favorability Ratings Barack Obama 64% 62% 56% 56% 52% 50% 51% 53% 51% 53% 54% 48% 52% 47% 48% 48% 47% 47% 47% 48% 48% 47% 51% 53% 48% 49% 47% 44% 44% 46% 41% 44% 42% 44% 45% 44% 47% 47% 41% 41% 43% 45% 44% 46% 41% 42% 35% 27% 30% Favorable Unfavorable

3 Health Care Reform Obama s signature legislative achievement, the Affordable Care Act, remains unpopular with Granite Staters. In the most recent Granite State Poll, only 38% of New Hampshire adults favor the legislation, 52% oppose it, and 10% are neutral or don t know enough about it to say. 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 57% 26% Favor / Oppose Health Care Reform Legislation 49% 49% 52% 52% 53% 52% 46% 46% 46% 49% 45% 46% 49% 53% 51% 51% 44% 47% 52% 52% 39% 38% 38% 35% 33% 35% 39% 36% 38% 43% 41% 34% 35% 34% 37% 39% 35% 38% Favor Oppose The Affordable Care Act remains popular among Democrats (73% favor), but remains very unpopular among both Independents (32%) and Republicans (8%). 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 52% 26% 19% 3% Favor Health Care Reform Legislation by Party Identification (% Favor) 78% 75% 77% 77% 78% 74% 74% 74% 68% 68% 70% 66% 68% 70% 70% 70% 70% 65% 62% 43% 39% 38% 38% 39% 41% 35% 33% 35% 36% 38% 34% 35% 37% 39% 34% 35% 37% 33% 34% 28% 30% 15% 30% 25% 26% 24% 26% 26% 26% 28% 27% 21% 20% 21% 22% 7% 7% 6% 8% 10% 10% 11% 8% 5% 7% 7% 8% 4% 4% 5% 7% 7% 6% 5% 73% 38% 32% 8% All Adults GOP Independent DEM

4 Economic Approval Rating Despite some signs that the economy is rebounding, Granite Staters continue to disapprove of Obama s handling of the economy. Only 46% of New Hampshire adults approve of how Obama is handling the economy, 50% disapprove, and 4% are neutral. As with other approval measures, there is a considerable partisan gap -- most Democrats (86%) approve of Obama s handling of the economy, while 43% of independents and only 13% of Republicans approve. 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 62% 58% 57% 51% 46% 35% 39% 24% Presidential Approval: Handling the Economy 54% 54% 55% 57% 56% 58% 50% 50% 49% 50% 53% 50% 48% 48% 50% 54% 56% 55% 52% 52% 50% 46% 47% 46% 47% 48% 47% 46% 41% 43% 42% 43% 45% 41% 43% 42% 46% 37% 39% 39% Approve Disapprove Foreign Affairs New Hampshire adults continue to disapprove of the Obama Administration s handling of foreign affairs. In the most recent Granite State Poll, only 38% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of how President Obama is handling foreign affairs, 57% disapprove, and 6% are neutral. The same partisan divisions that characterize other ratings of the administration exist in evaluations of the administration s handling of foreign affairs -- 76% of Democrats, 25% of Independents and only 9% of Republicans approve of Obama s handling of foreign affairs. Presidential Approval: Foreign Affairs 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% 65% 63% 53% 52% 53% 52% 52% 50% 49% 49% 42% 44% 45% 46% 43% 26% 29% 15% 61% 47% 49% 52% 54% 50% 51% 54% 52% 49% 51% 55% 57% 52% 47% 46% 44% 43% 46% 38% 43% 43% 39% 39% 37% 37% 42% 34% 38% Approve Disapprove

5 Right Direction Wrong Track New Hampshire residents remain pessimistic about the direction the country is headed, although recently these numbers have been on the rise. Currently, only of New Hampshire adults think things in this country are generally going in the right direction, 57% think things are seriously off on the wrong track, and 4% are unsure. Democrats remain the most optimistic -- 73% believe the U.S. is headed in the right direction, but just 38% of Independents and 13% of Republicans share this view. 100% 80% 70% 60% 50% 30% 20% 10% 0% US Heading in Right Direction or On Wrong Track Right Direction Wrong Track

6 Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and nine (509) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between February 5 and February 12, The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.3 percent. The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, age, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Granite State Poll, Winter 2015 Demographics Sex N % Region N % Male % North Country 40 8% Female % Central/Lakes 89 17% Connecticut Valley 78 15% Age N % Mass Border % 18 to % Seacoast 94 18% 35 to % Manchester Area 64 13% 50 to % 65 and Over 89 18% Party Registration N % Democrat % Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared % High School or Less 92 18% Republican % Some College % College Graduate % Party Identification N % Post-Graduate 99 20% Democrat % Independent 98 21% Years Lived in NH N % Republican % 10 yrs. Or less 68 13% yrs % > 20 yrs %

7 Presidential Approval All Adults GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) Feb % 5% 53% (504) Oct % 7% 55% (678) Aug % 7% 55% (812) July 14 45% 6% 50% (664) Apr % 9% 53% (502) Jan % 7% 51% (574) Oct % 7% 49% (657) July 13 49% 5% 45% (504) Apr % 6% 45% (501) Feb % 2% 44% (572) Oct % 3% 45% (589) Oct. 1, 12 55% 3% 42% (635) Sept % 4% 44% (635) Aug % 4% 49% (579) July 12 47% 5% 48% (517) Apr % 3% 47% (535) Feb % 6% 43% (524) Oct % 6% 53% (551) July 11 46% 6% 49% (512) Apr % 5% 52% (502) Feb % 4% 49% (519) Sept % 4% 50% (514) July 10 51% 5% 44% (502) Apr % 4% 46% (506) Feb % 5% 47% (495) Oct % 5% (503) July 09 61% 6% 33% (556) Apr % 8% 29% (500) Feb % 14% 21% (614)

8 Favorability Rating President Barack Obama "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people who have been in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don t know enough about him or her to say. President Barack Obama?" Favorable Neutral/DK Unfavorable NET (N=) Feb % 9% 49% -7% (508) Oct. 14 6% 53% -13% (679) July 14 48% 6% 46% +2% (668) Apr % 8% 51% -10% (506) Jan % 7% 47% -1% (582) Oct % 7% 44% +4% (660) July 13 48% 7% 45% +3% (515) Apr % 5% 43% +9% (499) Feb % 5% 41% +13% (579) Oct % 5% 41% +12% (589) Oct % 4% +16% (637) Aug % 6% 47% 0% (579) July 12 47% 7% 47% 0% (520) Apr % 5% 44% +7% (532) Feb % 7% +13% (527) Oct % 9% 47% -3% (553) July 11 48% 6% 45% +3% (514) Apr % 8% 48% -4% (503) Feb % 8% 44% 3% (515) Sept % 4% 48% -1% (515) July 10 51% 5% 42% +9% (504) Apr % 4% 44% +6% (510) Feb % 6% 41% +11% (496) Oct % 8% 35% +21% (502) July 09 62% 7% 30% +32% (557) Apr % 7% 27% +37% (503) Feb % 9% 16% +55% (619) Sep. '08 53% 9% 36% +17% (522) July '08 58% 10% 31% +27% (474)

9 Favor / Oppose Health Care Reform Legislation Passed in Congress Let me ask you a question about healthcare. The U.S. House and Senate passed legislation in March of 2010 that will overhaul the nation s health care system. Based on what you have seen or heard, do you favor or oppose the health care legislation that was passed in Congress, or don t you have an opinion? (ASKED IN FEB 10) Let me ask you a question about healthcare. The U.S. House and Senate have just passed legislation that would overhaul the nation s health care system. Based on what you have seen or heard, do you favor or oppose the health care legislation that is going through Congress, or don t you have an opinion? Favor Neutral/DK Oppose (N) Feb % 10% 52% (509) Oct % 13% 52% (679) July 14 39% 10% 51% (667) Apr % 12% 51% (506) Jan % 13% 53% (581) Oct % 47% (659) July 13 35% 21% 44% (512) Apr % 17% 49% (504) Feb % 13% 46% (581) Oct % 12% 45% (590) July 12 38% 13% 49% (518) Apr % 18% 46% (534) Feb % 15% 46% (524) Oct % 13% 52% (554) July 11 33% 14% 53% (513) Apr % 12% 52% (504) Feb % 10% 52% (519) Sept % 13% 49% (513) July 10 39% 15% 46% (502) Apr % 49% (512) Feb % 16% 57% (498)

10 Presidential Approval Economy GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling THE ECONOMY? Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) Feb % 4% 50% (508) Oct % 6% 52% (676) July 14 43% 5% 52% (656) Apr % 6% 55% (503) Jan % 5% 56% (573) Oct % 5% 54% (648) July 13 45% 4% 50% (506) Apr % 6% 48% (500) Feb % 5% 48% (574) Oct % 3% 48% (590) July 12 43% 4% 53% (517) Apr % 3% 50% (536) Feb % 5% 49% (525) Oct % 5% 58% (551) July 11 4% 56% (511) Apr. 11 3% 57% (502) Feb % 3% 55% (518) Sept % 2% 54% (513) July 10 47% 3% 50% (502) Apr % 3% 50% (507) Feb % 4% 54% (493) Oct % 3% 46% (500) July 09 57% 4% 39% (556) Apr % 7% 35% (499) Feb % 14% 24% (614)

11 Presidential Approval Foreign Affairs GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling FOREIGN AFFAIRS? Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) Feb % 6% 57% (501) Oct % 5% 61% (672) July 14 42% 6% 52% (660) Apr % 9% 55% (499) Jan % 12% 51% (573) Oct % 7% 47% (654) July 13 43% 8% 49% (498) Apr % 9% 39% (494) Feb % 6% 39% (571) Oct % 5% 43% (589) July 12 50% 7% 43% (510) Apr % 6% (532) Feb % 9% 38% (524) Oct % 7% 44% (552) July 11 47% 7% 46% (508) Apr % 5% 52% (497) Feb % 5% 46% (515) Sept % 7% 45% (511) July 10 50% 6% 44% (503) Apr % 6% 42% (504) Feb % 7% (494) Oct % 8% (499) July 09 63% 9% 29% (552) Apr % 8% 26% (496) Feb % 32% 15% (607)

12 Right Track - Wrong Track Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track? Right Direction Wrong Track Don t Know (N=) Feb % 4% (498) Oct % 58% 6% (677) July 14 35% 59% 6% (654) Apr % 62% 6% (501) Jan % 58% 8% (569) Oct % 67% 6% (647) July 13 39% 56% 5% (511) Apr % 50% 6% (498) Feb % 49% 4% (573) Oct % 49% 3% (578) July 12 38% 57% 5% (512) Apr % 52% 6% (525) Feb % 54% 8% (514) Oct % 70% 8% (553) July 11 35% 59% 6% (507) Apr % 63% 5% (496) Feb % 54% 9% (513) Sept % 55% 7% (512) July 10 39% 55% 6% (491) Apr % 51% 4% (502) Feb % 54% 5% (484) Oct % 45% 9% (496) July 09 51% 43% 5% (555) Apr % 43% 7% (498) Feb % 51% 11% (610) Sep % 69% 10% (540) July '08 19% 73% 8% (508) Apr. '08 21% 74% 5% (487) Feb % 71% 7% (553) Sep % 62% 8% (505) July 07 34% 59% 6% (523) Apr % 55% 8% (510) Feb % 7% (516) Sept % 56% 10% (510) July 06 38% 51% 11% (496) Apr % 62% 8% (501) Feb % 7% (487) Oct % 55% 7% (498) July 05 47% 47% 6% (492) Apr % 43% 11% (487) Feb % 7% (535) Oct % 50% 4% (574) July 04 48% 43% 10% (500) Apr % 48% 8% (535) Feb % 49% 8% (503) Oct % 43% 6% (487) June 03 56% 38% 5% (511)

13 Presidential Approval Rating - Overall Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 42% 5% 53% 504 Registered Democrat 2% 8% 104 Registered Undeclared 44% 5% 51% 187 Registered Republican 7% 2% 91% 121 Democrat 86% 2% 12% 184 Independent 33% 12% 55% 98 Republican 7% 3% 195 Liberal 81% 1% 18% 91 Moderate 52% 3% 45% 197 Conservative 11% 7% 82% 167 Support Tea Party 5% 1% 95% 108 Neutral 31% 7% 62% 184 Oppose Tea Party 76% 4% 20% 183 Union household 43% 2% 55% 79 Non-union 41% 6% 54% 418 Read Union Leader 32% 2% 65% 104 Read Boston Globe 50% 2% 48% 72 Read Local Newspapers 54% 4% 42% 188 Watch WMUR 45% 4% 51% 309 Listen to NHPR 70% 3% 27% yrs or less in NH 51% 1% 48% to 20 years 42% 5% 53% 100 More than 20 years 5% 54% to 34 39% 3% 58% to 49 5% 56% to 64 7% 53% and over 52% 6% 43% 86 Male 42% 5% 52% 249 Female 41% 5% 54% 255 High school or less 42% 9% 48% 89 Some college 34% 8% 58% 138 College graduate 41% 2% 57% 168 Post-graduate 54% 1% 45% 99 Attend services 1 or more/week 33% 5% 62% times a month 41% 0% 59% 55 Less often 39% 6% 56% 149 Never 50% 6% 44% 173 North Country 51% 0% 49% 38 Central / Lakes 42% 6% 52% 87 Connecticut Valley 47% 8% 44% 78 Mass Border 35% 2% 63% 143 Seacoast 43% 6% 52% 94 Manchester Area 41% 8% 51% 64 First Cong. Dist 45% 5% 50% 235 Second Cong. Dist 39% 5% 57% 270

14 Favorability Rating - Barack Obama Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) STATEWIDE 42% 7% 49% 2% 508 Registered Democrat 1% 9% 0% 104 Registered Undeclared 45% 6% 46% 3% 187 Registered Republican 9% 2% 88% 1% 121 Democrat 87% 1% 10% 2% 184 Independent 34% 18% 47% 1% 98 Republican 8% 4% 86% 1% 195 Liberal 83% 0% 17% 0% 91 Moderate 55% 2% 3% 197 Conservative 11% 9% 80% 0% 168 Support Tea Party 5% 0% 95% 0% 110 Neutral 30% 12% 53% 5% 186 Oppose Tea Party 81% 3% 16% 0% 183 Union household 44% 2% 48% 6% 80 Non-union 41% 7% 50% 2% 420 Read Union Leader 33% 2% 63% 2% 105 Read Boston Globe 52% 3% 45% 0% 72 Read Local Newspapers 55% 2% 2% 187 Watch WMUR 47% 3% 47% 3% 313 Listen to NHPR 71% 3% 25% 0% yrs or less in NH 51% 9% 0% to 20 years 42% 10% 46% 2% 103 More than 20 years 41% 5% 51% 3% to 34 35% 11% 53% 2% to 49 7% 49% 4% to 64 46% 4% 50% 0% and over 52% 3% 43% 2% 89 Male 45% 6% 48% 1% 250 Female 7% 49% 4% 258 High school or less 36% 13% 45% 7% 92 Some college 36% 13% 49% 1% 138 College graduate 43% 1% 55% 1% 169 Post-graduate 56% 1% 3% 99 Attend services 1 or more/week 33% 4% 59% 4% times a month 0% 57% 3% 55 Less often 42% 5% 53% 0% 150 Never 49% 11% 37% 2% 174 North Country 47% 3% 47% 3% 40 Central / Lakes 44% 3% 50% 3% 89 Connecticut Valley 45% 10% 42% 3% 78 Mass Border 35% 10% 52% 3% 144 Seacoast 48% 3% 49% 0% 94 Manchester Area 42% 8% 49% 1% 64 First Cong. Dist 46% 7% 46% 1% 236 Second Cong. Dist 39% 6% 51% 4% 272

15 Presidential Approval Rating - Economy Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 46% 4% 50% 508 Registered Democrat 93% 1% 6% 104 Registered Undeclared 48% 5% 47% 187 Registered Republican 12% 3% 84% 121 Democrat 86% 2% 12% 184 Independent 43% 6% 51% 98 Republican 13% 3% 84% 195 Liberal 87% 1% 12% 91 Moderate 58% 2% 39% 197 Conservative 15% 4% 81% 168 Support Tea Party 4% 1% 95% 109 Neutral 38% 5% 57% 186 Oppose Tea Party 82% 3% 15% 183 Union household 52% 2% 46% 80 Non-union 44% 4% 52% 420 Read Union Leader 42% 2% 56% 105 Read Boston Globe 63% 2% 35% 72 Read Local Newspapers 56% 3% 41% 188 Watch WMUR 49% 3% 48% 312 Listen to NHPR 74% 3% 23% yrs or less in NH 50% 1% 49% to 20 years 51% 3% 46% 103 More than 20 years 43% 5% 52% to 34 3% 58% to 49 44% 2% 54% to 64 48% 6% 45% and over 52% 5% 43% 89 Male 50% 2% 47% 250 Female 41% 6% 53% 258 High school or less 5% 55% 91 Some college 41% 5% 54% 139 College graduate 47% 3% 50% 168 Post-graduate 56% 2% 42% 99 Attend services 1 or more/week 35% 9% 56% times a month 54% 1% 45% 55 Less often 44% 2% 54% 150 Never 52% 3% 45% 174 North Country 63% 2% 36% 39 Central / Lakes 46% 6% 49% 88 Connecticut Valley 54% 1% 45% 78 Mass Border 36% 5% 59% 145 Seacoast 48% 3% 50% 94 Manchester Area 45% 8% 47% 64 First Cong. Dist 49% 4% 47% 235 Second Cong. Dist 43% 4% 53% 273

16 Presidential Approval Rating - Foreign Affairs Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 38% 6% 57% 501 Registered Democrat 80% 2% 18% 104 Registered Undeclared 39% 8% 53% 182 Registered Republican 8% 3% 120 Democrat 76% 2% 22% 183 Independent 25% 16% 60% 95 Republican 9% 4% 87% 193 Liberal 71% 2% 27% 91 Moderate 46% 7% 47% 192 Conservative 12% 3% 84% 168 Support Tea Party 7% 2% 91% 109 Neutral 29% 9% 62% 180 Oppose Tea Party 66% 4% 30% 183 Union household 39% 4% 58% 80 Non-union 37% 6% 57% 413 Read Union Leader 31% 2% 67% 105 Read Boston Globe 49% 4% 47% 72 Read Local Newspapers 51% 2% 47% 183 Watch WMUR 42% 4% 54% 307 Listen to NHPR 64% 2% 33% yrs or less in NH 37% 6% 57% to 20 years 2% 58% 103 More than 20 years 37% 6% 57% to 34 30% 0% 70% to 49 35% 9% 56% to 64 41% 5% 53% and over 46% 7% 47% 86 Male 37% 4% 59% 248 Female 38% 8% 54% 253 High school or less 43% 5% 52% 90 Some college 26% 8% 66% 139 College graduate 34% 7% 60% 163 Post-graduate 55% 1% 44% 99 Attend services 1 or more/week 30% 7% 64% times a month 32% 2% 67% 54 Less often 1% 60% 145 Never 42% 10% 48% 173 North Country 56% 1% 43% 39 Central / Lakes 28% 8% 64% 87 Connecticut Valley 51% 8% 41% 77 Mass Border 35% 3% 62% 143 Seacoast 37% 8% 56% 90 Manchester Area 31% 6% 63% 64 First Cong. Dist 38% 7% 55% 230 Second Cong. Dist 37% 4% 58% 270

17 Favor / Oppose Health Care Legislation Passed in Congress Favor Neutral/DK Oppose (N=) STATEWIDE 38% 10% 52% 509 Registered Democrat 75% 9% 15% 104 Registered Undeclared 41% 11% 48% 187 Registered Republican 10% 5% 85% 122 Democrat 73% 9% 18% 184 Independent 32% 17% 51% 98 Republican 8% 7% 85% 196 Liberal 76% 8% 16% 91 Moderate 49% 10% 41% 197 Conservative 5% 9% 86% 169 Support Tea Party 5% 3% 92% 110 Neutral 24% 14% 62% 186 Oppose Tea Party 76% 7% 17% 183 Union household 37% 11% 52% 80 Non-union 38% 10% 53% 421 Read Union Leader 28% 5% 67% 105 Read Boston Globe 53% 12% 35% 72 Read Local Newspapers 47% 15% 38% 188 Watch WMUR 39% 11% 51% 313 Listen to NHPR 68% 8% 24% yrs or less in NH 55% 7% 37% to 20 years 4% 55% 103 More than 20 years 34% 12% 55% to 34 34% 7% 59% to 49 30% 11% 59% to 64 46% 7% 47% and over 42% 16% 42% 89 Male 36% 9% 55% 251 Female 39% 11% 49% 258 High school or less 27% 20% 53% 92 Some college 33% 6% 60% 139 College graduate 41% 8% 51% 168 Post-graduate 50% 9% 41% 99 Attend services 1 or more/week 34% 10% 56% times a month 39% 2% 59% 55 Less often 33% 9% 59% 150 Never 45% 12% 43% 174 North Country 48% 7% 45% 39 Central / Lakes 27% 11% 62% 89 Connecticut Valley 49% 6% 45% 78 Mass Border 33% 12% 55% 145 Seacoast 43% 12% 46% 94 Manchester Area 35% 10% 55% 64 First Cong. Dist 38% 12% 51% 236 Second Cong. Dist 38% 9% 53% 273

18 U.S. Right Direction / Wrong Track Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE 57% 4% 498 Registered Democrat 81% 16% 3% 98 Registered Undeclared 43% 54% 3% 186 Registered Republican 12% 86% 2% 120 Democrat 73% 22% 4% 177 Independent 38% 59% 3% 96 Republican 13% 85% 3% 195 Liberal 75% 18% 7% 86 Moderate 51% 45% 4% 196 Conservative 14% 85% 1% 167 Support Tea Party 6% 94% 0% 109 Neutral 33% 66% 2% 184 Oppose Tea Party 69% 25% 6% 176 Union household 35% 62% 4% 77 Non-union 56% 4% 416 Read Union Leader 34% 64% 1% 104 Read Boston Globe 52% 44% 4% 71 Read Local Newspapers 54% 42% 4% 184 Watch WMUR 57% 3% 306 Listen to NHPR 64% 31% 5% yrs or less in NH 39% 54% 6% to 20 years 58% 2% 98 More than 20 years 57% 3% to 34 37% 60% 3% to 49 39% 58% 4% to 64 41% 55% 3% and over 42% 53% 5% 86 Male 41% 55% 4% 246 Female 38% 59% 3% 252 High school or less 39% 57% 4% 90 Some college 35% 63% 2% 135 College graduate 38% 58% 4% 167 Post-graduate 46% 50% 4% 97 Attend services 1 or more/week 28% 66% 6% times a month 42% 53% 6% 53 Less often 46% 52% 2% 148 Never 43% 55% 2% 169 North Country 50% 49% 1% 38 Central / Lakes 35% 62% 3% 86 Connecticut Valley 53% 39% 7% 75 Mass Border 31% 66% 3% 141 Seacoast 42% 56% 2% 93 Manchester Area 55% 5% 64 First Cong. Dist 42% 55% 3% 234 Second Cong. Dist 37% 59% 4% 264