THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

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1 THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER October 18, 2013 SHEA-PORTER AHEAD IN NH 1, NH 2 UP FOR GRABS By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603/ DURHAM, NH Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter enjoys double-digit leads over potential Republican challengers a year before the 2014 election for Congress in New Hampshire s First C.D. In the 2 nd District, Congresswoman Ann Kuster continues to struggle with poor favorability ratings and name recognition and is in a dead heat with relatively unknown Republican challenger Gary Lambert. These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Six hundred and sixty-three (663) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between October 7 and October 16, The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.8 percent. Included were 330 residents of New Hampshire s First Congressional District (MSE = +/- 5.4%) and 333 from the Second District (MSE = +/- 5.4%). Favorability Ratings Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter Democrat Congresswoman Carol Shea Porter is increasingly popular in New Hampshire s 1 st Congressional District, a seat she held from 2007 to 2011 and regained in Currently, 42% of 1 st District adults have a favorable opinion of Shea-Porter, 28% have an unfavorable opinion, 7% are neutral, and 22% don t know enough about her to say. Her net favorability rating, the percentage who have a favorable opinion of her minus the percentage who have an unfavorable opinion, is +14%. She is very popular among Democrats (net +56%), Independents are divided (net +1%), and she is unpopular among Republicans (net - ). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 0% 7% 16% 0% 5% Favorability Ratings Carol Shea-Porter NH 1 st District 42% 43% 44% 39% 39% 38% 38% 41% 42% 33% 35% 15% 18% 21% 17% 28% 32% 32% 26% 35% 31% 37% 49% 48% 43% 42% 38% 37% 31% 28% 34% 39% 32% 28% 28% Favorable Unfavorable We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

2 GOP Challengers for U.S. Congress District 1 The two declared Republican challengers for the 1 st District seat are former Congressman Frank Guinta (R-Manchester) who held the seat from 2011 to 2013 and former UNH Business School Dean Dan Innis (R-Portsmouth). Guinta is the better known of the two, reflecting that he ran in 2010 and 2012, but is also the least liked. Currently only 24% of 1 st C.D. adults have a favorable opinion of Guinta, 34% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 8% are neutral and 34% don t know enough about him to say. His net favorability rating is -. Guinta is modestly popular among Republicans (+27%), Independents are neutral (net +3%), and he is very unpopular among Democrats (net -45%). 50% Favorability Ratings - Frank Guinta NH 1st District 28% 23% 22% 28% 33% 31% 33% 31% 37% 39% 38% 36% 34% 0% 8% Apr. '09 June '09 11% Oct. '09 14% Feb. '10 18% 17% 22% Apr. '10 July '10 Sept. 10 Feb. '11 26% Apr. '11 24% July '11 28% 28% 27% Oct. '11 Feb. '12 Apr. '12 Aug. '12 Oct. '12 Feb. '13 Apr. '13 27% July '13 24% Oct. '13 Favorable Unfavorable Innis is not well known in the 1 st District. Currently, only 7% have a favorable opinion of Innis, 2% have an unfavorable opinion, 6% are neutral and 85% don t know enough to say. His net favorability is +5%. 50% Favorability Ratings - Dan Innis NH 1st District 12% 7% 0% 4% July '13 Oct. 2% '13 Favorable Unfavorable

3 2014 U.S. Congress Election 1 st District In a trial heat between Shea-Porter and Guinta, 48% of likely 1 st District likely voters support Shea-Porter, 32% support Guinta, 1% support someone else and 18% are undecided. If Dan Innis were the Republican nominee, 43% of likely voters support Shea-Porter, 32% support Innis, and 25% are undecided. As would be expected in hypothetical matchups this early, Democrats and Republicans largely support their party s candidate and one-third of Independents are undecided in a matchup between Guinta and Shea-Porter. In a matchup with Innis, partisan support is similar, but Innis leads among Independents by a 2-1 margin. US Congress District 1 - Shea-Porter vs. Guinta 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 0% 48% 85% 69% 36% 31% 32% 33% 18% 9% 4% Shea-Porter Guinta Don't Know All 1st CD Adults Democrat Independent Republican US Congrss District 1 - Shea-Porter vs. Innis 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 0% 43% 80% 63% 49% 32% 35% 25% 16% 13% 7% Shea-Porter Innis Don't Know 25% All 1st CD Adults Democrat Independent Republican

4 Favorability Ratings Congresswoman Ann Kuster In New Hampshire s Second Congressional District, first term Congresswoman Ann Kuster s favorability ratings continue to remain low. Currently, only 23% of 2 nd District adults have a favorable opinion of Kuster, 28% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 9% are neutral, and don t know enough about her to say. Her net favorability rating is very low for an incumbent, - 5%. She is only modestly popular among Democrats (net +), but is unpopular among Independents (net -15%) and very unpopular among Republicans (net -42%). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 0% 6% 8% 8% Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10 July '10 Favorability Ratings Ann Kuster NH 2nd District 38% 26% 14% 13% Sept % 16% 35% 25% 32% 23% 29% 27% Feb. '11 Apr. '11 July '11 Oct. '11 Feb. '12 Apr. '12 Aug. '12 Oct. '12 Feb. '13 Apr. '13 July '13 Oct. '13 Favorable Unfavorable 25% 28% 23% GOP Challenger for U.S. Congress District 2 The lone declared Republican challenger for the 2 nd C.D. seat is former State Senator Gary Lambert (R-Nashua). Lambert is not well known as only 5% of Second District adults have a favorable opinion of him, 4% have an unfavorable opinion, 5% are neutral, and 85% don t know enough about him to say. His net favorability rating is +1%. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 0% Favorability Ratings - Gary Lambert 5% 4% 90% Favorable Unfavorable Neutral / DK

5 2014 U.S. Congress Election 2 nd District Despite being unknown, Lambert and Kuster are currently tied in the race. If the 2014 Congressional election were held today, 34% of likely voters in the 2 nd District say they would vote for Lambert, 33% would vote for Kuster, and 31% are undecided. Kuster is currently vulnerable, said Andrew Smith, Director of the UNH Survey Center. Typically, an incumbent with less than 50% support is in for a tough fight, but an incumbent below is in real trouble. A significant problem for Kuster is that only 62% of likely Democratic voters say they would vote for her if the election were held today. 100% 90% US Congress District 2 - Kuster vs. Lambert 80% 74% 70% 60% 62% 55% 50% 34% 33% 31% 23% 21% 6% 8% 15% 0% Lambert Kuster Don't Know All 2nd CD Adults Republican Independent Democrat

6 Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Six hundred and sixty-three (663) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between October 7 and October 16, The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.8 percent. Included were 330 residents of New Hampshire s First Congressional District (MSE = +/- 5.4%) and 333 from the Second District (MSE = +/- 5.4%). The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, age, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may sum to just above or below 100%. Respondent numbers in each demographic may not equal the total respondent number due to respondents choosing not to answer some demographic questions. US Congress District 1 Guinta vs. Shea-Porter "If the 2014 Congressional election was being held today and the candidates were Frank Guinta, the Republican and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct. 13 Guinta 32% Shea-Porter 48% Other 1% Don t know / undecided 18% (N=) (258) US Congress District 1 Innis vs. Shea-Porter "If the 2014 Congressional election was being held today and the candidates were Dan Innis, the Republican and Carol Shea- Porter, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct. 13 Innis 32% Shea-Porter 43% Other 0% Don t know / undecided 25% (N=) (259) US Congress District 2 Lambert vs. Kuster "If the 2014 Congressional election was being held today and the candidates were Gary Lambert, the Republican and Ann Kuster, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct. 13 Lambert 34% Kuster 33% Other 2% Don t know / undecided 31% (N=) (251)

7 Favorability Rating U.S. Representative Carol Shea-Porter - NH 1 st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Congresswoman (Former Congresswoman) Carol Shea-Porter? 1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct % 7% 28% 22% +14% (325) July 13 37% 6% 28% 28% +9% (274) Apr % 11% 32% 26% -1% (227) Feb % 8% 39% 15% -1% (254) Oct LVs 48% 4% 34% 13% +14% (273) Aug % 5% 28% 18% +21% (270) Apr % 3% 24% +13% (252) Sept % 8% 14% -3% (262) July 10 41% 7% 35% 17% +6% (270) Apr % 7% 44% 12% -7% (257) Feb % 7% 19% -5% (251) Oct % 7% 31% +11% (248) Jun % 8% 21% +11% (287) Apr % 4% 35% 23% +3% (260) Feb % 26% 27% +12% (311) Sep % 5% 31% +13% (251) July 08 35% 9% 32% 24% +3% (235) Apr % 12% 28% 21% +11% (251) Feb % 13% 17% 26% +26% (267) Sept % 17% 21% 29% +12% (228) July 07 39% 15% 18% 28% +21% (252) Apr % 15% 24% +22% (251) Feb % 15% 28% +25% (248) Sept % 14% 5% 65% +11% (266) July 06 7% 7% 0% 86% +7% (256) Favorability Rating Dan Innis - NH 1st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former UNH Business School Dean (UNH Business School Dean) Dan Innis? 1 st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct. 13 7% 6% 2% 85% +5% (325) July 13 12% 6% 4% 79% +8% (274)

8 Favorability Rating Frank Guinta - NH 1st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former Congressman (Congressman) Frank Guinta? 1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct % 8% 34% 34% - (325) July 13 27% 6% 36% 31% -9% (274) Oct. 12 LVs 38% 6% 39% 17% -1% (273) Aug % 5% 27% 31% +6% (270) Apr % 9% 28% 33% +3% (253) Feb % 8% 28% +5% (256) Oct % 28% 0% (247) July 11 24% 12% 34% -6% (248) Apr % 26% 33% +5% (243) Feb % 22% 35% +8% (236) Sept % 4% 42% +13% (262) July 10 28% 9% 17% 46% +11% (264) Apr % 7% 18% 52% +4% (257) Feb % 7% 14% 55% +9% (251) Oct % 9% 11% 52% +17% (251) April 09 12% 8% 51% +22% (260) Favorability Rating U.S. Representative Ann McLane Kuster - NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Congresswoman (Attorney) Ann McLane Kuster? 2 nd C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct % 9% 28% -5% (330) July 13 27% 9% 25% 38% +2% (232) Apr % 8% 34% -1% (276) Feb % 8% 23% 36% +9% (325) Oct LVs 35% 7% 25% 33% + (325) Aug % 1% 16% 61% +5% (311) Apr % 3% 13% 58% +13% (270) Sept % 6% 14% 42% +24% (243) July 10 3% 2% 85% +8% (226) Apr. 10 8% 7% 4% 81% +4% (250) Feb. 10 8% 2% 3% 87% +5% (240) Oct. 09 6% 5% 2% 87% +4% (252) Favorability Rating Gary Lambert - NH 2st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former State Senator Gary Lambert? 2 nd C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct. 13 5% 5% 4% 85% +1% (331)

9 Favorability Rating Congressperson Carol Shea-Porter Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) FIRST CONG. DIST 42% 7% 28% 22% 325 Registered Democrat 74% 3% 7% 16% 73 Registered Undeclared 38% 12% 27% 23% 135 Registered Republican 19% 1% 62% 18% 73 Democrat 64% 4% 8% 23% 143 Independent 34% 12% 33% 21% 65 Republican 22% 9% 52% 17% 107 Liberal 59% 8% 24% 81 Moderate 47% 5% 24% 25% 138 Conservative 26% 8% 55% 12% 84 Support Tea Party 17% 1% 70% 11% 53 Neutral 36% 14% 26% 23% 98 Oppose Tea Party 57% 5% 15% 23% 157 Romney/Ryan Voter 18% 8% 57% 17% 115 Obama/Biden Voter 63% 5% 11% 161 Other 44% 15% 17% 25% 15 Did Not Vote in % 0% 61% 22 Union household 46% 7% 17% 34 Non-union 43% 8% 27% 22% 286 Read Union Leader 39% 11% 38% 11% 87 Read Boston Globe 58% 6% 18% 19% 46 Watch WMUR 42% 7% 32% 19% 184 Listen to NHPR 63% 6% 18% 12% yrs or less in NH 36% 14% 13% 38% to 20 years 41% 17% 26% 16% 61 More than 20 years 45% 4% 31% to 34 47% 3% 16% 34% to 49 32% 16% 32% to 64 41% 6% 35% 17% and over 56% 3% 26% 15% 54 Male 46% 6% 31% 17% 148 Female 9% 25% 26% 176 High school or less 46% 7% 31% 16% 46 Some college 41% 12% 24% 23% 67 College graduate 7% 26% 26% 128 Post-graduate 50% 4% 16% 76 Attend services 1 or more/week 39% 5% 43% 13% times a month 47% 9% 14% 34 Less often 35% 6% 36% 24% 83 Never 49% 8% 17% 26% 135 North Country 69% 0% 18% 13% 27 Central / Lakes 28% 13% 46% 14% 38 Mass Border 32% 9% 29% 29% 58 Seacoast 51% 6% 23% 115 Manchester Area 35% 8% 27% 86

10 Favorability Rating Congressperson Ann McLane Kuster Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) SECOND CONG. DIST 23% 9% 28% 330 Registered Democrat 44% 7% 38% 72 Registered Undeclared 22% 39% 149 Registered Republican 9% 12% 49% 69 Democrat 41% 6% 11% 42% 134 Independent 14% 13% 29% 44% 81 Republican 7% 11% 49% 33% 104 Liberal 50% 7% 7% 35% 70 Moderate 26% 8% 29% 37% 121 Conservative 6% 8% 46% 96 Support Tea Party 2% 59% 29% 67 Neutral 12% 13% 24% 52% 103 Oppose Tea Party 44% 7% 15% 35% 139 Romney/Ryan Voter 7% 15% 51% 27% 107 Obama/Biden Voter 9% 41% 153 Other 14% 0% 36% 50% 17 Did Not Vote in % 0% 34% 60% 44 Union household 19% 4% 24% 53% 41 Non-union 23% 37% 279 Read Union Leader 24% 5% 36% 35% 69 Read Boston Globe 43% 3% 23% 31% 45 Watch WMUR 26% 8% 31% 35% 186 Listen to NHPR 39% 4% 27% 29% to 34 7% 27% 56% to 49 23% 8% 27% 43% to 64 24% 34% 32% and over 35% 7% 27% 62 Male 7% 43% 176 Female 26% 27% 37% 154 High school or less 17% 9% 24% 50% 72 Some college 6% 27% 57% 79 College graduate 26% 11% 29% 33% 119 Post-graduate 41% 8% 33% 18% 56 Attend services 1 or more/week 14% 9% 35% 43% times a month 23% 15% 37% 25% 28 Less often 24% 12% 32% 31% 93 Never 26% 4% 21% 49% 123 North Country 34% 7% 24% 36% 27 Central / Lakes 27% 7% 32% 34% 69 Connecticut Valley 27% 11% 24% 38% 91 Mass Border 17% 7% 28% 48% 121 Manchester Area 13% 18% 29% 23

11 Favorability Rating Former UNH Business School Dean Dan Innis Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) FIRST CONG. DIST 7% 6% 2% 85% 325 Registered Democrat 3% 8% 2% 87% 73 Registered Undeclared 7% 5% 3% 85% 135 Registered Republican 8% 5% 3% 84% 73 Democrat 6% 7% 3% 83% 143 Independent 9% 2% 2% 87% 65 Republican 5% 6% 2% 87% 107 Liberal 7% 8% 3% 82% 81 Moderate 6% 5% 2% 86% 138 Conservative 8% 2% 1% 88% 84 Support Tea Party 5% 4% 2% 90% 53 Neutral 8% 6% 2% 85% 98 Oppose Tea Party 6% 7% 3% 84% 157 Romney/Ryan Voter 9% 5% 2% 84% 115 Obama/Biden Voter 6% 7% 3% 84% 161 Other 4% 0% 0% 96% 15 Did Not Vote in % 0% 0% 100% 22 Union household 5% 3% 7% 86% 34 Non-union 7% 6% 2% 85% 286 Read Union Leader 8% 3% 4% 85% 87 Read Boston Globe 7% 7% 3% 83% 46 Watch WMUR 9% 6% 2% 84% 184 Listen to NHPR 5% 5% 80% yrs or less in NH 2% 3% 3% 93% to 20 years 5% 8% 0% 87% 61 More than 20 years 8% 6% 3% 83% to 34 3% 2% 1% 94% to 49 9% 8% 2% 80% to 64 8% 2% 80% and over 2% 4% 5% 89% 54 Male 7% 5% 4% 84% 148 Female 6% 6% 1% 87% 176 High school or less 4% 2% 4% 91% 46 Some college 8% 5% 0% 87% 67 College graduate 7% 5% 2% 87% 128 Post-graduate 6% 6% 78% 76 Attend services 1 or more/week 8% 4% 2% 86% times a month 4% 2% 7% 88% 34 Less often 8% 7% 1% 84% 83 Never 6% 5% 2% 86% 135 North Country 9% 7% 0% 84% 27 Central / Lakes 0% 8% 8% 84% 38 Mass Border 4% 4% 1% 91% 58 Seacoast 11% 7% 3% 79% 115 Manchester Area 5% 3% 1% 91% 86

12 Favorability Rating Former Congressman Frank Guinta Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) FIRST CONG. DIST 24% 8% 34% 34% 325 Registered Democrat 6% 4% 56% 34% 73 Registered Undeclared 24% 11% 33% 32% 135 Registered Republican 53% 6% 18% 23% 73 Democrat 9% 4% 54% 32% 143 Independent 24% 11% 21% 44% 65 Republican 45% 11% 18% 26% 107 Liberal 12% 3% 48% 37% 81 Moderate 22% 6% 36% 36% 138 Conservative 14% 24% 22% 84 Support Tea Party 52% 9% 21% 17% 53 Neutral 29% 22% 98 Oppose Tea Party 11% 7% 49% 33% 157 Romney/Ryan Voter 47% 11% 19% 23% 115 Obama/Biden Voter 12% 5% 49% 34% 161 Other 15 Did Not Vote in % 80% 22 Union household 26% 7% 44% 23% 34 Non-union 24% 8% 33% 35% 286 Read Union Leader 35% 6% 87 Read Boston Globe 13% 4% 52% 46 Watch WMUR 26% 8% 37% 28% 184 Listen to NHPR 13% 7% 53% 27% yrs or less in NH 7% 63% to 20 years 27% 12% 32% 29% 61 More than 20 years 26% 7% 38% 29% to 34 23% 2% 36% 39% to 49 11% 39% to 64 29% 33% 27% and over 25% 6% 43% 26% 54 Male 27% 8% 34% 31% 148 Female 22% 7% 35% 37% 176 High school or less 32% 6% 31% 31% 46 Some college 11% 25% 33% 67 College graduate 7% 32% 41% 128 Post-graduate 22% 8% 48% 22% 76 Attend services 1 or more/week 44% 28% 18% times a month 35% 0% 28% 36% 34 Less often 21% 34% 36% 83 Never 17% 7% 36% 39% 135 North Country 15% 9% 53% 23% 27 Central / Lakes 42% 9% 34% 14% 38 Mass Border 8% 19% 53% 58 Seacoast 21% 8% 37% 34% 115 Manchester Area 26% 6% 35% 33% 86

13 Favorability Rating Former State Senator Gary Lambert Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) SECOND CONG. DIST 5% 5% 4% 85% 331 Registered Democrat 2% 3% 6% 89% 72 Registered Undeclared 6% 8% 4% 82% 149 Registered Republican 11% 3% 1% 85% 70 Democrat 4% 6% 5% 85% 134 Independent 3% 5% 5% 88% 82 Republican 6% 1% 83% 104 Liberal 3% 2% 4% 91% 70 Moderate 7% 9% 6% 78% 121 Conservative 5% 4% 1% 90% 98 Support Tea Party 7% 6% 1% 85% 67 Neutral 8% 5% 3% 84% 104 Oppose Tea Party 4% 6% 6% 84% 139 Romney/Ryan Voter 8% 9% 2% 81% 108 Obama/Biden Voter 4% 4% 5% 88% 154 Other 0% 0% 4% 96% 17 Did Not Vote in % 5% 7% 82% 44 Union household 4% 3% 2% 91% 41 Non-union 5% 6% 4% 85% 281 Read Union Leader 9% 6% 7% 78% 69 Read Boston Globe 11% 5% 5% 80% 45 Watch WMUR 6% 5% 7% 82% 187 Listen to NHPR 5% 4% 7% 84% to 34 8% 0% 0% 92% to 49 3% 7% 4% 87% to 64 6% 8% 9% 77% and over 6% 8% 2% 84% 62 Male 6% 6% 3% 85% 176 Female 5% 5% 5% 86% 155 High school or less 4% 6% 6% 84% 73 Some college 5% 7% 1% 87% 79 College graduate 7% 4% 3% 86% 119 Post-graduate 5% 7% 7% 81% 56 Attend services 1 or more/week 6% 4% 79% times a month 11% 0% 0% 89% 28 Less often 3% 5% 81% 94 Never 4% 3% 3% 90% 123 North Country 2% 6% 8% 84% 27 Central / Lakes 2% 2% 2% 93% 69 Connecticut Valley 4% 8% 2% 86% 91 Mass Border 6% 4% 81% 122 Manchester Area 3% 4% 9% 84% 23

14 US Congress District 1 Frank Guinta vs. Carol Shea-Porter Likely Voters Guinta Shea-Porter Other DK (N) FIRST CONG. DIST 32% 48% 1% 18% 258 Registered Democrat 4% 91% 0% 6% 63 Registered Undeclared 26% 44% 2% 28% 107 Registered Republican 78% 6% 2% 14% 61 Democrat 4% 85% 2% 9% 119 Independent 36% 31% 0% 33% 45 Republican 69% 1% 91 Liberal 7% 88% 0% 5% 68 Moderate 27% 48% 2% 24% 109 Conservative 68% 16% 2% 14% 69 Support Tea Party 80% 8% 3% 9% 45 Neutral 41% 24% 3% 32% 72 Oppose Tea Party 77% 0% 12% 132 Romney/Ryan Voter 70% 8% 1% 22% 101 Obama/Biden Voter 4% 82% 2% 12% 131 Other 32% 46% 0% 22% 14 Did Not Vote in % 35% 0% 29% 6 Union household 34% 61% 0% 5% 29 Non-union 32% 47% 1% 19% 227 Read Union Leader 42% 41% 0% 17% 77 Read Boston Globe 17% 64% 5% 14% 38 Watch WMUR 33% 47% 2% 18% 154 Listen to NHPR 13% 74% 0% 13% yrs or less in NH 58% 0% 32% to 20 years 46% 46% 0% 8% 52 More than 20 years 31% 48% 2% 18% to 34 24% 52% 4% to 49 31% 45% 2% 22% to 64 41% 43% 0% 16% and over 32% 56% 0% 12% 46 Male 34% 50% 1% 15% 117 Female 31% 47% 1% 21% 140 High school or less 29% 43% 4% 23% 30 Some college 43% 0% 17% 52 College graduate 33% 43% 0% 24% 105 Post-graduate 27% 63% 3% 7% 67 Attend services 1 or more/week 48% 39% 0% 13% times a month 39% 43% 0% 18% 30 Less often 37% 35% 3% 25% 63 Never 22% 63% 1% 14% 104 North Country 16% 52% 0% 31% 24 Central / Lakes 47% 35% 0% 18% 33 Mass Border 29% 44% 0% 27% 41 Seacoast 26% 58% 4% 12% 93 Manchester Area 41% 42% 0% 17% 65

15 US Congress District 1 Dan Innis vs. Carol Shea-Porter Likely Voters Innis Shea-Porter Other DK (N) FIRST CONG. DIST 32% 43% 0% 25% 259 Registered Democrat 1% 92% 0% 7% 63 Registered Undeclared 27% 34% 0% 39% 108 Registered Republican 75% 6% 2% 17% 62 Democrat 7% 80% 0% 13% 119 Independent 35% 16% 0% 49% 45 Republican 63% 1% 25% 92 Liberal 9% 78% 0% 14% 67 Moderate 27% 45% 0% 28% 110 Conservative 67% 11% 2% 21% 71 Support Tea Party 75% 8% 3% 14% 45 Neutral 43% 24% 0% 33% 70 Oppose Tea Party 12% 66% 0% 22% 135 Romney/Ryan Voter 63% 9% 1% 26% 101 Obama/Biden Voter 7% 75% 0% 18% 130 Other 42% 0% 38% 14 Did Not Vote in % 0% 0% 64% 6 Union household 29% 56% 0% 15% 29 Non-union 33% 42% 1% 25% 228 Read Union Leader 37% 37% 0% 26% 77 Read Boston Globe 12% 62% 0% 26% 38 Watch WMUR 32% 41% 1% 26% 154 Listen to NHPR 15% 69% 0% 17% yrs or less in NH 7% 58% 0% 35% to 20 years 43% 29% 0% 28% 52 More than 20 years 33% 45% 1% 21% to 34 37% 36% 0% 27% to 49 41% 2% 27% to 64 34% 42% 0% 24% and over 29% 55% 0% 16% 46 Male 35% 44% 1% 19% 119 Female 41% 0% 29% 140 High school or less 35% 37% 4% 24% 30 Some college 39% 34% 0% 28% 52 College graduate 31% 38% 0% 105 Post-graduate 25% 61% 0% 13% 68 Attend services 1 or more/week 42% 43% 0% 15% times a month 43% 35% 0% 22% 28 Less often 35% 35% 0% 65 Never 25% 50% 1% 24% 104 North Country 14% 47% 0% 39% 25 Central / Lakes 54% 26% 0% 33 Mass Border 29% 44% 0% 27% 41 Seacoast 29% 53% 1% 17% 95 Manchester Area 35% 34% 0% 31% 65

16 US Congress District 2 Gary Lambert vs. Ann Kuster Likely Voters Lambert Kuster Other DK (N) SECOND CONG. DIST 34% 33% 2% 31% 251 Registered Democrat 8% 66% 3% 22% 61 Registered Undeclared 31% 32% 0% 37% 112 Registered Republican 70% 8% 5% 17% 63 Democrat 6% 62% 2% 103 Independent 23% 21% 0% 55% 49 Republican 74% 8% 3% 15% 90 Liberal 4% 75% 0% 21% 56 Moderate 27% 34% 2% 38% 97 Conservative 65% 5% 5% 25% 75 Support Tea Party 84% 0% 6% 52 Neutral 41% 16% 2% 42% 72 Oppose Tea Party 60% 1% 29% 117 Romney/Ryan Voter 74% 7% 3% 16% 98 Obama/Biden Voter 5% 58% 2% 35% 126 Other 32% 8% 0% 60% 11 Did Not Vote in % 0% 0% 76% 9 Union household 28% 0% 33% 39 Non-union 36% 31% 2% 208 Read Union Leader 18% 2% 41% 46 Read Boston Globe 23% 54% 2% 21% 34 Watch WMUR 35% 31% 2% 33% 145 Listen to NHPR 52% 0% 28% yrs or less in NH 13% 57% 0% to 20 years 39% 28% 2% 62 More than 20 years 36% 2% 32% to 34 26% 0% 43% to 49 37% 27% 4% 33% to 64 38% 32% 2% 27% and over 33% 43% 1% 22% 52 Male 37% 33% 2% 29% 127 Female 32% 34% 2% 32% 124 High school or less 26% 0% 33% 35 Some college 36% 23% 6% 35% 61 College graduate 38% 1% 31% 100 Post-graduate 31% 44% 1% 24% 52 Attend services 1 or more/week 43% 28% 3% 26% times a month 31% 25% 3% 41% 25 Less often 21% 1% 38% 82 Never 26% 48% 3% 23% 79 North Country 19% 33% 0% 48% 18 Central / Lakes 35% 36% 4% 25% 55 Connecticut Valley 26% 45% 2% 27% 75 Mass Border 42% 22% 2% 34% 87 Manchester Area 47% 26% 0% 27% 17