Morning Consult National Tracking Poll # November 09-11, Crosstabulation Results

Transcription

1 Morning Consult National Tracking Poll # November 09-11, 2017 Crosstabulation Results Methodology: This poll was conducted from November 09-11, 2017, among a national sample of 1993 registered voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. 1

2 Table Index 1 Table POL1: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Accusations against Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore involving a sexual relationship with a minor Table POL2: As you may know, The Washington Post has reported that Alabama Republican Senate candidate Roy Moore initiated an inappropriate sexual relationship with a 14-year old minor, as well as pursued other girls who were between the ages of 16 and 18. The Washington Post based its account on interviews with more than 30 people who said they knew Moore during the time of the alleged incidents. Knowing this, how credible do you nd this reporting? Table POL3: In light of these allegations, do you believe Roy Moore should continue his run for Senate, or not? Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics

3 National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Table POL1 Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics Table POL1: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Accusations against Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore involving a sexual relationship with a minor Demographic A lot Some Not much Nothing at all Total N Registered Voters 23% (457) 3 % (609) 20% (400) 26% (528) 993 Gender: Male 28% (258) 33% (309) 8% ( 70) 2 % ( 93) 929 Gender: Female 9% ( 99) 28% (300) 22% (230) 3 % (335) 064 Age: % (55) 27% (89) 20% (67) 36% ( 8) 330 Age: % ( 06) 28% ( 36) 20% (95) 3 % ( 48) 485 Age: % (83) 29% ( ) 22% (84) 27% ( 03) 38 Age: % (96) 32% ( 20) 9% (69) 23% (86) 372 Age: % ( 7) 36% ( 53) 20% (83) 7% (72) 426 PID: Dem (no lean) 26% ( 86) 3 % (228) 20% ( 45) 23% ( 7 ) 73 PID: Ind (no lean) 20% ( 27) 27% ( 68) 20% ( 28) 33% (204) 626 PID: Rep (no lean) 23% ( 43) 33% (2 3) 20% ( 27) 24% ( 53) 636 PID/Gender: Dem Men 33% (97) 3 % (92) 5% (45) 2 % (63) 297 PID/Gender: Dem Women 2 % (89) 32% ( 37) 23% ( 00) 25% ( 08) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 25% (79) 32% ( 0 ) 20% (63) 22% (68) 3 PID/Gender: Ind Women 5% (48) 2 % (67) 2 % (65) 43% ( 35) 3 5 PID/Gender: Rep Men 25% (8 ) 36% ( 7) 9% (6 ) 9% (62) 32 PID/Gender: Rep Women 20% (62) 30% (96) 2 % (65) 29% (92) 3 5 Tea Party: Supporter 27% ( 35) 34% ( 69) 20% ( 0 ) 9% (94) 499 Tea Party: Not Supporter 2 % (3 7) 29% (434) 20% (298) 29% (43 ) 48 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 3 % (205) 32% (208) 7% ( 3) 20% ( 35) 66 Ideo: Moderate (4) 9% (88) 29% ( 35) 24% ( 4) 29% ( 35) 472 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 2 % ( 32) 37% (236) 2 % ( 37) 2 % ( 38) 642 Educ: < College 9% (249) 29% (379) 22% (285) 30% (396) 3 0 Educ: Bachelors degree 29% ( 28) 33% ( 47) 7% (74) 2 % (93) 443 Educ: Post-grad 33% (80) 34% (83) 7% (40) 6% (38) 240 Income: Under 50k 2 % (232) 27% (293) 2 % (228) 3 % (342) 094 Income: 50k-100k 23% ( 44) 35% (2 6) 20% ( 22) 22% ( 39) 62 Income: 100k+ 29% (8 ) 36% ( 00) 8% (49) 7% (47) 278 3

4 Table POL1: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Accusations against Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore involving a sexual relationship with a minor Morning Consult Table POL1 Demographic A lot Some Not much Nothing at all Total N Registered Voters 23% (457) 3 % (609) 20% (400) 26% (528) 993 Ethnicity: White 23% (366) 3 % (505) 20% (323) 26% (429) 623 Ethnicity: Hispanic 32% (57) 26% (46) 7% (30) 25% (44) 78 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 26% (68) 25% (65) 22% (56) 26% (68) 256 Ethnicity: Other 20% (23) 34% (39) 9% (2 ) 27% (3 ) 4 Relig: Protestant 23% ( 7) 36% ( 84) 20% ( 02) 2 % ( 06) 5 0 Relig: Roman Catholic 27% ( 22) 3 % ( 40) 2 % (93) 20% (89) 445 Relig: Ath./Agn./None 20% ( 0 ) 30% ( 55) 9% (99) 3 % ( 60) 5 5 Relig: Something Else 25% (72) 22% (65) 9% (54) 34% (99) 290 Relig: Evangelical 22% ( 30) 33% ( 97) 2 % ( 24) 24% ( 46) 598 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 26% ( 53) 32% ( 9 ) 2 % ( 23) 2 % ( 23) 590 Relig: All Christian 24% (284) 33% (389) 2 % (246) 23% (269) 88 Relig: All Non-Christian 22% ( 73) 27% (220) 9% ( 53) 32% (258) 805 Community: Urban 26% ( 32) 3 % ( 56) 2 % ( 04) 23% ( 5) 507 Community: Suburban 23% (2 9) 3 % (292) 9% ( 76) 26% (247) 934 Community: Rural 9% ( 06) 29% ( 6 ) 22% ( 9) 30% ( 66) 552 Employ: Private Sector 24% ( 54) 33% (2 ) 20% ( 29) 23% ( 50) 643 Employ: Government 25% (38) 33% (52) 22% (34) 20% (32) 56 Employ: Self-Employed 26% (43) 27% (44) 7% (28) 29% (48) 63 Employ: Homemaker % (2 ) 27% (49) 23% (42) 39% (73) 85 Employ: Student 2% (8) 29% (20) 4% ( 0) 44% (30) 68 Employ: Retired 26% ( 9) 35% ( 62) 9% (88) 9% (87) 457 Employ: Unemployed 24% (38) 22% (35) 2 % (34) 33% (53) 60 Employ: Other 22% (35) 22% (36) 22% (36) 34% (54) 6 Military HH: Yes 29% ( 2) 33% ( 26) 8% (7 ) 20% (76) 384 Military HH: No 2 % (345) 30% (483) 20% (329) 28% (452) 609 RD/WT: Right Direction 22% ( 69) 34% (257) 9% ( 43) 24% ( 84) 754 RD/WT: Wrong Track 23% (288) 28% (35 ) 2 % (257) 28% (343) 239 4

5 National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Table POL1 Table POL1: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Accusations against Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore involving a sexual relationship with a minor Demographic A lot Some Not much Nothing at all Total N Registered Voters 23% (457) 3 % (609) 20% (400) 26% (528) 993 Strongly Approve 29% ( 9) 32% ( 35) 7% (72) 22% (90) 4 5 Somewhat Approve 7% (74) 35% ( 50) 20% (87) 27% ( 5) 426 Somewhat Disapprove 4% (38) 30% (8 ) 29% (78) 26% (70) 268 Strongly Disapprove 27% (2 2) 3 % (237) 9% ( 50) 23% ( 79) 778 Dont Know / No Opinion 3% ( 4) 5% (6) 2% ( 2) 70% (74) 06 #1 Issue: Economy 22% ( 22) 29% ( 62) 20% ( 2) 30% ( 7 ) 566 #1 Issue: Security 24% (9 ) 34% ( 28) 9% (72) 23% (85) 376 #1 Issue: Health Care 24% (95) 30% ( 22) 2 % (86) 25% (99) 402 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 24% (68) 30% (84) 24% (67) 22% (62) 28 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 28% (26) 28% (26) 5% ( 4) 30% (28) 94 #1 Issue: Education 2 % (27) 32% (40) 20% (25) 27% (34) 26 #1 Issue: Energy 5% ( 2) 38% (28) 6% ( 2) 3 % (23) 75 #1 Issue: Other 23% ( 7) 25% ( 8) 7% ( 3) 35% (26) Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton 30% (2 4) 32% (23 ) 8% ( 27) 2 % ( 53) Vote: Republican Donald Trump 22% ( 69) 34% (253) 2 % ( 62) 23% ( 7 ) Vote: Someone else 4% (25) 3 % (57) 25% (46) 30% (54) Vote: Barack Obama 26% (234) 34% (297) 20% ( 8 ) 20% ( 75) Vote: Mitt Romney 25% ( 35) 34% ( 82) 2 % ( 5) 20% ( 0) Vote: Other 9% ( 9) 32% (33) 9% ( 9) 3 % (3 ) Vote: Didn t Vote 4% (66) 2 % (96) 9% (85) 46% (2 ) Region: Northeast 24% (87) 3 % ( 4) 23% (82) 22% (8 ) Region: Midwest 20% (93) 32% ( 49) 9% (9 ) 29% ( 37) Region: South 24% ( 76) 29% (2 8) 2 % ( 54) 26% ( 92) Region: West 24% ( 0 ) 30% ( 28) 7% (73) 28% ( 8) 4 9 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 5

6 Morning Consult Table POL2 Table POL2: As you may know, The Washington Post has reported that Alabama Republican Senate candidate Roy Moore initiated an inappropriate sexual relationship with a 14-year old minor, as well as pursued other girls who were between the ages of 16 and 18. The Washington Post based its account on interviews with more than 30 people who said they knew Moore during the time of the alleged incidents. Knowing this, how credible do you nd this reporting? Demographic Very credible Somewhat credible Not too credible Not credible at all Dont Know/No Opinion Total N Registered Voters 28% (550) 32% (630) % (227) 6% ( 9) 23% (468) 993 Gender: Male 28% (264) 30% (276) 3% ( 25) 8% (79) 20% ( 85) 929 Gender: Female 27% (285) 33% (354) 0% ( 0 ) 4% (4 ) 27% (282) 064 Age: % (88) 33% ( 0) % (38) 4% ( 2) 25% (82) 330 Age: % ( 40) 33% ( 59) 9% (42) 4% ( 9) 26% ( 25) 485 Age: % ( 05) 29% ( 0) 0% (40) 6% (24) 27% ( 0 ) 38 Age: % ( 00) 34% ( 25) 2% (45) 7% (24) 2 % (78) 372 Age: % ( 6) 29% ( 25) 5% (62) 9% (40) 9% (8 ) 426 PID: Dem (no lean) 4 % (302) 30% (220) 6% (43) 2% ( 5) 20% ( 50) 73 PID: Ind (no lean) 2 % ( 30) 34% (2 2) 9% (59) 6% (40) 30% ( 85) 626 PID: Rep (no lean) 8% ( 7) 3 % ( 97) 20% ( 24) 0% (65) 2 % ( 33) 636 PID/Gender: Dem Men 42% ( 25) 28% (84) 7% (2 ) 3% ( 0) 9% (58) 297 PID/Gender: Dem Women 4 % ( 77) 32% ( 37) 5% (22) % (5) 2 % (92) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 22% (69) 35% ( 0) 2% (37) 8% (25) 22% (69) 3 PID/Gender: Ind Women 9% (60) 32% ( 02) 7% (22) 5% ( 5) 37% ( 6) 3 5 PID/Gender: Rep Men 22% (70) 25% (82) 2 % (67) 4% (44) 8% (58) 32 PID/Gender: Rep Women 5% (48) 37% ( 6) 8% (57) 7% (2 ) 24% (74) 3 5 Tea Party: Supporter 22% ( 08) 34% ( 68) 7% (83) 2% (58) 6% (82) 499 Tea Party: Not Supporter 29% (432) 3 % (462) 0% ( 43) 4% (60) 26% (385) 48 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 47% (308) 30% (200) 6% (42) 2% ( 2) 5% (99) 66 Ideo: Moderate (4) 26% ( 24) 38% ( 80) 0% (49) 3% ( 5) 22% ( 04) 472 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 2% (80) 33% (2 2) 9% ( 23) 3% (85) 22% ( 43) 642 Educ: < College 23% (303) 3 % (4 0) % ( 48) 6% (74) 29% (375) 3 0 Educ: Bachelors degree 35% ( 57) 32% ( 40) 2% (55) 6% (28) 4% (63) 443 Educ: Post-grad 37% (89) 33% (80) 0% (24) 7% ( 7) 3% (30) 240 6

7 National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Table POL2 Table POL2: As you may know, The Washington Post has reported that Alabama Republican Senate candidate Roy Moore initiated an inappropriate sexual relationship with a 14-year old minor, as well as pursued other girls who were between the ages of 16 and 18. The Washington Post based its account on interviews with more than 30 people who said they knew Moore during the time of the alleged incidents. Knowing this, how credible do you nd this reporting? Demographic Very credible Somewhat credible Not too credible Not credible at all Dont Know/No Opinion Total N Registered Voters 28% (550) 32% (630) % (227) 6% ( 9) 23% (468) 993 Income: Under 50k 25% (270) 3 % (337) % ( 23) 5% (5 ) 29% (3 3) 094 Income: 50k-100k 29% ( 83) 33% (207) 2% (75) 7% (46) 8% ( ) 62 Income: 100k+ 35% (97) 3 % (86) 0% (29) 8% (22) 6% (43) 278 Ethnicity: White 27% (440) 33% (529) 2% ( 95) 6% ( 0 ) 22% (358) 623 Ethnicity: Hispanic 25% (45) 36% (64) 0% ( 8) 5% (9) 23% (4 ) 78 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 34% (87) 24% (62) 8% (2 ) 4% (9) 30% (77) 256 Ethnicity: Other 9% (22) 34% (38) 0% ( ) 8% (9) 29% (33) 4 Relig: Protestant 25% ( 29) 32% ( 62) 4% (7 ) 9% (46) 20% ( 0 ) 5 0 Relig: Roman Catholic 26% ( 5) 36% ( 6 ) 2% (55) 6% (27) 20% (88) 445 Relig: Ath./Agn./None 30% ( 56) 28% ( 45) 0% (54) 5% (24) 26% ( 36) 5 5 Relig: Something Else 3 % (90) 34% (97) 8% (22) 4% ( 2) 24% (68) 290 Relig: Evangelical 24% ( 43) 32% ( 92) % (68) 6% (38) 26% ( 56) 598 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 27% ( 6 ) 33% ( 95) 4% (83) 8% (45) 8% ( 07) 590 Relig: All Christian 26% (304) 33% (387) 3% ( 5 ) 7% (83) 22% (263) 88 Relig: All Non-Christian 3 % (246) 30% (242) 9% (76) 4% (36) 25% (205) 805 Community: Urban 34% ( 74) 26% ( 33) 0% (53) 4% (2 ) 25% ( 26) 507 Community: Suburban 29% (267) 33% (3 ) % ( 06) 6% (55) 2 % ( 95) 934 Community: Rural 20% ( 09) 34% ( 85) 2% (68) 8% (43) 27% ( 47) 552 Employ: Private Sector 33% (2 0) 34% (220) % (68) 5% (33) 8% ( 3) 643 Employ: Government 25% (39) 36% (57) 2% ( 8) 7% ( 2) 9% (30) 56 Employ: Self-Employed 33% (53) 28% (46) 2% ( 9) 7% ( ) 2 % (34) 63 Employ: Homemaker 20% (37) 34% (62) 0% ( 8) 3% (6) 33% (6 ) 85 Employ: Student 22% ( 5) 27% ( 8) 3% (9) 2% (2) 35% (24) 68 Employ: Retired 25% ( 4) 3 % ( 4 ) 4% (63) 0% (44) 2 % (95) 457 Employ: Unemployed 22% (36) 30% (47) % ( 7) 5% (8) 32% (52) 60 Employ: Other 28% (45) 24% (38) 9% ( 5) 3% (4) 37% (59) 6 Military HH: Yes 28% ( 08) 3 % ( 2 ) 4% (55) 9% (33) 7% (67) 384 Military HH: No 27% (44 ) 32% (509) % ( 72) 5% (86) 25% (40 ) 609 7

8 Morning Consult Table POL2 Table POL2: As you may know, The Washington Post has reported that Alabama Republican Senate candidate Roy Moore initiated an inappropriate sexual relationship with a 14-year old minor, as well as pursued other girls who were between the ages of 16 and 18. The Washington Post based its account on interviews with more than 30 people who said they knew Moore during the time of the alleged incidents. Knowing this, how credible do you nd this reporting? Demographic Very credible Somewhat credible Not too credible Not credible at all Dont Know/No Opinion Total N Registered Voters 28% (550) 32% (630) % (227) 6% ( 9) 23% (468) 993 RD/WT: Right Direction 8% ( 37) 33% (248) 8% ( 34) 0% (78) 2 % ( 57) 754 RD/WT: Wrong Track 33% (4 3) 3 % (382) 7% (93) 3% (4 ) 25% (3 ) 239 Strongly Approve 23% (94) 24% (98) 9% (80) 5% (62) 20% (8 ) 4 5 Somewhat Approve 0% (43) 40% ( 69) 7% (7 ) 7% (32) 26% ( ) 426 Somewhat Disapprove 9% (5 ) 44% ( 8) 4% (37) 3% (8) 2 % (55) 268 Strongly Disapprove 45% (348) 30% (23 ) 4% (35) 2% ( 5) 9% ( 48) 778 Dont Know / No Opinion 3% ( 4) 2% ( 3) 4% (5) 3% (3) 68% (72) 06 #1 Issue: Economy 24% ( 38) 32% ( 79) % (64) 7% (42) 25% ( 43) 566 #1 Issue: Security 2 % (79) 32% ( 9) 7% (63) 0% (37) 2 % (78) 376 #1 Issue: Health Care 29% ( 8) 33% ( 32) % (43) 4% ( 5) 23% (93) 402 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 30% (86) 33% (92) 0% (28) 3% (7) 24% (68) 28 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 47% (44) 2 % (20) 7% (6) % ( ) 24% (23) 94 #1 Issue: Education 29% (37) 36% (45) 4% (5) 4% (5) 27% (34) 26 #1 Issue: Energy 34% (26) 39% (29) 2% (9) 7% (5) 8% (6) 75 #1 Issue: Other 30% (22) 9% ( 4) % (8) 9% (7) 3 % (23) Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton 45% (324) 32% (232) 5% (34) 2% ( 5) 7% ( 2 ) Vote: Republican Donald Trump 6% ( 23) 3 % (237) 9% ( 45) % (84) 22% ( 66) Vote: Someone else 2 % (38) 37% (67) 6% ( ) 4% (8) 3 % (57) Vote: Barack Obama 4 % (362) 32% (288) 6% (55) 3% (23) 8% ( 60) Vote: Mitt Romney 5% (79) 32% ( 75) 20% ( 06) 2% (65) 22% ( 7) Vote: Other 8% ( 8) 29% (30) 5% ( 5) 2% ( 2) 27% (27) Vote: Didn t Vote 9% (87) 30% ( 36) % (5 ) 4% ( 9) 36% ( 63) Region: Northeast 30% ( ) 34% ( 23) % (39) 6% (22) 9% (69) Region: Midwest 25% ( 8) 33% ( 54) % (52) 5% (26) 25% ( 20) Region: South 26% ( 94) 3 % (228) 2% (89) 6% (43) 25% ( 86) Region: West 30% ( 27) 30% ( 25) % (46) 7% (28) 22% (93) 4 9 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 8

9 National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Table POL3 Table POL3: In light of these allegations, do you believe Roy Moore should continue his run for Senate, or not? Demographic Should continue his run for Senate Should not continue his run for Senate Dont Know/No Opinion Total N Registered Voters 6% (3 6) 60% ( 97) 24% (480) 993 Gender: Male 2 % ( 95) 58% (535) 2 % ( 99) 929 Gender: Female % ( 2 ) 62% (662) 26% (280) 064 Age: % (6 ) 58% ( 90) 24% (79) 330 Age: % (60) 60% (290) 28% ( 35) 485 Age: % (57) 60% (228) 25% (95) 38 Age: % (47) 65% (243) 22% (8 ) 372 Age: % (9 ) 58% (245) 2 % (89) 426 PID: Dem (no lean) 8% (6 ) 72% (526) 20% ( 43) 73 PID: Ind (no lean) 4% (89) 56% (353) 29% ( 84) 626 PID: Rep (no lean) 26% ( 65) 50% (3 8) 24% ( 53) 636 PID/Gender: Dem Men % (33) 7 % (2 0) 8% (54) 297 PID/Gender: Dem Women 6% (28) 73% (3 6) 2 % (89) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 9% (59) 56% ( 75) 25% (76) 3 PID/Gender: Ind Women 0% (30) 56% ( 78) 34% ( 08) 3 5 PID/Gender: Rep Men 32% ( 02) 47% ( 50) 2 % (69) 32 PID/Gender: Rep Women 20% (63) 53% ( 68) 27% (84) 3 5 Tea Party: Supporter 29% ( 46) 5 % (252) 20% ( 0 ) 499 Tea Party: Not Supporter % ( 67) 63% (936) 26% (378) 48 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 2% (77) 72% (478) 6% ( 06) 66 Ideo: Moderate (4) 2% (55) 67% (3 5) 22% ( 02) 472 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 26% ( 68) 49% (3 4) 25% ( 60) 642 Educ: < College 5% ( 90) 57% (743) 29% (376) 3 0 Educ: Bachelors degree 8% (80) 66% (293) 6% (70) 443 Educ: Post-grad 9% (46) 67% ( 6 ) 4% (34) 240 Income: Under 50k 4% ( 57) 58% (632) 28% (305) 094 Income: 50k-100k 6% (98) 64% (400) 20% ( 24) 62 Income: 100k+ 22% (6 ) 60% ( 66) 8% (5 ) 278 Ethnicity: White 6% (262) 6 % (985) 23% (376) 623 Ethnicity: Hispanic 8% (32) 56% ( 00) 26% (46) 78 9

10 Table POL3: In light of these allegations, do you believe Roy Moore should continue his run for Senate, or not? Demographic Should continue his run for Senate Should not continue his run for Senate Dont Know/No Opinion Morning Consult Table POL3 Total N Registered Voters 6% (3 6) 60% ( 97) 24% (480) 993 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 5% (39) 57% ( 46) 28% (7 ) 256 Ethnicity: Other 4% ( 5) 58% (65) 29% (33) 4 Relig: Protestant 2 % ( 07) 59% (303) 20% ( 00) 5 0 Relig: Roman Catholic 8% (79) 59% (26 ) 24% ( 05) 445 Relig: Ath./Agn./None 2% (64) 62% (320) 26% ( 3 ) 5 5 Relig: Something Else 9% (27) 64% ( 85) 27% (77) 290 Relig: Evangelical 2 % ( 27) 55% (329) 24% ( 42) 598 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 7% (98) 62% (363) 22% ( 29) 590 Relig: All Christian 9% (225) 58% (692) 23% (27 ) 88 Relig: All Non-Christian % (9 ) 63% (505) 26% (209) 805 Community: Urban 7% (86) 59% (298) 24% ( 23) 507 Community: Suburban 5% ( 44) 63% (590) 2 % (200) 934 Community: Rural 6% (86) 56% (309) 28% ( 57) 552 Employ: Private Sector 4% (90) 66% (426) 20% ( 27) 643 Employ: Government 24% (38) 55% (86) 20% (3 ) 56 Employ: Self-Employed 7% (28) 6 % (99) 22% (36) 63 Employ: Homemaker 0% ( 8) 59% ( 09) 3 % (58) 85 Employ: Student 4% ( 0) 55% (38) 3 % (2 ) 68 Employ: Retired 20% (90) 58% (265) 22% ( 02) 457 Employ: Unemployed 4% (22) 52% (83) 34% (55) 60 Employ: Other 2% (20) 57% (92) 3 % (49) 6 Military HH: Yes 20% (78) 60% (23 ) 20% (75) 384 Military HH: No 5% (237) 60% (966) 25% (405) 609 RD/WT: Right Direction 26% ( 98) 48% (362) 26% ( 93) 754 RD/WT: Wrong Track 9% ( 7) 67% (835) 23% (287) 239 Strongly Approve 33% ( 36) 45% ( 86) 23% (94) 4 5 Somewhat Approve 20% (84) 50% (2 2) 30% ( 30) 426 Somewhat Disapprove 2% (33) 64% ( 7 ) 24% (64) 268 Strongly Disapprove 7% (54) 77% (595) 7% ( 29) 778 Dont Know / No Opinion 9% (9) 3 % (33) 60% (63) 06 10

11 National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Table POL3 Table POL3: In light of these allegations, do you believe Roy Moore should continue his run for Senate, or not? Demographic Should continue his run for Senate Should not continue his run for Senate Dont Know/No Opinion Total N Registered Voters 6% (3 6) 60% ( 97) 24% (480) 993 #1 Issue: Economy 8% ( 0 ) 58% (329) 24% ( 37) 566 #1 Issue: Security 22% (82) 54% (204) 24% (90) 376 #1 Issue: Health Care 3% (5 ) 65% (260) 23% (92) 402 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security % (32) 63% ( 78) 25% (7 ) 28 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 8% (7) 72% (67) 2 % ( 9) 94 #1 Issue: Education 20% (25) 5 % (65) 29% (36) 26 #1 Issue: Energy 4% ( ) 7 % (53) 5% ( ) 75 #1 Issue: Other 0% (7) 57% (42) 33% (24) Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton 9% (65) 76% (550) 5% ( ) Vote: Republican Donald Trump 26% ( 94) 49% (37 ) 25% ( 90) Vote: Someone else 9% ( 7) 65% ( 9) 25% (46) Vote: Barack Obama 0% (86) 72% (643) 8% ( 58) Vote: Mitt Romney 28% ( 53) 47% (256) 25% ( 33) Vote: Other 6% ( 7) 59% (60) 25% (26) Vote: Didn t Vote 3% (58) 52% (236) 36% ( 63) Region: Northeast 5% (55) 64% (232) 2 % (78) Region: Midwest 2% (59) 63% (298) 24% ( 3) Region: South 7% ( 27) 56% (4 6) 27% ( 97) Region: West 8% (76) 60% (25 ) 22% (92) 4 9 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 11

12 Respondent Demographics Summary Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemall Registered Voters % xdemgender Gender: Male % Gender: Female % age5 Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % Age: % xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 73 37% PID: Ind (no lean) % PID: Rep (no lean) % xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men 297 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women % PID/Gender: Ind Men 3 6% PID/Gender: Ind Women 3 5 6% PID/Gender: Rep Men 32 6% PID/Gender: Rep Women 3 5 6% xdemtea Tea Party: Supporter % Tea Party: Not Supporter 48 74% N 980 xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 66 33% Ideo: Moderate (4) % Ideo: Conservative (5-7) % N 775 xeduc3 Educ: < College % Educ: Bachelors degree % Educ: Post-grad 240 2% xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k % Income: 50k-100k 62 3 % Income: 100k % 12

13 National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemwhite Ethnicity: White % xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 78 9% demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am % demraceother Ethnicity: Other 4 6% xrelnet Relig: Protestant % Relig: Roman Catholic % Relig: Ath./Agn./None % Relig: Something Else 290 5% N 760 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 46 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical % Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics % N 88 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 88 60% Relig: All Non-Christian % xdemusr Community: Urban % Community: Suburban % Community: Rural % xdememploy Employ: Private Sector % Employ: Government 56 8% Employ: Self-Employed 63 8% Employ: Homemaker 85 9% Employ: Student 68 3% Employ: Retired % Employ: Unemployed 60 8% Employ: Other 6 8% xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes 384 9% Military HH: No % xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction % RD/WT: Wrong Track % 13

14 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Demographic Group Frequency Percentage Q172 Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove 268 3% Strongly Disapprove % Dont Know / No Opinion 06 5% xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy % #1 Issue: Security 376 9% #1 Issue: Health Care % #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 28 4% #1 Issue: Women s Issues 94 5% #1 Issue: Education 26 6% #1 Issue: Energy 75 4% #1 Issue: Other 73 4% xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton % 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump % 2016 Vote: Someone else 8 9% N 662 xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama % 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney % 2012 Vote: Other 03 5% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote % N 989 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 364 8% 4-Region: Midwest % 4-Region: South % 4-Region: West % Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. 14

15 National Tracking Poll #171104, November,