Survey of Public Opinion in Macedonia. September 29 October 5, 2015

Transcription

1 Survey of Public Opinion in Macedonia September 29 October 5, 2015

2 Detailed Methodology The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute s Center for Insights in Survey Research by the Brima market research firm (member of Taylor Nelson Sofres and Gallup International) under the supervision of David Williams from Williams and Associates in Salem, Massachusetts. Data was collected from September 29 - October 5, 2015, using in-person, face-to-face methodology by trained professional interviewers. A total of 1,106 interviews was completed yielding an overall margin of error of plus or minus three percent at the midrange of the 95-percent confidence level. A nationally representative sample was based on a multistage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with a random selection of households and respondents. The refusal rate stands at 382 cases, out of which 71 refused to take part in the survey due to resistance to political questions. The sample was prepared using the State Statistical Office data (2002 census results) for the population aged 18 and older, considering the structure of the population according to age, gender, education, type of housing, national affiliation and region and updated according to estimates and primary information, collected by Brima. Stratification was based on three stages: first, the number of respondents for each of the regions was specified in proportion to the size of the population aged 18 and older that live in the region. Second, the sampling plan consisted of 164 sampling points located according to urban/rural split, municipality size and nationality diffusion. Third, the selection of households was based on random route method, whereby in urban areas, every third household on the left-hand side of the street was selected. In rural areas, the wavewise approach is applied and the selected household is every fourth inhabited house/dwelling on both sides of the interviewer s route/track, counting from the first house on the left. The next birthday method was used to select respondents 18 years and older. Figures in charts and tables may not add to 100 percent due to rounding error. This poll was conducted with support from the United States Agency for International Development. 2

3 Citizens Remain Skeptical Parties Will Implement Przino Agreement

4 The Przino Agreement In early 2015, a series of wiretapped phone conversations were released by the opposition Social Democratic Party of Macedonia (SDSM) that implicated government officials in misconduct, including the cover-up of the death of a young man by a police officer in The release of the wiretaps led to large demonstrations and calls for the government s resignation. In June and July 2015, in an effort to reduce political tensions, the four largest Macedonian political parties (the Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization Democratic Party for Macedonian National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE), SDSM, the Democratic Union for Integration (DUI) and the Democratic Party of Albanians (DPA)), under the auspices of European Union commissioner Johannes Hahn, negotiated the so-called Przino Agreement. The agreement laid out the following steps: SDSM would return to parliament, which their members had been boycotting since; A special prosecutor would be appointed to investigate allegations resulting from the wiretapping; SDSM would appoint ministers to the ministries of interior, labor and social policy; SDSM would have deputy ministers appointed to other ministries spelled out in the agreement; The current government would resign and would be replaced by a caretaker government in January 2016; and Parliamentary elections would be held on April 24,

5 Is the Republic of Macedonia more or less stable today than it was one year ago? 70% 60% 50% 40% 0% 60% 60% 58% 57% 58% % 5 50% 4 47% % % % % 29% 28% % 27% % % 19% 17% 17% 17% 19% 1 More Less Same Don't Know/Refused to Answer 5

6 How would you describe the current internal political situation in Macedonia? 70% 60% 50% 50% 5 58% % % 0% 38% % % 2 2 9% % 7% 7% 9% % 39% % 39% % Peaceful and Stable Critical and Unstable Intense and Uncertain Don't Know/Refused to Answer 6

7 In your opinion, will the ongoing negotiations between the four parties lead to successful implementation of all aspects of the Przino agreement? 1 3 Yes No 29% I Am Not Familiar with This Issue Don't Know/Refused to Answer 2 7

8 Do you support SDSM s decision to return to Parliament? 1 Yes 17% 67% No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 8

9 Recently, a special prosecutor, Katica Janeva, was appointed to investigate cases connected to the wiretapped conversations. Do you think that Ms. Janeva will be able to investigate these cases independently and without obstruction? 3 Yes No 2 I Am Not Familiar with This Issue Don't Know/Refused to Answer 28% 9

10 Have you heard the tapped phone conversations released by the opposition? October % 40% 1 June % 4 1 0% 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes, I Have Heard Most of Them No, I Haven't, Though I Have Heard of Them Don't Know/Refused to Answer Yes, I Have Heard Some of Them No, I Haven't Heard of Them 10

11 Do you think the recordings of tapped phone conversations are authentic? June n=1,031; October n=1,015 October June % 40% 60% 80% 100% Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 11

12 Did these phone conversations affect your opinion about the officials who allegedly took part in them? June n=1,031; October n=1,015 October % June % 3 9% 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes, Improved My Opinion No, Did Not Affect My Opinion Yes, Worsened My Opinion Don't Know/Refused to Answer 12

13 Did these phone conversations affect your opinion about how well Macedonia is governed? June n=1,031; October n=1,015 October % June % 3 8% 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes, Improved My Opinion No, Did Not Affect My Opinion Yes, Worsened My Opinion Don't Know/Refused to Answer 13

14 According to you, who conducted these wiretaps? n=1,015 40% 37% % 2 1 0% The Administration for Security & Counter Intelligence (UBK) A Foreign Secrect Service Agency June 2015 October % Both Other Don't Know/Refused to Answer 14

15 Do you think your phone conversations? 50% October June % 40% 50% 60% Are not private and safe? That is, there is a possibility that my conversations are being listened to and/or recorded by a third party. Are private and safe? That is, you and the other person in the conversation are the only ones aware of the conversation. Don't Know/Refused to Answer 15

16 Concerned about State Institutions Ability to Protect Elections

17 Do you think that state institutions are capable of sufficiently addressing any irregularities, should they occur, on Election Day? 17% 39% Yes, They are Capable No, They are Not Sufficiently Capable No, They are Not Capable at All Don't Know/Refused to Answer 3 17

18 If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely is it that you would vote? 60% 5 50% 49% 49% 40% 2 2 7% 8% 8% 7% 0% Very Likely Somewhat Likely Somewhat Unlikely December 2014 June 2015 October 2015 Very Unlikely I Will Not Vote Don't Know/Refused to Answer 18

19 If parliamentary elections were held today, how likely is it that you would vote? By Age 55+ Years Old 67% 1 7% Years Old 5 19% 7% Years Old 39% 2 7% 1 8% 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very Likely Somewhat Likely Somewhat Unlikely Very Unlikely Would Not Vote Don't Know/Refused to Answer 19

20 As you may know, a credible voter list should contain all eligible voters in the country and not have any ineligible or duplicate voters in it. How confident are you in the credibility of the voter list in Macedonia? 1 1 I Am Very Confident 17% 3 I Am Somewhat Confident I Am Not That Confident I Am Not Confident at All 27% Don't Know/Refused to Answer 20

21 Do you think there are conditions in the country to hold free and fair elections? 7% % Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No 3 Don't Know/Refused to Answer 21

22 Do you believe that your vote on election day is secret? In May 2014 the question was phrased Do you believe that even though voting on Election Day was secret some political party knows who you voted for? 80% 70% 69% % 50% 49% 40% 2 39% 27% 2 3 8% 1 7% 7% 7% 0% Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Oct-15 Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 22

23 Who do you think violates the secrecy of your vote? Those who think that their vote on election day is not secret, n=341 Political Parties, All of Them 4 The Government 19% VMRO-DPNME DUI DPA State Election Commission The Police Refused to Answer Don't Know 1 0% 40% 50% 23

24 Have you, a member of your family, or someone you personally know ever been subjected to pressure such as force, threats, vote buying or other illegal means to vote in a particular way? 80% 70% In Feb responses refer to 2011, 2013 and 2014 elections In May 2014 responses refer to 2014 elections % 60% 50% 40% 17% % 7% 7% 7% 0% I Personally Know People Who Were Subjected to Pressure I Was Personally Subjected to Pressure I Was Neither Subjected to Pressure nor Know People Who Were Don't Know/Refused to Answer February 2014 May 2014 September 2014 December 2014 June 2015 October

25 Which institution do you think is most responsible to ensure that the elections will be free, democratic and with no irregularities? State Election Commission 3 Ministry of Internal Affairs/Police 2 The Government Political Parties 1 The Judiciary Don't Know/Refused to Answer 1 0%

26 Do you know how to check whether you are on the voter's list? 40% Yes No 5 Don't Know/Refused to Answer 26

27 Have you ever checked your status on the list? Those who know how to check the voter list, n=447 Yes, I Have Checked it Online 38% Yes, I Have Checked it in Person Yes, I Have Checked it Another Way No 3 I Don't Remember Don't Know/Refused to Answer 27

28 Some people have proposed that before a voter is issued a ballot paper in the polling station, the election board should record the voter s fingerprints to confirm his or her identity. What is your opinion on this? 17% 3 I Strongly Support This 9% I Somewhat Support This I Somewhat Oppose This 1 I Strongly Oppose This Don't Know/Refused to Answer 28

29 Some people have proposed that Macedonia should change to a system where voters would have to go to an appropriate facility to register themselves to vote. In your opinion, should we keep the current system or should we change to this new system? 17% Definitely Keep the Current System 1 Probably Keep the Current System Probably Change to This New System 2 Definitely Change to This New System Don't Know/Refused to Answer Note: The current system automatically adds all Macedonian citizens to the voter list if they have housing within Macedonian territory and a Macedonian I.D. card or passport. 29

30 According to you, to what degree do the following institutions, through their work and activities, contribute to solving problems in our country? State Election Commission % 1 Media 19% 27% 2 8% Labor Unions % 1 9% Civic Associations Political Parties % Bodies of Local Administration 2 2 Public Enterprises % 9% State Commission for Preventing Corruption % 19% 9% 1 Public Prosecution 19% 2 2 7% Courts % 2 8% 7% Cadastre of Real Estates and Land Registry % 8% 1 Custom Administration 1 19% 2 8% 1 Ministries 17% 17% 2 28% 1 The Government 2 17% 2 1 The President 2 17% 2 1 The Assembly 19% % 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Not Contribute at All Do Not Contribute Neither Contribute nor Not Contribute They Contribute They Contribute Greatly Don't Know/Refused to Answer 30

31 To what degree did you trust the following according to their actions in the last 12 months? State Election Commission 2 27% Media 19% % Labor Unions % Civic Associations 17% 2 29% 17% 1 Political Parties 27% 2 1 Bodies of Local Administration Public Enterprises 3 7% State Commission for Preventing % 1 8% Public Prosecution % Courts Cadastre of Real Estates and Land Registry 17% 27% 2 Custom Administration 19% 2 27% 1 Ministries 2 29% 2 The Government 2 19% 2 2 9% The President The Assembly % 0% 40% 60% 80% 100% I Have No Trust at All I Have No Trust I Neither Trust nor Distrust Them I Trust Them I Fully Trust Them Don't Know/Refused to Answer 31

32 Anticipating Elections, Citizens Most Concerned about Bread and Butter Issues

33 In your opinion, what are the two most serious problems facing Macedonia today? Open-Ended Issue First Second Total Unemployment Poverty, Low Standard of Living, Problems of Common People 1 17% Low/Non Payment of Salary or Pension 1 Economic and Financial Crises 9% 8% 17% General Political Situation 7% 1 Corruption 8% High Prices 8% Name of the Country Poor Performance of the Current Government Crime Low Prices for Agricultural Products Security Crises, Peace/Stability, War, Terrorism Entrance into NATO/European Union Emigration of Youth Interethnic Relations/Conflicts 33

34 If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy? 4 40% 38% % % 7% 0% Democracy is Definitely More Important to Me Democracy is Somewhat More Important to Me Prosperity is Somewhat More Important to Me Prosperity is Definitely More Important to Me Don't Know/Refused to Answer December 2014 June 2015 October

35 In your opinion, has unemployment increased or decreased over the last year? 90% 80% % 60% 50% 58% 5 50% % % 4 40% 38% 37% 3 29% 2 17% 19% % 19% 2 27% 39% % 4 1 8% 1 1 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 9% % 0% Increased Decreased Don't Know/Refused to Answer 35

36 Overall, is Macedonia moving in the right or wrong direction? 70% 60% 48% 48% 48% 50% % 39% 39% 38% 37% 38% 40% 40% 38% 4 39% 38% % 37% % % 27% 28% 29% 29% 28% 27% 29% % 2 29% 28% 2 27% % % % Right Direction Wrong Direction Neutral Don't Know/Refused to Answer 36

37 70% According to you, does the government have an effective plan to address the economic problems Macedonia is facing? 60% 50% 4 49% 49% 49% 5 59% % % 58% 57% 4 40% 4 40% 38% 38% 38% % 3 37% % % % 1 0% Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 37

38 How is your family s economic situation compared with one year ago? 60% 50% 40% 5 48% 39% % % 37% 38% 50% 48% % % 0% << < 0% 0% < 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% < 0% Much or Somewhat Better Same Much or Somewhat Worse Don't Know/Refused to Answer 38

39 In the next two years, will the Macedonian economy get better, get worse or stay the same? 60% 50% 40% 49% 50% % 40% 40% 38% 38% % 39% 37% % % 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 28% 29% 28% % 19% % 1 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 9% 7% 7% 9% 9% 0% Better Same Worse Don't Know/Refused to Answer 39

40 6 Using the scale in Macedonian schools, from one to five (one being the least important and five being the most important), how important is each of these issues in your daily life? EU Membership Political Stability Reducing Corruption Lower Taxes Employment Lower Prices Security Higher Wages June 2015 October

41 Speaking personally, is your overall quality of life? 60% 50% 40% 1 48% % % 49% 28% % % 50% % 48% 37% 50% 48% % 2 17% % % % 3 37% 38% 3 40% 47% 37% 48% 39% % 38% % 50% 3 0% < < < < 0% < 0%< < < Getting Better Staying the Same Getting Worse Don't Know/Refused to Answer 41

42 Do you think that free speech and the free expression of ideas exists in Macedonia today? 60% 5 50% 48% 49% 48% 48% 49% 48% 5 40% 4 47% % 4 9% 7% 7% 0% Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Oct-15 Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 42

43 Voter Attitudes and Participation

44 How, according to your opinion, could members of Parliament more effectively perform their jobs? Multiple Responses By Communicating More Often with Citizens and Nongovernmental Organizations By Communicating More Often with Citizens and Nongovernmental Organizations By Being More Independent from Their Party Leadership By Being More Independent from Their Party Leadership 3 3 Through and Informed Debates in Parliament Through Well-Grounded and Informed Debates in Parliament By Together Across Party Lines on Issues of Great Importance By Working Together Across Party Lines on Issues of Great Importance Through Oversight of the Government Through Oversight of the Government 1 27% 28% Improving Their Presentation and Public Speaking Skills By Improving Their Presentation and Public Speaking Skills Don't Know/No Answer 1 Don't Know/Refused to Answer 0%

45 Is this government seeking to solve the corruption problem? 50% % % 29% % 19% 19% 19% 19% 1 9% 7% 0% Feb-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Oct-15 Definitely/Probably Yes Definitely/Probably No Neither Don't Know/Refused to Answer 45

46 Has Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski done his job well enough to deserve re-election? 70% 6 60% 50% 59% % 48% % % % 2 17% % 27% % % 39% 40% % % 4 39% 40% 37% 3 38% % % Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 46

47 In your opinion, how can parties improve their candidate selection for Parliament? Ranked Lowest to Highest Include More Women Candidates Include More Women Candidates Introducing Open Party Lists Introducing Open Party Lists 28% 3 38% Improving Internal Party Procedures on Candidate Nomination Improving Internal Party Procedures on Candidate Nomination 19% 38% 4 0% 40% 50% 60% First Second Third 47

48 To what level do you agree with the statement? Government advertising in the media negatively affects press freedom. October % 9% 1 December % 1 September % 3 9% 7% 1 May February % 9% 8% 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Completely Agree Somewhat Agree Neither Agree nor Disagree Somewhat Disagree Completely Disagree Don't Know/Refused to Answer 48

49 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people. 80% 70% 69% 68% 6 60% 50% 40% % 8% 8% 7% 0% Agree Disagree Don't Know/Refused to Answer December 2014 June 2015 October

50 If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support? 80% 70% 69% 6 60% 59% 50% 40% 0% % 17% Man Woman Makes No Difference to Me Don't Know/Refused to Answer December 2014 June 2015 October

51 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women. 60% 50% 5 50% 49% 40% 3 37% 39% % Agree Disagree Don't Know/Refused to Answer December 2014 June 2015 October

52 Did you, or a member of your family, have any experience with the courts within the last 12 months (as a witness, party in a case, filed a complaint or any other business in the courts)? 90% 80% 70% 7 79% 78% 8 69% 7 70% % 8 78% 8 60% 50% 40% 0% 28% % Feb-14 Sep-14 Oct-15 Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 52

53 Do you think the courts in Macedonia resolve cases in a timely manner? October September February % % 2 29% % 29% % % % % % 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Definitely Yes Rather Yes Neither Yes Nor No Rather No Definitely No Refused to Answer Don't Know 53

54 Are all citizens equally treated under the court procedures and in deciding cases? October September February % % % % 27% % 19% % % % 8% % % % % 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes, Definitely Equal In General They Are Equally Treated More or Less Not Treated Equally Not Treated Equally at All Refused to Answer Don't Know 54

55 What is the main reason for unequal treatment? Those who believe citizens are not treated equally, n=607 Political 4 Economic/Social 29% Ethnicity 9% Don't Know/No Answer 9% Religion Gender 0% 40% 50% 55

56 What is the main reason for unequal treatment? Those who believe citizens are not treated equally, n=607 Political Economic/Social Ethnic Corruption/Bribes/Money 9% % % 40% Don't Know Religious 7% Refused to Answer Connections/Friends Other Gender 1 0% 40% 50% 60% October 2015 September

57 According to you, to what extent are the courts susceptible to political influence in deciding court cases? October % 1 September % 1 February % % 3 2 9% % % 17% % 4 7% % 5 7% % % % % 28% 2 9% % 29% 28% % % 3 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Fully Susceptible Neither Susceptible Nor Unsusceptible Not Susceptible at All Don't Know Rather Susceptible Rather Unsusceptible Refused to Answer 57

58 Do you think that all citizens have equal opportunities to access courts in order to exercise their rights? October % 17% 2 19% September % 2 2 February % % % % % % 28% 28% 1 7% 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% They Absolutely Have Equal Opportunities Neither Yes nor No They Do Not Have Equal Opportunities Don't Know In General They Have Equal Opportunities In General They Have Unequal Opportunities Refused to Answer 58

59 What is the main reason for unequal access to the courts? Those who do not believe all citizens have equal access to courts, n=461 Political Reasons Political Reasons 3 Financial Reasons (Court Fees/Lawyer Fees) Financial Reasons (Court Fees/Lawyer Fees) Low Level of Legal Culture of Citizens Low Level of Legal Culture of Citizens Lack of Information on How to File a Case Lack of Information on How to File a Case 8% Lack of Information on How Courts Operate Lack of Information on How Courts Operate 7% Don't Know/No Answer Don't Know/No Answer 7% Physical Barriers (Distance) of the Courts Physical Barriers (Distance) of the Courts 0%

60 What is the main reason for unequal access to the courts? Those who do not believe all citizens have equal access to courts, n=461 Financial Reasons (Court Fees/Lawyer Fees) Political Reasons Low Level of Legal Culture of Citizens Lack of Information on How Courts Operate Don't Know/Refused to Answer Lack of Information on How to File a Case Physical Barriers (Distance) of the Courts Bribes 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 9% 8% 7% 1 Other Connections 0% October 2015 September

61 To what degree do you think corruption is spread in Health Institutions % Education Institutions The Media Labor Unions 7% 1 29% 27% 2 Civic Associations % Political Parties Local Administration 7% 17% 3 1 Public Enterprises 17% 3 27% 17% Commission for Preventing Corruption 8% 1 28% 28% 2 Public Prosecution The Courts Cadaster of Real Estate and Land Registry The Customs Administration The Various Ministries The Government % 1 The Presidency The Assembly of Macedonia 8% % The Republic of Macedonia 8% 29% 5 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% There Is No Corruption There Is an Average Level of Corruption Don't Know/Refused to Answer There Is a Low Level of Corruption Corruption Is Widespread 61

62 If someone demanded a bribe from you in order to complete something of great importance, what would you do? I would report him/her to the police I would not pay and I would not do anything about it % Depends on the circumstances 1 I would report him/her to the SCPC* 8% Don't Know/Refused to Answer I would report him/her through an anonymous phone call I would report him/her to the media I would pay and not say anything I would report him/her to the public prosecution I would report him/her to the office of the Ombudsman I would report him/her to the local selfgovernment 0% 40% 50% December 2014 October 2015 *State Commission for Prevention of Corruption 62

63 In your interactions with public officials over the past year, how often did you give cash (money) or a gift to, or do a favor for, the civil servant? 9% 8% In All Cases In Most Cases 3 4 In Isolated Cases Not in Any Case No Contact in past Year with Civil Servant Don't Know/Refused to Answer 63

64 Which of the following statements best describe your knowledge about nongovernmental organizations or citizens associations in your community? October % 2 29% 4 September % February % % % % % % % 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% I Am Very Well Informed about What They Do and the Services They Offer I Am Informed about What They Do and the Services They Offer I Am Not Informed about What They Do and the Services They Offer I Am Not Informed about Any NGOs or Similar Groups in My Community 64

65 According to you, what is the motivation (principal reason) that citizens in Macedonia become members of citizens associations (NGO)? Because of Because Their of Personal Their Personal Interests 3 In Order to Solve a Concrete Problem or Need In Order to Solve a Concrete Problem or Need 1 In Order to Help Other People In Order to Help Other People 9% In Order to Realize the Program Goals of the NGO In Order to Realize the Program Goals of the NGO Because They Have a Considerable Amount of Free Time Because They Have a Considerable Amount of Free Time In Order to Be Social In Order to Be Social In Order to Influence National or Local Policies In Order to Influence National or Local Policies In Order to Improve Their Knowledge In Order to Improve Their Knowledge Don't Know Don't Know/No Answer 2 0% 40% 65

66 To what degree are you motivated to engage in activities of citizens associations on issues you consider to be of social importance? October % September % 19% 1 February % % % % 4 1 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% I Am Not Motivated at All I Am Motivated Enough Don't Know/Refused to Answer I Am Not Motivated Enough I Am Fully Motivated 66

67 In Order to Solve a Concrete Problem or Need In Order to Help Other People Because of My Personal Interests In Order to Improve My Knowledge In Order to Influence National or Local Policies In Order to Be Social In Order to Realize the Program Goals of the NGO Because I Have a Considerable Amount of Free Time Don't Know/No Answer In Order to Solve a Concrete Problem or Need In Order to Help Other People Because of My Personal Interests In Order to Improve My Knowledge In Order to Influence National or Local Policies In Order to Be Social In Order to Realize the Program Goals of the NGO Because I Have a Considerable Amount of Free Time Don't Know/Refused to Answer What is the main reason you are motivated to engage in NGO activities? Those Who Engage with NGOs, n=222 8% 8% 9% 1 1 0% October 2015 September 2014 September/October

68 Personal Indifference I Don't Have a Specific Reason I Don't Believe Anything Will Be Changed It's Not My Business It Would Be a W aste of Time I Know They Will Not Hear Me Out I Am Afraid of the Consequences Older Person/Health Issues No Time Other Don't Know/No Answer Personal Indifference I Don't Have a Specific Reason I Don't Believe Anything Will Be Changed It's Not My Business It Would Be a Waste of Time I Know They Will Not Hear Me Out I Am Afraid of the Consequences Older Person/Health Issues What is the main reason you are not motivated to engage in NGO activities? Those Who Do Not Engage with NGOs, n=732 No Time Other Don't Know/Refused to Answer 9% % % 19% 2 October 2015 September 2014 September/October % 68

69 Please indicate if you have personally supported NGO activities in the last 12 months in any of the following ways. Attending an Event or Activity by an NGO Participating in Advocacy or Oversight Activities Participating in Online Activities/Initiatives Participating as a Citizen Volunteer Providing Free Professional Services In-Kind Donations Donating Goods Donating Money October % % % 99% 7 8 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% September 2014 Attending an Event or Activity by an NGO Participating in Advocacy or Oversight Activities Participating in Online Activities/Initiatives Participating as a Citizen Volunteer Providing Free Professional Services In-Kind Donations Donating Goods Donating Money 9% 8% 7% 2 17% % 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes No 69

70 In which area is the NGO activity that you have supported? Have Not Supported I Have Supported But I Don't Remember the Name Red Cross Charity % 6 80% 8 Other Youth and Sports Education 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% October 2015 September 2014 February

71 Have you engaged in activities to address a social or community problem in the last 12 months? (e.g. participated in a protest, filed a complaint, initiated or supported an online petition, etc.) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 8 90% 90% % 40% 0% 1 8% Feb-14 Sep-14 Oct-15 Yes No 71

72 Euro-Atlantic Integration and Other Issue Attitudes

73 Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of the EU? 100% 90% 997% % 80% 87% 8 80% 70% 60% % 40% 0% 19% % 7% 9% 9% 8% 0% Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 73

74 Do you think Macedonia is closer to EU entry today, or was it closer when it got its EU candidate member status? 60% 50% % 40% 39% % 28% % 2 28% 2 2 0% Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Oct-15 Closer Today When It Got the Status of EU Candidate Country Don't Know/Refused to Answer 74

75 In how many years do you think Macedonia will become a member of the EU? More Than 10 More Than % Never Never 1 Don't Know/Refused to Answer 1 Don't Know No Answer 1 0% 1 2 October 2015 June

76 According to you, what is the reason for the slowdown in Macedonia's EU integration? The Name Issue The Name Issue 48% 4 Lack of Domestic Reforms Lack of Domestic Reforms 2 28% New Conditions Set by the EU New Conditions Set by the EU 1 1 Don't Know/No Answer Don't Know/Refused to Answer 1 Government/Pri me Minister Government/ Prime Minister Other Other N/A 0% 0% 40% 50% 60% June 2015 October 2015 Note: The Government/Prime Minister response was not an option for respondents in the June 2015 poll. 76

77 Taking everything into account, would you say that Macedonia would benefit or not benefit from being a member of EU? 9% 29% 6 Would Benefit Would Not Benefit Don't Know/Refused to Answer 77

78 Generally speaking, do you think that Macedonia s membership in the European Economic Area is a good thing or a bad thing? 2 Good Thing Bad Thing 5 Neither Good Nor Bad 1 Don't Know/Refused to Answer 78

79 Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of NATO? 100% 90% 80% 90% 89% 89% 90% 89% % 9 90% 90% 89% % 89% 9 87% 8 78% 77% % 60% 50% 40% 0% 7%8% 8% 7% 9% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 7% 8% 19% % 7% 7% Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 79

80 Given its capacities, how do you feel the Macedonian government is handling the current refugee crisis? The Government is It's Providing Too Support Providing Too Much Support The Government is Providing Sufficient Support It's Providing Sufficient Support 2 3 The Government is Providing Some Support but Needs to Do More It's Providing Some Support but Needs to Do More 1 The Government is Not Providing Sufficient Support It's Not Providing Sufficient Support 1 I'm Not Aware of the Refugee Crisis I'm Not Aware of the Refugee Crisis 7% Don't Know/Refused to Answer Don't Know/Refused to Answer 1 0% % 80

81 In your opinion, how is the EU s handling of the refugee crisis affecting Macedonia? 17% 1 Positively Negatively 2 It Has No Effect 4 Don't Know/Refused to Answer 81

82 Do you think climate change will affect you or your family in some way? Definitely Yes 39% Probably Yes Maybe Yes, Maybe No Probably No Definitely No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 27% 82

83 In your view, is climate change having any impact on the region (within Macedonia) where you live? 90% 80% 70% % 50% 40% 0% 2 19% % 7% 7% February 2014 September 2014 October 2015 Yes No Don't Know/Refused to Answer 83

84 How important is it, in your view, to take collective action to reduce any negative impacts arising from climate change? October % 3 1 September % February % % % 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Definitely Important Neither Important nor Unimportant Definitely Unimportant Rather Important Rather Unimportant Don't Know/Refused to Answer 84

85 Sources of Information

86 What is your primary source of political news? Multiple Responses 100% 90% 80% 90% 90% 87% 8 70% 60% 50% 40% 0% 7% Television Radio Print Media Family/ Friends Political Parties % Internet/ Web Pages September 2014 December 2014 June 2015 October

87 Which television station do you watch most often for political news? SITEL AlsatM Kanal Vesti Telma Do Not Watch TV 1 1 MTV (Macedonian Language) Alfa MTV (Albanian Language) Local TV Station Other Don't Know/Refused to Answer 0% 1 2 June 2015 October

88 Which daily newspaper do you read most often for political news? Do Not Read Newspapers Koha Dnevnik Vest Lajme Sloboden Pecat Vecer Utrinski Vesnik Nova Makedonija Don't Know/Refused to Answer 8% 9% 7% 7% 67% 6 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% June 2015 October

89 Which weekly newspaper do you read most often for political news? Do Not Read Weekly Newspapers 87% 90% Fokus Republika Kapital Don't Know/Refused to Answer 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% June 2015 October

90 Facebook Time.mk KURIR PORTALB.MK 24 VESTI Other +INFO Zurnal.com Tocka Ohridnews VECER LAJM REPUBLIKA SITEL A1ON TELEGRAF PRES24 KANAL 5 Grid LIBERTAS STRUGALAJM Vesti Dozaz.mk BRIF VEST TETOVA1 DNEVNIK Puls 24 IDIVIDI ALSAT Which Internet news portal/website do you read most often for political news? Open-ended; Spontaneous First Mention; n=272 0%

91 Demographics

92 ETHNICITY AGE GENDER Female Male Demographics 50% 50% Macedonian 6 Albanian 2 Turkish Roma Serbian Other 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 92

93 EDUCATION POPULATIO N DENSITY HOUSEHOLD INCOME (MONTHLY) EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR Private Sector Public Sector Demographics 2 Other 6 Refused to Answer Denars Denars Denars Denars or More Not Sure/Don't Know 8% Refused to Answer 2 Urban 57% Rural 4 None/Incomplete Elementary Elementary 2 Secondary 5 Higher Education/University 2 0% 40% 50% 60% 70% 93

94 Center for Insights in Survey Research