NVTC. Economic Performance and Outlook
|
|
|
- Trevor Price
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 3//11 NVTC The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook John McClain, AICP, Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy, George Mason University March, 11. GDP Percent Change, (Real Dollars)
2 3//11 THOUSANDS Annual Change in Jobs US Recession Recovery Patterns of GDP Past Five Recessions Change in GDP Q1 19-Q Q1 1-Q 9-Q Quarters After Trough Sources: BEA, GMU Center for Regional Analysis,
3 3//11 U.S. Gross Domestic Product Quarterly Change: 13 Forecast > > > > > > > Source: Global Insight ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indices Mfg N-Mfg 3
4 3//11 Annual Change in Payroll Jobs - US THOUSANDS 3 1 Jan = Source: BLS Establishment Survey, NSA s Initial Unemployment Claims (-week moving average)
5 3//11 U.S. Unemployment Rate GI FCST Source: BLS, Seasonally Adjusted Productivity Quarterly Change: 13 Forecast > > > > > > > Source: BLS, Global Insight 5
6 3//11 (s) U.S. Housing Trends New & Existing Home Sales Existing (left scale) New (Right Scale) (s) U.S. Coincident and Leading Indices Nov Jan 11 RECESSION > > > LI L.I C.I. Nov- Feb-7 May-7 Aug-7 Nov-7 Feb- May- Aug- Nov- Feb-9 May-9 Aug-9 Nov-9 Feb-1 May-1 Aug-1 Nov-1
7 3//11 Interest Rates 1-15 Forecast > > > > > > Fed 3-Yr $/barrel 1 1 Oil Prices $ per barrel Forecast > > > > > > > > Source: Global Insight 7
8 3//11 Consumer Confidence Expectations Present Situation ti 1 Source: Conference Board, GMU Center for Regional Analysis U.S. Job Change by Sector December 7 December 9 Ranked by Size in 1 State & Local Govt Educ & Health Svcs Prof. & Bus. Svcs -1,53 Retail Trade -1, Leisure & Hosp. Manufacturing -,19 Financial Construction -1,795 Wlse Trade Other Services Transp. & Util. Federal Govt. Information (s) Total -,33, Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, (Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis
9 3//11 U.S. Job Change by Sector January 1 January 11 Ranked by Size in 1 State & Local Govt Educ & Health Svcs Prof. & Bus. Svcs Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Manufacturing Financial Construction Wlse Trade Other Services Transp. & Util. Federal Govt. Information -37 (s) Total = Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, ( Seasonally Adjusted), GMU Center for Regional Analysis The Washington Economy 9
10 3//11 15 Largest Job Markets Job Change from Recession Start (1/7) (s) Washington -, Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis (s) Largest Job Markets Job Change Last 1 Years Washington, Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 1
11 3//11 US GDP and Washington GRP Washington GRP US GDP Structure of the Greater Washington Economy Non-Local Business 1. Other Federal 15.7 Local Serving Activities 3. Federal 3.9 Procurement 19. Other: Health/Education, Media 11
12 3//11 Total Federal Spending Washington Metro Area Billions Current $ 1 1 Total 1 1 Procurement Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis s 15 Annual Job Change MOTYC Washington MSA Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 1
13 3//11 s Annual Data Jan Annual Job Change Washington MSA Mar May Annual Month over Year 9 1 Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov (s) Largest Job Markets Job Change Dec 9 Dec 1 Washington + 57,5 Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 13
14 3//11 Prof. & Bus. Svcs Federal Govt. Educ & Health Svcs State & Local Govt Retail Trade Leisure & Hosp. Construction Other Services Financiali Information Manufacturing Wlse Trade Transp. & Util. Job Change by Sector Dec 9 Dec 1 Washington MSA (s) Total 57, Source: BLS March 1 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Unemployment Rate DC 9.1 U.S.. SMD 5.7 MSA.7 - NVA Source: BLS, Not Seasonally Adjusted 1
15 3// Largest Job Markets Ranked by Unemployment Rate December 1 1 US Source: BLS, NOT Seasonally Adjusted $ Billions Federal Procurement Washington Metro Area 15
16 3//11 $ Billions Federal Spending By Type 19-9 Wages & Salaries DOD Federal Procurement in MSA Projection of Sec. Gates Proposed Cuts $ Billions - $9.5 Billion 5 -, Jobs Source: Census Consolidated Federal Funds Reports 1
17 3//11 Federal Employment Washington Metro Area s 35 Eisenhower Kennedy Johnson + Nixon - Ford Carter Reagan Bush 1 Clinton Bush Obama Washington Current Economic Index Federal Shutdown, 3 Weeks Dec-Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis 17
18 3//11 Housing Market Trends House Price Index Change Q3 Q3 1 Source: FHFA 1
19 3//11 1 House Price Change Q 9 Q Source: NAR Single Family 1 Existing Home Sales Washington MSA Through January Month Moving Average
20 3//11 Average Sales Price Annual Percent Change Washington MSA All Existing Homes Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Percent Change in Inventories of Existing Homes Month-Over-the-Year-Change 1, MSA Jan-May, >1 Jan = Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
21 3//11 Total Active Listings Per Sale January Each Year Metro Area Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Average Sales Price Percent Change Washington MSA All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis 1
22 3//11 Average Sales Price Percent Change Northern Virginia All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Average Sales Price Percent Change Suburban Maryland All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
23 3// Average Sales Price Percent Change District of Columbia All Housing Types Annual Change Annual Change by Month Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Washington MSA Building Permits 1, 3-Month Mvg Avg 3
24 3//11 Office Market Trends 1 1 Office Vacancy Rate Washington Metro Area 19-1 Projected 1.9 Avg = 9.1 Source: Delta Associates
25 3//11 Office Market Outlook: 1-1 (millions of square feet) 1/1 Pipeline (1) Totals Space Available (1) Demand (1) Vacancy 1/1 Vacancy 1/1 D.C Sub. MD N. VA Metro Source: Delta Associates (1) Projected for 1/1 Economic Forecast 5
26 3//11 Employment Change by Sub-state Region (s) D.C Sub. MD No. VA REGION Average Annual Change = 3, Source: BLS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis, 9-1 based on 1 Benchmark data from BLS - - GDP/GRP - 15 Washington U.S Source: Global Insight, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
27 3//11 SUMMARY Locally Economy Job growth, declining unemployment, and job growth in high-wage sectors Federal shutdowns/slowdowns? Locally - Housing Prices are stable, rising Inventories moderate Foreclosures still around Given all and with mortgage rates low, sales New housing is yet to recover later this year & 1 policy-cra.gmu.org 7
Delta Associates. The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
// Delta Associates The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis George
The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
// The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University January, 3 Recession Recovery Patterns of GDP Past Four Recessions
The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond
Boland Open House The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 213 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis
The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
/8/ The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University November 8, Recession Recovery Patterns of GDP Past Four Recessions
Northwest Federal Credit Union
3/28/211 Northwest Federal Credit Union The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Sh Schar Faculty Chair and University it Professor Director, Center for
The US and Northern Virginia Economy Trends and Outlook
NVBCC Annual Meeting The US and Northern Virginia Economy Trends and Outlook Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University November 8, 1 Recession
SAME/ACEC June Conference. The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond
6/24/23 SAME/ACEC June Conference The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 23 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for
The U.S. Economy s Current Performance and Outlook
/3/4 Board of Directors, Northern Virginia Association of Realtors The Current Economic Outlook & Area Housing Market Conditions Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor
Atlanta Regional Commission Link. Overview of the Greater Washington Region: Trends and Challenges
Atlanta Regional Commission Link Overview of the Greater Washington Region: Trends and Challenges Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
The U.S. Economy s Current Performance and Outlook
Delta Associates Spring Seminar The U.S. and Washington Area Economies: Current Performance and Outlook: 24-29 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center
The Washington Region s Housing Market and Outlook
The Washington Region s Housing Market and Outlook John McClain, AICP Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis, School of Public Policy George Mason University January 14, 2009 U.S.
The U. S. Economy: Current Performance and Outlook
9// D.C. Institutional Investor Conference The Outlook for the U.S., Washington Area and District of Columbia Economies Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor George
The Washington Area s Post- Federally Dependent Economy
Potomac Officers Club Post-Sequestration Summit The Washington Area s Post- Federally Dependent Economy Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for
The Outlook for the Washington Area and Northern Virginia Economies
9// Northern Virginia Association of Realtors 5 th Annual Economic Summit The Outlook for the Washington Area and Northern Virginia Economies Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Hobart and Wm. Smith Colleges. The Economy of the Washington Metropolitan Area: Its Performance and What Makes It Different
Hobart and Wm. Smith Colleges The Economy of the Washington Metropolitan Area: Its Performance and What Makes It Different Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director,
HAND/CNHED Joint Meeting. Washington Area Economy and Housing Market Trends and Outlook
1/26/12 HAND/CNHED Joint Meeting Washington Area Economy and Housing ket Trends and Outlook Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University October
NonProfit Speakers Series. The Economic Outlook for The Washington Metropolitan Area
/3/ NonProfit Speakers Series The Economic Outlook for The Washington Metropolitan Area Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Washington Building Congress. The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
Washington Building Congress The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Economic Outlook and Housing Market Forecast
Economic Outlook and Housing Market Forecast NVAR Housing Finance Summit Terry L, Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University May
The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth
Finance and Administration Roundtable The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
The Vision Series,
The Vision Series, 212-213 The Washington Area Economy: Transitioning From Federal Dependency to a Global Business Base Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director,
Recent Economic Trends and Comparative Performance: U.S., Commonwealth of Virginia, Washington Metropolitan Area and Northern Virginia
8// Capital One Bank and the GMU Center for Regional Analysis The Washington Area Economy: A Mid-Year Review and Early Forecast for Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor
The Breakfast Group. The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond
The Breakfast Group The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
Finance and Administration Roundtable. The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth
5/2/25 Finance and Administration Roundtable The Washington Area Economy: Repositioning for Renewed Growth Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor George Mason University
Washington Area & Northern Virginia Economic Performance and Outlook
Washington Area & Northern Virginia Economic Performance and Outlook Presentation to Northern Virginia Association of Realtors Economic Summit Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Center for Regional Analysis Schar
Montgomery County, Maryland Economic Outlook, 2020
11/9/211 Montgomery County Council Montgomery County, Maryland Economic Outlook, 22 Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis School
What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 2017
Leadership Montgomery Breakfast Club What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 217 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
Market and Economic Briefing. Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Market and Economic Briefing Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University
Housing Market Trends in the Washington Area
Housing Market Trends in the Washington Area Mark White, Ph.D. Deputy Director, Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University March 1, 218 6. U.S. Gross Domestic
The Commonwealth of Virginia s Economy: Recession and Recovery
11/18/215 House Appropriations Committee Retreat The Virginia and Northern Virginia Economies: Current Trends and Future Prospects Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor
The Current Performance and Near-Term Outlook for The U.S. and Washington Region s Economies Plus Prince William County
Prince William County Chamber of Commerce The Current Performance and Near-Term Outlook for The U.S. and Washington Region s Economies Plus Prince William County 2015-2025 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. The
The Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce. The Driving Forces Behind Fairfax County s Future Growth
1/22/214 The Fairfax County Chamber of Commerce The Driving Forces Behind Fairfax County s Future Growth Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Presentation to: Southeast Fairfax Development Corporation Mount Vernon Lee Chamber of Commerce Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University August 22, 218 6. U.S. Gross Domestic Product Quarterly Change
Economic Performance and Outlook: Washington Metro Area and Northern Virginia
Economic Performance and Outlook: Washington Metro Area and Northern Virginia Dr. Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University e 22, 215
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University June 18, 218 U.S. Gross Domestic Product 6. Quarterly Change
What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 2017
Montgomery County Chamber of Commerce What Will The Montgomery County Economy Look Like in 217 Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Center for Regional Analysis Schar School of Policy and Government George Mason University April 8, 219 U.S. Gross Domestic Product 6. Quarterly Change
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Presentation to: Greater Washington Association of Financial Professionals Mark C. White, Ph.D. Deputy Director Center for Regional Analysis Schar School
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook
Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Presentation to: Southeast Fairfax Development Corporation Mount Vernon Lee Chamber of Commerce Terry L. Clower, Ph.D. Director, Center for Regional Analysis
Rising Risks for the Housing Outlook
Rising Risks for the Housing Outlook Master Builders Association of Pierce County October 17, 2018 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist Population Growth Pierce County population growing faster than
The Washington Region s Current Economic Performance and Near-Term Outlook
The Washington Region s Current Economic Performance and Near-Term Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, The Stephen S. Fuller Institute for Research
Metropolitan Washington Area Key Economic & Demographic Indicators
Metropolitan Washington Area Key Economic & Demographic Indicators Arlington County Community Facilities Study March 11, 2015 Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Vice President of Research National Housing Conference
Economic and Housing Outlook
Economic and Housing Outlook Home Builders Association of Virginia June 22, 2018 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist Housing Market Growing; Single-Family Lags Tax reform changes Macroeconomics post-tax
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org Overview of the Federal Reserve System The Fed consists of three main
MEGATREND 1: WAGE GROWTH IS FLAT, BUT DISCRETIONARY INCOME IS UP
MEGATRENDS MegaTrends 1. Wage growth is flat, but discretionary income is up 2. The regional economy is recovering but not yet recovered 3. Consumer behavior is changing 4. Tenant behavior is changing
Old Dominion University 2017 Regional Economic Forecast. Strome College of Business
Old Dominion University 2017 Regional Economic Forecast January 25, 2017 Professor Vinod Agarwal Director, Economic Forecasting Project Strome College of Business www.odu.edu/forecasting The views expressed
ANALYSIS OF THE CENTRAL VIRGINIA AREA HOUSING MARKET Annual Market Report. Lisa A. Fowler, PhD. John McClain, AICP
ANALYSIS OF THE CENTRAL VIRGINIA AREA HOUSING MARKET 2008 Annual Market Report By Lisa A. Fowler, PhD John McClain, AICP George Mason University Center for Regional Analysis The U.S. officially entered
XML Publisher Balance Sheet Vision Operations (USA) Feb-02
Page:1 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 ASSETS Current Assets Cash and Short Term Investments 15,862,304 51,998,607 9,198,226 Accounts Receivable - Net of Allowance 2,560,786
Old Dominion University 2016 Regional Economic Forecast. Strome College of Business
Old Dominion University 2016 Regional Economic Forecast January 27, 2016 Professor Vinod Agarwal Director, Economic Forecasting Project Strome College of Business www.odu.edu/forecasting 1 Presentation
MBA Economic and Mortgage Market Outlook Spring Mike Fratantoni Chief Economist & Senior Vice President Research & Industry Technology
MBA Economic and Mortgage Market Outlook Spring 2015 Mike Fratantoni Chief Economist & Senior Vice President Research & Industry Technology MBA Economic Outlook 2014 2015 2016 GDP Growth 2.4% 2.5% 2.5%
U.S. and Oklahoma Economic Update. Megan Williams Associate Economist and Manager, Oklahoma City Branch. The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy
U.S. and Oklahoma Economic Update Megan Williams Associate Economist and Manager, Oklahoma City Branch The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy GDP growth was relatively strong in the second half of Growth
Status of the Unemployment Trust Fund and Related Issues. Commission on Unemployment Compensation. Ellen Marie Hess, Commissioner.
Status of the Unemployment Trust Fund and Related Issues Commission on Unemployment Compensation August 8, 2018 Ellen Marie Hess, Commissioner 2 Trust Fund Data Standard Forecast (Millions of Dollars)
RECESSION AND RECOVERY IN MISSOURI AND THE U.S.
RECESSION AND RECOVERY IN MISSOURI AND THE U.S. Alison Felix Senior Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily reflect the positions
Real Deal The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook
Real Deal 2011 The U.S. and Washington Area Economic Performance and Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional Analysis George Mason
Review of Northern Virginia Market Conditions and Trends
Review of Northern Virginia Market Conditions and Trends Prepared for Northern Virginia Area Association of Realtors November 12, 2011 Virginia Housing Development Authority Northern Virginia s existing
MACRO Report: Review of Wyoming s Economy
MACRO Report: Review of Wyoming s Economy Economic Update as of December 31, 2017 The MACRO Report is a quarterly publication comprised of charts focusing on energy, employment, state revenues, and other
Outlook for the Texas Economy. Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. August 26, 2016
Outlook for the Texas Economy Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. August 26, 2016 Research Economist Texas Society of Architects Contents 1. U.S. Economic Outlook 2. Texas Economic Outlook 3. Challenges and
Real Estate Market. Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Presentation to New England REALTORS Conference. February 2, 2010 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS
Real Estate Market Trends & Outlook Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS Presentation to New England REALTORS Conference February 2, 2010 Housing Stimulus Impact Tax Credit
F I S C A L & E C O N O M I C U P D A T E
W A S H I N G T O N C O U N T Y, M A R Y L A N D S E P T E M B E R 2 1 5 F I S C A L & E C O N O M I C U P D A T E M A J O R E C O N O M I C T R E N D S Inside this Report: Employment Data 1 The following
Arkansas Economic Outlook
Arkansas Economic Forecast Conference 2011 Arkansas Economic Outlook Dr. Michael Pakko Chief Economist and State Economic Forecaster Institute for Economic Advancement, UALR November 2, 2011 Arkansas Experience
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org/oklahomacity Recent Oklahoma Economic Trends Oklahoma s economy has
An Update on Economic Conditions. January 5, 2010
An Update on Economic Conditions Raymond Owens January 5, 21 Real Gross Domestic Product 8 7 6 5 4 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate 3 Q3 2.2% 2 1-1 -2-3 -4-5 -6-7 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org Overview of the Federal Reserve System The Fed consists of three main
The U.S. and California Is The Recovery Here at Last? UCLA Anderson School of
The U.S. and California Is The Recovery Here at Last? Jerry Nickelsburg Senior Economist UCLA Anderson Forecast State of the County January 20, 2010 SEPTEMBER 2008 In September 2008 Financial Markets Stopped
Current Economic Review April 16, 2014
Current Economic Review April 16, 2014 Brian Bonnenfant Project Manager Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada, Reno 784-1771 bonnen@unr.edu 230,000 225,000 **Peak = 228,100 Emp **Start of Great
R EA L E S TAT E L E N D E RS ASSOCIAT I O N
R EA L E S TAT E L E N D E RS ASSOCIAT I O N MULTI-FAMILY ROUNDTABLE A P R I L 2 5, 2 0 1 3 Real Estate Lenders Association DC R E A L E S T A T E L E N D E R S A S S O C I A T I O N M U L T I - F A M
Chad Wilkerson. Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Chad Wilkerson Vice President, Economist, and Oklahoma City Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org History and Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Reserve
Economic and Housing Outlook
Economic and Housing Outlook Volusia Building Industry Association July 18, 218 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist Housing Market Growing; Single-Family Lags Tax reform changes Macroeconomics post-tax
MBA Economic and Mortgage Finance Outlook
MBA Economic and Mortgage Finance Outlook January 19, 2016 Presented by Joel Kan Mortgage Bankers Association Summary of the MBA Outlook 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 GDP Growth 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% Inflation
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FEDERAL RESERVE BALANCE SHEET Assets and Liabilities 2-3 REAL ESTATE Construction Spending 4 CoreLogic Home Price Index 5 Mortgage Rates and Applications 6-7 CONSUMER
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS LABOR MARKET Contributions to Change in Nonfarm Payrolls 2 Unemployment and Labor Force Participation Rate 3 MANUFACTURING ISM Manufacturing Index 4 CONSUMERS Light Vehicle
Chickasha Rotary Club March 8, Chad Wilkerson
Chickasha Rotary Club March 8, 212 Chad Wilkerson Oklahoma City Branch Executive and Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City www.kansascityfed.org/oklahomacity The Fed and the U.S. Economic Outlook
RECESSION AND RECOVERY IN NEBRASKA AND THE U.S.
RECESSION AND RECOVERY IN NEBRASKA AND THE U.S. Alison Felix Senior Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily reflect the positions
WESTWOOD LUTHERAN CHURCH Summary Financial Statement YEAR TO DATE - February 28, Over(Under) Budget WECC Fund Actual Budget
WESTWOOD LUTHERAN CHURCH Summary Financial Statement YEAR TO DATE - February 28, 2018 General Fund Actual A B C D E F WECC Fund Actual Revenue Revenue - Faith Giving 1 $ 213 $ 234 $ (22) - Tuition $ 226
Outlook for the Texas Economy. Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. June 29, 2016
Outlook for the Texas Economy Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Ph.D. June 29, 2016 Research Economist Texas Gas Association Contents 1. Economic Outlook 2. Housing Market 3. Challenges and Issues During the
Economic Conditions and Outlook for the U.S. and Greater Kansas City Area
Economic Conditions and Outlook for the U.S. and Greater Kansas City Area Mid-America Planned Giving Council Kansas City, MO January 9, 215 Kelly D. Edmiston Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic
Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist
Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist Office of Economic Development and International Trade Miami-Dade County cruzr1@miamidade.gov / www.miamidade.gov/oedit Office of Economic Development and International
Center for Business and Economic Research Dixon Hughes Goodman Triad Business (October 2014)
Center for Business and Economic Research Dixon Hughes Goodman Triad Business (October 2014) The is developed and maintained by: Dr. G. Donald Jud, Center for Bus. & Eco. Res., Bryan School of Bus. & Eco.,
Economic Activity Index ( GDB-EAI ) For the month of May 2013 G O V E R N M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T B A N K F O R P U E R T O R I C O
Economic Activity Index ( GDB-EAI ) For the month of May 2013 General Commentary May 2013 GDB-EAI for the month of May registered a 3.4% year-over-year ( YOY ) reduction May 2013 EAI was 126.7, a 3.4%
Illinois Job Index Note: BLS revised its estimates for the number of jobs and seasonal adjustment method at the beginning of 2010.
Illinois Job Index Release Data Issue 4/21/2010 Jan 1990 / Mar 2010 Note: BLS revised its estimates for the number of jobs and seasonal adjustment method at the beginning of 2010. For April Illinois Job
The Stimulus Didn t Work An Overlooked Fact that Needs Mention September 18, 2009
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 0 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois northerntrust.com Asha G. Bangalore agb@ntrs.com The Stimulus Didn t Work An Overlooked Fact that Needs Mention September 18, 9
Data current as of: August 5, ,200,000 1,000, , , , , , , , , , , ,000
Forecast Version: Spring 216 Economic Indicators The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a total nonfarm payroll employment increase of 287, in June with the unemployment rate rising.2% to 4.9%. The jobs
THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK RECESSION AND RECOVERY. Paul Darby Executive Director & Deuty Chief Economist Twitter hashtag: #psforum
THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK RECESSION AND RECOVERY Paul Darby Executive Director & Deuty Chief Economist Darby@conferenceboard.ca US OUTLOOK US recession is coming to an end Q3 likely to be positive due to inventory
Decline in Economic Activity Larger Than Advance GDP Estimate February 27, 2009
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 5 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois 663 northerntrust.com Asha G. Bangalore agb3@ntrs.com Decline in Economic Activity Larger Than Advance GDP Estimate February 27,
February Economic Activity Index ( GDB-EAI )
February 2015 Economic Activity Index ( GDB-EAI ) General Commentary February 2015 In February 2015, the GDB-EAI registered a 1.6% year-over-year (y-o-y) reduction, and a month-over-month (m-o-m) increase
February 8, 2012 Robert Johnson Director of Economic Analysis
Positive Surprises in Store for 2012? Macro Overview February 8, 2012 Robert Johnson Director of Economic Analysis 1 U.S. Economic Data 2011: Soft, but no recession, Growth Accelerated Through the Year
2018 Texas Economic Outlook: Firing on All Cylinders
218 Texas Economic Outlook: Firing on All Cylinders Keith Phillips Assistant Vice President and Senior Economist 4/5/218 The views expressed in this presentation are strictly those of the presenter and
Emerging Trends in the Regional Economy
Emerging Trends in the Regional Economy Alison Felix Economist & Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily
BUENA VISTA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
BUENA VISTA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT FOURTH QUARTER 2015 FINANCIAL MARKET REVIEW Buena Vista Investment Management LLC P.O. Box 1206 241 3 rd Street South Wisconsin Rapids, WI 54495-1206 715-422-0700 buenavistainv@buenavistainv.com
Revised October 17, 2016
Revised October 17, 2016 60 ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (September 2015 September 2016) 58 56 54 52 50 48 46 44 42 Sept-15 Oct Nov Dec Jan-16 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Purchasing
The Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, and Economic Indicators
The Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, and Economic Indicators Megan Williams Associate Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Oklahoma City Branch The Creation of the Fed The first two national
The Transitioning Massachusetts Economy
The Transitioning Massachusetts Economy Alan Clayton-Matthews School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs Northeastern University February 4, 2011 MassEcon Members Meeting Quarterly Growth at Annual Rates
Economic and Revenue Update
Economic and Revenue Update A Briefing for the Money Committees Aubrey L. Layne, Jr. Secretary of Finance Commonwealth of Virginia www.finance.virginia.gov January 2018 Topics for Discussion National and
Nonfarm Payroll Employment
PRESIDENT'S REPORT TO THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON Current Economic Developments - June 10, 2004 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy continues to
Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist Miami-Dade County 305-375-1879 cruzr1@miamidade.gov www.miamidade.gov/economicdevelopment Department of Regulatory and Economic Resources Page 1 Local economic indicators
Q1 16 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Washington Metro Area
www.capitalbankmd.com PARTNERS in YOUR VISION Q1 16 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Washington Metro Area Dr. Stephen Fuller Published March 216 Capital Bank N.A. 1 Church Street, Suite 3 Rockville, MD 28 www.capitalbankmd.com
Data current as of: April 4, % 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 250, , , ,000 50, , , , , ,000
Forecast current as of: January 213 Economic Indicators U.S. unemployment decreased to 7.7% in February from 7.9% last month, as nonfarm payroll employment increased by 236,. In the previous 3 months,
ECONOMIC & REVENUE UPDATE
January 11, 2018 Summary summary The U.S. labor market gained 148,000 net new jobs in December. U.S. housing starts in November 2017 were 12.9% above their year-ago level. Consumer confidence declined
Quarterly Economic Update Key Trends
Quarterly Economic Update Key Trends Linda Haran Senior Director June 2011 Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product