NEAZ Members: Cherokee County

Transcription

1 1

2 NEAZ Members: Cherokee County 2

3 NEAZ Members: DeKalb County 3

4 NEAZ Members: Etowah County 4

5 NEAZ Members: Marshall County 5

6 NEAZ Members: Cherokee County April 27,

7 NEAZ Members: DeKalb County April 27,

8 NEAZ Members: Etowah County April 27,

9 NEAZ Members: Marshall County April 27,

10 GSP change in % Source: 10 U. S. Bureau of Economic Analysis GDP U.S. % Change Q1 by Quarter

11 GSP change in % Source: 11 U. S. Bureau of Economic Analysis GDP for U.S. % Change Q1 by Quarter

12 GDP for U.S. % Change Q1 by Quarter GSP change in % Source: 12 U. S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

13 Northeast Economic Activity Zone (NEAZ): Regional Survey State Survey National Survey Consumer Confidence Price Index Population 2010 Census Overview Sales Tax Revenues Income Labor Force Employment Unemployment Housing Dr. Mark Hearn, College of Commerce & Business Administration 13

14 Q#1: Your Economic Outlook for this Year in Comparison to This year worse 9% Last Year This year better 41% About same 50% 14 Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey This Year Jan

15 % "This Year Better" Q#1: Your Comparison of this Years Economic Outlook to Last % 70% 64% 67% 60% 56% 58% 40% 47% 43% 41% 40% 20% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 15

16 Q#2: Your Employment Outlook in Coming Year Cutback # emp 10% Expand # emp 19% Remain same 71% 16 Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey This Year Jan

17 % "Expand # Emp" Q#2: Your Employment Outlook in Coming Year % 44% 43% 34% 37% 34% 28% 31% 25% 17% 19% 17% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 17

18 Remain same 75 Q#3: How Likely to Increase Employee Compensation in Coming Year Very unlikely 36% 18 Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey Very likely 18% May or may not 46% This Year Jan

19 % "Very Likely" 75% 50% 25% Q#3: How Likely to Increase Emp Compensation in Coming Year % 48% 47% 53% 54% 58% 42% 24% 18% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 19

20 Remain same 75 Q#4: How Likely is Increase in Demand for Your Products in Coming Year Very unlikely 7% Very likely 32% May or may not 61% 20 Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey This Year Jan

21 Q#4: How Likely is Increase in Demand for Your Products in Coming Year % "Very Likely" 75% 50% 25% 50% 59% 55% 62% 58% 50% 20% 40% 32% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 21

22 Remain same 75 Q#5: How Likely to Add New Products in Coming Year Very unlikely 30% Very likely 37% May or may not 33% Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey This Year Jan

23 Q#5: How Likely to Add New Products in Coming Year % % "Very Likely" 50% 25% 45% 53% 38% 52% 47% 46% 33% 37% 37% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 23

24 Remain same 75 Q#6: How Likely to Expand Number of Outlets in Coming Year Very likely 7% May or may not 10% Very unlikely 83% This Year Jan 2011 Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 24

25 Q#6: How Likely to Expand Number of Outlets in Coming Year % 27% % "Very Likely" 20% 10% 9% 13% 18% 11% 19% 9% 12% 7% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 25

26 Remain same 75 Very unlikely 41% Q#7: How Likely to Increase Expenditures on Advertising in Coming Year Very likely 16% This Year Jan 2011 Source: 2011 Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey May or may not 43% 26

27 Q#7: How Likely to Increase Expenditures on Advertising in Coming Year % % "Very Likely" 40% 30% 20% 10% 21% 34% 26% 37% 42% 32% 13% 19% 16% 0% Source: Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce Membership Survey 27

28 State Survey 3rd Quarter 2011 Approximately 294 respondents Operated by University of Alabama Center for Business and Economic Research cber.cba.ua.edu 28

29 Economic Outlook for Alabama Q vs Q % 45.2% % of Respondents 40% 30% 21.4% 20% 10% 1.0% 0% Much Worse Source: 29 Alabama Business Confidence Index Worse Remain the Same 31.3% Better 1.0% Much Better 29

30 Economic Outlook for Alabama Q Q % "Quarter Better or Much Better 65% 55% 45% 35% 25% Source: 30 Alabama Business Confidence Index 49% 50% 52% 48% 55% 56% 51% Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q

31 Alabama Hiring Outlook Q vs Q % 57.5% % of Respondents 45% 30% 15% 0% 2.4% 14.0% 25.2% 1.0% Strong Decrease Moderate Decrease No Change Moderate Increase Strong Increase Source: Alabama Business Confidence Index 31

32 % "Quarter Moderate to Strong Increase 30% 20% 10% 0% Alabama Hiring Outlook Q2 09 Q % 20.0% 16.7% 24.0% 28.0% 29.8% 26.2% Q1-10 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-11 Q2 Q3 Source: Alabama Business Confidence Index

33 U.S. Consumer Confidence Survey 03/ / Jan 08 Jun /05 11/05 7/06 3/07 11/07 7/08 3/09 11/09 7/10 3/11 *Shaded area indicates U.S. Recession Source: University of Michigan Institute of Social Research 33

34 U.S. Consumer Sentiment Survey 01/ / /11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 Source: University of Michigan Institute of Social Research 34

35 U.S. Consumer Price Index Jan 2005-May Jan 08 Jul Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 Jan 11 *Shaded area indicates U.S. Recession Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 35

36 U.S. Consumer Price Index Jan 2008-May Price Index Jan 08 Jul Jan 08 Jul Jan 09 Jul Jan 10 Jul Jan 11 *Shaded area indicates U.S. Recession Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 36

37 12.1% Alabama 2010 Census Total Pop. by County 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% State Pop: 4,779, , ,000 to 449, ,000 to 249,999 50,000 to 99,999 9,045 to 49,999 Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 37

38 12.1% Alabama 2010 Census % Change by County 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% State Pop: +7.5% 25.0% to 36.1% 10.0% to 24.9% 0.0 % to 9.9% -10.0% to -0.1% -16.1% to -10.1% Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 38

39 NEAZ : Population Trends Cherokee County 1990, 2000, ,000 23,988 25,989 Population 22,000 17,000 19,543 12, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 39

40 NEAZ : Population Trends DeKalb County 1990, 2000, ,000 71,109 Population 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 54,651 64,452 50, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 40

41 NEAZ : Population Trends Etowah County 1990, 2000, 2010 Population 107, ,000 99, , ,430 97,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

42 NEAZ : Population Trends Marshall County 1990, 2000, 2010 Population 95,000 90,000 85,000 80,000 75,000 70,000 65,000 93,019 82,231 70, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 42

43 NEAZ : Comparative Data % Population Change % Population Change 14% 11% 7% 4% 0% % 10.3% 9.7% 8.3% 7.5% 0.9% Cherokee DeKalb Etowah Marshall AL US Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 43

44 NEAZ : Population Trends Zone Total 1990, 2000, , ,547 Population 280, , , , , , Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 44

45 NEAZ: Income Trends Median Household Income Area % Change Cherokee 30,874 38, % DeKalb 30,137 33, % Etowah 31,170 38, % Marshall 32,167 37, % Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 45

46 $38,000 $34,000 $30,000 Per Capita Income Comparisons NEAZ vs AL AL NEAZ $26,000 $22,000 $18, Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 46

47 NEAZ : Comparative Data % High School or Higher 2010 % H.S. or Higher 90% 80% 70% 60% 70.0% 66.7% 80.5% 73.2% 80.8% 84.6% 50% Cherokee DeKalb Etowah Marshall AL US Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 47

48 NEAZ: Population Trends Summary Growing population base Women outnumber men Ethnic mix is generally steady Population density is on upswing Area becoming more urban in nature Income levels on rise Commuting varies but is considerable 48

49 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Albertville in $ Millions $10 In Millions of $ $9 $8 $7 $7.20 $7.14 $7.78 $8.63 $8.96 $9.31 $8.32 $8.87 $ Source: City of Albertville, Revenue Discovery Systems 49

50 % Change Year to Year 18% 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% -3% -6% -9% -12% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Albertville Change in % 14.15% 13.42% 12.84% 7.81% 3.45% -0.89% YTD: +3.24% -9.70% -9.88% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Albertville, Revenue Discovery Systems 50

51 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Arab in $ Millions $7 In Millions of $ $6 $5 $4.70 $5.16 $5.43 $5.65 $6.03 $6.15 $6.16 $6.25 $ Source: City of Arab, Revenue Discovery Systems 51

52 % Change Year to Year 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% -3% -6% -9% -12% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Arab Change in % 8.54% 4.80% 5.21% 1.79% 1.55% 0.67% YTD: +1.89% -1.48% -6.51% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Arab, Revenue Discovery Systems 52

53 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Attalla in $ Millions $5.0 $4.8 In Millions of $ $4.6 $4.4 $4.2 $4.42 $4.57 $4.31 $4.45 $ Source: City of Attalla, Revenue Discovery Systems 53

54 % Change Year to Year 32% 24% 16% 8% 0% -8% -16% -24% -32% -40% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Attalla Change in % 7.90% 1.73% 0.25% % 27.74% 18.14% 3.62% 3.07% YTD: +2.34% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Attalla, Revenue Discovery Systems 54

55 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Boaz in $ Millions $8 $6.97 $7.04 $6.94 $7.09 $6.47 $6.54 In Millions of $ $6 $4 $3.95 $5.53 $ Source: City of Boaz, Revenue Discovery Systems 55

56 % Change Year to Year 7% 4% 1% -2% -5% -8% -11% -14% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Boaz Change in % 5.89% 2.40% 2.91% 2.96% -1.28% -3.49% YTD: -1.69% -9.62% % Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Boaz, Revenue Discovery Systems 56

57 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Centre in $ Millions $1.8 In Millions of $ $1.6 $1.4 $1.2 $1.22 $1.54 $1.51 $1.57 $1.66 $1.70 $1.60 $1.58 $ Source: City of Centre, Revenue Discovery Systems 57

58 % Change Year to Year 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% -3% -6% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May 0.54% Centre Change in % YTD: +3.74% -1.38% 2.95% -0.58% -4.41% 13.66% 11.01% 7.65% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Centre, Revenue Discovery Systems 58

59 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Ft Payne in $ Millions $9.5 $9.0 $8.90 $9.13 In Millions of $ $8.5 $8.0 $7.5 $7.35 $7.67 $7.74 $8.10 $8.39 $8.36 $ Source: City of Ft Payne, Alabama Department of Revenue 59

60 % Change Year to Year 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Ft Payne Change in % 19.64% 15.57% 11.80% -4.13% YTD: -1.78% 1.83% % % % Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Ft Payne, Alabama Department of Revenue 60

61 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Gadsden in $ Millions $28 $26 $25.24 $25.80 $27.07 $25.55 $25.20 In Millions of $ $24 $22 $20 $19.95 $21.67 $23.38 $ Source: City of Gadsden, Revenue Discovery Systems 61

62 % Change Year to Year 9% 6% 3% 0% -3% -6% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May -1.96% -3.47% Gadsden Change in % 8.03% 5.44% -0.33% YTD: +1.59% 3.52% 4.42% -4.40% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Gadsden, Revenue Discovery Systems 62

63 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Guntersville in $ Millions In Millions of $ $10.2 $10.0 $9.8 $9.6 $9.4 $9.2 $9.0 $8.8 $8.6 $10.02 $9.62 $9.57 $ Source: City of Guntersville, Alabama Department of Revenue 63

64 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Guntersville Change in % % Change Year to Year 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% -3% -6% 12.47% 8.20% 8.16% 7.25% 5.91% 3.85% 3.85% YTD: +17.3% -5.54% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Guntersville, Alabama Department of Revenue 64

65 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Rainsville in $ Millions In Millions of $ $2.4 $2.2 $2.0 $1.8 $1.6 $1.4 $1.55 $1.55 $1.66 $1.81 $2.05 $2.24 $2.13 $2.23 $ Source: City of Rainsville, Revenue Discovery Systems 65

66 % Change Year to Year 12% 6% 0% -6% -12% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Rainsville Change in % -8.90% 9.31% 7.30% 7.36% 6.34% YTD: +.40% -3.17% -5.38% -7.90% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Rainsville, Revenue Discovery Systems 66

67 NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY FY Southside in $ Thousands $1,000 Thousands $950 $900 $850 $800 $ $ $ $ $750 $ Source: City of Southside, Revenue Discovery Systems 67

68 % Change Year to Year 12% 6% 0% -6% -12% -18% -24% NEAZ: Retail Sales/Use Tax FY09-10 Vs FY10-11 Oct-May Southside Change in % 7.54% 3.15% 2.90% 2.27% 0.82% -5.20% -5.79% YTD: -1.62% % Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: City of Southside, Revenue Discovery Systems 68

69 Claims per Month Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations Initial Unemployment Claims per Month Cherokee County 2007, 2008, 2009, Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul 69

70 Claims per Month 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations Initial Unemployment Claims per Month DeKalb County 2007, 2008, 2009, Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul 70

71 Claims per Month Initial Unemployment Claims per Month Etowah County 2007, 2008, 2009, , ,500 1, Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 71

72 Claims per Month Initial Unemployment Claims per Month Marshall County 2007, 2008, 2009, , ,500 1, Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 72

73 Claims per Month Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations Initial Unemployment Claims per Month Cherokee County Jan May Jan Feb Mar Apr May 73

74 Claims per Month Initial Unemployment Claims per Month DeKalb County Jan May ,000 1,634 1,450 1,500 1, Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 74

75 Claims per Month Initial Unemployment Claims per Month Etowah County Jan May , Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 75

76 Claims per Month Initial Unemployment Claims per Month Marshall County Jan May ,500 2,215 2,000 1, , Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 76

77 NEAZ Labor Issues Labor Force Employment Unemployment Dr. Richard Cobb, College of Commerce & Business Administration 77

78 Labor Force Cherokee County: Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 78

79 Labor Force Cherokee County June 2010-May 2011 Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 79

80 Employment Cherokee County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations

81 Employment Cherokee County June 2010-May Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 81

82 Unemployment Rate Cherokee County % 10% 10.3% 9.1% 8% 6% 4% 2% 4.1% 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 82

83 Unemployment Rate Cherokee County vs Alabama June 2010-May % 10% 9% 8% Cherokee Alabama % % 8.4 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 83

84 Labor Force DeKalb County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 84

85 Labor Force DeKalb County June 2010-May 2011 Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 85

86 Employment DeKalb County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations

87 Employment DeKalb County June 2010-May 2011 Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 87

88 Unemployment Rate DeKalb County % 12% 12.6% 11.6% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 4.4% 4.7%5.2% 5.1% 4.3% 3.6% 3.7% 5.1% Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 88

89 Unemployment Rate DeKalb County vs Alabama June 2010-May % 12% 11% DeKalb Alabama % 10% 9% 8% % Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 89

90 Labor Force Etowah County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 90

91 Labor Force Etowah County June 2010-May Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 91

92 Employment Etowah County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations

93 Employment Etowah County June 2010-May 2011 Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 93

94 Unemployment Rate Etowah County % 10.1% 9.4% 8% 5% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 4.0% 3.6% 3.9% 5.3% 2% Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 94

95 Unemployment Rate Etowah County vs Alabama June 2010-May % 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% Etowah Alabama % Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 95

96 Labor Force Marshall County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 96

97 Labor Force Marshall County June 2010-May Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 97

98 Employment Marshall County Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations

99 Employment Marshall County June 2010-May Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 99

100 Unemployment Rate Marshall County % 9.0% 8.5% 8% 6% 4% 5.0% 5.4% 5.1% 4.3% 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 4.2% 2% Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 100

101 Unemployment Rate Marshall County vs Alabama June 2010-May % 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% Marshall Alabama % 7.5% Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 101

102 Labor Force NEAZ Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 102

103 Labor Force NEAZ June 2010-May Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 103

104 Employment NEAZ Thousands Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations

105 Employment NEAZ June 2010-May 2011 Thousands Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 105

106 Unemployment Rate NEAZ % 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 10.9% 9.6% 5.1% 5.3%5.3% 5.1% 4.9% 3.8% 3.4% 3.5% Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 106

107 Unemployment Rate NEAZ vs Alabama June 2010-May % 10.5% 10.0% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 8.0% NEAZ Alabama Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 107

108 12.1% Alabama Unemployment Rates May 2011 Preliminary State Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% State Ave 9.5% Unemployment Rate 11.9% and Above 9.4% % 9.3% and Below Source: AL Dept of Industrial Relations 108

109 Alabama and Regional Economic Issues Labor Force Employment Unemployment Income Education Dr. Richard Cobb, College of Commerce & Business Administration 109

110 Population for Alabama in Millions in 1,000, Source: U.S. Census Bureau

111 Employment in Millions Alabama Non-Farm Employment 1990 May 2011 in Millions Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

112 Civilian Labor Force for Alabama In Millions in Millions Seasonally Adjusted Source: Alabama Dept of Industrial Relations 112

113 In Millions Civilian Labor Force for Alabama Jun 2010-May 2011in Millions Seasonally Adjusted Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb MarAprMay Source: Alabama Dept of Industrial Relations 113

114 Employment for Alabama in Millions In Millions Seasonally Adjusted Source: Alabama Dept of Industrial Relations 114

115 In Millions Employment for Alabama Jun 2010-May 2011in Millions Seasonally Adjusted Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb MarAprMay Source: Alabama Dept of Industrial Relations 115

116 10% Unemployment Rate for Alabama % 9.9% % Unemployed 8% 6% 4% Seasonally Adjusted 5.4% 5.1% 3.8% 3.5% 3.5% 5.4% 2% Source: U.S. Department of Labor

117 % Unemployed 11% 10% 9% 8% 9.5% 9.3% Unemployment Rate for Alabama vs United States June 2010 May 2011 Seasonally Adjusted Alabama United States 9.6% 9.1% Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb MarAprMay Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 117

118 # of Weeks U.S. Average Weeks Unemployed 1982 May Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 118

119 Per Capita Income Alabama vs U.S $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 U.S. Alabama Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis 119

120 86% Per Capita Income Alabama as Percent of U.S % 82% 80% 78% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis 120

121 Education High School or Better Regional Comparison % HS or Better US AL AR FL GA LA MS NC SC TN TX Source: U.S. Census Bureau 121

122 Unemployment Rate May 2011 Regional Comparison Unemployment Rate US AL AR FL GA LA MS NC SC TN TX Source: U.S. Census Bureau 122

123 % Pop Change Percent Population Change Regional Comparison US AL AR FL GA LA MS NC SC TN TX Source: U.S. Census Bureau 123

124 Per Capital Income in Thousands $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 Per Capita Income 2010 Regional Comparison in $Thousands $41 $39 $38 $34$33 $35 $36 $31 $33 $35 $39 US AL AR FL GA LA MS NC SC TN TX Source: U.S. Census Bureau 124

125 Alabama, Regional and National Economic Drivers Housing 125

126 Housing Statistics for Alabama YTD Apr 10 vs YTD Apr 11 YTD Apr 2010 YTD Apr 2011 % Change Total Homes Sold 11,822 10, % Avg Selling Price $138,961 $137, % Avg Days on Market % Apr 2010 only Apr 2011 only Total Homes Listed 41,007 38, % Source: Alabama Real Estate Research & Education Center 126

127 Number Home Sales Per Month Alabama Home Sales/Month ,889 Avg - 2,985 2,922 3,960 4,539 4,994 4,971 4,807 3,641 3,020 3, Source: Alabama Center for Real Estate 127

128 Ave # of Days Homes on Market Alabama Ave Days on Market Avg Source: Alabama Center for Real Estate 128

129 NEAZ Housing Statistics 2010 Area Housing Units Occupied Vacant % Vacant Alabama 2,171,854 1,883, , % Cherokee 16,217 10,626 5, % DeKalb 31,109 26,842 4, % Etowah 47,454 42,036 5, % Marshall 40,342 35,810 4, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau 129

130 % Negative by State 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: Core Logic Percent Negative Equity Mortgages by State Quarter 1, % 49.6% 46.1% 36.0% 30.9% 30.9% NV AZ FL MI CA GA 130

131 % Negative by State 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Regional Negative Equity Mortgages by State Quarter 1, % 30% 23% 10%10% 11% 15% 14% 10% 0% 0% US AL AR FL GA LA MS NC SC TN TX Source: Core Logic 131

132 GDP and Building Permits U.S. and Ala % US GDP % US Permits (mil) Ala Permits (1000) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), U.S. Census Bureau 132

133 Growth of Housing Vacancies U.S Total # of Units Vacant (mil) % of Units Vacant Source: U.S. Census Bureau 133

134 Alabama, Regional and National Economic Drivers Energy Productivity and Sector Employment Changing Employment-Population Ratio Dr. Richard Cobb, College of Commerce & Business Administration 134

135 *Cents per Kilowatt-hour Retail Price* of Electricity Alabama vs. U.S. by Sector Feb Sector Alabama U.S. AL Rank Residential Commercial Industrial All Sectors Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA) 135

136 2011 Price* of Electricity vs. Congressional Apportionment States Seats Lost Price* States Seats Gained Price* NY TX NJ GA MA SC PA FL MI AZ IL NV OH UT IA WA MO LA Avg Avg *Cents per Kilowatt-hour Source: EIA, US Census Bureau 136

137 Southeast Auto Industry GM Nissan GM GM Toyota 22 Ford Mercedes 65 Peterbilt Nissan Ford Honda 85 Toyota Hyundai Volvo/Mack Trucks Freightliner Volkswagen Freightliner Freightliner Custom GM 85 BMW Chassis Atlantic Ocean Sprinter Kia Heavy Truck Auto and Light Truck Gulf Of Mexico MILES Source: Economic Development Partnership of Alabama *Assembles Dodge Sprinter vans 137

138 U.S. Light Vehicle Sales in Millions In Millions Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, BEA 138

139 U.S. Motor Vehicle Production In Millions Source: International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA) 139

140 Alabama Motor Vehicle Production In Thousands Source: Economic Development Partnership of Alabama (EDPA), Alabama Automotive Manufacturers Association (AAMA) 140

141 Motor Vehicle Issues Ethanol Blending Requirements Ethanol Blending Bill Gal Ethanol Blended % Source: EIA 141

142 Alabama, Regional and National Economic Drivers Changes in Sector Employment Workforce Dynamics 142

143 U.S. Employment by Sector in Millions Employment in Millions Goods Prof/Bus Gov Manuf. Edu/Health Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 143

144 Alabama Employment by Sector in 1,000s Employment in 1,000s Professional/Business Education/Health Government Manufacturing Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 144

145 U.S. Construction Employment in Millions Employment in Millions Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 145

146 Employment in Thousands Alabama Construction Employment in Thousands Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 146

147 Employment Population Ratio for U.S % of Population Employed Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 147

148 Employment Population Ratio for Alabama % of Population Employed Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 148

149 NEAZ & Alabama: Summary Population Census Up Regional Pop Growth Steady Employment Down Unemploy Rate Up Education Regional Avg. Income Regional Avg. Housing Improved Electricity Cost Average Auto Base Growing Auto Fuel Uncertainty Sector Employment Risk Workforce Demographic Population Ratio Trend 149