National and Regional Update Charlotte Chapter of American Association of Individual Investors, Sept. 14, Rick Kaglic Senior Regional Economist
|
|
|
- May Summers
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 National and Regional Update Charlotte Chapter of American Association of Individual Investors, Sept. 14, 2013 Rick Kaglic Senior Regional Economist
2 A Quick Disclaimer 2
3 Real Gross Domestic Product Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Product Personal Consumption Expenditures Nonresidential Fixed Investment Structures Equipment Intellectual Property Residential Fixed Investment Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers LEVEL IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2009) Dollars]: Change in Private Inventories Net Exports of Goods & Services Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 3
4 Real Gross Domestic Product Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Product Personal Consumption Expenditures Nonresidential Fixed Investment Structures Equipment Intellectual Property Residential Fixed Investment Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers LEVEL IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2009) Dollars]: Change in Private Inventories Net Exports of Goods & Services Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 4
5 Real Gross Domestic Product Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Product Personal Consumption Expenditures Nonresidential Fixed Investment Structures Equipment Intellectual Property Residential Fixed Investment Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers LEVEL IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2009) Dollars]: Change in Private Inventories Net Exports of Goods & Services Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 5
6 Real Gross Domestic Product Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Product Personal Consumption Expenditures Nonresidential Fixed Investment Structures Equipment Intellectual Property Residential Fixed Investment Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers LEVEL IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2009) Dollars]: Change in Private Inventories Net Exports of Goods & Services Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 6
7 Real Gross Domestic Product Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Product Personal Consumption Expenditures Nonresidential Fixed Investment Structures Equipment Intellectual Property Residential Fixed Investment Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers LEVEL IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2009) Dollars]: Change in Private Inventories Net Exports of Goods & Services Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 7
8 Real Gross Domestic Product Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER AT COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE [Percent]: Gross Domestic Product Personal Consumption Expenditures Nonresidential Fixed Investment Structures Equipment Intellectual Property Residential Fixed Investment Exports of Goods & Services Imports of Goods & Services Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment Final Sales to Domestic Purchasers LEVEL IN QUARTER AT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE [Billions of Chained (2009) Dollars]: Change in Private Inventories Net Exports of Goods & Services Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 8
9 Real Gross Domestic Product Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate Q2 2.5% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 9
10 ISM: Business Survey Indexes MANUFACTURING BUSINESS: NONMANUFACTURING BUSINESS: July Aug. July Aug. Purchasing Managers Index NonManufacturing Index Production Business Activity New Orders New Orders Employment Employment Supplier Deliveries Supplier Deliveries Inventories Inventories Prices Prices Backlog of Orders Backlog of Orders New Export Orders New Export Orders Imports Imports DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management/Haver Analytics 10
11 ISM: Business Survey Indexes MANUFACTURING BUSINESS: NONMANUFACTURING BUSINESS: July Aug. July Aug. Purchasing Managers Index NonManufacturing Index Production Business Activity New Orders New Orders Employment Employment Supplier Deliveries Supplier Deliveries Inventories Inventories Prices Prices Backlog of Orders Backlog of Orders New Export Orders New Export Orders Imports Imports DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management/Haver Analytics 11
12 ISM: Business Survey Indexes MANUFACTURING BUSINESS: NONMANUFACTURING BUSINESS: July Aug. July Aug. Purchasing Managers Index NonManufacturing Index Production Business Activity New Orders New Orders Employment Employment Supplier Deliveries Supplier Deliveries Inventories Inventories Prices Prices Backlog of Orders Backlog of Orders New Export Orders New Export Orders Imports Imports DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management/Haver Analytics 12
13 ISM: Business Survey Indexes MANUFACTURING BUSINESS: NONMANUFACTURING BUSINESS: July Aug. July Aug. Purchasing Managers Index NonManufacturing Index Production Business Activity New Orders New Orders Employment Employment Supplier Deliveries Supplier Deliveries Inventories Inventories Prices Prices Backlog of Orders Backlog of Orders New Export Orders New Export Orders Imports Imports DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management/Haver Analytics 13
14 ISM: Business Survey Indexes MANUFACTURING BUSINESS: NONMANUFACTURING BUSINESS: July Aug. July Aug. Purchasing Managers Index NonManufacturing Index Production Business Activity New Orders New Orders Employment Employment Supplier Deliveries Supplier Deliveries Inventories Inventories Prices Prices Backlog of Orders Backlog of Orders New Export Orders New Export Orders Imports Imports DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management/Haver Analytics 14
15 Nonfarm Payroll Employment Millions of Persons August 136 mil Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics 15
16 Civilian Unemployment Rate Percent August 7.3% 6.5% Threshold FOMC Forecast Notes: FOMC forecast is the central tendency for the Q4 levels, from the June meeting Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Board of Governors, Haver Analytics 16
17 Civilian Unemployment Rate 19 Percent Official Aug Plus Marginally Attached Plus Involuntarily Part-Time 13.7% % % Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics 17
18 Gauges of Inflation Expenditure Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: June July YoY % Personal Consumption Expenditures Core (excludes Food* and Energy) Consumer Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: June July YoY % All Items Core (excludes Food and Energy) Producer Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: June July YoY % Finished Goods Core (excludes Food and Energy) Core Intermediate Goods Crude Goods Spot Commodity Price Index [Percent Change from Previous Month]: July Aug. YoY % CRB Spot Commodity Price Index Notes: Core PCE Price Index includes expenditures on food services. Source: BEA, BLS, Commodity Research Bureau, Haver Analytics 18
19 Gauges of Inflation Expenditure Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: June July YoY % Personal Consumption Expenditures Core (excludes Food* and Energy) Consumer Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: June July YoY % All Items Core (excludes Food and Energy) Producer Price Indexes [Percent Change from Previous Month at Annual Rate]: June July YoY % Finished Goods Core (excludes Food and Energy) Core Intermediate Goods Crude Goods Spot Commodity Price Index [Percent Change from Previous Month]: July Aug. YoY % CRB Spot Commodity Price Index Notes: Core PCE Price Index includes expenditures on food services. Source: BEA, BLS, Commodity Research Bureau, Haver Analytics 19
20 Regional Business Activity Diffusion Index Source: FRB/Haver Analytics 20
21 Regional Payroll Employment Index, Dec = 100 Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 21
22 Regional Payroll Employment Index, Dec = 100 Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 22
23 Regional Payroll Employment Index, Dec = 100 Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 23
24 Regional Payroll Employment Index, Dec = 100 Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 24
25 Regional Payroll Employment Index, Dec = 100 Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 25
26 Unemployment Rates Percent Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 26
27 Labor Force Index, Dec = 100 Source: BLS/Haver Analytics 27
28 In Conclusion 28
29 The views expressed here are those of the author, and do not necessarily represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond or the Federal Reserve System.
National Economic Indicators. May 7, 2018
National Economic Indicators May 7, 18 Table of Contents GDP Release Date Latest Period Page Table: Real Gross Domestic Product Apr-7-18 8:31 Q1-18 Real Gross Domestic Product Apr-7-18 8:31 Q1-18 5 Decomposition
National Economic Indicators. December 11, 2017
National Economic Indicators December 11, 17 Table of Contents GDP Release Date Latest Period Page Table: Real Gross Domestic Product Nov-9-17 8:3 Q3-17 Real Gross Domestic Product Nov-9-17 8:3 Q3-17 5
An Update on Economic Conditions. January 5, 2010
An Update on Economic Conditions Raymond Owens January 5, 21 Real Gross Domestic Product 8 7 6 5 4 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate 3 Q3 2.2% 2 1-1 -2-3 -4-5 -6-7 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
United States. GDP Growth Annualized Percentage Change. Industrial Production Annualized Percentage Change
Output Indicators GDP Growth Annualized Percentage Change Industrial Production Annualized Percentage Change 0 2 4 6 2.3-5 0 5 4.5 GDP Growth Industrial Production 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 2.9-4 -2
U.S. & District Economic Outlook
U.S. & District Economic Outlook Nebraska LEAD Program February 5, 2015 Jason Brown Senior Economist The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily reflect the positions of the Federal
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies Sam Chapman Associate Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily
U.S. & Missouri Economic Outlook
U.S. & Missouri Economic Outlook Missouri Government Finance Officers Association Jason Brown Economist The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily reflect the positions of the
Real Gross Domestic Product
Real Gross Domestic Product 6 5 4 3 2 1 0-1 -2-3 -4-5 -6-7 -8-9 Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate Q3 4.1% 6 5 4 3 2 1 0-1 -2-3 -4-5 -6-7 -8-9 -10 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
The President s Report to the Board of Directors
The President s Report to the Board of Directors April 4, 214 Current Economic Developments - April 4, 214 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy was a bit stronger in the fourth
Trends and Transitory Shocks
EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27 AT 7:00 P.M.; OR UPON DELIVERY Trends and Transitory Shocks Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston September 27, 2017 The Money Marketeers
A summary of regional and national economic indicators for the Tenth District states SUMMARY OF CURRENT TENTH DISTRICT ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Tenth THE District ECONOMIC DATABOOK A summary of regional and national economic indicators for the states FEBRUARY 26, 218 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of KANSAS CITY SUMMARY OF CURRENT TENTH DISTRICT ECONOMIC
The relatively slow growth of employment has
NationalEconomicTrends August Please go to researchstlouisfedorg/publications/net for important information about your subscription Labor s Share The relatively slow growth of employment has been a prominent
Economic Indicators For Manufacturing Executives
Economic Indicators For Manufacturing Executives Valuable Data for a Complex World Presented by: Cliff Waldman Chief Economist, MAPI Foundation cwaldman@mapi.net Today s Presentation The Value of Economic
U.S. Economy and Financial Markets
U.S. Economy and Financial Markets Economic Growth and Output Business Income and Finance Business Inventory Business Investment Consumption Housing Investment Income and Savings U.S. Aggregate Demand
U.S. Economic Outlook
U.S. Economic Outlook Daniel Cooper Federal Reserve Bank of Boston October 14, 2015 The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal
The U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook Gering/Scottsbluff Economic Forum August 23, 216 George A. Kahn Vice President and Economist The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions
National & Colorado. Economic Update. Alison Felix Economist & Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch
National & Colorado Economic Update Alison Felix Economist & Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily reflect
Real GDP Growth Compounded annual rates of change. Consumer Price Index Percent change
National Economic Trends Real Gross Domestic Product (DISCONTINUED) Real GDP Growth Compounded annual rates of change 6 5 Compounded Annual Rate of Change 4 3 2 1-1 Q1 214 Q1 215 Q1 216 Q1 217 195 196
The Federal Reserve has set the target range for the federal
NationalEconomicTrends October Monetary Policy Stance: The View from Consumption Spending The Federal Reserve has set the target range for the federal funds at to 5 percent and intends to keep this near
National and Virginia Economic Outlook
National and Virginia Economic Outlook Association of Electric Cooperatives September 29, 215 Sonya Ravindranath Waddell Regional Economist Research Department The views and opinions expressed herein are
NationalEconomicTrends
NationalEconomicTrends January 00 Stag-nations Economic growth in the United States has slowed substantially since the days of rapid expansion during the mid to late 1990s. According to preliminary estimates,
334 Appendix B. Fixed investment. Gross domestic product (percent change) Change in private inventories. Year or quarter. Nonresidential Residential
2010 Table B 5. Contributions to percent change in real gross domestic product, 1960 2009 Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment Gross domestic product (percent change) Goods
With the tax filing season in full swing, these summary
NationalEconomicTrends March Income Taxes: Who Pays and How Much? With the tax filing season in full swing, these summary figures may provide some perspective on the issue of who is paying federal individual
Economic Update Adrienne C. Slack March 2017
Economic Update Adrienne C. Slack March 2017 The views expressed are mine, and not necessarily those of the Atlanta Fed or the Federal Reserve System. 2 The Fed s Dual Mandate The Fed is pursuing two objectives
Decline in Economic Activity Larger Than Advance GDP Estimate February 27, 2009
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 5 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois 663 northerntrust.com Asha G. Bangalore agb3@ntrs.com Decline in Economic Activity Larger Than Advance GDP Estimate February 27,
There has been considerable discussion of the possibility
NationalEconomicTrends February Housing and the R Word There has been considerable discussion of the possibility that ongoing troubles in the housing market could push the economy into recession 1 But
On October 4, 2006, President Bush signed the
NationalEconomicTrends December Political Economy of State Homeland Security Grants On October,, President Bush signed the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Appro pri - ations Act for fiscal year 7
The chorus from Travis s 1947 song about the
NationalEconomicTrends December 7 What Do You Get for Sixteen Tons? You load sixteen tons, and what do you get? Another day older and deeper in debt Merle Travis The chorus from Travis s 197 song about
NationalEconomicTrends
NationalEconomicTrends August 1999 Historical CPI Inflation Under Current Calculation Methods During the 1990s, a much-discussed topic among policymakers and in financial markets has been the possibility
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies
Emerging Trends in the U.S. and Colorado Economies Alison Felix Economist and Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not
In the past three decades, the share of foreign-born
NationalEconomicTrends June New Views on Immigration In the past three decades, the share of foreign-born workers in US total employment has increased markedly, from percent in 197 to 1 percent in Among
House prices in the United States were 14.1 percent
NationalEconomicTrends August How Much Have US House Prices Fallen? House prices in the United States were 11 percent lower in the first quarter of than they were a year earlier, according to a widely
Sharp declines in home prices, followed by a financial
NationalEconomicTrends April Household Retrenchment Sharp declines in home prices, followed by a financial crisis and a steep recession, rattled US households in Economic misfortunes have caused many to
Will the Real Private Nonfarm Payrolls Please Stand Up?
Northern Trust Global Economic Research 50 South LaSalle Chicago, Illinois 603 northerntrust.com Paul Kasriel plk1@ntrs.com Will the Real Private Nonfarm Payrolls Please Stand Up? May 31, 20 Each month
United States. Gross Domestic Product Percent change over year-ago level. Industrial Production Index, 2010=100. Unemployment Rate Percent
United States Summary Indicators Gross Domestic Product Percent change over year-ago level Industrial Production Index, 2010=100 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 2.5 108 110 112 114 114.9 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0
Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy Enterprise Risk Management Symposium Chicago, IL September 3, 214 Spencer Krane Senior Vice President Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago The views expressed here are my
In 2010, the first of the Baby Boom generation will
NationalEconomicTrends September 7 Can Social Security Survive the Baby Boomers? In 1, the first of the Baby Boom generation will reach age Many will choose to begin what they hope will be a long and financially
Individual households and firms, as well as local, state,
NationalEconomicTrends February 9 How Accu Are Forecasts in a Recession? Individual households and firms, as well as local, state, and federal governments, make economic decisions based on their view of
NationalEconomicTrends
NationalEconomicTrends January 000 The Economic Outlook for 000: Bulls on Parade? The heartening U.S. economic performance during the past four years has seemingly benefited everyone except those in the
Michigan Economic Update
Michigan Economic Update Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Detroit Branch October 30, 2015 Paul Traub Senior Business Economist The Midwest Economy declined to -0.15 in September while Michigan s contribution
The Fed and The U.S. Economic Outlook
The Fed and The U.S. Economic Outlook Maria Luengo-Prado Senior Economist and Policy Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Boston May 13, 2016 Presentation prepared for the Telergee Alliance CFO & Controllers
Assessing the Economy s Progress
EMBARGOED UNTIL MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9, 15 AT 1: P.M. EASTERN TIME OR UPON DELIVERY Assessing the Economy s Progress Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston November 9, 15 Newport
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
NationalEconomicTrends July Using Stock Market Liquidity to Forecast Recessions The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee (the committee that dates U.S. recessions)
Since the financial crisis began in mid-2007, media
NationalEconomicTrends August Commercial Bank Lending Data during the Crisis: Handle with Care Since the financial crisis began in mid-7, media sources and academics alike have scrutinized data from the
ctrends Nominal Vs. Real Wage Growth Growth of Wages Percent Change From Year Ago August 1997
ctrends August 1997 Nominal Vs. Real Wage Growth Nominal wages, measured by nonfarm compensation per hour, grew at an average annual rate of 5.5 percent between 1947 and 1973 and 6 percent between 1973
One Policymaker s Wait for Better Economic Data
EMBARGOED UNTIL MONDAY, JUNE 1, 2015 AT 9:00 A.M. EASTERN TIME OR UPON DELIVERY One Policymaker s Wait for Better Economic Data Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston June 1,
Many analysts have argued that a housing boom preceded
NationalEconomicTrends September The Financial Services Sector: Boom and Recession Many analysts have argued that a housing boom preceded the recent financial crisis and economic slowdown Innovations in
NationalEconomicTrends
NationalEconomicTrends August 001 The Switch to NAICS Measuring economic activity when the composition and quality of goods and services being produced is rapidly changing presents a perpetual challenge.
Prospects for Returning to More Conventional Monetary Policy
EMBARGOED UNTIL TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 16, 216 AT 7:4 P.M. EASTERN TIME OR UPON DELIVERY Prospects for Returning to More Conventional Monetary Policy Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of
Recently the Federal Open Market Committee
NationalEconomicTrends Deflation, Corrosive and Otherwise Recently the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) mentioned deflation as a possible risk for the U.S. economy. In the statement released after
Economic Conditions and Outlook for the U.S. and Greater Kansas City Area
Economic Conditions and Outlook for the U.S. and Greater Kansas City Area Mid-America Planned Giving Council Kansas City, MO January 9, 215 Kelly D. Edmiston Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic
U.S. Economic Outlook
U.S. Economic Outlook WVU Economic Outlook Conference October 2, 2014 R. Andrew Bauer Senior Regional Economist Are we there yet? 2 Are we there yet? Another year of moderate growth in 2014 Consumer spending
The Outlook and Current Policy Challenges
The Outlook and Current Policy Challenges NAHEFFA Spring Conference May 7, 18 Jeff Fuhrer EVP and Senior Policy Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 1 Disclaimer: The views represented in this presentation
The U.S. economy s remarkable resilience in the face
NationalEconomicTrends May Please see page for important information about your subscription Entrepreneurship The US economy s remarkable resilience in the face of shocks arguably owes to an array of institutions
The U.S. economy has experienced sustained trend
NationalEconomicTrends October Some Incomes Are Less Average than Others The US economy has experienced sustained trend growth of GDP and a decline in the volatility of macroeconomic variables since the
U.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2018 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity 1 month % change 1.0 Real Personal Consumption
U.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2018 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity Initial Claims for Unemployment and Unemployment
U.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2018 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity New Orders for Durable Goods Billions
U.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2018 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity Initial Claims for Unemployment and Unemployment
EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EST, WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 23, 2011 BEA 11-56
NEWS RELEASE EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EST, WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 23, BEA 11-56 James Rankin: (202) 606-5301 (Personal Income) piniwd@bea.gov Kyle Brown: (202) 606-5302 (Personal Consumption Expenditures)
Economic Conditions and Outlook and Consumer Credit Conditions
Economic Conditions and Outlook and Consumer Credit Conditions NACM-CFDD Kansas City Kansas City, MO Kelly D. Edmiston Senior Economist Disclaimer This presentation reflects the views of the speaker and
The U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook November, Economic Club of Sheboygan George A. Kahn Vice President and Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Outlook themes Growth has rebounded following a soft first
Economic Update. Platts Aluminum Symposium 2014 Ft. Lauderdale, Florida January 13, Chris Oakley Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta January 2014
1 Economic Update Platts Aluminum Symposium 2014 Ft. Lauderdale, Florida January 13, 2014 Chris Oakley Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta January 2014 2 Summary of the Economic Environment 1. Economic growth
What Determines Long-Run Growth?
September 1997 What Determines Long-Run Growth? In the first quarter of 1997, real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a surprising 4.9 percent annual rate. The general consensus among economists is that
Monthly Economic Indicators And Charts
Monthly Economic Indicators And Charts June Richard F. Moody- Chief Economist Steve Pfitzer Investor Relations Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized sources believed to
The effect that housing has on the economy has received
NationalEconomicTrends May Boom & Gloom in Housing Markets: The Sequel The effect that housing has on the economy has received increased attention in recent years first for the recordhigh boom in house
U.S. Economic Update and Outlook. Laurel Graefe, REIN Director Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta October 2, 2013
1 U.S. Economic Update and Outlook Laurel Graefe, REIN Director Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta October 2, 213 Following the deepest recession since the 193s, the economic recovery is well under way, though
Economic Outlook and Forecast
Economic Outlook and Forecast Stefano Eusepi Research & Statistics Group January 2017 All views expressed are those of the author only and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
10 Economic Indicators You Need to Know. A quick cheat sheet for investors and traders
10 Economic Indicators You Need to Know A quick cheat sheet for investors and traders HALIFAX AMERICA 2016 Risk Disclosure: This document has been published strictly for education purposes. It does not
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FEDERAL RESERVE BALANCE SHEET Assets and Liabilities 2-3 REAL ESTATE Construction Spending 4 CoreLogic Home Price Index 5 Mortgage Rates and Applications 6-7 CONSUMER
Comments on: Economic Outlook for 2013 Beyond the Fiscal Cliff
Comments on: Economic Outlook for 2013 Beyond the Fiscal Cliff Marc Hayford Department of Economics December 3, 2012 Themes in the Outlook 1 st Theme: Substantial Slack in the U.S. economy 16,000 15,000
Economic Conditions and Outlook for the U.S., Kansas, and the Midwest
Economic Conditions and Outlook for the U.S., Kansas, and the Midwest Midwest Regional Public Finance Conference Wichita, KS April 25, 2014 Kelly D. Edmiston Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Overview
Charts Prepared for Beau Duncan
Charts Prepared for Beau Duncan Yardeni Research, Inc. November 3, 217 Dr. Edward Yardeni 16-972-7683 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside
A View from the Fed: Slouching toward 2016
A View from the Fed: Slouching toward 2016 28 th Annual Economic Outlook Conference, University of Alabama Culverhouse College of Commerce Montgomery, AL January 14, 2016 The views expressed are those
Virginia in the Global Economy: Current Trends and Outlook Virginia International Business Council - February 27, 2013
Virginia in the Global Economy: Current Trends and Outlook Virginia International Business Council - February 27, 2013 Ann Battle Macheras Vice President, Regional Research Overview I. National Economic
Economic Chartpack Astor Investment Manangement LLC
Economic Chartpack Astor Investment Manangement LLC April 16, 2019 name last last ref mo release date bbg survey Jobless Claims 196.00 Apr Thu, Apr 18 205.90 Retail Sales -0.20 Feb Thu, Apr 18 0.90 Markit
Nonfarm Payroll Employment
PRESIDENT'S REPORT TO THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON Current Economic Developments - June 10, 2004 Data released since your last Directors' meeting show the economy continues to
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Importance of Financial Planning There is, in fact, a direct relationship between household financial stability and the stability of the U.S. economy. Thus, the Federal Reserve
Staff GDP Forecast Summary
Staff GDP Forecast Summary Real growth: about ¾% (Q/Q) in 8 and ½% in 9. Forecast for 8 stronger than that presented at April 7 EAP. Forecasts for 8 and 9 similar to Blue Chip consensus. Outlook reflects
Banking Trends & Supervisory Update
Gladwyne Banking Trends & Supervisory Update William Spaniel Senior Vice President and Lending Officer Overview Banking Trends Regulatory Updates Regulatory Relief Resources Banking Trends Third District
U.S. Automotive Outlook
2004 FTA Revenue Estimation and Tax Research Conference September 19-22, 2004 Burlington, VT U.S. Automotive Outlook David P. Teolis Senior Economist North America Global Market & Industry Analysis Presentation
IMF Executive Board Concludes Article IV Consultation with United States
Tuesday 12 th July 2016 11:30 am International Prepared by: Ravi Kurjah, Analyst II, First Citizens Research and Analytics Ravi.Kurjah@firstcitizenstt.com IMF Executive Board Concludes Article IV Consultation
NationalEconomicTrends
NationalEconomicTrends October 001 Give Me Your Skilled. A previous issue of National Economic Trends (January 001) identified the role of immigration in sustaining the rate of U.S. population growth in
Monthly Economic Indicators And Charts
Monthly Economic Indicators And Charts December 17 Richard F. Moody- Chief Economist Steve Pfitzer Investor Relations Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized sources believed
National and Regional Economic Update
National and Regional Economic Update Philadelphia Chapter of the Financial Planning Association May 11, 2016 Gary A. Wagner, Ph.D.* FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF PHILADELPHIA * The views expressed today are
The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and Monetary Policy
EMBARGOED UNTIL WEDNESDAY, APRIL 19 AT 12:30 P.M.; OR UPON DELIVERY The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet and Monetary Policy Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston April 19, 2017
Weekly Economic Commentary
LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH Weekly Economic Commentary May 29, 2012 Policymakers, Pundits, and Politicians Eye the May Jobs Report John Canally, CFA Economist LPL Financial Highlights The May jobs report is
U.S. and Regional Economic Conditions and Outlook
U.S. and Regional Economic Conditions and Outlook CFA Society of Nebraska Omaha, NE January 14, 215 Kelly D. Edmiston Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Outline Structure and Role of the Federal Reserve
Economic Highlights. ISM Purchasing Managers Index 1. Sixth District Payroll Employment by Industry 2. Contributions to Real GDP Growth 3
December 1, 2010 Economic Highlights Manufacturing ISM Purchasing Managers Index 1 Employment Sixth District Payroll Employment by Industry 2 Economic Activity Contributions to Real GDP Growth 3 Prices
National and Maryland Economic Outlook
National and Maryland Economic Outlook Sandy Spring Bank Briefing May 28, 2014 R. Andrew Bauer Senior Regional Economist What to expect in 2014 2 What to expect in 2014 Moderate economic growth in the
Policymakers at the Federal Reserve wage preemptive
NationalEconomicTrends February The Long-Run Benefits of Sustained Low Inflation Policymakers at the Federal Reserve wage preemptive wars against inflation; that is, they tend to tighten monetary policy
U.S. Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
U.S. Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy March 26, 21 Craig S. Hakkio Senior Vice President and Special Advisor on Economic Policy Overview U.S. growth remains strong, though temporary factors are likely
EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EDT, FRIDAY, MAY 31, 2013 BEA 13-22
NEWS RELEASE EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EDT, FRIDAY, MAY 31, 2013 BEA 13-22 James Rankin: (202) 606-5301 (Personal Income) piniwd@bea.gov Harvey Davis: (202) 606-5302 (Personal Consumption Expenditures)
The Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, and Economic Indicators
The Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, and Economic Indicators Megan Williams Associate Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Oklahoma City Branch The Creation of the Fed The first two national
HANDBOOK OF CYCLICAL INDICATORS
HANDBOOK OF CYCLICAL INDICATORS A Supplement To The Business Conditions Digest BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS George Jaszi, Director Allan H. Young, Deputy Director Beatrice N. Vaccara, Associate Director
Emerging Trends in the Regional Economy
Emerging Trends in the Regional Economy Alison Felix Economist & Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Denver Branch The views expressed are those of the presenter and do not necessarily
Demystifying Economic Indicators
Demystifying Economic Indicators Jonathan Jackson, CFA Advisor, Catalyst Strategic Solutions 1 Agenda: Discuss the most influential economic indicators. Look at why these economic indicators can move markets
Leeds Business Confidence Index
Second Quarter 2018 Volume 11, number 2 colorado.edu/business/brd Leeds Business Confidence Steady Ahead of Q2 2018 The Leeds Business Confidence Index (LBCI) captures Colorado business leaders expectations
The Outlook for the U.S. Economy National Association of Credit Union Supervisory and Auditing Committees Annual Conference and Expo Louisville, KY
The Outlook for the U.S. Economy National Association of Credit Union Supervisory and Auditing Committees Annual Conference and Expo Louisville, KY Kevin L. Kliesen Business Economist and Research Officer
Economic Research. Understanding US Economic Statistics B Sixth Edition February, Edward F. McKelvey, Editor
Economic Research Understanding US Economic Statistics Sixth Edition February, 2008 Edward F. McKelvey, Editor B 356174 Important disclosures appear on the back cover of this publication. Table of Contents