Real Gross Domestic Product

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2 Real Gross Domestic Product Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate Q3 4.1% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

3 Disposable Personal Income and Expenditures Month % Change Real Disposable Personal Income November Real Personal Consumption Expenditure Month over Month % Change September October November Income Expenditures Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics

4 US Income Distribution

5 Single-Family Home Sales 5.5 Millions of Homes November 4.3 mil Average Annual Existing Home Sales: 1990 through Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

6 Private Single-Family Housing Starts & Permits 1.4 Millions of Starts & Permits Average Housing Starts Starts November Permits Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

7 Private Multi-Family Housing Starts & Permits 0.7 Millions of Starts & Permits Permits November Average Multi-Family Starts Starts Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

8 Real Private Nonresidential Construction Put in Place $, Billions Twelve-Month Moving Average November Notes: Deflated using the price index for private fixed investment in nonresidential structures. Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

9 Core Capital Goods 75 Current $, Billions New Orders November Shipments Notes: Core capital goods are nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft. Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

10 Balance of International Trade -20 Current $, Billions November -$34 bil Six-Month Moving Average Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics

11 CBO Long Term Budget Outlook

12 Civilian Unemployment Rate Percent December 6.7% 6.5% Threshold FOMC Forecast Notes: FOMC forecast is the central tendency for the Q4 levels, from the October meeting Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Board of Governors, Haver Analytics

13 Civilian Labor Force Participation Percent of Population Participation Rate, Age-Adjusted Participation Rate December

14 Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index Month % Change FOMC Forecast % Longer-run Target November.9% Notes: FOMC forecast is the central tendency for Q4/Q4 percent changes, from the October 28-29, 2013 meeting. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Board of Governors, Haver Analytics

15 Capital Market Rates 10.5 Percent Corporate BBB Bond Rate 30 Year Conventional Mortgage Rate January 10th Yr. Treasury Bond Rate Corporate AAA Bond Rate Source: BofA Merrill Lynch, Board of Governors, Haver Analytics

16 North Carolina Industry Structure 2012 Natural Resources & Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Services 13.4 Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Other Services 3.6 Government U.S. North Carolina Employment Share (Percent) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

17 South Carolina Industry Structure Natural Resources and Mining Construction Manufacturing 8.9 Trade, Transportation & Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Other Services Government 2012 U.S. South Carolina Employment Share (Percent) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

18 North Carolina Location Quotients

19 South Carolina Location Quotients

20 North Carolina Industry Growth November 2013 Total Natural Resources & Mining Construction Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Information 0.0 Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Other Services Government U.S. North Carolina Percent 7.5 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

21 South Carolina Industry Growth Total Natural Resources & Mining Construction 3.0 Manufacturing Trade, Transportation & Utilities Information Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Other Services -2.6 Government November U.S. South Carolina Percent 6.1 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

22 North Carolina Initial Unemployment Claims 160, , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

23 South Carolina Initial Unemployment Claims 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15, Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

24 North Carolina Unemployment Rate U.S. North Carolina Percent November 2013 US: 7.0% NC: 7.4% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

25 South Carolina Unemployment Rate U.S. South Carolina Percent November 2013 US: 7.0% SC: 7.1% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics

26 North Carolina Labor Force Participation Labor Force Participation Rate, North Carolina SA, % 70 Labor Force Participation Rate, United States SA, % Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics /Haver Analytics 01/21/14 60

27 South Carolina Labor Force Participation Labor Force Participation Rate, South Carolina SA, % 68 Labor Force Participation Rate, United States SA, % Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics /Haver Analytics 01/21/14 58

28 Income Distribution

29 Housing Starts and Home Prices Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics

30 Commercial Real Estate Markets

31 Survey Comparison Richmond Manufacturing Survey and ISM Manufacturing Survey Richmond Manufacturing Survey (Left Axis) ISM Manufacturing (Right Axis) Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond/Institute of Supply Management

32 Survey Comparison Richmond Service Sector Survey and ISM Nonmanufacturing Survey Richmond Service Sector Survey (Left Axis) ISM Nonmanufacturing (Right Axis) Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond/Institute of Supply Management

33 Carolinas Survey

34 Federal Spending by State VA $54.82 Billions ($) MD $27.28 DC $18.56 Total U.S.: $456,637,074,295 Fifth District: $113,481,733,961 Fifth District Share of Total Spending: 24.9% SC $6.30 NC $5.38 WV $1.14 VA CA TX MD PA DC FL MA MO AZ WA CT IL CO AL NY TN GA OH NM NJ MS KY SC MI NC LA IN UT WI OK NV HI MN AK ID KS NH ME IO OR WV AR NE ND RI PR SD GU MT DE VT WY VI AE MP AS MH MC PW OI UKN Source: USASpending.gov

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