Polling Methodological note October 2018

Transcription

1 Polling Methodological note October 2018 The Kantar TNS Rearch Exprs Online Omnibus interviewed a reprentative sample of 1,128 adults in Great Britain between the 11 th and 15 th October All interviews were conducted as online self-completion. The Kantar TNS Rearch Exprs us the Lightspeed accs panel as its sample source. The data was weighted to match population totals for age, gender, working status, 2017 General Election voting patterns, 2016 EU referendum voting patterns, education, region, and likelihood to vote in the next General Election. Further details on the weighting are given on page three. Voting intentions The voting intention figur provided aim to show the current political opinion of the nation rather than to accurately predict the outcome of the next General Election. Uncertainty All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sourc of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party s support li within 4 points of the timat provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points. Sampling variance We have timated the sampling variation in our voting intention timat using the methodology proposed by Kuha and Sturgis ( ). Bootstrap rampling was used to draw fifty sets of rpondents from the achieved sample (in a way which matched the quota sampling dign), each of the new sampl was weighted and we then used the distribution of timat (from the rampl) to calculate margins of error (the range containing all but the two most extreme rample rults). e Party = 36.9% % Labour Party = 32.9% % e lead over Labour = -1.7%pts %pts 1 See: and Kantar Public UK is a member of the British Polling Council and abid by its rul.

2 Brexit Confidence Index Rpondents were asked about the impact (positive, negative, no effect) they expect Brexit to have on the following areas: the price of things they buy the standard of care in the NHS the standard of schools where you live the mix of people in their local area your job and career opportuniti The Brexit Confidence Index is a summary of the public mood across the different areas. The index is calculated by subtracting the proportion who think there will be at least some negative effects due to Brexit and no positive effects from the proportion that think that there will be at least some positive effects due to Brexit and no negative effects. Oct-18 Sep-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Nov-17 Unweighted base ,044 Positive effects, no negative effects 25% 23% 23% 24% 24% Mixed effects 25% 20% 24% 25% 18% Negative effects, no positive effects 39% 43% 44% 39% 44% No effects 12% 14% 9% 9% 14% Sentiment Index = "Negative effects, no positive effects" - "Positive effects, no negative effects" -14% -20% -21% -15% -21% Kantar Public UK is a member of the British Polling Council and abid by its rul.

3 Weighting Weights have been applied to the sample to ensure that it is reprentative of the general public in Great Britain aged 18+. The sourc for the population totals are provided in each table. Gender* and working status Source: Annual Population Survey (Apr 2016-Mar 2017) Unweighted count Weighted count Male working Male not working Female working Female not working *Those reporting an other gender are randomly allocated to male or female. Gender* and age Source: ONS Mid Year-2016 Population Estimat: Unweighted count Weighted count Male Male Male Male Male Male Female Female Female Female Female Female *Those reporting an other gender are randomly allocated to male or female. Kantar Public UK is a member of the British Polling Council and abid by its rul.

4 Region Source: ONS Mid Year-2016 Population Estimat: Unweighted count Weighted count North East England North Wt England Yorkshire & Humber East Midlands Wt Midlands East of England London South East England South Wt England Wal Scotland Education by age Source: Annual Population Survey April March 2017 Unweighted count Weighted count Aged with a degree Aged with a degree Aged with a degree Other Vote in the 2016 EU referendum* Source: EU referendum & ONS Mid Year-2016 Population Estimat Unweighted percentage Weighted percentage Remain 41% 31% Leave 41% 34% Did not vote 18% 35% *An imputed rponse is given for those that prefer not to say who they voted for in the referendum. Kantar Public UK is a member of the British Polling Council and abid by its rul.

5 Vote in the 2017 General Election* Source: General Election & ONS Mid Year-2016 Population Estimat Unweighted percentage Weighted percentage England - Labour 26% 23% England - e 30% 25% England - Lib Dem 7% 4% England - Other 6% 3% England - No vote 17% 32% Scotland - Labour 2% 1% Scotland - e 2% 2% Scotland - SNP 2% 2% Scotland - Other <0.5% <0.5% Scotland - No vote 1% 3% Wal - Labour 2% 2% Wal - e 1% 1% Wal - PC <0.5% <0.5% Wal - Other 1% <0.5% Wal - No vote <0.5% 2% *An imputed rponse is given for those that prefer not to say who they voted for in the 2017 General Election. Likelihood to Vote in General Election We have timated the likelihood that each rpondent will vote in the next General Election. This value is based on rpondents stated intention to vote, their age and whether they voted in the last general election. The expected population turnout has been included as a population total in the weighting matrix. This turnout has been timated based on the relationship between sample and population turnout rat in the 2017 general election. Unweighted percentage Weighted percentage Estimated Voting Age Population turnout if General Election were to be held tomorrow 81% 60% The model was developed using data from rpondents that participated in Kantar Public polls immediately prior to the 2017 general election and immediately after the election. Further details Please contact Luke Taylor luke.taylor@kantarpublic.com for further details on the methodology used in this polling. Kantar Public UK is a member of the British Polling Council and abid by its rul.

6 Gelikely.If the UK General Election were to be held tomorrow, do you think you would... Pg 3 Tb T2 Definitely vote (4) Probably vote (3) Probably not vote (2) Definitely not vote (1) Or would you prefer not to say? NET:definitely or probably NET:definitely or probably not Mean score Standard Deviation % 39% 39% 7% 20% 21% 38% 59% 69% 67% 64% 46% 52% 1% 54% 61% 6% * * C* CDE* CDEF* CDEF M M ** M* P P % 16% 19% 21% 21% 20% 17% 19% 12% 19% 26% 14% 26% 12% 19% 19% 15% * * * * * M ** * % 23% 19% 48% 28% 27% 23% 3% 7% 6% 7% 16% 10% 42% 14% 12% 37% DEFGH* GH* GH* GH* * ** * IJL NO % 20% 20% 21% 27% 26% 23% 17% 11% 7% 2% 24% 12% 42% 13% 6% 40% * H* H* H* * ** J* IJL O NO % 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% - 2% 1% 1% 1% - - 4% * 2% 3% % 55% 58% 28% 41% 41% 55% 78% 81% 86% 90% 59% 78% 12% 73% 80% 20% * * * C* CDEF* CDEF M M ** M* P P % 43% 39% 69% 56% 53% 45% 20% 17% 13% 9% 41% 22% 83% 27% 18% 76% FGH* GH* GH* GH* * ** * IJL O NO * * * C* CDEF* CDEF M LM ** M* P NP Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

7 finalvotingintention.voting intention for next General Election Pg 74 Tb T68 Base: All adults in GB 18+ excluding those who plan not to vote & those who refuse to say who they will vote for - weighted by likelihood of turning out in the General Election e Labour Liberal Democrats SNP Green UKIP Plaid Cymru Other % 41% 41% 14% 24% 32% 38% 41% 58% 89% 4% 21% 8% 24% 60% 29% 19% * * C* C CD CDEFG JKLM J* * JL* OP * % 35% 36% 52% 57% 46% 35% 32% 22% 3% 81% 4% 3% 28% 18% 49% 45% GH* FGH* H* H IKLM * * IKL* N N* % 10% 10% 21% 6% 10% 10% 8% 12% 3% 8% 75% 6% 11% 8% 11% 13% DG* * * I IJLM* * I* * % 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 2% 7% 2% * 1% - 42% 10% 2% 6% 6% * * * * IJKM* IJ* * % 3% 4% 6% 8% 1% 7% 3% 2% 2% 3% - 11% 13% 2% 4% 7% * H* * H * IJ* IJ* * % 3% 2% 2% * 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% - 11% 6% 6% - 2% * * * * IJ* J* O * % 1% 1% - - 1% 2% 2% % 4% 1% * 5% * * * * IJ* IJ* O* % 3% * - * 3% 2% 3% 1% - 2% - 9% 4% 2% 1% 5% B * * * * IJ* I* O* Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

8 finalvotingintention.voting intention for next General Election Pg 73 Tb T67 Base: All adults in GB 18+ excluding those who plan not to vote & those who refuse to say who they will vote for e Labour Liberal Democrats SNP Green UKIP Plaid Cymru Other % 37% 38% 15% 25% 30% 35% 40% 57% 88% 4% 24% 8% 23% 58% 28% 19% * * * * C CDEFG JLM ** * J* OP * % 35% 34% 40% 55% 41% 31% 31% 21% 4% 80% 4% 3% 27% 18% 48% 37% H* FGH* H* * ILM ** * IL* N N* % 10% 12% 21% 6% 11% 9% 11% 11% 4% 9% 72% 7% 10% 7% 12% 14% D* * * * I ** * * * % 5% 5% 10% 5% 11% 2% 7% 2% * 1% - 40% 13% 2% 6% 11% * * FH* * ** IJM* IJ* N* % 5% 6% 9% 9% 1% 10% 3% 2% 2% 3% - 12% 14% 3% 5% 9% * * * H* ** I* IJ* * % 3% 4% 4% * 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 1% - 11% 6% 8% - 2% * * * * ** IJ* * O * % 2% 1% - - 1% 5% 2% % 4% * * 5% * * * * ** IJ* * * % 4% * - * 3% 3% 3% 2% - 2% - 11% 4% 3% 1% 4% B * * * * ** IJ* * * Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

9 Vote2017.The last General Election was held on 8th June Did you manage to vote in that General Election? Pg 8 Tb T7 No, did not vote Y, e Y, Labour Y, Liberal Democrat Y, SNP - Scottish National Party Y, UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) Y, Green Party Y, Plaid Cymru Other party or individual Prefer not to answer % 38% 34% 60% 46% 45% 46% 17% 16% % 17% 10% 81% GH* GH* GH* GH* * ** * IJL O NO % 25% 27% 10% 10% 16% 23% 34% 53% 100% % 28% 3% * * * * CDE* CDEFG JLM ** * OP P % 23% 25% 15% 31% 23% 23% 28% 21% - 100% % 48% 8% * * * * * ILM ** * P NP % 7% 2% 2% 8% 3% 3% 4% 5% % - - 4% 6% 4% B % 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 5% 2% % - 2% 5% * * * * * * ** IJM* P % 1% 2% * * 1% 1% 5% 1% % - 4% * - * * * * * ** IJM* OP % 1% * * 1% * 1% 1% * % - * 1% * * * * * * ** IJM* * * 1% - * - * 2% % - * * 1% * * * * * ** IJM* * * * - - * * - * % - * * % 2% 7% 11% 2% 9% 3% 5% 1% % 1% 3% A DH* * H* * * ** * Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

10 Euref.On 23rd June 2016 a referendum was held on the UK's membership of the European Union. How did you vote in this referendum? Pg 9 Tb T8 Leave Remain Did not vote Don't know % 36% 31% 10% 15% 30% 38% 44% 49% 64% 26% 30% 52% 16% 100% - - * * CD* CD* CD* CDE JM M ** JM* OP % 29% 31% 30% 33% 25% 23% 36% 34% 32% 61% 43% 41% 8% - 100% - * * * * * M IM ** M* NP % 31% 33% 48% 48% 35% 38% 17% 17% 3% 11% 27% 7% 72% % GH* GH* GH* GH* * I ** * IJL NO % 4% 5% 12% 4% 10% 1% 2% - 1% 2% - - 4% FGH* * FH* * * ** * Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

11 NewEUref.If a new referendum was held on the UK's membership of the European Union, how would you vote in this referendum? Pg 10 Tb T9 Leave Remain Would not vote Don't know % 40% 30% 11% 24% 24% 36% 46% 55% 62% 26% 26% 47% 23% 83% 9% 13% B * * * C* CDE* CDEF JM ** JM* OP % 38% 38% 48% 47% 37% 30% 41% 30% 29% 64% 55% 46% 25% 7% 85% 28% H* H* * * * IM ** M* NP N % 16% 21% 26% 15% 30% 28% 6% 11% 5% 2% - 5% 43% 6% 2% 47% GH* * DGH* GH* * ** * IJL NO % 7% 11% 14% 15% 9% 6% 7% 5% 4% 8% 19% 1% 8% 5% 3% 12% * H* * * * ** * NO Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

12 Rejoin.If the general economic situation turned out to be a lot worse after Brexit, should the UK consider re-joining the European Union? Pg 11 Tb T10 Y Maybe No Don't know % 29% 29% 30% 40% 31% 26% 33% 17% 14% 46% 25% 42% 29% 9% 54% 27% * H* H* * H* IM ** I* I NP N % 18% 20% 21% 27% 23% 21% 12% 13% 19% 19% 36% 9% 18% 16% 19% 23% * GH* * * * ** * % 40% 31% 17% 20% 29% 33% 47% 52% 59% 27% 32% 45% 24% 69% 18% 19% B * * * * CDE* CDEF JM ** M* OP % 14% 21% 32% 13% 17% 21% 9% 19% 8% 8% 6% 4% 30% 7% 8% 31% DG* * * G* * ** * IJL NO Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

13 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Summary Table Pg 12 Tb TG11 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Mean score Standard Deviation Error Variance Generating economic growth Reducing crime Invting more in health care Invting more in social care for the elderly Reducing the national debt Improving the future opportuniti of our young people through better education Stricter border controls to reduce immigration Reducing income inequality between the richt and the poort Reducing unemploym ent Renegotiati ng our position in the EU % 10% 21% 6% 6% 5% 13% 9% 7% 6% 10% % 9% 18% 7% 5% 9% 9% 8% 10% 4% 13% % 12% 9% 10% 7% 9% 6% 10% 9% 5% 13% % 10% 12% 10% 9% 12% 6% 8% 7% 5% 11% % 11% 10% 13% 8% 9% 7% 8% 10% 6% 8% % 10% 8% 10% 7% 12% 7% 9% 13% 4% 10% % 10% 7% 9% 9% 11% 7% 8% 10% 8% 8% % 8% 5% 11% 12% 11% 7% 8% 9% 8% 8% % 7% 4% 9% 13% 8% 7% 11% 10% 12% 9% % 7% 4% 7% 16% 9% 12% 11% 9% 14% 6% % 5% 2% 6% 7% 5% 21% 10% 6% 28% 3% Affordable housing

14 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Generating economic growth Pg 13 Tb T12 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 7% 6% 3% 3% 3% 8% 11% 11% 14% 6% 10% 10% 2% 7% 12% 3% * * * * * JM ** * P % 11% 5% 6% 6% 11% 9% 9% 4% 9% 6% 1% 23% 7% 10% 5% 6% B * * * * * ** IJM* % 14% 7% 4% 10% 7% 14% 8% 16% 10% 7% 14% 12% 12% 9% 12% 11% B * * * * * C ** * % 10% 9% 10% 3% 10% 10% 13% 10% 12% 10% 8% 5% 9% 10% 11% 8% * * * * D* ** * % 10% 9% 12% 12% 13% 8% 10% 6% 10% 7% 15% 15% 9% 12% 10% 8% % 7% 11% 10% 12% 7% 9% 8% 11% 8% 10% 9% 3% 10% 7% 10% 11% % 11% 12% 9% 21% 11% 12% 8% 9% 9% 14% 12% 7% 12% 12% 11% 12% * GH* * * * ** * % 10% 16% 10% 6% 22% 11% 15% 14% 12% 14% 5% 8% 13% 12% 10% 17% * * D* * * ** * % 9% 9% 23% 7% 5% 10% 9% 9% 6% 13% 5% 6% 12% 9% 10% 11% DEH* * * * * I ** * % 5% 8% 9% 8% 4% 5% 5% 8% 7% 7% 3% 6% 6% 8% 5% 5% % 6% 6% 6% 11% 9% 5% 4% 3% 3% 6% 18% 5% 7% 4% 5% 8% * H* * * * ** * Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

15 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Generating economic growth Pg 14 Tb T12 Mean score Standard Deviation B * * * C* CD* CD JM ** JM* P Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

16 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing crime Pg 15 Tb T13 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 14% 7% 12% 5% 26% 9% 4% 7% 9% 7% 6% 1% 15% 9% 8% 14% B * * DFGH* * * ** * % 9% 10% 5% 8% 12% 11% 6% 12% 12% 7% 12% 10% 8% 11% 7% 11% % 10% 13% 6% 11% 10% 13% 17% 12% 14% 12% 23% 11% 9% 13% 10% 11% % 8% 12% 13% 12% 11% 8% 9% 8% 9% 7% 7% 23% 9% 11% 7% 9% * * * * * ** IJM* % 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 13% 13% 11% 11% 12% 3% 9% 13% 10% 12% 12% % 10% 11% 9% 12% 6% 9% 11% 13% 10% 10% 7% 7% 12% 12% 9% 10% % 12% 8% 2% 10% 4% 7% 15% 20% 11% 11% 6% 6% 11% 9% 11% 12% * * * * CE* CEF ** * % 7% 10% 13% 10% 3% 12% 9% 5% 5% 13% 8% 7% 8% 9% 10% 6% * * * * * I ** * % 6% 8% 10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 11% 3% 7% 5% 6% 12% 5% * * * * * M ** * NP % 8% 5% 10% 9% 5% 10% 5% 3% 5% 6% 14% 8% 8% 4% 8% 9% % 6% 4% 9% 4% 8% 2% 5% 2% 6% 4% 9% 9% 3% 5% 6% 3% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

17 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing crime Pg 16 Tb T13 Mean score Standard Deviation * * CDG* * * J ** * O O Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

18 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Invting more in health care Pg 17 Tb T14 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 19% 21% 9% 19% 11% 34% 24% 20% 15% 26% 28% 8% 22% 21% 19% 22% * * * CEH* C* IL ** * % 16% 20% 16% 12% 16% 15% 23% 23% 19% 16% 12% 12% 20% 19% 14% 18% % 9% 10% 8% 10% 6% 9% 8% 13% 16% 8% 7% 14% 6% 12% 11% 6% * * * * * JM ** * % 11% 13% 14% 18% 6% 13% 10% 13% 10% 13% 23% 11% 12% 10% 13% 14% % 10% 9% 9% 11% 11% 9% 8% 12% 10% 8% 5% 9% 11% 11% 8% 12% % 8% 8% 7% 9% 12% 7% 7% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8% % 9% 6% 8% 9% 11% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 3% 27% 7% 8% 8% 6% * * * * * ** IJM* % 6% 4% 8% 6% 3% 3% 6% 5% 8% 5% 3% 7% 3% 5% 6% 5% % 7% 1% 5% 1% 10% 1% 4% 2% 3% 2% 6% 1% 6% 1% 5% 4% B * * FH* * * ** * N % 3% 5% 8% 2% 9% 3% 4% * 5% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% H* * H* * * ** * % 1% 3% 7% 2% 4% * * 1% 2% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

19 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Invting more in health care Pg 18 Tb T14 Mean score Standard Deviation * CE* * CDE* CE* CE L ** * O Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

20 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Invting more in social care for the elderly Pg 19 Tb T15 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 4% 7% 8% 4% 1% 1% 10% 11% 6% 7% 1% 3% 6% 6% 6% 6% * * * * EF* EF ** * % 8% 6% 7% 2% 4% 7% 9% 11% 8% 8% 11% 6% 6% 9% 8% 4% * * * * * D ** * % 9% 12% 7% 11% 7% 10% 19% 8% 10% 14% 8% 10% 8% 10% 13% 9% * * * * H* ** * % 11% 10% 7% 11% 6% 13% 12% 12% 14% 10% 11% 10% 9% 14% 10% 8% % 13% 13% 5% 10% 9% 23% 12% 13% 9% 12% 17% 15% 16% 13% 12% 14% * * * CDE* * ** * % 8% 12% 5% 13% 7% 12% 13% 11% 8% 13% 6% 24% 9% 10% 12% 10% * * * * * ** IM* % 8% 10% 14% 5% 12% 11% 6% 10% 12% 10% 4% 8% 7% 11% 10% 6% % 15% 8% 24% 11% 15% 4% 8% 11% 15% 6% 1% 5% 16% 9% 14% 12% B FGH* * F* * * J ** * J % 10% 9% 8% 15% 15% 9% 3% 6% 7% 8% 22% 8% 10% 5% 6% 16% * G* G* * * ** * NO % 7% 7% 7% 9% 11% 7% 3% 5% 6% 5% 12% 10% 7% 8% 3% 8% O % 7% 6% 8% 8% 11% 3% 6% 3% 5% 6% 8% 2% 7% 5% 6% 6% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

21 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Invting more in social care for the elderly Pg 20 Tb T15 Mean score Standard Deviation * * * E* CDEF* CDE ** * P Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

22 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing the national debt Pg 21 Tb T16 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 9% 3% 4% 9% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 4% 18% 10% 5% 6% 6% 7% B % 5% 6% 2% 4% 3% 7% 6% 8% 6% 3% 2% 6% 6% 5% 7% 5% % 8% 6% 11% 9% 10% 5% 2% 6% 8% 7% 5% 3% 8% 8% 7% 6% % 11% 8% 12% 7% 15% 5% 9% 8% 7% 8% 2% 11% 11% 8% 9% 11% % 9% 6% 5% 6% 7% 7% 10% 9% 10% 6% 8% 2% 7% 9% 7% 6% % 8% 6% 15% 7% 6% 4% 4% 8% 9% 6% 8% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% G % 8% 10% 10% 9% 13% 9% 10% 6% 14% 6% 17% 5% 8% 11% 12% 5% * * * * * J ** * P % 12% 11% 8% 13% 14% 13% 11% 11% 11% 14% 8% 16% 12% 13% 9% 13% % 12% 15% 8% 16% 10% 23% 10% 11% 11% 10% 13% 7% 16% 13% 8% 18% * * * CEGH* * ** * O % 12% 20% 14% 11% 12% 13% 20% 25% 13% 26% 4% 14% 15% 15% 20% 15% A * * * * * DE IM ** * % 7% 8% 12% 9% 4% 6% 11% 4% 4% 11% 15% 20% 5% 7% 10% 6% * * * * * IM ** IM* Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

23 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing the national debt Pg 22 Tb T16 Mean score Standard Deviation B * * * * * J ** * J Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

24 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Improving the future opportuniti of our young people through better education Pg 23 Tb T17 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 5% 5% 9% 8% 5% 3% 3% 6% 6% 6% 2% - 3% 4% 8% 3% % 6% 11% 8% 11% 14% 7% 7% 6% 6% 10% 14% 4% 7% 8% 8% 7% % 10% 7% 23% 9% 8% 10% 5% 5% 8% 7% 6% 4% 12% 6% 10% 10% DEGH % 12% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 13% 11% 7% 16% 3% 14% 13% 11% 12% 13% * * * * * I ** * % 8% 11% 4% 14% 7% 12% 6% 11% 13% 8% 25% 3% 7% 11% 9% 10% % 13% 11% 2% 4% 16% 14% 16% 14% 16% 11% 9% 10% 10% 17% 12% 6% * * CD* C* CD* CD ** * P % 14% 9% 14% 9% 10% 13% 12% 9% 9% 13% 12% 14% 12% 11% 12% 11% % 9% 13% 3% 11% 7% 12% 14% 14% 11% 10% 9% 8% 13% 10% 8% 16% % 8% 8% 7% 9% 8% 3% 12% 10% 9% 5% 13% 17% 8% 8% 7% 9% * * * * F* F ** J* % 10% 8% 14% 7% 8% 10% 10% 8% 10% 8% 1% 23% 9% 11% 11% 6% * * * * * ** IJM* % 5% 6% 3% 6% 6% 8% 3% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 6% 4% 4% 9% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

25 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Improving the future opportuniti of our young people through better education Pg 24 Tb T17 Mean score Standard Deviation G* * * * * L L ** * L Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

26 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Stricter border controls to reduce immigration Pg 25 Tb T18 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 9% 16% 14% 10% 9% 9% 12% 21% 24% 5% 9% 10% 10% 24% 5% 8% A * * * * * EF JM ** * OP % 9% 9% 5% 12% 9% 8% 5% 13% 11% 10% 10% 6% 8% 13% 6% 9% * * * * * G ** * O % 6% 5% 1% 3% 9% 5% 8% 6% 8% 4% 2% 26% 3% 9% 4% 4% * * * * * ** IJM* O % 6% 6% 2% 5% 2% 8% 12% 4% 7% 5% 8% 4% 5% 8% 4% 6% * * * * EH* ** * % 7% 7% 4% 8% 11% 6% 5% 6% 7% 7% 5% 3% 7% 5% 9% 6% % 9% 5% 7% 11% 9% 7% 6% 3% 7% 5% 26% 10% 5% 7% 6% 8% % 9% 5% 8% 7% 5% 9% 10% 4% 4% 8% 2% 4% 10% 9% 5% 6% % 8% 6% 11% 5% 12% 6% 3% 7% 6% 8% 13% 1% 6% 5% 8% 5% % 6% 7% 7% 4% 3% 9% 9% 7% 6% 9% 1% 11% 6% 5% 8% 7% % 10% 13% 11% 15% 10% 12% 12% 11% 9% 11% 11% 1% 16% 6% 14% 16% N N % 21% 20% 30% 21% 21% 22% 18% 18% 11% 29% 13% 24% 23% 8% 31% 25% * * * * * I ** * I N N Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

27 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Stricter border controls to reduce immigration Pg 26 Tb T18 Mean score Standard Deviation * * * * * CF JM ** J* OP Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

28 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing income inequality between the richt and the poort Pg 27 Tb T19 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 10% 8% 11% 11% 7% 11% 13% 3% 4% 15% 7% 17% 7% 8% 12% 5% * * * * H* IM ** I* P % 9% 8% 12% 12% 12% 6% 5% 5% 6% 10% 3% 11% 10% 8% 11% 7% % 7% 12% 4% 8% 14% 13% 9% 10% 6% 11% 1% 4% 14% 7% 10% 13% I % 9% 8% 7% 6% 12% 7% 6% 10% 5% 9% 9% 2% 11% 7% 6% 12% % 8% 9% 16% 8% 6% 4% 13% 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 6% 10% F* * * * F* ** * % 9% 8% 14% 6% 9% 10% 6% 9% 8% 10% 8% 6% 8% 8% 9% 10% % 7% 8% 10% 12% 6% 3% 9% 10% 8% 8% 13% 6% 8% 6% 8% 11% % 9% 7% 5% 16% 3% 11% 5% 7% 10% 8% 22% 8% 6% 9% 8% 8% * EG* * * * ** * % 10% 12% 9% 4% 12% 15% 13% 12% 13% 8% 6% 20% 10% 16% 11% 7% * * * D* * ** * P % 9% 12% 7% 6% 10% 10% 11% 18% 18% 7% 14% 9% 8% 15% 9% 8% * * * * * D JM ** * % 11% 9% 6% 11% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 7% 9% 8% 11% 9% 11% 9% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

29 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing income inequality between the richt and the poort Pg 28 Tb T19 Mean score Standard Deviation H* H* H* * * I ** I* I N Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

30 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing unemployment Pg 29 Tb T20 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 5% 9% 15% 5% 14% 3% 6% 3% 3% 7% - 19% 9% 4% 6% 10% FH* * FH* * * ** IJ* % 13% 6% 15% 15% 5% 15% 8% 2% 7% 12% 11% 3% 12% 4% 13% 14% B H* H* * H* * ** * N N % 7% 10% 12% 8% 13% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% 5% 6% 10% 11% 5% 10% O % 7% 7% 13% 10% 8% 6% 2% 7% 11% 7% 5% 7% 5% 6% 10% 5% G % 8% 12% 9% 9% 12% 10% 9% 10% 6% 13% 6% 7% 12% 9% 11% 10% * * * * * I ** * % 13% 14% 9% 10% 14% 15% 17% 13% 13% 10% 6% 16% 16% 11% 12% 16% % 8% 13% 3% 12% 7% 12% 10% 15% 11% 14% 25% 11% 7% 12% 11% 10% * * * * * C ** * % 9% 9% 1% 8% 7% 13% 10% 10% 9% 10% 8% 12% 7% 9% 12% 6% * * * C* * ** * % 12% 8% 9% 11% 5% 7% 15% 12% 13% 9% 18% 8% 9% 14% 8% 8% * * * * E* ** * O % 10% 8% 10% 8% 9% 7% 10% 10% 12% 8% 7% 9% 7% 11% 8% 6% % 8% 4% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 11% 8% 4% 9% 3% 6% 9% 5% 5% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

31 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Reducing unemployment Pg 30 Tb T20 Mean score Standard Deviation GH* H* GH* H* * I ** * I N N Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

32 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Renegotiating our position in the EU Pg 31 Tb T21 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 5% 9% 6% 6% 15% 6% 6% 3% 9% 7% N % 3% 5% 4% 6% 1% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 8% 2% N % 7% 3% 5% 5% 4% 5% 9% 3% 3% 7% 12% 6% 5% 5% 8% 3% % 3% 4% 3% 3% 7% 6% 6% 3% 3% 7% 3% 3% 4% 3% 6% 5% % 6% 6% 14% 5% 6% 1% 7% 6% 7% 5% 3% 14% 5% 5% 7% 6% F % 4% 4% 15% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 6% 4% EFGH % 7% 8% 15% 5% 13% 6% 2% 7% 8% 5% 3% 5% 8% 5% 5% 10% G* * G* * * ** * % 8% 7% 11% 5% 10% 6% 8% 6% 5% 7% 15% 9% 9% 8% 11% 4% % 12% 12% 6% 18% 16% 9% 10% 12% 9% 16% 7% 13% 12% 10% 14% 12% * * * * * I ** * % 17% 11% 9% 20% 14% 21% 11% 9% 8% 15% 22% 13% 17% 9% 12% 21% * H* * H* * I ** * I NO % 25% 32% 14% 22% 19% 35% 34% 39% 40% 22% 13% 25% 28% 45% 15% 25% * * * CE* CE* CDE JM ** * OP O Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

33 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Renegotiating our position in the EU Pg 32 Tb T21 Mean score Standard Deviation FH NP Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

34 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Affordable housing Pg 33 Tb T22 Most important (100) 2nd (90) 3rd (80) 4th (70) 5th (60) 6th (50) 7th (40) 8th (30) 9th (20) 10th (10) Least important (0) Table continu % 11% 10% 9% 20% 11% 11% 6% 6% 4% 10% 3% 15% 14% 7% 9% 14% * GH* * * * I ** * I % 11% 15% 19% 11% 13% 12% 15% 11% 11% 13% 20% 17% 14% 10% 13% 16% % 13% 14% 21% 16% 11% 9% 11% 14% 8% 17% 16% 6% 14% 11% 11% 18% * * * * * I ** * % 12% 10% 6% 13% 12% 14% 6% 14% 13% 9% 20% 10% 11% 13% 12% 9% % 9% 7% 11% 6% 7% 7% 7% 10% 8% 13% 5% 14% 5% 8% 11% 5% * * * * * M ** * % 11% 9% 8% 12% 10% 10% 11% 10% 11% 9% 10% 6% 11% 12% 10% 8% % 6% 10% 7% 1% 9% 13% 12% 6% 7% 5% 3% 6% 11% 6% 7% 12% * * * D* D* ** * % 7% 9% 6% 8% 4% 10% 11% 10% 9% 6% 7% 20% 9% 11% 5% 9% * * * * * ** J* O % 8% 10% 9% 5% 9% 7% 9% 12% 17% 8% 5% 2% 5% 12% 12% 3% * * * * * JM ** * P P % 8% 4% 3% 4% 9% 3% 10% 5% 8% 5% 8% 4% 4% 9% 5% 4% % 3% 2% * 3% 5% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 3% * 2% 2% 5% 2% Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

35 PublicPriorityIndex.Below is a list of possible measur to improve public life in the UK. Can you please rank them in order of importance.please click and drag the most important measure into the box and carry on with each until all 11 are placed in your preferred order - Affordable housing Pg 34 Tb T22 Mean score Standard Deviation GH* GH* * * * I ** I* I NO Error Variance Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P

36 JobSecurity.Do you feel that your current job is...? Pg 35 Tb T23 working full/part time More safe than it was 12 months ago Ls safe than it was 12 months ago Much the same as it was 12 months ago Don't know % 17% 10% 9% 17% 22% 9% 10% 7% 14% 12% 4% 29% 15% 12% 16% 13% * ** * * % 22% 19% 22% 31% 20% 16% 23% - 14% 23% 71% 30% 16% 13% 26% 24% * ** * N * % 54% 61% 57% 47% 46% 68% 60% 85% 65% 59% 26% 38% 57% 69% 53% 52% * * * DE* * ** ** ** * OP * % 7% 10% 12% 4% 12% 7% 7% 9% 6% 6% - 2% 12% 7% 5% 11% * ** * * Overlap formula used - Column Means: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Proportions: Columns Tted (5%): A/B, C/D/E/F/G/H, I/J/K/L/M, N/O/P