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1 Table 24 In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 223 Gender Age Total Male Female 18 to to to to to Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 39% 32% 24% 25% 29% 38% 37% 52% Labour % 10% 11% 17% 15% 15% 6% 7% 6% iberal Democrat % 3% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% UKIP % 9% 9% 4% 11% 5% 13% 10% 10% Green Party % 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% Don't know % 20% 30% 28% 25% 30% 27% 24% 20% None % 17% 15% 18% 20% 17% 15% 20% 10%
2 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 224 SEG Total ABC1 C2DE Full time paid job Employment Status Part time paid job Self-employed Student Out of work Looking after home / Homemaker Retired Long term sick Unpaid work for a business, community or voluntary organisation Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 43% 27% 33% 36% 38% 31% 20% 22% 51% 14% 36% Labour % 9% 12% 13% 12% 11% 21% 9% 6% 5% 9% 11% iberal Democrat % 3% 2% 2% 1% 5% 6% 3% 1% 2% 0% 0% UKIP % 6% 13% 10% 8% 10% 1% 4% 10% 9% 17% 0% Green Party % 1% 2% 2% 2% 5% 1% 3% 0% 1% 2% 16% Don't know % 24% 27% 24% 26% 13% 25% 34% 48% 19% 32% 24% None % 15% 18% 17% 16% 18% 16% 28% 13% 12% 25% 13%
3 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 225 Vote 2015 Total Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other Did not vote Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 80% 16% 25% 25% 15% 26% Labour % 3% 30% 6% *% 10% 9% iberal Democrat % *% 2% 13% 1% 2% 1% UKIP % 3% 6% 3% 52% 4% 6% Green Party % *% 0% 1% 0% 12% 3% Don't know % 9% 25% 30% 16% 33% 32% None % 5% 20% 21% 6% 24% 23%
4 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? Total Conservative Labour BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 226 Vote Intention Liberal Democrat UKIP Plaid Cymru SNP Greens Other Not sure Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 86% 10% 16% 11% 22% 17% 19% 41% 19% Labour % 1% 43% 3% 1% 34% 7% 5% 0% 2% iberal Democrat % 1% 2% 20% *% 0% 1% 2% 0% 2% UKIP % 2% 2% 1% 66% 10% 7% 1% 15% 6% Green Party % 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 20% 0% 1% Don't know % 7% 25% 32% 15% 19% 34% 24% 11% 50% None % 3% 18% 28% 6% 15% 32% 28% 33% 21%
5 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 227 Country Total England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 37% 26% 20% 49% Labour % 11% 7% 17% 2% iberal Democrat % 2% 2% 3% 0% UKIP % 9% 6% 11% 14% Green Party % 2% 2% 0% 0% Don't know % 24% 34% 29% 29% None % 16% 24% 20% 7%
6 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 228 Total East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Midlands GOR Yorkshire and The Humber Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 45% 39% 35% 29% 37% 40% 37% 36% 30% Labour % 9% 9% 8% 17% 13% 9% 15% 9% 13% iberal Democrat % 1% 5% 1% 3% 4% 2% 1% *% 1% UKIP % 9% 9% 4% 17% 12% 9% 8% 13% 9% Green Party * % 2% 3% 2% 1% *% 2% 1% 1% 3% Don't know % 26% 22% 29% 17% 21% 21% 24% 24% 28% None % 8% 15% 21% 15% 13% 17% 14% 17% 16%
7 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 229 Total Homeowner (owned outright) Homeowner (with a mortgage) Rented from private landlord Rented from Council Tenure Rented from Housing Association or Social Housing Provider Shared ownership Student accommodation Living with parents/ extended family Other Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 51% 41% 25% 18% 19% 45% 13% 24% 34% Labour % 7% 8% 14% 14% 16% 0% 20% 17% 0% iberal Democrat % 2% 1% 4% 2% *% 0% 8% 5% 0% UKIP % 8% 8% 9% 16% 14% 0% 2% 7% 16% Green Party * % 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 0% 0% 0% Don't know % 20% 22% 30% 29% 29% 36% 33% 34% 27% None % 12% 17% 17% 19% 21% 15% 24% 13% 24%
8 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 230 Politcal interest Top issue Likelihood to Vote Total Interested Not interested Immigration & Asylum Not Immigration & Asylum I would definitely vote I would probably vote It would be roughly 50/50 I probably would not vote I definitely would not vote Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 43% 23% 39% 34% 44% 33% 21% 23% 9% Labour % 11% 9% 6% 12% 11% 9% 13% 8% 8% iberal Democrat % 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% *% 2% UKIP % 9% 9% 23% 5% 10% 9% 8% 10% 4% Green Party * 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% *% Don't know % 17% 37% 21% 26% 17% 34% 37% 38% 32% None % 14% 19% 9% 18% 13% 12% 16% 19% 44%
9 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 231 Total Very left wing Fairly left wing Slightly left wing Left Wing/Right Wing Centrist/In the centre Slightly right wing Fairly right wing Very right wing Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 13% 14% 22% 31% 71% 71% 33% Labour % 33% 29% 17% 8% 3% 1% 0% iberal Democrat % 0% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% UKIP % 7% 3% 3% 10% 7% 19% 33% Green Party % 7% 5% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% Don't know % 18% 20% 29% 32% 10% 6% 7% None % 23% 26% 23% 17% 7% 1% 24%
10 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 232 Trust in government IMD Quartile EU Referendum Total Trust Neither Distrust 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile Voted Remain Voted Leave Did not vote Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 66% 35% 15% 47% 36% 34% 25% 33% 46% 26% Labour % 7% 8% 15% 7% 8% 13% 14% 17% 5% 10% iberal Democrat % 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% UKIP % 5% 8% 13% 8% 8% 9% 12% 1% 21% 4% Green Party % 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% *% 2% Don't know % 14% 30% 29% 19% 28% 23% 30% 23% 19% 33% None % 5% 17% 24% 15% 17% 18% 14% 21% 7% 24%
11 Table 24 (continuation) In your opinion, which party is best able to negotiate Brexit? Total Voted labour and would do today BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 233 Labour voting intention Did not vote labour, but would do today Voted labour,but would not today Did not voted labour and would not today Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Conservative % 9% 14% 39% 57% Labour % 39% 38% 2% 1% iberal Democrat % 1% 1% 5% 2% UKIP % 1% 6% 24% 13% Green Party % 0% 2% 0% 2% Don't know % 28% 19% 15% 15% None % 21% 18% 15% 9%
12 Table 4 Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 34 Gender Age Total Male Female 18 to to to to to Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 48% 43% 65% 52% 52% 44% 36% 31% Leave the European Union % 45% 42% 24% 31% 32% 49% 52% 60% Don't know % 5% 12% 7% 11% 12% 5% 9% 7% Prefer not to say % 2% 4% 4% 6% 3% 2% 3% 2%
13 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 35 SEG Total ABC1 C2DE Full time paid job Employment Status Part time paid job Self-employed Student Out of work Looking after home / Homemaker Retired Long term sick Unpaid work for a business, community or voluntary organisation Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 52% 37% 50% 46% 45% 75% 51% 42% 34% 29% 31% Leave the European Union % 38% 49% 39% 39% 45% 19% 32% 42% 57% 62% 34% Don't know % 7% 10% 9% 10% 10% 3% 10% 13% 8% 1% 34% Prefer not to say % 3% 4% 3% 6% 0% 3% 6% 4% 2% 7% 0%
14 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 36 Vote 2015 Total Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UKIP Other Did not vote Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 42% 60% 62% 5% 56% 46% Leave the European Union % 54% 32% 32% 93% 37% 35% Don't know % 3% 5% 5% 2% 7% 15% Prefer not to say * 14 3% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 3%
15 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? Total Conservative Labour BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 37 Vote Intention Liberal Democrat UKIP Plaid Cymru SNP Greens Other Not sure Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 41% 65% 68% 8% 66% 56% 68% 22% 40% Leave the European Union % 54% 26% 27% 90% 20% 41% 23% 61% 38% Don't know % 4% 7% 5% 2% 10% 2% 7% 11% 15% Prefer not to say * % 1% 3% 0% 0% 5% 0% 3% 6% 8%
16 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 38 Country Total England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 44% 56% 43% 53% Leave the European Union % 44% 35% 47% 43% Don't know % 9% 7% 7% 4% Prefer not to say % 3% 3% 2% 0%
17 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 39 Total East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Midlands GOR Yorkshire and The Humber Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 40% 45% 59% 38% 40% 40% 39% 35% 50% Leave the European Union % 47% 44% 30% 49% 48% 49% 44% 49% 40% Don't know % 9% 8% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 8% Prefer not to say % 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 8% 9% 3%
18 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 40 Total Homeowner (owned outright) Homeowner (with a mortgage) Rented from private landlord Rented from Council Tenure Rented from Housing Association or Social Housing Provider Shared ownership Student accommodation Living with parents/ extended family Other Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 42% 47% 53% 31% 34% 56% 83% 49% 6% Leave the European Union % 49% 42% 33% 55% 53% 44% 8% 36% 66% Don't know % 7% 8% 9% 13% 8% 0% 3% 9% 7% Prefer not to say % 2% 4% 4% 1% 5% 0% 6% 5% 20%
19 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 41 Politcal interest Top issue Likelihood to Vote Total Interested Not interested Immigration & Asylum Not Immigration & Asylum I would definitely vote I would probably vote It would be roughly 50/50 I probably would not vote I definitely would not vote Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 49% 39% 16% 53% 46% 47% 51% 38% 32% Leave the European Union % 45% 40% 75% 35% 49% 40% 30% 43% 31% Don't know % 4% 16% 7% 9% 3% 9% 16% 13% 28% Prefer not to say % 2% 5% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 7% 9%
20 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 42 Total Very left wing Fairly left wing Slightly left wing Left Wing/Right Wing Centrist/In the centre Slightly right wing Fairly right wing Very right wing Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 61% 70% 70% 38% 44% 23% 30% Leave the European Union % 28% 21% 27% 46% 52% 74% 62% Don't know % 10% 7% 1% 12% 3% 4% 0% Prefer not to say % 0% 3% 2% 5% 1% 0% 8%
21 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 43 Trust in government IMD Quartile EU Referendum Total Trust Neither Distrust 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile Voted Remain Voted Leave Did not vote Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 43% 42% 49% 45% 47% 45% 43% 94% 3% 46% Leave the European Union % 49% 40% 42% 47% 40% 41% 45% 4% 95% 27% Don't know % 6% 12% 7% 6% 8% 10% 9% 2% 2% 22% Prefer not to say % 2% 6% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 1% *% 5%
22 Table 4 (continuation) Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? BMG UK Poll - OCTOBER 2016 Page 44 Total Voted labour and would do today Labour voting intention Did not vote labour, but would do today Voted labour,but would not today Did not voted labour and would not today Unweighted Bases Effective Weighted Sample Weighted Bases Remain a member of the European Union % 67% 39% 41% 40% Leave the European Union % 24% 51% 53% 56% Don't know % 6% 6% 5% 3% Prefer not to say % 3% 4% 1% *%
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