University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll April 2016

Transcription

1 University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll April 2016 METHODOLOGY NOTE ComRes interviewed 1,982 students at the University of Sussex between the 21 st March and 5 th April Data were weighted by home country, gender and year of study to be representative of all students. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed. To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Katharine Peacock: katharine.peacock@comres.co.uk To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please pollwatch@comres.co.uk

2 University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Number of years on the programme?... 1 Q2. Please select your gender Q3. Please select which of the following age bands you fall into Q4. In which of the following areas is your home address?... 4 Q5. Should remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union?... 5 Q6. Are you eligible to vote in referendum on June 23rd 2016? British, Irish and Commonwealth citizens aged 18 or over who are resident in or Gibraltar will be eligible to vote. UK citizens resident overseas will also be eligible to vote, provided they have been registered to vote at a UK address in the last 15 years... 6 Q7. If the referendum on 's membership of the European Union were held tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale of 1 to 10 where 1 means you are certain not to vote and 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote?... 7 Base: Respondents who are eligible to vote in referendum on June 23rd 2016

3 Number of years on the programme? University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Table 1/1, * 24 * % 1% 1% 4% 2% * % 2% * 1% 1% e % 43% 46% 54% 40% 58% 47% 42% 35% - 39% 38% 60% 40% 55% dg jk m % 25% 25% 24% 29% 14% 17% 34% 11% 24% 28% 26% 16% 27% 20% ef ef l l n % 23% 21% 13% 26% 14% 13% 5% 10% 44% 24% 27% 15% 24% 16% efg l l n % 4% 3% - 3% 4% 3% 2% 15% 14% 4% 3% 2% 4% 3% % 2% 2% 6% - 3% 14% 14% 27% 18% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% d de de m Mean score e de de l l n Standard deviation Standard error Page 1

4 Q2. Please select your gender. University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Table 2/1, Male % 100% % 48% 38% 53% 32% 64% 42% 38% 45% 43% 41% b d Female % - 100% - 57% 49% 61% 45% 68% 36% 55% 62% 54% 54% 58% a e Other % % 1% * % 1% - 1% * Prefer not to say % % 3% 1% 2% - - 2% - 1% 2% 1% d k Page 2

5 Q3. Please select which of the following age bands you fall into. University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Table 3/1, Under % 66% 71% 87% 100% % 80% 48% 76% 53% a efg l l n % 26% 21% 13% - 100% % 18% 44% 16% 41% b dfg jk m % 4% 5% % % 1% 6% 4% 5% deg k k % 2% 2% % - - 2% * 1% 2% 1% def k n % 1% 1% % - 1% * 1% 1% 1% * * * % * - - * - Page 3

6 Q4. In which of the following areas is your home address? University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Table 4/1, % 65% 65% 90% 72% 44% 60% 85% 74% 100% 100% % 14% ef e ef kl n but % 7% 8% 10% 9% 6% 2% 2% 3% % - 2% 19% f jl m % 29% 26% - 19% 50% 38% 13% 23% % 9% 67% dfg dg jk m Page 4

7 University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Q5. Should remain a member of the European Union, or leave the European Union? Table 5/1, Remain % 75% 81% 79% 79% 77% 70% 76% 79% 100% 82% 94% 66% 81% 73% a l jl n Leave % 17% 7% 21% 11% 12% 12% 12% 21% - 10% 4% 17% 11% 13% b k jk Don't know % 8% 12% - 10% 11% 18% 12% - - 8% 2% 18% 8% 15% a d k jk m Page 5

8 Q6. Are you eligible to vote in referendum on June 23rd 2016? University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Table 6/1 British, Irish and Commonwealth citizens aged 18 or over who are resident in or Gibraltar will be eligible to vote. UK citizens resident overseas will also be eligible to vote, provided they have been registered to vote at a UK address in the last 15 years, Yes % 69% 67% 83% 76% 45% 61% 89% 74% 100% 93% 19% 22% 100% - ef e ef kl n No % 31% 33% 17% 24% 55% 39% 11% 26% - 7% 81% 78% - 100% dfg dg j j m Page 6

9 University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Q7. If the referendum on 's membership of the European Union were held tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale of 1 to 10 where 1 means you are certain not to vote and 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote? Base: Respondents who are eligible to vote in referendum on June 23rd 2016, Significance Level: 95% a b *c d e f g *h *i j k l m *n Unweighted Total Weighted Total % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - 1 = Certain not to vote (1) % 2% 3% 10% 3% 3% 2% - 6% 18% 2% - 11% 3% - jk (2) % * 1% - 1% % - - 1% - a (3) * % 1% 1% - 1% 1% % 2% 2% 1% - (4) * % 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% % - 2% 1% - (5) % 3% 4% - 3% 4% 10% % 4% 9% 3% - d j (6) % 2% 3% - 3% 2% 2% 2% - - 2% 4% 2% 2% - (7) % 6% 5% - 7% 3% % 7% 9% 6% - ef (8) % 11% 9% - 10% 11% 8% 10% 7% 14% 9% 9% 17% 10% - (9) % 11% 9% 13% 10% 11% 3% % 4% 9% 10% - g g 10 = Absolutely certain to vote (10) % 62% 64% 78% 62% 64% 75% 88% 87% 68% 66% 70% 38% 63% - d de l l NETS Net: Unlikely (1-3) * % 4% 5% 10% 5% 5% 2% - 6% 18% 4% 2% 13% 5% - jk Table 7/1 Page 7

10 University of Sussex EU Referendum Poll Q7. If the referendum on 's membership of the European Union were held tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale of 1 to 10 where 1 means you are certain not to vote and 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote? Base: Respondents who are eligible to vote in referendum on June 23rd 2016, Significance Level: 95% a b *c d e f g *h *i j k l m *n Unweighted Total Weighted Total % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% - Net: Neither (4-7) % 13% 13% - 14% 10% 12% 2% % 15% 23% 12% - g j Net: Likely (8-10) % 84% 82% 90% 82% 86% 85% 98% 94% 82% 85% 83% 64% 83% - def l l Mean score de l l Standard deviation Standard error Table 7/2 Page 8