4.6% 5,852,000 23,941

Transcription

1 PA MONTHLY WORKSTATS LABOR FORCE JOBS UNEMPLOYMENT COMPENSATION PA Monthly WorkStats presents the most up-to-date labor market highlights and happenings in the commonwealth. Information herein is produced and published monthly and includes data on the labor force, jobs, and unemployment compensation for both the state and select substate areas as well as relevant media reports. Additional details and historical information are available on our website: paworkstats.pa.gov JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC January 2016 Big Numbers 4.6% Unemployment Rate 5,852,000 Statewide Job Count 23,941 Initial Claims (4-week average) Which supersectors have shown the largest five-year job gains? For more information, please see Page 2 Pennsylvania s unemployment rate fell this month. When was the last time it increased? Page 4 Does my employment qualify for unemployment compensation if I lost my job? Page 6 Check out what employers are moving to Pennsylvania and expecting to add jobs. For more information, please see Page 7 What does seasonally adjusted really mean? Back Page For additional information and resources, please contact: Center for Workforce Information & Analysis (CWIA) workforceinfo@pa.gov paworkstats.pa.gov

2 CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS JOBS BY SUPERSECTOR FEBRUARY 2016 EDITION JANUARY 2016 DATA (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Change from January 2015 Industry Jobs Volume Percent Trend Total Nonfarm Jobs 5,852,000 34, % Goods-Producing Industries 828,800 (13,500) (1.6%) Mining and Logging 29,700 (9,300) (23.8%) Construc on 229,500 (3,600) (1.5%) Manufacturing 569,600 (600) (0.1%) Service-Providing Industries 5,023,200 48, % Trade, Transporta on, and U li es 1,124,600 6, % Informa on 85,800 1, % Financial Ac vi es 318,500 3, % Professional & Business Services 776,700 3, % Educa on & Health Services 1,195,000 9, % Leisure and Hospitality 557,300 16, % Other Services 260,100 5, % Government 705,200 1, % In January, total nonfarm jobs showed the largest monthly decline since April 2012, falling from a record high level in December. The largest decline from December 2015 was in education & health services, due entirely to educational services which fell while health care & social assistance set a new record high for the 10th month in a row. Since last January, all eight serviceproviding supersectors added jobs while all three goods-producing supersectors declined. Please note that the annual benchmark process and seasonal adjustment factor update is included with the release of January data, which resulted in historical data revisions. Please contact the Center for Workforce Information & Analysis for more information on the annual benchmark process. * Italics signifies the greatest over-the-year movement ** Highligh ng signifies an all- me high H H J C O L -T? Percent of Total Nonfarm Jobs C S V 5-Year Growth 5-Year Decline Current 13% 24% 63% 12% 14% 74% Mining and Logging Construc on Manufacturing Trade, Transporta on, and U li es Informa on Financial Ac vi es Jan Jan Government Goods Producers Private Service Providers Education & health services led private service-providing growth over the past 26 years. Today, goods producers make up a smaller portion of total nonfarm jobs due to large declines in manufacturing. Professional & Business Services Educa on & Health Services Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government Employment (in tens of thousands) Eight of the 11 supersectors added jobs over the last five years. Professional & business services added the most over this time, followed by education & health services. Of the three supersectors showing a decline, government posted the most losses. 2

3 CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS JOBS BY SELECT METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA (MSA) FEBRUARY 2016 EDITION DECEMBER 2015 DATA (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Change from December 2014 MSA Jobs Volume Percent Trend Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton 353,700 (2,800) (0.8%) Altoona 60,500 (500) (0.8%) Erie 131, % Harrisburg-Carlisle 339,900 9, % Johnstown 56,700 (1,000) (1.7%) Lancaster 248,000 7, % Lebanon 50,600 (1,100) (2.1%) Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington 2,840,800 35, % Pi sburgh 1,179,500 14, % Reading 176, % Scranton--Wilkes-Barre--Hazleton 265,400 3, % State College 77, % Williamsport 54,600 (2,100) (3.7%) York-Hanover 180,900 1, % Please note the four newly defined MSAs are not shown as they do not yet have seasonally adjusted data. * Italics signifies the greatest over-the-year movement (MSA industry data are not seasonally adjusted) Nine of the 14 MSAs listed recorded over-the-year job growth, from 0.3 percent in the Erie MSA to 3.3 percent in the Lancaster MSA. Five MSAs showed an over-the-year job loss, from 0.8 percent in the Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton and Altoona MSAs, to 3.7 percent in the Williamsport MSA. Three MSAs reported all-time high job levels in December; Lancaster, Harrisburg-Carlisle, and Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington. In the case of the Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington MSA, this was the fourth consecutive month setting an alltime high volume of jobs. The over-the-year job growth in the Lancaster MSA occurred almost entirely within the private sector with strong job growth seen in retail trade and leisure and hospitality. While the majority of job gains in the Harrisburg-Carlisle and Philadelphia- Camden-Wilmington MSAs were due to growth in service-providing industries, both MSAs also experienced over-the-year increases in goodsproducing industries. The Johnstown MSA added jobs in December from an all-time low in November. ** Highligh ng signifies an all- me high (MSA industry data are not seasonally adjusted) Statewide total nonfarm jobs were up 3.5 percent over ive years and 2.5 percent over the past 10 years. The ive-year and 10-year changes for service-providing industries were positive at 3.6 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively. Goodsproducing industries have grown 3.1 percent in the past ive years but remain lower than the levels from 10 years ago, a 12.3 percent decline. The mining and logging sector had the largest 10-year percentage growth at 74.2 percent, while education & health services had the greatest 10-year volume job growth, increasing by 168,200. Over the past ive years, the Lancaster MSA had the largest percent increase in total nonfarm jobs. Jobs gains were found in both goods-producing and service-providing industries. The hardest hit sector over that time was government, with government job losses occurring almost exclusively at the local level. Over the past 10 years, the State College MSA had the largest percentage increase in total nonfarm jobs. This increase was seen exclusively within service-providing industries; goodsproducing industries remained unchanged. The majority of the increase occurred within the education & health services and government sectors, the latter of which occurred almost entirely within state government. MSA N J C O T Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton 5-Year Change Altoona Erie 10-Year Change Harrisburg-Carlisle Johnstown Lancaster Lebanon Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington Pi sburgh Reading Scranton--Wilkes-Barre--Hazleton State College Williamsport York-Hanover Percentage Change (%) 3

4 LOCAL AREA UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS LABOR FORCE FOR PENNSYLVANIA AND THE UNITED STATES FEBRUARY 2016 EDITION JANUARY 2016 DATA (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 4.6% PA January 2016 Employment 6,153,000 Unemployment 295, % 4.9% PA December 2015 U.S. January 2016 Employment 6,137,000 Unemployment 300,000 Employment 150,544,000 Unemployment 7,791,000 Pennsylvania s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell one-tenth this month to 4.6 percent; it was the lowest rate since September 2007, when it was also 4.6 percent. PA has not had a rate increase since June of 2012 and the rate now sits just six-tenths of a percentage point above the record low of 4.0 percent set in February through May of PA s rate has now been below the nation for 38 consecutive months and has been above the nation only once since Employment was up 16,000 from last month to 6,153,000 a new record high and the sixth consecutive month with a record high. (in thousands) 6,475 Labor Force 6,450 6,425 6,400 6,375 December (in thousands) 6,200 Employment 6,125 6,050 5,975 5,900 December (in thousands) Unemployment December Percent Unemployment Rate December Unemployment Rate: 12-Month Moving Average (by Percent) Jan Dec Jan Total Gender Race Age C P S D Educa on Female Male Black White Less than HS HS Diploma AD / Some College BD or Higher People with Disabili es Veterans Par cipa on Rate 62.9% 62.8% 62.4% Employment/Popula on Ra o 59.6% 59.5% 58.9% Underemployment Rate (U-6) 10.6% 10.7% 11.5% Discouraged Workers 22,200 23,200 34,300 Part-Time for Economic Reasons 278, , ,000 Avg. Dura on of Unemployment (weeks) Long-term Unemployed (>26 weeks) 97,00 102, ,300 State Name and Na onal Rank Among All States S S U R (R ) PA (24) VA (16) WI (17) OH (21) NY (24) DE (27) MI (29) MD (29) NJ (29) IL (43) WV (46 Over-the-month Increase Over-the-month Decline Current Rate 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% The number of long-term unemployed has fallen substantially over the year and now sits at less than half of the peak level set in Despite its improvement, the number of long-term unemployed still remains more than twice the lows of late Though all demographic groups have declined, Hispanics have fared the best. In January 2016, the number of long-term unemployed in this group sat at just 36 percent of its peak. Long-term unemployment totals for Blacks have not recovered as much as Hispanics or Whites. This group s level was more than 50 percent of its peak count. However, levels for Blacks did not peak until more than two years after Whites and Hispanics leaving less opportunity to recover. The long-term unemployment level for males sat at 41 percent of its peak, while the level for females was at 45 percent. Once again, long-term unemployment levels for females did not reach its peak until roughly two years after the peak for males. 4

5 LOCAL AREA UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS LABOR FORCE FOR SELECT LOCAL AREAS FEBRUARY 2016 EDITION DECEMBER 2015 DATA (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Overall, 51 of Pennsylvania s 67 counties experienced over-the-year declines in unemployment rates; rates in 13 counties increased; rates remained unchanged in three counties. The largest over-the-year volume increase in employment was in Allegheny County while the largest volume decrease was in Lycoming County. Allegheny County also had the largest increase in labor force as the increase in employment more than compensated for a decrease in the number of the unemployed. The exact reverse was true for Lycoming County, which had the largest decrease in labor force. Three signs of improvement in the labor market are decreasing unemployment rates, increasing employment levels, and an increase in the labor force. Over the year, all three signs were present in 42 of Pennsylvania s 67 counties. Employment over that period increased in 63 counties overall, and both labor force and employment increased in 56 counties. Unemployment rates varied considerably across counties ranging from 3.3 percent in Chester County to 6.7 percent in Cameron County. The over-the-year changes in the county unemployment rates also were wide-ranging with Cameron County experiencing a 1.3 percentage point increase while Wayne County s rate decreased by 1.0 percentage point. County Unemployment Rates < 4.1% 4.1% - 4.9% 5.0% - 5.5% >5.5% Unemployment Rate by MSA Over-the-month direc on of change and 10-year maximum and minimum range Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton Altoona Bloomsburg-Berwick Chambersburg-Waynesboro East Stroudsburg Erie Ge ysburg Harrisburg-Carlisle Johnstown Lancaster Lebanon Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington Pi sburgh Reading Scranton--Wilkes-Barre--Hazleton State College Williamsport York-Hanover The Scranton--Wilkes-Barre--Hazleton MSA experienced a 0.9 percentage point over-theyear decrease in its unemployment rate, which was the largest decrease among Pennsylvania s MSAs. This rate decrease was due to individuals moving from unemployed to employed, as the size of the labor force increased, even as the number of unemployed decreased. This also implies that people in this MSA were moving from being not in the labor force to being employed. The unemployment rates across Pennsylvania s MSAs ranged from a low of 3.5 percent in the Gettysburg MSA to 5.8 percent in the Johnstown MSA. Despite the highest rate, the Johnstown MSA unemployment rate fell by 0.7 percentage points over the year. The Williamsport MSA stood alone with an over-the-year rate increase. The unemployment rate increase occurred because the number of unemployed individuals increased (also the only MSA) while the number of employed individuals decreased as did the labor force. The over-theyear employment decrease was 1,500 which when combined with an unemployment increase of 100 resulted in the labor force decreasing by 1,400. This indicates that the many of the individuals who were no longer employed had dropped out of the labor force altogether Unemployment Rate (percent) 5

6 UNEMPLOYMENT COMPENSATION CLAIMS AND BENEFITS AT A GLANCE FEBRUARY 2016 EDITION JANUARY 2016 DATA (NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Exhaus on Rate (percent) D C E R Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q Average Dura on (in weeks) N I W R UC B (R UC O ) For the week ending January 30, 2016: 153,156 For the week ending December 26, 2015: 145,328 For the week ending January 31, 2015: 156,293 D Y K? What are weeks paid or weeks compensated? The number of weeks claimed for which UI bene its are paid. Weeks compensated for partial unemployment are included. Interstate claims are counted in the paying state. What types of employment are covered by the UC program? In Pennsylvania, most employment is covered by the UC program. Exceptions include some agricultural and seasonal workers, persons who are self-employed, of icers of a corporation, professional athletes, and persons who are incarcerated. Civilian employees of the federal government are covered by the UCFE program, and exmilitary personnel are covered by the UCX program. I C C O P 26 M Ini al Claims (in thousands) Con nued Claims (in thousands) 10 D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J

7 PENNSYLVANIA EMPLOYER ACTIVITY PRESS UPDATE FEBRUARY 2016 EDITION PA M W S P U The update below is part of a series of Press Updates corresponding to the PA Monthly WorkStats labor force data. Each update includes a summary of media trends along with article quotes illustrative of the month s workforce trends. Please note that while these updates may cover particular attempts made by reporters to explain industry trends, CWIA and L&I serve to report these numbers and cannot endorse any trend explanations that may or may not be included below. January saw Pennsylvania s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fall one-tenth to 4.6 percent; it was the lowest rate since it was equaled in September This was driven by an increase of 3,200 manufacturing jobs. Manufacturing gains were reflected in press coverage, an example of which is listed below. Gains were also seen in service-providing industries not related to health care. An example of media coverage related to this is also listed below. Both examples are from Southcentral Pennsylvania, but gains were seen statewide. M In Voith to create new jobs in York (York Dispatch, January 29), the author discusses Voith Turbo, Inc. creating new manufacturing jobs in York County. From the article: [Voith] will invest $825,000 to transform existing warehouse space into offices, retaining 577 positions and creating 37 new jobs over the next three years... Also from the article, Voith is an engineering company in markets such as energy, oil and gas, paper, raw materials, transport and automotive The company employs more than 20,000 people and operates in over 60 countries worldwide. Voith Hydro is headquartered in West Manchester Township. S P In New York firm coming to Lancaster, expects to create 100 full-time jobs (Lancaster Newspaper, January 13), the author writes, A New York City company that manages online reputations will open a second office in Lancaster city and is expected to create at least 100 full-time jobs over the next three years with an estimated $5 million payroll. This company, Brandyourself.com, according to the author, is one of many different types of companies that are flocking to the region. He writes, The move highlights a trend of companies choosing Lancaster and helping raise the city s appeal as a place to do business, according to development officials. 7

8 BEHIND THE DATA DEFINITIONS SOURCES WEB RESOURCES LOCAL AREA UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS (LAUS) This program measures employment and unemployment by place of residence. The LAUS program does not produce es mates for any demographic groups. Employment: All persons who (a) did any work as paid employees, selfemployed, agricultural workers, or worked 15 hours or more as unpaid family workers, or (b) were not working but who had jobs from which they were temporarily absent. Each employed person is counted only once, even if the person holds more than one job. Unemployment: All persons aged 16 years and older who had no employment, were available for work, and had made specific efforts to find employment. Includes persons who were wai ng to be recalled to jobs from which they had been laid off. Labor Force: All persons classified as employed or unemployed. Unemployment Rate: The number of unemployed divided by the labor force. LAUS data is produced by the Burea of Labor Sta s cs in coopera on with the Pennsylvania Department of Labor & Industry CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS (CES) This collabora ve effort between the federal Bureau of Labor Sta s cs and the states produces a count of jobs, not of people. Nonfarm Jobs: The total number of persons on establishment payrolls employed full or part me. Persons on the payroll of more than one establishment are counted in each establishment. Data exclude proprietors, self-employed, unpaid family or volunteer workers, farm workers, and domes c workers. Persons on layoff, strike, or leave without pay for the en re period, or who have not yet reported for work are not counted as employed. Government employment covers only civilian employees. Seasonal Adjustment: Removes the change in employment that is due to normal seasonal hiring or layoffs (holidays, weather, etc.) thus leaving an over-the-month change that reflects only employment changes due to trend and irregular movements. Note - Agricultural employment is excluded due to the rela ve difficulty of gathering mely employment informa on in the rural farming sector. Many agricultural workers are exempt from unemployment insurance and many are self-employed. As such, there is not a good source of data to verify the accuracy and reliability of the sample-based survey data. CES data is produced by the Burea of Labor Sta s cs in coopera on with the Pennsylvania Department of Labor & Industry CURRENT POPULATION SURVEY (CPS) Discouraged Workers: Persons not in the labor force who want and are available for a job and who have looked for work some me in the past 12 months, but who are not currently looking because they believe there are no jobs available or there are none for which they would qualify. Discouraged workers are not included in the unemployment count. Dura on of Unemployment: The length of me in weeks that an unemployed person has been looking for work. Labor Force Par cipa on Rate: The labor force divided by the civilian non-ins tu onal popula on. Employment to Popula on Ra o: The propor on of the civilian nonins tu onal popula on aged 16 years and over that is employed. Part Time for Economic Reasons: Persons who would like to work full me but were working part me because of an economic reason such as decreased working hours or they were unable to find full- me jobs. Long-term Unemployed: Persons who have been unemployed for greater than 26 weeks. Underemployment Rate (U6): The number of unemployed plus those people working part me who would like full- me jobs plus those who have dropped out of the labor market en rely and s ll want a job divided by the labor force plus those who have dropped out of the labor market en rely and s ll want a job. UNEMPLOYMENT COMPENSATION The Federal-State Unemployment Compensa on (UC) Program provides unemployment benefits to eligible workers who are unemployed through no fault of their own and meet other eligibility requirements of State law. Regular UC: Provides up to 26 weeks of benefits. Emergency Unemployment Compensa on (EUC): A temporary, federally-funded extension of unemployment benefits for those who have exhausted their Regular UC benefits. Extended Benefits (EB): A temporary extension of unemployment benefits available to individuals who have exhausted their Regular UC benefits and any temporary EUC. Ini al Claims: The count of no ces of unemployment reques ng a determina on of eligibility and en tlement for UC benefits. A person can file mul ple claims. Con nued Claims: The number of weeks that claimants are reques ng payment of unemployment benefits. These claims include wai ng weeks which do not receive payment and claims that are subsequently denied benefits. Individual Payments: The dis nct count of individuals who received unemployment compensa on benefits. Exhaustees: The count of individuals who have drawn the maximum en tled amount of benefits. CWIA-19 REV Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities. Equal Opportunity Employer/Program