DANSKE HAVNE OG BREXIT
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1 DANSKE HAVNE OG BREXIT
2 COMPOSITION OF THE HOUSE OF COMMONS Conservatives 329 MPs Labour 229 MPs SNP 54 MPs Other 29 MPs Liberal Democrats 9 MPs Working Government majority: 16 MPs 2
3 TRADE AND GDP OF THE UK Goods Expor t 41% Impor t 59% Goods and services, percentage of GDP (2014) Goods 20,10% Agriculture 0,70% Services Export 62% Impor t 38% Services 79,20% Source: ONS, The World Bank 3
4 TRADE PATTERNS UK vs. EU UK export 44% of UK export goes to the EU 54% of UK import comes from the EU EU export 10 % of EU export to EU-countries went to the UK 6 % of EU import comes from the UK Country Export Value from the MS (EURO) Share of export Country EU-28 Export Value (EURO) Share of export United States % Germany % Switzerland % China, People's Republic of % France % Netherlands % Ireland % Belgium % Spain % Italy % Germany % United States % France % United Kingdom % Netherlands % Italy % Belgium % Spain % China, People's Republic of % Switzerland % Source: EU Commission 4
5 UK political developments EU political developments 30 March 2019 UK leave EU EU events related to Brexit and negotiations Brexit external timeline: Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 2019 Bulgarian Presidency of the Council (Jan Jun 2018) Austrian Presidency of the Council (Jul Dec 2018) Romanian Presidency (Jan Jun 2019) Finnish Presidency (Jul Dec 2019) Mar: EU Council expected to agree guidelines on framework for future relationship and give political statement on transition Apr-Jun: Commission to work with A50 Working Party (council) to draft essential principles paper based on negotiation guidelines Apr-Jun: Informal scoping talks on framework for future relationship July-Oct: Formal negotiations on the political framework for the future relationship Autumn TBC: Expected conclusion of negotiations on Article 50 Withdrawal Treaty (inc. transition) and framework for future relationship Process for ratification begins Dec: EU Council summit (possible Council approval of Article 50 Withdrawal Treaty and framework for future relat.) 30 Mar (ongoing): BREXIT DAY start of transition period 14 Mar: European Parliament resolution on future relationship Jun: EU Council expected to give political declaration on framework for future relationship Oct: EU Council summit Dec (TBC): European Parliament vote to ratify Article 50 Withdrawal Treaty Negotiations on the detailed terms of the future relationship expected to be ongoing throughout Ongoing to Oct: Negotiations on outstanding withdrawal issues (e.g. citizens rights, NI) and finalisation of Withdrawal Treaty (including transition) 4 Mar: Italy general 14 Mar: Formation of new German govt 8 Apr: Hungary Parliamentary 9 Sept: Sweden general Oct: Luxembourg general By Nov: Ireland President TBC May-Oct: Commission President and Commissioners appointment process 18 Mar: Russia President 6 Oct: Latvia general TBC May/Jun: European Parliament s TBC Autumn: New Commission takes office 2 Mar: PM Mansion House speech on priorities for future relationship Apr-May (TBC): Report stage of Trade and Customs Bills vote on UK customs union membership expected Summer / Autumn: TBC EU Withdrawal Bill becomes law TBC Customs Bill / Trade Bill become law 3 May: Local s incl. London TBC Autumn : Vote in UK Parliament on Withdrawal Treaty, transition and framework for future relat. 30 Mar (ongoing): BREXIT DAY start of transition period. Talks on the detailed terms of the future relationship expected to be ongoing in 2019.
6 UK Toldkontrol I dag : 55mio deklarationer fra traders Brexit: 300mio deklarationer fra traders
7 Primære risici for UK havne Økonomisk opbremsning faldende mængder Toldkontrol og pres infrastruktur Stop for fribevægelighed for arbejdskraft fra EU
8 UK Havne lobbying: *Overgangsordning mere tid *Frictionless Border opretholde Just in time -kæder *Deregulering og afbureaukratisering EU Havnetjenester * Free Ports og Development Entreprise zones
9 DEBAT
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