EU Market Situation for Poultry. Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 22 March 2018
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1 EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 22 March 218
2 -.2% -.8% -1.1% -2.4% -2.9% -3.3% -4.2% -4.5% 5.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.8% 3.3% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 1.1% 1.%.8%.8%.5%.3%.8% 7.3% 6.3% 11.8% 11.2% P R O D U C T I O N 17% Change in Poultry Meat Production in % 217/216 (up to December) 12% 7% 2% -3% Source= Eurostat -8% LV DK SI LT CY IE PT RO PL FI UK CZ AT ES EL HR BE SE NL DE FR BG IT SK MT HU EU
3 P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Chicks hatched for fattening (1 pieces) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
4 P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Production forecast of broiler (In tonnes) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
5 P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Parameter National Average Live weight (kg) at Slaughter National Average Carcass yield (%) New parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK % 73.% 74.% 75.% 7.% 71.% 75.% 7.2% 67.% 69.4% 71.7% 7.1% 77.% 74.4% 75.1% 68% 7.1% 74.% 66.% 75.% 69.9% 72.4% 7.5% 72.5% 72.5% 75.% 69.% National Average Mortality (%) 2.% 4.3% 4.% 2.5% % (l.w) 4.% (h.w.) 2,5% - 3,% 6.% 5.2% 4.2% 3.7% 2.9% 5.% 3.2% 3.3% 5.% 2.% 4.2% 6.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% National Average Period of rearing (days) 4. 51* /
6 P R O D U C T I O N Euro US Dollar exchange rate /3/218: 1 EUR = 1.23 USD Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro.8 1/99 1/ 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 1/17 1/18
7 P R O D U C T I O N Euro Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real exchange rate 16/3/218: 1 EUR = 25.4 ARS = 4.5 BRL Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference
8 $ / tonne C e r e a l P r i c e s World cereal prices ($/t) Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 216 Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 28 Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 28 Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 27 Maize - FR Bordeaux $ 195 Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 19 14
9 Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) C e r e a l P r i c e s US CME SRW wheat futures 4 Daily volume 26 2 Last 14 days MAY 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) MAY 219 (R) $/t 1 $/t Chicago (CME) SRW futures 7/15 1/16 7/16 1/17 7/17 1/18 12 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 3/3/18 7/3/18 11/3/18 15/3/
10 Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 127 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 127 tonnes) C e r e a l P r i c e s CME maize futures Daily volume MAY 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) MAY 219 (R) Last 14 days $/t 3 16 $/t Chicago (CME) Maize futures 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 1 Chicago (CME) Maize futures 3/3/18 7/3/18 11/3/18 15/3/
11 Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) C e r e a l P r i c e s CME soya futures Daily volume MAY 218 (R) JUL 218 (R) AUG 218 (R) MAY 219 (R) Last 14 days $/t $/t Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 11/14 5/15 11/15 5/16 11/16 5/17 11/ Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 3/3/18 1/3/18 375
12 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 $/ton C e r e a l P r i c e s Soyameal world quotations $/ton 6 55 Brazil Paranagua US Gulf Argentina Up River Source: IGC
13 Prices / 1 kg P R I C E S E V O L U T I O N S I N C E EU W E E K P R I C E S 11 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER /1 kg carcase weight -.6% +.8% + 3.%
14 uro/ 1kg P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N B R O I L E R Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler Latest price ==> EUR/1 kg 25 Evolution compared same period last year (Week 11) : + 3.% Avg Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 217/1185)
15 In uro/1 kg P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N B R O I L E R Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br) EU US BR
16 T R A D E E U I M P O R T S B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins Jan-janv 18 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-janv 17 Thailand % % % % % + 14% Brazil % % % % % - 46% Ukraine % % % % % +++ Chile % % % % % + 26% China % % % % % + 14% Turkey 16.% 441.% 173.% % +++ Argentina % % % 6 3.8% % + 9% Switzerland % % % % 242.3% + 65% Others % % % % 242.3% #N/A Extra-EU % change + 3.5% + 3.1% - 1.5% - 9.7%
17 TONNES cw Millions EUR T R A D E E U I M P O R T S B r o i l e r EU Poultry meat Imports EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe) EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR) Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins
18 T R A D E E U E X P O R T S B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations Jan-janv 18 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-janv 17 Ukraine % % % % % + 54% Ghana % % % % % + 27% Philippines % % % % % + 115% Hong Kong % % % % % - 29% Benin % % % % % + 2% Saudi Arabia % % % % % - 29% Vietnam % % % % % + 35% South Africa % % % % % - 43% For.JRep.Mac % % % % % + 35% Switzerland % % % % % + 6% Russia % % % 993.1% 53.% - 32% Other Destinations % % % % % Extra-EU % change -.9% + 8.5% + 2.9% + 9.%
19 TONNES cw Millions EUR T R A D E E U E X P O R T S B r o i l e r EU Poultry meat Export EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe) Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR) Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18 Ukraine Ghana Philippines Hong Kong Benin Other destinations * Ukraine Ghana Philippines Hong Kong Benin Other destinations * * countries trading less than 155 ('Millions EUR)
20 in 1 Tonnes cwe T R A D E B A L A N C E EU Poultry meat Trade Balance IMPORTS EXPORTS Janjanv
21 T R A D E B A L A N C E EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1 euros) IMPORTS EXPORTS in Millions Euros Jan-janv 18
22
23 Weekly epidemic curve for HPAI H5 outbreaks in poultry reported via ADNS (1/1/216-19/3/218)
24 HPAI in poultry, captive birds and wild birds 1/1/216-19/3/218 (MS affected in 217 in red, 218 outbreaks in blue) Member State Wild birds Poultry Captive birds GERMANY FRANCE ITALY (3) NETHERLANDS 189 1(2) 11 (1) BELGIUM LUXEMBOURG 4 UNITED KINGDOM IRELAND 13 DENMARK GREECE 12 6 SPAIN 3 1 PORTUGAL 1 AUSTRIA FINLAND 14 1 SWEDEN CYPRUS 1 CZECH REPUBLIC HUNGARY POLAND SLOVENIA 273 BULGARIA 2 76 (1) 2 LITHUANIA 13 ROMANIA SLOVAKIA CROATIA 48 11
25 EUROPA SITE MARKETS Where to find data: htm Click on link: Poultry Click on link: Presentations and prices (righthand side under: in this chapter) Choose the item (link) you want Poultry dashboard -meat-dashboard_en.pdf
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EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 24 August 217 -7.2% -7.7% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% -2.1% -2.5% 4.1% 3.6% 3.5% 2.8% 1.9% 1.2%.8%.8%.6%.4%.2%.%.%.%.%
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