Economic recovery and employment in the EU. Raymond Torres, Director, ILO Research Department
|
|
|
- Phoebe Pearson
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Economic recovery and employment in the EU Raymond Torres, Director, ILO Research Department
2 Outline of presentation I. Situation in the EU versus Japan and the US II. Role of macroeconomic policies and structural reforms in the present situation III. Two scenarios
3 Unemployment rates before crisis and latest Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan (Q2) Source: Eurostat, OECD.
4 GDP growth and employment growth (per cent), Eurozone Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q GDP (Y-o-Y growth) Employment (Y-o-Y growth) Source: OECD.
5 GDP growth and employment growth (per cent), United States Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q GDP (Y-o-Y growth) Employment (Y-o-Y growth) Source: OECD.
6 GDP growth and employment growth (per cent), Japan Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q GDP (Y-o-Y growth) Employment (Y-o-Y growth) Source: OECD.
7 Incidence of long-term unemployment (percentage of unemployed looking for work for over one year) Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan Source: Eurostat, OECD.
8 Unemployment rate among youth (aged 15-24) Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan (Q2) Source: Eurostat, OECD.
9 Percentage of population at risk of poverty and social exclusion Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal Source: Eurostat.
10 Investment as a per cent of GDP Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2014.
11 Labour force participation rates (per cent) Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan Source: Eurostat, OECD.
12 Labour force participation rates among workers aged (per cent) Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan Source: Eurostat, OECD.
13 Factors behind EU weakening: 1) Aggregate demand Growth in domestic demand (average annual growth rate in per cent) Euro area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal United States Japan Source: ILO Research Department based on Eurostat. Note: Data for the United States and Japan are available only up to 2012.
14 Primary fiscal balance (in per cent of GDP) % of GDP Japan United States Euro area Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2014.
15 Primary fiscal balance (in per cent of GDP) % of GDP France Germany Italy Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2014.
16 Government and private sector net lending positions (in per cent of GDP) Country/Region Japan United States Euro area Private Government Private Government Private Government Source: ILO Research Department based on IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2014.
17 Tight credit conditions for SMEs Share of SMEs reporting Access to finance as their most pressing problem Euro-area Germany Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Portugal Source: ILO Research Department based on EU Commission 2013 Access to Finance Survey.
18 Composite cost-of-borrowing indicator, Euro area (average interest rate, percentage) Jan-07 Jun-07 Nov-07 Apr-08 Sep-08 Feb-09 Jul-09 Dec-09 May-10 Oct-10 Mar-11 Aug-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb-14 Jul-14 Source: European Central Bank.
19 Composite cost-of-borrowing indicator, selected Euro area countries (average interest rate, percentage) Jan-07 Jun-07 Nov-07 Apr-08 Sep-08 Feb-09 Jul-09 Dec-09 May-10 Oct-10 Mar-11 Aug-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb-14 Jul-14 France Germany Greece (GR) Italy Portugal Spain Source: European Central Bank.
20 Factors behind EU slowdown: 2) Unbalanced reforms Much of the reform in EU has focused on labour markets, less on product & financial markets or tax reform The type of labour market reform has tended to aggravate demand shortage and widen inequalities Lower employment protection without compensating activation measures or skill development Significant reduction in collective bargaining coverage in some countries
21 Link between PES staff servicing clients directly and the unemployment rate, Spain 18 Greece Unemployment rate 12 6 Ireland Portugal Estonia Hungary Poland Denmark Finland Slovenia Czech Republic Sweden United Kingdom Belgium Germany Netherlands Austria PES staff servicing clients directly per unemployed ('000) Source: European Job Mobility Laboratory and OECD.Stat.
22 Policy options Tackling the credit squeeze problem (QE measures) Coordinated EU-wide measures that support demand while improving supply conditions e.g. energy, SME-driven public investment programme Front-loading ESFs? Example of youth guarantee
23 Contracts signed by EIB (in billion EUR), Spain Italy Germany France Portugal Austria Greece Netherlands Ireland Other EU countries Non-EU countries Source: European Investment Bank (EIB).
24 Policy options -- balanced reforms More on services sectors, notably high-income protected professions, finance, education & training Inclusive labour markets Reform without intensifying duality (Austria, Neth.) Fight against undeclared work (Ireland, Poland, Turkey) Social protection while strengthening activation (Germany, Nordics), prevent disability, tackle new issues like dependent own-account work (Spain) Make wages grow, as productivity permits
25 Policy coordination scenario Coherent responses: i) faster demand growth in north ; ii) balanced reforms; iii) banking union and fiscal coordination Impacts: inclusive growth and lower unemployment in the area as a whole. => Genuine monetary union, more inter-country fiscal transfers and policy competencies at Euroarea level. But issue of democratic control and governance of Euro area.
26 Rebalancing Europe Change in the employment rate (percentage points) 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 Periphery Core Quarters Scenario: More demand in core, bank reform (more credit and lower interest rates in periphery) Source: ILO Research Department simulations based on the GEL model.
27 Further internal devaluation scenario Asymmetric policy responses: i) less demand in south; ii) tough social reforms; iii) limited action at Eurozone level. Likely impact: Prolonged unemployment in south, leading to hysteresis, emigration, low-tech specialisation Intensified competition within Euro area, threatening other countries like France and Italy => Limited inter-country fiscal transfers. But pressures on the stability of Euro area.
28 Projected growth and unemployment rate, Euro area in % GDP growth Unemployment rate Source: ILO, Trends EconometricModels, July 2014 and IMF, World EconomicOutlook, April 2014.
29 Projected growth and unemployment rate, US and Japan in % GDP growth Japan GDP growth US Unemployment rate Japan Unemployment rate US Source: ILO, Trends EconometricModels, July 2014 and IMF, World EconomicOutlook, April 2014.
ILO World of Work Report 2013: EU Snapshot
Greece Spain Ireland Poland Belgium Portugal Eurozone France Slovenia EU-27 Cyprus Denmark Netherlands Italy Bulgaria Slovakia Romania Lithuania Latvia Czech Republic Estonia Finland United Kingdom Sweden
Communication on the future of the CAP
Communication on the future of the CAP The CAP towards 2020: meeting the food, natural resources and territorial challenges of the future Tassos Haniotis, Director Agricultural Policy Analysis and Perspectives
Macroeconomic overview SEE and Macedonia
Macroeconomic overview SEE and Macedonia Zoltan Arokszallasi Chief Analyst, Macro & FX/FI Research Erste Group Bank Erste Investors Breakfast, 29 September, Skopje 02. Oktober SEE shows mixed performance
January 2010 Euro area unemployment rate at 9.9% EU27 at 9.5%
STAT//29 1 March 20 January 20 Euro area unemployment rate at 9.9% EU27 at 9.5% The euro area 1 (EA16) seasonally-adjusted 2 unemployment rate 3 was 9.9% in January 20, the same as in December 2009 4.
Chart pack to council for cooperation on macroprudential policy
Chart pack to council for cooperation on macroprudential policy Contents List of charts... 3 Macro and macro-financial setting... 5 Swedish macroeconomic setting... 5 Foreign macroeconomic setting... Macro-financial
October 2010 Euro area unemployment rate at 10.1% EU27 at 9.6%
STAT//180 30 November 20 October 20 Euro area unemployment rate at.1% EU27 at 9.6% The euro area 1 (EA16) seasonally-adjusted 2 unemployment rate 3 was.1% in October 20, compared with.0% in September 4.
The Cyprus Economy: from Recovery to Sustainable Growth. Vincenzo Guzzo Resident Representative in Cyprus
The Economy: from Recovery to Sustainable Growth Vincenzo Guzzo Resident Representative in Growth momentum remains strong 18 : Real GDP ( billion) 1 Deviation from Pre-Crisis Level and Trend (Percent)
First estimate for 2011 Euro area external trade deficit 7.7 bn euro bn euro deficit for EU27
27/2012-15 February 2012 First estimate for 2011 Euro area external trade deficit 7.7 152.8 deficit for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA17) trade in goods balance with the rest of the world
Second estimate for the third quarter of 2008 EU27 current account deficit 39.5 bn euro 19.3 bn euro surplus on trade in services
STAT/09/12 22 January 2009 Second estimate for the third quarter of 20 EU27 current account deficit 39.5 bn euro 19.3 bn euro surplus on trade in According to the latest revisions1, the EU272 external
January 2014 Euro area international trade in goods surplus 0.9 bn euro 13.0 bn euro deficit for EU28
STAT/14/41 18 March 2014 January 2014 Euro area international trade in goods surplus 0.9 13.0 deficit for EU28 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA18) trade in goods balance with the rest of the
Euro-QE at the end of the road for now
Germany France Italy Agencies Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Portugal Finland Ireland Slovakia Slovenia Lux Latvia Lithuania Malta 7.8 2.6 2.1 3.21 1.17 Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment
EU BUDGET AND NATIONAL BUDGETS
DIRECTORATE GENERAL FOR INTERNAL POLICIES POLICY DEPARTMENT ON BUDGETARY AFFAIRS EU BUDGET AND NATIONAL BUDGETS 1999-2009 October 2010 INDEX Foreward 3 Table 1. EU and National budgets 1999-2009; EU-27
January 2005 Euro-zone external trade deficit 2.2 bn euro 14.0 bn euro deficit for EU25
42/2005-23 March 2005 January 2005 Euro-zone external trade deficit 2.2 14.0 deficit for EU25 The first estimate for euro-zone 1 trade with the rest of the world in January 2005 was a 2.2 billion euro
March 2005 Euro-zone external trade surplus 4.2 bn euro 6.5 bn euro deficit for EU25
STAT/05/67 24 May 2005 March 2005 Euro-zone external trade surplus 4.2 6.5 deficit for EU25 The first estimate for euro-zone 1 trade with the rest of the world in March 2005 was a 4.2 billion euro surplus,
Live Long and Prosper? Demographic Change and Europe s Pensions Crisis. Dr. Jochen Pimpertz Brussels, 10 November 2015
Live Long and Prosper? Demographic Change and Europe s Pensions Crisis Dr. Jochen Pimpertz Brussels, 10 November 2015 Old-age-dependency ratio, EU28 45,9 49,4 50,2 39,0 27,5 31,8 2013 2020 2030 2040 2050
C W S S u m m i t. Dambisa Moyo 16 May 2012 London
2 0 1 2 C W S S u m m i t Dambisa Moyo 16 May 2012 London Table of Contents I Global Labour Market Picture II Six Labour Market Drivers III The Challenges Ahead 2 Global unemployment (millions) Unemployment
May 2012 Euro area international trade in goods surplus of 6.9 bn euro 3.8 bn euro deficit for EU27
108/2012-16 July 2012 May 2012 Euro area international trade in goods surplus of 6.9 3.8 deficit for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA17) trade in goods balance with the rest of the world
August 2012 Euro area international trade in goods surplus of 6.6 bn euro 12.6 bn euro deficit for EU27
146/2012-16 October 2012 August 2012 Euro area international trade in goods surplus of 6.6 12.6 deficit for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA17) trade in goods balance with the rest of the
June 2014 Euro area international trade in goods surplus 16.8 bn 2.9 bn surplus for EU28
127/2014-18 August 2014 June 2014 Euro area international trade in goods surplus 16.8 bn 2.9 bn surplus for EU28 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA18) trade in goods balance with the rest of the
June 2012 Euro area international trade in goods surplus of 14.9 bn euro 0.4 bn euro surplus for EU27
121/2012-17 August 2012 June 2012 Euro area international trade in goods surplus of 14.9 0.4 surplus for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA17) trade in goods balance with the rest of the world
EMPLOYMENT RATE Employed/Working age population (15 64 years)
EMPLOYMENT RATE 198 26 Employed/Working age population (15 64 years 8 % Finland 75 EU 15 EU 25 7 65 6 55 5 8 82 84 86 88 9 92 94 96 98 2 4** 6** 14.4.25/SAK /TL Source: European Commission 1 UNEMPLOYMENT
EMPLOYMENT RATE IN EU-COUNTRIES 2000 Employed/Working age population (15-64 years)
EMPLOYMENT RATE IN EU-COUNTRIES 2 Employed/Working age population (15-64 years EU-15 Denmark Netherlands Great Britain Sweden Portugal Finland Austria Germany Ireland Luxembourg France Belgium Greece Spain
Euro-QE at the end of the road for now
Germany France Italy Agencies Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Portugal Finland Ireland Slovakia Slovenia Lux Latvia Lithuania Malta 7.9 2.6 2.1 3.16 1.15 Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment
Youth Integration into the labour market Barcelona, July 2011 Jan Hendeliowitz Director, Employment Region Copenhagen & Zealand Ministry of
Youth Integration into the labour market Barcelona, July 2011 Jan Hendeliowitz Director, Employment Region Copenhagen & Zealand Ministry of Employment, Denmark Chair of the OECD-LEED Directing Committee
The ECB's drive to build purchased assets
Germany France Italy Agencies Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Portugal Finland Ireland Slovakia Slovenia Lux Latvia Lithuania Malta 7.8 2.6 2. 3.1 1.11 Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment
The ECB's drive to build purchased assets
Germany France Italy Agencies Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Portugal Finland Ireland Slovakia Slovenia Lux Latvia Lithuania Malta 7.6 2.5 1.9 2.86 1.11 Trend Macrolytics, LLC Donald Luskin, Chief Investment
Three-speed recovery. GDP growth. Percent Emerging and developing economies. World
Three-speed recovery GDP growth Percent 1 8 6 4 2-2 -4-6 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 21 215 Source: IMF WEO; Milken Institute. Emerging and developing economies Advanced economies World Output is still below
August 2005 Euro-zone external trade deficit 2.6 bn euro 14.2 bn euro deficit for EU25
STAT/05/132 20 October 2005 August 2005 Euro-zone external trade deficit 2.6 14.2 deficit for EU25 The first estimate for euro-zone 1 trade with the rest of the world in August 2005 was a 2.6 billion euro
EMPLOYMENT RATE Employed/Working age population (15-64 years)
1 EMPLOYMENT RATE 1980-2003 Employed/Working age population (15-64 years 80 % Finland (Com 75 70 65 60 EU-15 Finland (Stat. Fin. 55 50 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 9.9.2002/SAK /TL Source: European
Some Historical Examples of Yield Curves
3 months 6 months 1 year 2 years 5 years 10 years 30 years Some Historical Examples of Yield Curves Nominal interest rate, % 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 January 1981 June1999 December2009 0 Time to maturity This
Corrigendum. OECD Pensions Outlook 2012 DOI: ISBN (print) ISBN (PDF) OECD 2012
OECD Pensions Outlook 2012 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/9789264169401-en ISBN 978-92-64-16939-5 (print) ISBN 978-92-64-16940-1 (PDF) OECD 2012 Corrigendum Page 21: Figure 1.1. Average annual real net investment
SEE macroeconomic outlook Recovery gains traction, fiscal discipline improving. Alen Kovac, Chief Economist EBC May 2016 Ljubljana
SEE macroeconomic outlook Recovery gains traction, fiscal discipline improving Alen Kovac, Chief Economist EBC May 216 Ljubljana Real economy highlights Recent GDP track record reveals more favorable footprint
The intergenerational divide in Europe. Guntram Wolff
The intergenerational divide in Europe Guntram Wolff Outline An overview of key inequality developments The key drivers of intergenerational inequality Macroeconomic policy Orientation and composition
PROPERTY EU EUROPEAN LOGISTICS INVESTMENT BRIEFING
PROPERTY EU EUROPEAN LOGISTICS INVESTMENT BRIEFING RICHARD HOLBERTON, SENIOR DIRECTOR, EMEA RESEARCH, CBRE FEBRUARY 19 TH 2015 AGENDA Economy Market Activity Forecasts Issues ECONOMY 2014 Some Alarms and
Executive Board meeting. 14 December 2011
Executive Board meeting December EU measures ECB Key policy rate has been reduced to. percent Measures: Liquidity operation with a maturity of months Reserve requirements reduced from to per cent Reduced
NOTE. for the Interparliamentary Meeting of the Committee on Budgets
NOTE for the Interparliamentary Meeting of the Committee on Budgets THE ROLE OF THE EU BUDGET TO SUPPORT MEMBER STATES IN ACHIEVING THEIR ECONOMIC OBJECTIVES AS AGREED WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE EUROPEAN
PRESENTATION BY JACOB A. FRENKEL AT THE FORUM: INTELLIGENCE ON THE WORLD, EUROPE, AND ITALY. Villa d'este, Cernobbio - September 7, 8 and 9, 2012
PRESENTATION BY JACOB A. FRENKEL AT THE FORUM: INTELLIGENCE ON THE WORLD, EUROPE, AND ITALY Villa d'este, Cernobbio - September 7, 8 and 9, 1 Working paper, September 1. Kindly authorized by the Author.
Fiscal rules in Lithuania
Fiscal rules in Lithuania Algimantas Rimkūnas Vice Minister, Ministry of Finance of Lithuania 3 June, 2016 Evolution of National and EU Fiscal Regulations Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) Maastricht Treaty
January 2009 Euro area external trade deficit 10.5 bn euro 26.3 bn euro deficit for EU27
STAT/09/40 23 March 2009 January 2009 Euro area external trade deficit 10.5 26.3 deficit for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA16) trade balance with the rest of the world in January 2009
The Global Financial Crisis and the Return of the Nordic Model?
The Global Financial Crisis and the Return of the Nordic Model? Lars Calmfors Embassy of Denmark and the Swedish Institute of International Affairs 18 November Topics 1. The global economic crisis 2. Globalisation
Non-standard monetary policy in the euro area Economics Roundtable discussion (8 September 2017)
Non-standard monetary policy in the euro area Economics Roundtable discussion (8 September 2017) Gillian Phelan Outline Monetary policy action Interest rate policy Non-standard measures Monetary policy
PENSIONS IN OECD COUNTRIES: INDICATORS AND DEVELOPMENTS
PENSIONS IN OECD COUNTRIES: INDICATORS AND DEVELOPMENTS Marius Lüske Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, OECD Lisbon, 28.09.2018 Marius.LUSKE@oecd.org www.oecd.org/els OUTLINE Talk based
CENTRAL BANK OF THE REPUBLIC OF TURKEY
CENTRAL BANK OF THE REPUBLIC OF TURKEY Growth and Financial System Durmuş YILMAZ Governor February, 211 1 Presentation Outline I. Recent Developments in the Turkish Economy II. III. Monetary Policy Policy
2016 Economic Outlook for Ireland & Eurozone IFP Launch
2016 Economic Outlook for Ireland & Eurozone IFP Launch December 3 rd 2015 Jim Power Global Background US & UK growing at reasonable pace Euro Zone growing well below potential Emerging markets in some
Trade and Development Board Sixty-first session. Geneva, September 2014
UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT Trade and Development Board Sixty-first session Geneva, 15 26 September 2014 Item 3: High-level segment Tackling inequality through trade and development:
34 th Associates Meeting - Andorra, 25 May Item 5: Evolution of economic governance in the EU
34 th Associates Meeting - Andorra, 25 May 2012 - Item 5: Evolution of economic governance in the EU Plan of the Presentation 1. Fiscal and economic coordination: how did it start? 2. Did it work? 3. Five
Statistical annex. Sources and definitions
Statistical annex Sources and definitions Most of the statistics shown in these tables can be found as well in several other (paper or electronic) publications or references, as follows: the annual edition
The Northern Ireland labour market is characterised by relatively. population of working age are not active in the labour market at
INTRODUCTION The Northern Ireland labour market is characterised by relatively high levels of economic inactivity. Around 28 per cent of the population of working age are not active in the labour market
Switzerland and Germany top the PwC Young Workers Index in developing younger people
Press release Date 9 November 2015 Contact Mihnea Anastasiu Pages 5 Media Relations Manager Tel: +40 21 225 3546 Email: mihnea.anastasiu@ro.pwc.com Switzerland and Germany top the PwC Young Workers Index
Sovereign Risks and Financial Spillovers
Sovereign Risks and Financial Spillovers International Monetary Fund October 21 Roadmap What is the Outlook for Global Financial Stability? Sovereign Risks and Financial Fragilities Sovereign and Banking
CANADA S LABOUR MARKET PRE- AND POST-CRISIS
CANADA S LABOUR MARKET PRE- AND POST-CRISIS WILLIAM ROBSON PRESIDENT AND CEO, C.D. HOWE INSTITUTE PRESENTATION TO THE NERO MEETING AT THE OECD 20 JUNE 2011 CANADA S LABOUR MARKET HIGHLIGHTS Decent Top-Level
May 2009 Euro area external trade surplus 1.9 bn euro 6.8 bn euro deficit for EU27
STAT/09/106 17 July 2009 May 2009 Euro area external trade surplus 1.9 6.8 deficit for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA16) trade balance with the rest of the world in May 2009 gave a 1.9
Approach to Employment Injury (EI) compensation benefits in the EU and OECD
Approach to (EI) compensation benefits in the EU and OECD The benefits of protection can be divided in three main groups. The cash benefits include disability pensions, survivor's pensions and other short-
Eurozone Economic Watch. February 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch February 2018 Eurozone: Strong growth continues in 1Q18, but confidence seems to peak GDP growth moderated slightly in, but there was an upward revision to previous quarters. Available
Assessing Developments and Prospects in the Australian Welfare State
Assessing Developments and Prospects in the Australian Welfare State Presentation to OECD,16 November, 2016 Peter Whiteford, Crawford School of Public Policy https://socialpolicy.crawford.anu.edu.au/ peter.whiteford@anu.edu.au
2017 Figures summary 1
Annual Press Conference on January 18 th 2018 EIB Group Results 2017 2017 Figures summary 1 European Investment Bank (EIB) financing EUR 69.88 billion signed European Investment Fund (EIF) financing EUR
European Semester Country Report for Greece
European Semester Country Report for Greece European commission IOBE conference: Integrating Greece into the European Semester Policy Framework: Priorities for sustainable growth and competitiveness Wednesday,
PORTUGAL E O CAMINHO PARA O FUTURO: A BANCA E O SEU PAPEL
XV CONFERÊNCIA A CRISE EUROPEIA E AS REFORMAS NECESSÁRIAS PORTUGAL E O CAMINHO PARA O FUTURO: A BANCA E O SEU PAPEL FERNANDO FARIA DE OLIVEIRA AGENDA European Context: From the Actual Crisis to Growth
Introduction to Public Finance
Introduction to Public Finance Lecture 2: Functions and size of the welfare state. Retirement, unemployment protection, health care, etc. Welfare expenditures, aging problem. 1 Outline of the lecture Basic
August 2008 Euro area external trade deficit 9.3 bn euro 27.2 bn euro deficit for EU27
STAT/08/143 17 October 2008 August 2008 Euro area external trade deficit 9.3 27.2 deficit for EU27 The first estimate for the euro area 1 (EA15) trade balance with the rest of the world in August 2008
Measuring Unemployment Some Key Terms
Measuring Unemployment Some Key Terms Claimant Count (JSA) Labour Force Survey (LFS) The number of people officially claiming unemployment- related benefits must be actively seeking work All those actively
REPORT FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT, THE COUNCIL, THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMITTEE AND THE COMMITTEE OF THE REGIONS
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels,.4.29 COM(28) 86 final/ 2 ANNEXES to 3 ANNEX to the REPORT FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT, THE COUNCIL, THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMITTEE AND THE COMMITTEE
Health Care in Crisis
Health Care in Crisis The Economic Imperative for Health Care Reform James Kvaal and Ben Furnas February 19, 2009 1 Center for American Progress Health Care in Crisis U.S. spends twice as much per capita
Global Economic Prospects
Global Economic Prospects Back from the Brink? Andrew Burns World Bank Prospects Group April 12, 212 1 Amid some signs of improvement, global recovery remains fragile First quarter of 212 has been generally
The European Economy. Simon Barry Chief Economist Republic of Ireland. December 2012
The European Economy Simon Barry Chief Economist Republic of Ireland December 212 Euro area economy now back in recession as GDP contracts in 3 of the past 4 quarters Euro Area Real GDP Growth, % 1.5 1..5.
Global Economic Outlook John Hawksworth Chief Economist, PwC September 2012
www.pwc.co.uk/economics Global Economic Outlook John Hawksworth Chief Economist, September 2012 Agenda Global overview Short term prospects for Europe, US and BRICs Long term trends: demographics, growth
Growth, competitiveness and jobs: priorities for the European Semester 2013 Presentation of J.M. Barroso,
Growth, competitiveness and jobs: priorities for the European Semester 213 Presentation of J.M. Barroso, President of the European Commission, to the European Council of 14-1 March 213 Economic recovery
Burden of Taxation: International Comparisons
Burden of Taxation: International Comparisons Standard Note: SN/EP/3235 Last updated: 15 October 2008 Author: Bryn Morgan Economic Policy & Statistics Section This note presents data comparing the national
EMPLOYABILITY AND LABOUR MARKET
EMPLOYABILITY AND LABOUR MARKET POLICIES Guillermo MONTT Division for Employment, Analysis and Policy Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs guillermo.montt@oecd.org July 3, 2014 Skill levels
Ageing and employment policies: Ireland
Ageing and employment policies: Ireland John Martin 1 Director for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, OECD FÁS Annual Labour Market Conference, Dublin, 5 December 2005 OECD has carried out a major
PRACTICAL ASPECTS AND DILEMMAS OF MEDIUM TERM FISCAL PLANNING - CASE OF SLOVENIA. Copyright rests with the author. All rights reserved.
PRACTICAL ASPECTS AND DILEMMAS OF MEDIUM TERM FISCAL PLANNING - CASE OF SLOVENIA Copyright rests with the author. All rights reserved. Saša Jazbec, Ministry of Finance Republic of Slovenia MARCH 2018 Agenda
DG TAXUD. STAT/11/100 1 July 2011
DG TAXUD STAT/11/100 1 July 2011 Taxation trends in the European Union Recession drove EU27 overall tax revenue down to 38.4% of GDP in 2009 Half of the Member States hiked the standard rate of VAT since
Modelling the sovereign debt crisis in Europe
Modelling the sovereign debt crisis in Europe National Institute Global Econometric Model Dawn Holland October 211 Project LINK Meeting on the World Economy National Institute of Economic and Social Research
3 Labour Costs. Cost of Employing Labour Across Advanced EU Economies (EU15) Indicator 3.1a
3 Labour Costs Indicator 3.1a Indicator 3.1b Indicator 3.1c Indicator 3.2a Indicator 3.2b Indicator 3.3 Indicator 3.4 Cost of Employing Labour Across Advanced EU Economies (EU15) Cost of Employing Labour
Working Group on Public Health statistics
Working Group on Public Health statistics Agenda item 8.2 Main projects and data collection Health Expenditure Statistics (SHA) 26-27 October 2009 EUROSTAT: Working Group Public Health Meeting SHA Joint
3 Labour Costs. Cost of Employing Labour Across Advanced EU Economies (EU15) Indicator 3.1a
3 Labour Costs Indicator 3.1a Indicator 3.1b Indicator 3.1c Indicator 3.2a Indicator 3.2b Indicator 3.3 Indicator 3.4 Cost of Employing Labour Across Advanced EU Economies (EU15) Cost of Employing Labour
Italy s Eurozone Trap
Italy s Eurozone Trap Ashoka Mody Based on EuroTragedy: A Drama in Nine Acts, New York: Oxford University Press, June 2018. Italy needed and needs the crutch of a depreciating currency to offset its abysmal
RECENT EVOLUTION AND OUTLOOK OF THE MEXICAN ECONOMY BANCO DE MÉXICO OCTOBER 2003
OCTOBER 23 RECENT EVOLUTION AND OUTLOOK OF THE MEXICAN ECONOMY BANCO DE MÉXICO 2 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS OUTLOOK MEDIUM-TERM CHALLENGES 3 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS In tandem with the global economic cycle, the Mexican
OUTLOOK FOR THE NEW ZEALAND GOVERNMENT DEBT MARKET
OUTLOOK FOR THE NEW ZEALAND GOVERNMENT DEBT MARKET All photography sourced from: http://www.nzstory.govt.nz 1 The Treasury OVERVIEW 1 New Zealand Economic Outlook 2 New Zealand Government Bonds: Risk/Reward
1.1. Low yield environment
1. Key developments The overall macroeconomic environment remains very challenging for the European insurance and pension sector. The yields have been further compressed and are substantially below the
InterTrade Ireland Economic Forum 25 November 2011 The jobs crisis: stylised facts and policy challenges
InterTrade Ireland Economic Forum 25 November 2011 The jobs crisis: stylised facts and policy challenges John P. Martin Director for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs, OECD The jobs crisis An unprecedented
Turkey s Saving Deficit Issue From an Institutional Perspective
Turkey s Saving Deficit Issue From an Institutional Perspective Engin KURUN, Ph.D CEO, Ziraat Asset Management Oct. 25th, 2011 - Istanbul 1 PRESENTATION Household and Institutional Savings Institutional
TURKEY: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS January March 2018
TURKEY: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS January March 218 3 81 4 698 961 7 34 7 96 9 66 8 98 1 931 1 6 11 2 11 88 11 19 1 883 1 97 12 48 12 112 Per capita GDP tripled while nominal GDP quadrupled in last 1 years 237
Financial wealth of private households worldwide
Economic Research Financial wealth of private households worldwide Munich, October 217 Recovery in turbulent times Assets and liabilities of private households worldwide in EUR trillion and annualrate
Long-term unemployment: Council Recommendation frequently asked questions
EUROPEAN COMMISSION MEMO Brussels, 15 February 2016 Long-term unemployment: Council Recommendation frequently asked questions Why a focus on long-term unemployment? The number of long-term unemployed persons
Growth in OECD Unit Labour Costs slows to 0.4% in the third quarter of 2016
Growth in OECD Unit Labour Costs slows to.4% in the third quarter of 26 Growth in unit labour costs (ULCs) in the OECD area slowed to.4% in the third quarter of 26 (compared with.6% in the previous quarter)
Poland s Economic Prospects
Poland s Economic Prospects Unicredit Conference Warsaw, June 8, 11 Mark Allen Senior IMF Resident Representative for Central and Eastern Europe Recovery is driven by domestic demand Contributions to Real
Statistical Annex ANNEX
ISBN 92-64-02384-4 OECD Employment Outlook Boosting Jobs and Incomes OECD 2006 ANNEX Statistical Annex Sources and definitions Most of the statistics shown in these tables can be found as well in three
TURKEY: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS January June 2018
TURKEY: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS January June 218 3 81 4 698 961 7 34 7 96 9 66 8 98 1 931 1 6 11 2 11 88 11 19 1 883 1 97 12 48 12 112 Per capita GDP tripled while nominal GDP quadrupled in last 1 years 237
Sovereign Rating Calendar 2019
Creditreform Rating AG Sovereign Rating Calendar 2019 Neuss, December 2018 Creditreform Rating AG Hellersbergstrasse 11 D 41460 Neuss www.creditreform-rating.de Table of contents INTRODUCTION... 2 RATING
EUROPA - Press Releases - Taxation trends in the European Union EU27 tax...of GDP in 2008 Steady decline in top corporate income tax rate since 2000
DG TAXUD STAT/10/95 28 June 2010 Taxation trends in the European Union EU27 tax ratio fell to 39.3% of GDP in 2008 Steady decline in top corporate income tax rate since 2000 The overall tax-to-gdp ratio1
Ways to increase employment
Ways to increase employment Iceland Luxembourg Spain Canada Italy Norway Denmark Germany Portugal Ireland Japan Belgium Switzerland Austria Slovenia United States New Zealand Finland France Netherlands
Eurozone Economic Watch. July 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 Eurozone: A shift to more moderate growth with increased downward risks BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 / 2 Hard data improved in May but failed to recover
MOVING BEYOND THE JOBS CRISIS FURTHER MATERIAL
MOVING BEYOND THE JOBS CRISIS FURTHER MATERIAL The following pages provide supplementary material underlying the empirical analysis presented in Chapter 1 of OECD Employment Outlook 2010 (OECD, 2010a).
Outlook 2015: Europe & Germany
Part of the M&G Group Outlook 215: Europe & Germany Research presentation 27 th November 214 European Economic Fundamentals Update & Outlook 2 Economic recovery broadening GDP growth by country Q3 214
Bank resolution in the Swedish context
Bank resolution in the Swedish context Hans Lindblad Director General UBS Annual Nordic Financial Services Conference Stockholm 8 september 2016 The Swedish economy is performing well GDP growth is strong
Understanding the Macroeconomic Scenario: Global Demand, Global Supply Chains
Understanding the Macroeconomic Scenario: Global Demand, Global Supply Chains 12 June 2014 Fabio Sdogati, fabio.sdogati@polimi.it Table of Contents 1. Economic Scenario after the Great Recession 2. Structural
TURKEY: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS January September 2018
TURKEY: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS January September 218 3 81 4 698 961 7 34 7 96 9 66 8 98 1 931 1 6 11 11 88 11 19 1 883 1 97 12 48 12 112 Per capita GDP tripled while nominal GDP quadrupled in last 1 years
Economic outlook for Euro & talous (Bank of Finland Bulletin) 5/2013 Governor Erkki Liikanen 12 December 2013
Economic outlook for 2013 2015 Euro & talous (Bank of Finland Bulletin) 5/2013 Governor Erkki Liikanen 12 December 2013 1 Positive signals from the international economy 12.12.2013 Governor Erkki Liikanen
Sustainability and Adequacy of Social Security in the Next Quarter Century:
Sustainability and Adequacy of Social Security in the Next Quarter Century: Balancing future pensions adequacy and sustainability while facing demographic change Krzysztof Hagemejer (Author) John Woodall