Implementation Status & Results Bolivia BO: Investing in Children and Youth (P101084)

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1 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Bolivia BO: Investing in Children and Youth (P101084) Operation Name: BO: Investing in Children and Youth (P101084) Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 12 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 28-Oct-2014 Country: Bolivia Approval FY: 2008 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): MINISTRY OF HEALTH, Ministry of Labor, UDAPE Key Dates Board Approval Date 11-Mar-2008 Original Closing Date Planned Mid Term Review Date 10-Dec-2012 Last Archived ISR Date 01-Apr-2014 Effectiveness Date 13-Feb-2009 Revised Closing Date Actual Mid Term Review Date 07-Dec-2012 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed Project seeks to assist the Government of Bolivia in strengthening the effectiveness of its social protection system by supporting the design, financing and implementation of two flagship interventions of the social protection network strategy, while enhancing its capacity to coordinate and monitor programs that are part of the social protection network. In this context, the development objectives of the proposed Project are to: (i) contribute to a reduction in the prevalence of chronic malnutrition in children ages 0-2 years old living in the most vulnerable rural areas of the country; (ii) improve the management and operation of a skills development program for low income youth to enhance its effectiveness in increasing their ability to find and maintain a good quality job; and (iii) improve Government capacity to design and manage a coherent, measurable, and effective social protection network in the medium term. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? losure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Implementing and scaling up the Social Protection Program for Mothers and Children 6.41 Improving and expanding a skills development program for low income unemployed youth 5.22 Institutional strengthening of the RPS-RIC 1.26 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Unsatisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Implementation Status Overview The Project is due to close on December 31, 2014 but a request of an extension of the closing date for six months was made by Government and is being processed. Out of the Page 1 of 9

2 amount currently allocated to the Project of SDR 8.4 million (USD million), SDR 5.04 million (USD 7.48 million) has been disbursed. There are upcoming reimbursements of pre-financed expenditures under Component 1 in the amount of SDR1.96 million (US$ 2.95 million). Undisbursed funds of Component 2 and 3 are fully committed. The Government recently released results of three evaluations (the impact evaluation of Bono Juana Azurduy Program -BJA-, a process evaluation of the BJA, and a tracking survey of the Mi Primer Empleo Program MPED-) which provide information for evaluating progress towards attaining the Development Objectives. The findings of these evaluations indicate that five out of seven key development indicators are on track to be achieved, one will not be measured and one will not be achieved by Project s end. The Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Labor have both strengthened their financial management functions (MoH completed the overdue audit report and restored the FM functions to proceed with the closing of Component 1, and the MoL staffed all the FM positions which allowed to address some of the shortcomings in this area, mostly related to overdue IFRs). Additionally, the MoL has committed almost all of the additional resources allocated after the December 2013 restructuring. Therefore, the Bank team proposes a change in the Project implementation rating from Unsatisfactory to Moderately Satisfactory. Government has requested an extension of the Project closing date from December 31, 2014 to June 30, This extension would allow completion of the last round of training activities under Component 2, which in turn will allow the Project to achieve the related Development Objective. The restructuring of the Project would also include: (i) a change in the modality of payment of stipends to MPED beneficiaries (which will result in cost savings for Government); (ii) the elimination of the legal requirement to complete a Procurement Audit for Component 3; and (iii) the reallocation of resources between disbursement categories. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Not Entered Not Entered Not Entered Bolivia Not Entered Zudáñez Bolivia Not Entered Yunchara Bolivia Not Entered Vila Vila Bolivia Not Entered Urmiri Bolivia Not Entered Uncia Bolivia Not Entered Torotoro Bolivia Not Entered Tacopa Bolivia Not Entered Tacobamba Bolivia Not Entered Sicaya Bolivia Not Entered Sapahaqui Bolivia Not Entered Santa Rosa del Abuná Bolivia Not Entered San Pedro de Buena Vista Bolivia Not Entered Sacaca Page 2 of 9

3 Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Bolivia Not Entered Ravelo Bolivia Not Entered Puerto Siles Bolivia Not Entered Pucará Bolivia Not Entered Pocoata Bolivia Not Entered Ocurí Bolivia Not Entered Moro Moro Bolivia Not Entered Morochata Bolivia Not Entered Loreto Bolivia Not Entered Gutiérrez Bolivia Not Entered Tinguipaya Bolivia Not Entered Exaltación Bolivia Not Entered El Choro Bolivia Not Entered Curva Bolivia Not Entered Colquechaca Bolivia Not Entered Chayanta Bolivia Not Entered Chacarilla Bolivia Not Entered Caripuyo Bolivia Not Entered Bolívar Bolivia Not Entered Betanzos Bolivia Not Entered Río Ayopaya Bolivia Not Entered Ayata Bolivia Not Entered Arque Bolivia Not Entered Arampampa Bolivia Not Entered Acacio Bolivia Not Entered Culpina Page 3 of 9

4 Bolivia Not Entered Icla Bolivia Not Entered Incahuasi Bolivia Not Entered Mojocoya Bolivia Not Entered Poroma Bolivia Not Entered Presto Bolivia Not Entered San Lucas Bolivia Not Entered Sopachuy Bolivia Not Entered Tarabuco Bolivia Not Entered Tomina Bolivia Not Entered Yamparáez Bolivia Not Entered Azurduy Bolivia Not Entered Tarvita Bolivia Not Entered Santiago de Callapa Results Project Development Objective Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Text Value 38 percent 21.4 percent 22 percent 1. Percent of 2-year old children participating in the program with a height for age below 2Z scores (not attributable to the BJA) The target will not be achieved by the end of the Project. Results from the Impact Evaluation study, released in May 2014, show that BJA program does not have impact or a significant contribution to the reduction of chronic malnutrition. There is no expected additional information to measure this indicator. Page 4 of 9

5 2. Percentage of mothers with children younger than 2 living in the targeted areas receiving transfers Component 2: 1. Proportion of beneficiaries enrolled during the expansion of the program that are poor Component 2: 2. Percentage of beneficiaries with an employment contract four months after the end of the internship Text Value 0 60 percent 50 percent Date 31-Jan-2008 MIS of BJA indicates the coverage of children younger than 2 living in the 107 The end target was reduced from 70 to 50 percent in the Dec, 2013 restructuring based municipalities had an increase on Government projections. in the last quarter of CY 13 due an unusual high level of new beneficiaries forms entered intothe information system. The Project Coordination Unit and the Bank team will closely monitor the coverage information during the first semester. of Text Value percent 100 percent achieved. This indicator was measured by the percentage of beneficiaries selected using the new targeting system applied during the expansion phase (combination of self declaration of household income and public education or a threshold in energy consumption). The accuracy of the targeting system has been evaluated through a household visit on a sample base. The visit evaluates the living conditions of the beneficiaries. The sample is 30 percent of each cohort. Text Value 0 60 percent 50 percent Date 31-Jan-2008 exceeded. Results from a tracking survey report shows that 60 The end target was increased from 80 to 100 percent in the Dec, 2013 restructuring. Page 5 of 9

6 Component 3: 1. Annual reports on RPS-DIC programs progress submitted to National Council for Economic and Social Policy (CONAPES) 3. Proportion of children participating in the program with anemia. 4. Percentage of beneficiary women who know their rights to access services and co-responsabilities to participate in the program Intermediate Results Indicators percent of the beneficiaries have a job four months or more after the end of the internship. Text Value No Yes Yes There is a high probability that the end of the Project. UDAPE initiated the use of the Monitoring System of Social Programs at the end During the year UDAPE produced several reports for the members of CONAPES. Text Value 84 Not measured by the Impact 40 Evaluation study The target will not be measured by the end of the Project. This indicator cannot be measured due methodological limitations of the Impact Evaluation study (the fix effect under a cuasiexperimental exercise of evaluation creates limitations to get retrospective information in the case of anemia). There is no expected additional information to measure this indicator. Percentage Value achieved There is no expected in 95%. The MoH has not performed stand alone additional information to measure this indicator. beneficiary surveys. The indicator was measured based onthe results of the Impact Evaluation study. Page 6 of 9

7 Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Text Value Number of municipalities which signed agreements to enter the program achieved. All municipalities signed agreement to enter the program. Text Value 43 percent 62 percent 30 percent 2. Proportion of pregnant women living in the targeted areas with complete pre-natal controls The end target was reduced achieved. from 70 to 30 percent in the MIS of BJA informed that 62 Dec, 2013 restructuring, percent of women that have a based on Government delivery during 2013, have 4 projections. pre-natal controls. The percent is higher than expected, based on recent calculations of density of health controls per beneficiary (first estimation in the history of the program). Therefore, the Coordination Unit and the Bank will closely monitor the coverage information during Proportion of children under 2 years old who participate in the growth monitoring sessions in the areas of intervention. Component 2: 1. Number of low income youth enrolled in the program during expansion Text Value 0 43 percent 50 percent There is a high probability that The end target was reduced the end of the Project. MIS of BJA informed that 43 percent of children under 2 from 80 to 50 percent in the Dec, 2013 restructuring, based on Government projections. years that get 24 months of age during 2013, have 12 health controls. Text Value Jun-2014 There is a low probability that The end target was reduced Page 7 of 9

8 Component 2: 2. Number of departmental offices for the First Employment Program (DOFEP) with adequate staffing, operating and connected to the MIS (as described in the operational manual) Component 3: 1. Registry of Beneficiaries and Monitoring System designed Component 3: 2. New Operational Manual of BJA in use based on results of impact and process evaluation Data on Financial Performance (as of 02-Sep-2014) the end of the Project. In the last supervision mission the MoL revised the number of beneficiaries that enter in the expansion phase since The previous number included some selected beneficiaries that were waiting for the launching of the training activities. Text Value Date 31-Jan-2008 There is a low probability that the end of the Project. The structure of the departmental offices changed for 2014 (two positions per office except El Alto/La Paz which has three). By the end of May 2014, only Tarija and Cochabambahad the full staff. Text Value No Yes Yes 31-Dec-2012 achieved. UDAPE finalized the design of the Registry of Beneficiaries and the Monitoring System of Social programs Text Value n/a In progress Yes Date 15-Dec-2013 There is a high probability that the end of the Project. Inputs for the new Operational Manual are ready. A new draft of Operational Manual is under revision. from 3800 to 1750 in the Dec, 2013 restructuring. Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Page 8 of 9

9 Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P IDA Effective 11-Mar Jul Feb-2009 Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P IDA Effective XDR Disbursement Graph Key Decisions Regarding Implementation There are no issues for disclosure. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 31-Jan-2011, Level 2 CD Decision on 23-Dec-2013 Related Projects There are no related projects. Page 9 of 9