DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update:

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1 EU Trade World Trade China + H. Kong Brazil Chile (up to Mar) Mexico (up to Mar) Russia (up to Mar) China + H. Kong Brazil Chile (up to Mar) Mexico (up to Mar) Russia (up to Mar) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Japan Mexico (up to Mar) South Korea United States Russia (up to Mar) Philippines (up to Mar) Japan United States China + H. Kong Mexico (up to Mar) South Korea United States Russia (up to Mar) Philippines (up to Mar) EU EU United States China + H. Kong Qty in 1000 Tonnes EU Production World Production Special Issues Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August World Quotations Livestock Survey Carcass Classes EU Prices /100 kg carcass weight DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: EU Prices Average (S-E) Evolution since last week + 0.1% Class S % Class E % Evolution since last month + 0.9% + 1.0% + 0.8% Evolution since last year % % % EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices ( / 100kg) Latest price ==> EUR/100 kg/cw EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices ( /head) Latest price ==> EUR/head Piglet 57.2 /head - 0.9% - 3.2% % Average (12-16) Average (12-16) Piglet Piglet Piglet World weekly average Pig prices in Euro/ 100kg carcase (EU, Brazil, and USA) EU BR US CAN EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat. As from % class E and 58%S. US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn lb (Feedstuffs.com) BR = average of "ValorVista" prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino) CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca) 8 MSs = 83% of total production Others % BE % EU Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) NL % DE % ES % IT % DK % EU Exports evolution (In 1000 tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Apr 16Jan-Apr 17 EU total exports FR % PL % Year 2016 Total = (+1.2 % over 2015) EUR = USD Period: EUR = BRL EU pig slaughter by year (In heads) EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2017/16) EUR = CDN PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Apr Jan-Apr 16 Jan-Apr 17 % Chg Extra-EU % China % Japan % Hong Kong % South Korea % Philippines % USA % Others % 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.5% -3.0% 7 countries = 86% of total production Others % % Change in pig population Livestock survey December 2016 compared to December % -1.4% -2.0% -1.6% -2.6% Live swine, domestic species Piglets, less than 20 kg Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) Russian Federation % Pigs, from 20 kg to less than 50 kg Breeding sows China % Brazil % Covered Sows Viet Nam % 1.4% Sows covered for the first time Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to April) United States of America % 2016 (up to April) 2017 (up to April) -1.0% Fattening pigs, from 50 kg to less than 80 kg Year Total = (+ 2 % over 2013) European Union % % + 2% + 0% - 2% - 4% - 6% Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2016) S 57% Change in EU pigmeat slaughter (2017 forecast based on GIP and experts estimations) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 E 34% S E U R O P Experts 2016 over GIP 2015 R.Slaughter 2016 / Experts GIP 2016 / R.Slaughter 2015 GIP 2015 Q1-1.6% + 0.3% + 5.0% + 0.3% + 0.3% Q % - 1.3% + 3.4% + 2.5% + 0.7% Q % + 2.3% + 1.3% + 0.5% - 0.3% Q % + 2.2% + 1.3% - 0.8% - 2.9% EU_ % + 0.9% + 2.7% + 0.6% - 0.6% Main Importers of PIG Products (up to April) 2016 (up to April) 2017 (up to April) U 7% R O 2% P 0% 0% Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008), GTA, FAO

2 /100 kg carcass weight EU Prices 25 Evolution since last week Evolution since last month Evolution since last year Average (S-E) % + 0.9% % Class S % Class E % Piglet 57.2 /head - 0.9% + 1.0% + 0.8% - 3.2% % % % Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 1249/2008)

3 EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices ( / 100kg) 190 Latest price ==> EUR/100 kg/cw Average (12-16) Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 1249/2008)

4 EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices ( /head) 65 Latest price ==> EUR/head Average (12-16) Piglet Piglet Piglet Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 1249/2008)

5 World weekly average Pig prices in Euro/ 100kg carcase (EU, Brazil, and USA) EU BR US CAN EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat. As from % class E and 58%S. US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn lb (Feedstuffs.com) BR = average of "ValorVista" prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino) CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca)

6 Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August EUR = USD EUR = BRL EUR = CDN Source : ECB (European Central Bank)

7 Change in pig population Livestock survey December 2016 compared to December % 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.5% -3.0% -1.0% -1.4% Live swine, domestic species Piglets, less than 20 kg -2.6% Pigs, from 20 kg to less than 50 kg -2.0% -1.6% Breeding sows Covered Sows 1.4% Sows covered for the first time -1.0% Fattening pigs, from 50 kg to less than 80 kg Source : Eurostat

8 Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2016) E 34% S 57% S E U R O P P 0% O 0% U 7% R 2% Source : MSs

9 EU Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) 8 MSs = 83% of total production Others % BE % NL % DE % ES % IT % DK % PL % FR % Year 2016 Total = (+1.2 % over 2015) Source : Eurostat

10 EU pig slaughter by year (In heads) Source : Eurostat

11 7 countries = 86% of total production Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) China % Year Total = (+ 2 % over 2013) Others % European Union % % Russian Federation % Brazil % Viet Nam % United States of America % Source : FAO

12 Change in EU pigmeat slaughter (2016 forecast based on GIP and experts estimations) + 4% + 2% + 0% - 2% - 4% - 6% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Experts 2016 over GIP Q1-1.6% + 0.3% + 5.0% + 0.1% + 0.3% Q % - 1.3% + 3.4% + 2.5% + 0.7% Q % + 2.3% + 1.3% + 0.5% - 0.3% Q % + 2.2% + 1.3% - 0.5% - 2.9% EU_ % + 0.9% + 2.7% + 0.6% - 0.6% Source : Eurostat R.Sla ughte r / R.Sla ughte r Expe rts GIP / GIP

13 EU Exports evolution (In 1000 tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Apr 16 Jan-Apr 17 Source : Eurostat EU total exports

14 Period: EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2017/16) PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Apr Jan-Apr 16 Jan-Apr 17 % Chg Extra-EU % China % Japan % Hong Kong % South Korea % Philippines % USA % Others % Source : Eurostat & GTA

15 China + H. Kong Brazil Chile (up to Mar) Mexico (up to Mar) Russia (up to Mar) China + H. Kong Brazil Chile (up to Mar) Mexico (up to Mar) Russia (up to Mar) Qty in 1000 Tonnes United States EU EU United States Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to April) (up to April) 2017 (up to April) 0 Source : Eurostat & GTA

16 Japan Mexico (up to Mar) South Korea United States Russia (up to Mar) Philippines (up to Mar) Japan China + H. Kong Mexico (up to Mar) South Korea United States Russia (up to Mar) Philippines (up to Mar) China + H. Kong Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of PIG Products (up to April) (up to April) 2017 (up to April) 0 Source : Eurostat & GTA

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