EGYPT SOFTWOOD MARKET
|
|
- Hector Erik Doyle
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 66 th International Softwood Conference Riga, October 12 th, 2018 EGYPT SOFTWOOD MARKET Ibrahim Elshal CEO & Purchasing Director ELSHAL TIMBER
2 Starting From The End of Last Year Presentation Let s Hope The Trend of Import Chart Will Change Next Year
3 General market situation in H (Supply/Demand balance, prices and profits)?
4 General market situation in H (Supply/Demand balance, prices and profits)
5 If It s Your First Time To Know About Egypt Timber Market i The biggest population in MENA region. ~ 100 Million. i No forests in Egypt. i Fully dependent on imports to fulfill its need of Softwood. i No wooden homes or buildings. i For historical and basic information about Egypt Timber Market: 1) EOS annual report 2015/2016: Special focus on Egypt, page ) My presentation for ISC-2016 in Paris - 3) EOS annual report 2016/2017: Special focus on MENA, page 60-67
6 Still The Leader of MENA Softwood Market MENA SOFTWOOD IMPORT 2017 IRAN 8% Other 17 Cuntries 16% EGYPT 41% UAE 6% MOROCCO 8% SAUDIA ARABIA 12% ALGERIA 9% In 2017, Egypt imported ~4 mil. m3 out of 9.7 mil. m3 In 2016, Egypt imported 4.4 mil. m3 out of 11.4 mil. m3 MENA imports 108% compared to all Middle East countries. KSA, UAE, Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Yemen, Bahrain and Syria 65% of North Africa softwood import Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia, Libya and Sudan Main & Long-term Buyer of European and Russian Softwood. Data source: WOODSTAT
7 Our Forecast & Estimates in October 2017 at ISC in Hamburg The growing and young population will still a guarantee of demand. Presidential election between Feb-May 2018 likely to be very smooth and political situation is overall stable. Economic problems will remain, but for the short-term, government borrowing strategy will postpone any severe crisis. Construction market is about to recover from the EGP flotation shock. Softwood monthly imports reached the bottom and already started to recover. Import of ~ 3.5 million m3 is expected for 2017 and ~ 4 million m3 for 2018.
8 Demographic Figures Population: ~ 100 million Growth rate: 1.9% - (in EU = 0.08%) Midian age: 25 - (in EU = 42) Unemployment rate: 9.9% - (from 12.6% in Jul-17) ~ 97% of population live on ~ 5% of land. Population (Source: Worldometers) Population growth rate (Source: Worldometers) Population distribution (worldpopulationreview.com) Source: World population review, Worldometers, CAPMAS and World Bank
9 Economics GDP in 2017: 235 billion USD. GDP growth H1 FY-17/18: 5.2% (4.2% FY-16/17) Budget deficit % of GDP 2017: 11.4% Forex reserves in Aug-18: 44.4 bil. USD (36.4 bil. Aug-17) External debt Mar-18: 88 bil. USD. (Mar-17: 74 bil.) National debt % of GDP 2017: 103% (2016: 97%) Foreign Exchange Reserves in Million USD (Jan-16 to Sep-18) $44 bil. Total External Debt in Million USD (Sep-15 to Mar-18) $88 bil. $36 bil. $74 bil. $53 bil. $17 bil. P No more FOREX problem! But the increasing debt is a concern! Data source: World bank, Trading Economics, Statista, CBE
10 Economics USD/EGP official rate: (17.70 last year) Customs USD rate stabled at USD/EGP Inflation rate Aug-18: 14% (Aug-17: 32%) Interest rate: 16.75% (18.75% in Oct-2017) CBE May-18: Bank-to-Bank documents is not obligatory Now, prepayments can be done with almost all banks EGP/USD Official/Parallel rate (10/ /2018) 21,00 20,00 Inflation Rate (09/ /2018) 19,00 18,00 17,00 16, % 15,00 14,00 13,00 12,00 11,00 Parallel Official 14% 10,00 9,00 8, ,00 Data source: CBE, Company data (Elshal Timber)
11 Economics The Economic Reform Program Is Underway... Cutting subsidies on multiple services including electricity, fuel and public transportation. Activating the new law of real estate tax on residential and commercial property. Privatization: Finance minister Amr Elgarhy (March 2018): Egypt aims to raise $4.6 bln from privatization. Source: Reuters and other sources
12 Economics President El Sisi and I discussed the good progress under Egypt s economic reform program supported by the IMF s US$12 billion Extended Fund Facility. Egypt s economy is showing strong signs of recovery Mrs. Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director September 23, 2018 IMF Country Focus July 17, 2018 Egypt Moving Forward: Key Challenges and Opportunities As Egypt begins to modernize its economy and make it more competitive, it will also need to continue to bring down public debt to a level consistent with long-term sustainability Source: IMF
13 Construction Market Several ongoing projects and other new projects were planned The New Capital: Construction is underway. 20 towers planned to be built in the business district, one of them should be the highest in Africa (385 m). Russian Industrial Zone: May-18, Egypt and Russia signed a 50-year industrial zone agreement, to be built on 5.25 mil m2 on Suez Canal Economic Zone that Egypt hopes will attract up to $7 billion of investments. 20 cities 4 th -generation : on 10-Sep-18, PM announced: "Egypt to construct 20 fourthgeneration cities to accommodate 30 million citizens and provide job opportunities New 6th of October City: ~ 33,000 Hectares New Alamein City: ~ 20,000 Hectares, ~ 100 km away from Alexandria. Other New Cites: New Mansoura, October Gardens, New Obour and West-Qena City The private sector still keep the leadership of housing market. A construction site in Egypt's new administrative capital Dwelling units built in urban by sector (x1000) Source: CAMPAS, Reuters, NBC news, Egypt today
14 Construction Market Construction Market Forecast For The Next Year: Planned infrastructure and public projects likely to continue after government succeeded to overcome the financial obstacles. Private sector will likely continue investing in housing projects because of the high profit margin. The growing and young population can maintain a continuing demand, BUT the fallen purchasing power is a concern. Concerns about supply-demand balancing, since majority of Egyptian people cannot afford the very high housing prices in the new cities and new housing projects. Photo: A construction site in the New Alamein City (source: Almasry Alyoum)
15 Softwood Supply & Demand Situation Pine supplies recovered a bit from the monthly bottom level in Dec-2016 Spruce demand is almost stable during last 2 years 40,000-50,000 m3/month mainly of lower grades Data source: WOODSTAT
16 Softwood Supply & Demand Situation Finland is keeping the biggest share for the 2 nd year Swedish share remarkably decreased during Jan-Jul 2018 Russian share increased and expected to continue till the end of 2018 and Q1/19 Softwood Imports (1 000 m³) From Main Exporters Jan-Jul 2016 Jan-Jul 2017 Jan-Jul /2017 Finland % Russia % Sweden % Latvia % U.S % Romania % Canada % Others % TOTAL % Yearly Softwood Imports (1 000 m³) - Main Exporters Finland Sweden Russia Baltics Romania U.S Canada Others TOTAL Change % 11% -14% 10% Source: Woodstat
17 Softwood Stock & Price Situation In Egypt Local prices stopped rising in May-June. In June-July, Siberian mills started to accept Egypt prices for bigger volumes. In June-August, local prices were stable. But 2 weeks after the end of Ramadan, demand started a gradually slowing down. During August, Russian offers remarkably increased. Stocks were increasing gradually because of the poor demand. From end of August, local prices were decreasing gradually. At the end of September, stocks reached a very high levels. Recently, many visits from European and Russian producers. Notes to consider while negotiating sales until the end of the year: Generally, Egyptian importers don t like to buy big volumes now, even after a slight price decrease. For some of them, it will not be a matter of price, it'll be a matter of high-stock and/or non-sufficient funds. For those who can buy and pay, more likely, they'll need a price safety margin to avoid new losses. RW sizes (19/25 X 150/175/200 mm) are more preferred now than other sizes. Source: Woodstat, (Elshal Timber)
18 Rejection and Re-exporting of Some Belarusian Radioactive Softwood Shipments After chernobyl disaster, it s a regular procedure in Egypt that imported timber from Russia or any other former Soviet-Union country must be subject to Radiation Inspection. Routinely inspection was usually done in few minutes in the port using a Radioactive detection device. Egypt was importing Ukrainian and Belarussian timber and we never heard about a single contaminated shipment for many years ago. On January 19, the Belarusian ambassador declared Belarusian company Atomtex is visiting Egypt to discuss the cooperation in the field of Radiation Monitoring! In February 2018, a high level of radioactivity has been detected in a small shipment of Belarusian softwood which was shipped from Riga. A higher inspection committee came from Cairo to Alexandria and they confirm that the shipment is contaminated and must be re-exported. From this date, we have a very strict and sensitive radioactive inspection for any Ukrainian or Belarussian timber. Majority of shipments were accepted, but authorities detected some other contaminated shipments which shipped by both bulk-vessels and containers and they reject them, so they must be re-exported. Source: agri.ahram.org.eg
19 Summary & Forecast For The Next Year Political and security situation more likely will remain stable. With the government economic strategy, likely we are far away from any big crisis, but for the long-term, the very high debt level is a concern. Infrastructure and public projects likely will progress at the same level. Young and fast growing population should maintain housing demand, but there is a concern about the high prices and balance between supply and demand. Now, Egypt Softwood market already oversupplied, stock is very high and this will affect the volumes of imports and prices until Dec-18 or Jan-19. During Q1 2019, we expect to reach supply-demand balance, then, prices expected to reach relative stable levels, then imports volume start recovering.
20 Let s hope this will not be the photo to express the market situation in 2019 Mr. Bean sleeping in the roller coaster
21 Thank You For Your Attention! Paldies par jūsu uzmanību! For any questions:
Market trends in the MENA-region
Market trends in the MENA-region - Ulf Gabrielsson Uni4 Marketing AB Uni4 Marketing AB Is Sweden still a market leader in the MENA-region? Is this the market situation at the moment? Uni4 Marketing AB
More informationHow the Arab World Can Benefit from Low Oil Prices. Shanta Devarajan World Bank
How the Arab World Can Benefit from Low Oil Prices Shanta Devarajan World Bank www.brookings.edu/futuredevelopment Current problems in the Arab World Unemployment 30 Unemployment rate (latest available),
More informationLebanon Weekly Report
Lebanon ranks 98 th most prosperous country in the world The Legatum Prosperity Index defines prosperity as a combination of wealth and wellbeing, benchmarking 142 countries in eight categories. In the
More informationMiddle East and North Africa Regional Economic Outlook
Regional Economic Outlook Morocco Algeria Tunisia Libya Lebanon Egypt Syria Iraq Iran Jordan Saudi Kuwait Arabia Bahrain Afghanistan Pakistan Mauritania Sudan Djibouti Qatar Yemen Oman United Arab Emirates
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE 44 4 TH DECEMBER 2017 NEW REGULATIONS BY THE CENTRAL BANK IN THIS ISSUE
NEW REGULATIONS BY THE CENTRAL BANK The Central Egypt (CBE) decided to lift limits on deposits and withdrawals of foreign currency for companies importing non-essential goods as of the 28 th of November
More informationMiddle East and North Africa Regional Economic Outlook Oil, Conflicts, and Transitions
Middle East and North Africa Regional Economic Outlook Oil, Conflicts, and Transitions May 5, 2015 Agenda Global Environment MENAP Oil Exporters MENAP Oil Importers Global growth remains moderate and uneven
More informationINVESTIGATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT AND SAVINGS IN MENA ECONOMIES: AN EMPIRICAL APPROACH
INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT AND SAVINGS IN MENA ECONOMIES: AN EMPIRICAL APPROACH Dr. Gülgün Çiğdem, Kadir Has University, Vocational School, Banking and Insurance,
More informationMiddle East and North Africa Regional Economic Outlook. November 12, 2013
Middle East and North Africa Regional Economic Outlook November 12, 213 Outline Global Outlook MENAP: Recent Developments, Outlook, and Risks Oil Exporters Oil Importers Key Takeaways 2 Global Outlook
More informationCyprus has signed Double Tax Treaties (DTTs) and conventions with 61 countries.
INFORMATION SHEET 14 Title: Cyprus Double Tax Treaties Authored: January 2016 Updated: August 2016 Company: Reference: Chelco VAT Ltd Cyprus Ministry of Finance General Cyprus has signed Double Tax Treaties
More informationJuly 31, 2015 ECONOMY. Lebanon ranks 19 th worldwide and 2 nd in the Arab world in gold holdings
ECONOMY Lebanon ranks 19 th worldwide and 2 nd in the Arab world in gold holdings Lebanon s gold reserves reached 287 tons, accounting for 21% of the country s total foreign reserves. The July 2015 edition
More informationSwitzerland Economic Update QNB Group. September 2014
Switzerland Economic Update QNB Group September 14 Switzerland Overview Switzerland s efficient capital markets, highly skilled human capital and low corporate tax rates make it the world's most competitive
More informationTime to Invest in Egypt Egypt for a Brighter Future
Time to Invest in Egypt Egypt for a Brighter Future 13th November, Torino I Egypt: An attractive country for investors Economic Indicators Reforms of Legal Framework Investment sectors with an edge II
More informationDr. Raja M. Almarzoqi Albqami Institute of Diplomatic Studies
Dr. Raja M. Almarzoqi Albqami Institute of Diplomatic Studies Rmarzoqi@gmail.com 3 nd Meeting of OECD-MENA Senior Budget Officials Network Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 31 October-1 November 2010 Oil Exporters
More informationNigeria Economic Update QNB Group. September 2014
Nigeria Economic Update QNB Group September 21 Nigeria Overview A rebasing of GDP in 213 has made Nigeria the biggest economy in Africa with the largest population; the economy is growing rapidly but remains
More informationEgypt Resilience and Potential
Egypt Resilience and Potential INTERNATIONAL BANKING FORUM 2011 Brescia, 16-17 June 2011 Issa, Ahmed Head of Financial Institutions Group Commercial International Bank Agenda o January 25 th February 11
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE TH DECEMBER 2017 THE IMF COMPLETES THE SECOND REVIEW OF EGYPT S REFORM PROGRAM IN THIS ISSUE
THE IMF COMPLETES THE SECOND REVIEW OF EGYPT S REFORM PROGRAM The International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed the second review of Egypt s reform program. The completion of the review allows the authorities
More informationLebanon Weekly Report
ECONOMY World Bank forecasts Lebanon real GDP growth at 2% in 2015 and 2.5% in 2016 The World Bank said that Lebanon s economic activity continues to tick along at a modest pace despite the political dysfunctionality.
More informationLEBANON WEEKLY REPORT
Lebanon s major entrepreneurship weakness is in product innovation, being the ability to provide unique products or services. The country s greatest strength in entrepreneurship is found in its perception
More informationRe-assessing the Arab-European Financial Relationship: Continuity in the Middle East, Change in Europe
Re-assessing the Arab-European Financial Relationship: Continuity in the Middle East, Change in Europe Andrew Cunningham Founder Darien Middle East www.darienmiddleeast.com French-Arab Banking Dialogue
More informationPublic Policy on Modern Governance And Transparency To Improve Investment Environment In Egypt
Public Policy on Modern Governance And Transparency To Improve Investment Environment In Egypt Presented By Eng. Ahmed El-Sayed GAFI ; Consultant & Head of promotion Affairs OECD Global Forum On International
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE 28 8 TH AUGUST, 2017 TRADE DEFICIT DECLINES IN THIS ISSUE
TRADE DEFICIT DECLINES Egypt s Trade and Industry Ministry Declared that the country s trade deficit for the first half of 2017 declined by 46% to USD13 billion compared to the same period last year. Imports
More informationTHE WEEKLY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS RECORDS A SURPLUS IN THIS ISSUE ISSUE 9 9 TH MARCH, 2017
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS RECORDS A SURPLUS The Central Egypt (CBE) revealed that Egypt s Balance Of Payments (BOP) recorded a surplus of USD7 billion in Jul./Dec. 2016/17 against an overall deficit of USD 3.4
More informationMonthly Report May 2017
Monthly Report May 2017 Egypt s Economic & Political Update Page 1 FOREIGN POLICY & TRADE President Abdel Fattah El Sisi visits the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain on his GCC tour Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry
More informationRussia: Macro Outlook for 2019
October 2018 Russia: Macro Outlook for 2019 Natalia Orlova Head of Alfa Bank Macro Insights +7 495 795 36 77 norlova@alfabank.ru Egypt Saudi Arabia Brazil S. Africa UAE Iraq China Japan US Mexico UK Russia
More informationEarnings Release: El Sewedy Electric Reports Consolidated Results for FY2011, ended December 31 st, 2011.
Earnings Release: El Sewedy Electric Reports Consolidated Results for FY2011, ended December 31 st, 2011. April 2 nd, 2012 Cairo- Egypt. El Sewedy Electric posts an 18% increase in Revenues, flat EBITDA
More informationMacroVoices Oil Discussion: OPEC Can t Fix The Problem of Low Oil Prices
MacroVoices Oil Discussion: OPEC Can t Fix The Problem of Low Oil Prices Art Berman November 30, 2016 Slide 1 Overview: OPEC Can t Fix The Problem of Low Oil Prices OPEC may reach some agreement today
More informationMENA Benchmarking Report Arab-EU Business Facilitation Network
MENA Benchmarking Report Arab-EU Business Facilitation Network www.ae-network.org September 2014 Agenda Objective of the Report Macroeconomic Analysis Business Environment Index MENA Rankings 2 Objective
More informationWorking Group 1. Session 2: International Investment Agreements
Working Group 1 Session 2: International Investment Agreements 4 September 2007, Amman Dr. Alexander Böhmer OECD, Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs What is the purpose of international investment
More informationAlgeria's GDP growth is expected to stand at 3.5%, inflation at 7.5% for 2018.
Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Key Messages: MENA Economic Monitor- April 2018 Economic growth in MENA is projected
More informationProspects and Challenges for the Global Economy and the MENA Region
Prospects and Challenges for the Global Economy and the MENA Region Ministry of Finance Cairo October 25, 2011 Andreas Bauer Division i i Chief, t International Monetary Fund Key points: The global outlook
More informationCurrent trends in generic medicines in the Middle East: challenges and opportunities. Mazen Darwazah Vice Chairman, Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC
Current trends in generic medicines in the Middle East: challenges and opportunities Mazen Darwazah Vice Chairman, Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC Middle East and North African pharmaceutical markets Middle
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE TH APRIL 2018 A PRELIMINARY STATEMENT FOR FY2018/19 BUDGET IN THIS ISSUE
A PRELIMINARY STATEMENT FOR FY2018/19 BUDGET The Egyptian government released a preliminary statement, showing the main components and targets of its budget for FY2018/19, which is currently being discussed
More informationGeneral Authority for Investment & Free Zones
General Authority for Investment & Free Zones ho re e Who is GAFI Establishment & Role Working under the umbrella of Ministry of Investment & International Cooperation (MOIC), the General Authority for
More informationInvestor Relations Presentation December 2012
Investor Relations Presentation December 2012 Contents 1. QNB at a Glance 2. QNB Comparative Positioning Qatar and MENA 3. Financial Highlights December 2012 4. Economic Overview 2 QNB at a Glance QNB
More informationCyprus has signed Double Tax Treaties (DTTs) and conventions with 61 countries.
INFORMATION SHEET 14 Subject: Cyprus Double Tax Treaties Authored: January 2016 Updated: January 2017 Company: Reference: Costas Tsielepis & Co Ltd Cyprus Ministry of Finance General Cyprus has signed
More informationCyprus has signed Double Tax Treaties (DTTs) and conventions with close to 60 countries.
INFORMATION SHEET 14 Subject: Cyprus Double Tax Treaties Authored: January 2016 Updated: February 2016 Company: Reference: Costas Tsielepis & Co Ltd Cyprus Ministry of Finance General Cyprus has signed
More informationImportance of financial infrastructure to increase Access to Finance
Building a high performance SME business in the MENA Region Arab Monetary Fund & International Finance Corporation Dubai, 7-8 May 2013 Importance of financial infrastructure to increase Access to Finance
More informationThe North Africa Steel Markets: Retrospect & Prospect
The North Africa Steel Markets: Retrospect & Prospect Presented to: 19 th Middle East Iron & Steel Conference (Dubai, 16 th December 15) By: George Matta Ezz Steel - Egypt Regional Economic Overview Despite
More informationANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT AJMAN 2015
ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT AJMAN C O N T E N T S Introduction Growth of the Global Economy Economic Growth in the United Arab Emirates Macro - Economic Growth in the Emirate of Ajman Gross Domestic Product
More informationAnti-crisis State Policy in Russia
1 Anti-crisis State Policy in Russia Vera Kononova Institute for Complex Strategic Studies 1 December 2016 Seminar Outline 1. Anti-crisis Policy Goals The main goals and targets adopted by the Government
More informationWeekly Economic Update
Weekly Economic Update Sunday, 18 March 2012 1 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11
More informationMENA MONITOR. MENA: Economic Pressures Mount
Office of the Chief Economist Middle East and North Africa Region MENA MONITOR April, 13 Number 3 MENA: Economic Pressures Mount In 13, regional growth is expected to slow to 3.8 percent from.1 percent
More informationDelivering mobile connectivity in MENA: A review of mobile sector taxation and licence extension. May 2017
Delivering mobile connectivity in MENA: A review of mobile sector taxation and licence extension May 2017 Executive Summary The report provides an overview of the tax and fee regime applied to mobile services
More informationThe North Africa Steel Markets: Recent Developments & Their Impact On Growth
The North Africa Steel Markets: Recent Developments & Their Impact On Growth Presented to: 18 th Middle East Iron & Steel Conference (Dubai, 9 th December 21) By: George Matta Ezz Steel - Egypt The Political
More informationIntroduction to SAUDI ARABIA
Introduction to SAUDI ARABIA Saudi Arabia is the world s largest oil producer and exporter with almost one-fifth of the word s proven oil reserves. Benefiting from abundant and cheap energy, the industrial
More informationTHE WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND LOAN TO EGYPT IS UNDERWAY
THE WEEKLY Thursday Issue # 29 INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND LOAN TO EGYPT IS UNDERWAY Egypt s Cabinet declared in a statement, on the 26 th of July, that it is in final stages of agreeing on a 3-year loan
More informationCOMCEC STRATEGY. For Building an Interdependent Islamic World COMCEC FINANCIAL OUTLOOK Fırat YILMAZ. 2nd Meeting of COMCEC Finance Working Group
COMCEC FINANCIAL OUTLOOK 2014 Fırat YILMAZ 2nd Meeting of COMCEC Finance Working Group March 27th, 2013 Ankara, Turkey OUTLINE Recent Financial Developments Financial Outlook of COMCEC Region 2 RECENT
More informationExternal Position of the Egyptian Economy
Central Bank of Egypt External Position of the Egyptian Economy During July / March 2004/05 Quarterly Report Volume No. (9) July 2005 Foreword The External Position of the Egyptian Economy Report is one
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE 19 7 TH MAY 2018 INCLUSIVE GROWTH AND JOB CREATION CONFERENCE IN THIS ISSUE
INCLUSIVE GROWTH AND JOB CREATION CONFERENCE The Central Egypt (CBE), Egypt s Finance Ministry and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) organized the Inclusive Growth and Job Creation Conference in Cairo
More informationTHE WEEKLY EL-SISI IN WASHINGTON IN THIS ISSUE ISSUE 13 6 TH APRIL, 2017
EL-SISI IN WASHINGTON President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi started on the 1 st of April an official visit to the United States (US), marking the first visit to the US by an Egyptian President since 2009, as
More informationPaul Browne, Partner, London Yongmei Cai, Partner, Beijing Jay Lee, Partner, Hong Kong
One Belt One Road and RMB internationalisation: a look at how recent PRC regulatory developments provide significant opportunities for market participants in the Financial Markets in the UK and Europe
More informationMiddle East Outlook Amidst Uncertainty. Anna Zabrodzka, Assistant Director - Economist Dr. Guillaume A. Khayat, Economist
Middle East Outlook Amidst Uncertainty Anna Zabrodzka, Assistant Director - Economist Dr. Guillaume A. Khayat, Economist Presenters Anna Zabrodzka Anna is responsible for macroeconomic, market and credit
More informationIRAN'S OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY POST-SANCTION
The Introduction of New Iran Petroleum Contracts IPC Tehran 2015 IRAN'S OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY POST-SANCTION By: Amir Hossein Zamaninia Deputy Oil Minister for Trade and International Affairs JCPOA(Joint
More informationPublic Private Partnerships for Infrastructure Financing
Public Private Partnerships for Infrastructure Financing Elements to consider Dr. Alexander Böhmer Head of MENA-OECD Investment Programme Private Sector Development Division Meeting of Working Group 1
More informationIntroduction to TUNISIA
Introduction to TUNISIA Tunisia is small open economy with strong ties to Europe. The country has been cited as a success story for a number of years, following decades of robust growth and impressive
More informationNORTH AFRICA HOLDING COMPANY
NORTH AFRICA HOLDING COMPANY Unlocking Potential Creating Value CORPORATE PRESENTATION December 2010 1 Agenda North Africa Holding Company Why investing in North Africa KIPCO Group 2 Snapshot on North
More informationThe MENA-OECD Investment Programme Investment in the MENA Region and the Crisis
The MENA-OECD Investment Programme Investment in the MENA Region and the Crisis Amman, 15 February 2010 Agenda 1. Effects of the crisis and the work of the OECD 2. Macroeconomic trends in the MENA region
More informationIntroduction to KUWAIT
Introduction to KUWAIT Kuwait is the world s 10th largest producer of oil. Total oil production, which is equivalent to half the country s GDP, was estimated at 2.9 million barrels per day in 2016. Oil
More informationThe Financial Monthly
ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT Ministry of Finance The Financial Monthly September 2016 VOLUME 11, NO. 11 Prepared by: Sara Eid Senior Economist - Chief Editor Assistant Director for Publications Ministry of Finance
More informationA Glance: About Multiples:
About @ A Glance: This report is intended to shed light on general macroeconomic trends of four economies in the MENA region that could impact investors decisions and the financial performance of businesses.
More informationMENAP Oil-Importing Countries: Risks to the Recovery Persist
MENAP Oil-Importing Countries: Risks to the Recovery Persist The growth recovery in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP) oil-importing countries is set to continue in 18, lifted
More informationGCC/ MENA macro outlook. Khatija Haque, Head of MENA Research March 2018
GCC/ MENA macro outlook Khatija Haque, Head of MENA Research March 18 1 % y/y GCC: Is the worst behind us? Average GCC GDP growth 1 and 17 have been challenging on a number of fronts for the GCC. Lower
More informationJuly Bayt.com Happiness Survey in Middle East and North Africa
July 2013 Bayt.com Happiness Survey in Middle East and North Africa Objective The research was conducted to understand the current level of happiness and satisfaction in the MENA region. The key information
More informationFrance Economic Update QNB Group. September 2014
France Economic Update QNB Group September 2014 France Overview France is the ninth largest economy in the world on a purchasing power parity basis and service-oriented; high indebtedness and lack of reforms
More informationCentral Bank of Egypt
Central Bank of Egypt External Position of the Egyptian Economy FY 2015/16 Volume No. (54) Central Bank of Egypt External Position Preface The External Position of the Egyptian Economy Report is a series
More informationTHE WEEKLY EGYPT S NET INTERNATIONAL RESERVES DECLINE
THE WEEKLY Thursday Issue # 31 EGYPT S NET INTERNATIONAL RESERVES DECLINE The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) announced that Net International Reserves (NIR) dropped by 11.5% to USD15.54 billion at the end
More informationMiddle East and North Africa Economic outlook
MENA Economics Middle East and North Africa Economic outlook Simon Williams Chief Economist, HSBC Middle East Simon.Williams@hsbc.com +9714 423 6925 March 2014 Disclaimer and Disclosures This report must
More informationIntroduction to MOROCCO
Introduction to MOROCCO With a GDP of USD 101bn in 2015, Morocco is a medium-sized economy. Sound macroeconomic fundamentals, a resilient and sophisticated banking sector and the implementation of structural
More informationUBI Pramerica SGR. US Economic Environment. Richard K. Mastain, Senior Vice President Jennison Associates LLC. April 2008
UBI Pramerica SGR US Economic Environment Richard K. Mastain, Senior Vice President Jennison Associates LLC Subadvisor to Certain UBI Pramerica SGR Funds April 2008 Notice This presentation is for informational
More informationThe Bayt.com Middle East Job Index Survey. February 2017
The Bayt.com Middle East Job Index Survey February 2017 Section 1 PROJECT BACKGROUND Objectives To gauge perceptions of job availability and hiring. To identify trends in the Middle East and North Africa
More informationThe Economic Letter November 2018
ASSOCIATION OF BANKS IN LEBANON Research & Statistics Department The Summary: In November 2018, the majority of real sector indicators regressed in relation to the previous month. Imports and exports of
More informationSeminar on Performance Budgeting and Fiscal Transparency
African Training and Research Centre in Administration for Development World Bank Seminar on Performance Budgeting and Fiscal Transparency Learning activity on PFM and Regional Development in MENA Concept
More informationUkraine s Financial and Political Crisis. Anders Åslund Senior Fellow Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC
Ukraine s Financial and Political Crisis Anders Åslund Senior Fellow Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC May, 2009 Theses 1. Democracy, but constitutional reform needed 2. Hard
More informationCentral Bank of Egypt
Central Bank of Egypt External Position of the Egyptian Economy July/ December 2009/2010 Quarterly Report Volume No. (28) Central Bank of Egypt External Position Preface The External Position of the Egyptian
More informationExternal Position of the Egyptian Economy
Central Bank of Egypt External Position of the Egyptian Economy During the Period July / September 2004/05 Quarterly Report Volume No. (7) January 2005 Foreword The External Position of the Egyptian Economy
More informationA broken social contract, not inequality, triggered the Arab Spring
A broken social contract, not inequality, triggered the Arab Spring Shanta Devarajan and Elena Ianchovichina World Bank www.brookings.edu/futuredevelopment % of population Before 2011, poverty rates in
More informationEgypt s balancing act
15-17 September 2018 NEW CAIRO EXHIBITION CENTRE Egypt s balancing act Organised by: Overview Egypt is home to one of the world s most important pieces of internationally significant infrastructure. At
More informationLabour Market Structure and Unemployment in OIC Countries
Labour Market Structure and Unemployment in OIC Countries Dr. Kenan Bağcı 29 April 214, Ankara Outline 1. Labour force participation and inactivity 2. Employment Employment-to-population Employment by
More informationYear Fund Category TCM Vietnam High Dividend Equity Fund (FINALIST) Specialist Management Group of the Year
Frontier Markets Introduction TRUSTUS Capital Management Boutique Investment Company Established in 1978 TCM Investments Funds TRUSTUS Wealth Management Independently owned 21 employees Focus on High Dividend
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE TH DECEMBER 2017 VLADIMIR PUTIN VISITS EGYPT IN THIS ISSUE
VLADIMIR PUTIN VISITS EGYPT Russian President Vladimir Putin held talks with President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi last Monday in Cairo, where they discussed the bilateral relations between the two countries
More informationDoing Business with Egypt Thessaloniki, 16 October 2014
Egypt, Investment for Development Doing Business with Egypt Thessaloniki, 16 October 2014 1 Indicators Monthly Inflation Rate 10.07 % at the end of August 2014 Net International Reserves 16.87 (USD billion)
More informationMENA Transition Fund
Financial Report Prepared by the Trustee As of December 31, 2016 1 Table of Contents Table of Contents Introduction... 3 Financial Summary as of December 31, 2016... 4 1. Summary Inception through December
More informationIndonesia Economic Update QNB Group. October 2014
Indonesia Economic Update QNB Group October 214 Indonesia Overview The economy has enormous long-term potential based on a rich endowment of natural resources and a large population; the new Jokowi administration
More informationEmerging Markets Outlook
Mark Mobius, Ph.D. Executive Chairman Templeton Emerging Markets Group Emerging Markets Outlook Dealer Use Only / Not for Distribution to the Public Agenda Performance Emerging Markets Equities: Demand
More informationTHE WEEKLY TERRORIST ATTACKS ON COPTIC CHURCHES IN THIS ISSUE ISSUE TH APRIL, 2017
TERRORIST ATTACKS ON COPTIC CHURCHES Two Coptic churches in Egyptian governorates, Tanta and Alexandria, were attacked by suicide bombers on Palm Sunday festival, where 48 people were killed, including
More informationEgypt: Tourism hit/policy changes
USDm Jan 5 Q1 2 Q3 2 Q1 3 Q3 3 Q1 4 Q3 4 Q1 5 Q3 5 Q1 6 Q3 6 Q1 7 Q3 7 Q1 8 Q3 8 Q1 9 Q3 9 Q1 1 Q3 1 Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q1 15 Jul 5 Oct 3 Jan 6 May 4 Jul 6 Dec 4 Jan 7 Jul
More informationRising Middle East Stock Markets
Rising Middle East Stock Markets Index, January 2002 = 100 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Egypt Israel Jordan Kuwait Saudi Arabia U.A.E. 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Bloomberg Capital Access Index 2006
More informationInteractive Outlook. Egypt in 2014: You come up with the assumptions, and we run the analysis. An Interactive Macroeconomic Outlook
Egypt in 2014: You come up with the assumptions, and we run the analysis An Interactive Macroeconomic Outlook March 2014 Introduction: In January 2014, Dcode EFC conducted an online survey to solicit input
More informationTHE WEEKLY ISSUE 40 6 TH NOVEMBER 2017 EGYPT LAUNCHES THE INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT MAP IN THIS ISSUE
EGYPT LAUNCHES THE INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT MAP Egypt launched its first comprehensive industrial investment map, including 4,136 investment opportunities in 8 sectors across various governorates, with the
More informationExport Group Meeting on the Contribution and Effective Use of External Resources for Development, in Particular for Productive Capacity Building
Export Group Meeting on the Contribution and Effective Use of External Resources for Development, in Particular for Productive Capacity Building 22-24 February 21 Debt Sustainability and the Implications
More informationTax Incentives and FDI Performance
Organisation for Ecomic Cooperation and Development Tax Incentives and FDI Performance Ana Cebreiro Tax Ecomist, CTPA MENAOECD Investment Programme Meeting of Working Group 3 (Tax Policy for Investment)
More informationBayt.com Middle East Consumer Confidence Index. September 2016
Bayt.com Middle East Consumer Confidence Index September 2016 Section 1 PROJECT BACKGROUND Objectives To understand perceptions and attitudes of consumers in the Middle East regarding the economy of their
More informationApril 2015 Fiscal Monitor
International Monetary Fund April 17, 2015 April 2015 Fiscal Monitor Now is the Time: Fiscal Policies for Sustainable Growth Xavier Debrun Deputy Chief, Fiscal Policy and Surveillance, Fiscal Affairs Department
More informationMEIC PRE-CONFERENCE SURVEY MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA MARKET ISSUES. 6 April 2014
MEIC PRE-CONFERENCE SURVEY MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA MARKET ISSUES 6 April 2014 SURVEY RESULTS 80% EXPECT THEIR LOCAL ECONOMY TO EXPAND IN 2014, 76% EXPECT THEIR BUSINESS TO EXPAND AND 67% EXPECT THE
More informationInvestment Development Authority of Lebanon Arab Spanish Investment Forum 2011
Investment Development Authority of Lebanon Arab Spanish Investment Forum 2011 Wednesday October 26 th Headlines 1. ABOUT LEBANON 2. CURRENT TRENDS IN SPANISH LEBANESE TRADE 3. SPANISH COMPANIES AND LEBANON
More informationNorth American Steel Industry Recent Market Developments, Future Prospects and Key Challenges
North American Steel Industry Recent Market Developments, Future Prospects and Key Challenges OECD Steel Committee December 1-11, 29 Paris, France * American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) Steel Manufacturers
More informationReal Effective Exchange Rate based on CPI as Price Index for India*
Real Effective Exchange Rate based on CPI as Price Index for India ARTICLE Real Effective Exchange Rate based on CPI as Price Index for India* Effective exchange rates are summary indicators of movements
More informationEl Sewedy Electric Company
بلوم مصر لتداول األوراق المالية BLOMINVEST BLOM EGYPT SECURITIES BANK UPDATE FOR FY 2013 Sector: Electric Equipment Country: Egypt Date: May 07, 2014 Share Price (EGP): Target Price (EGP): Upside: Recommendation:
More informationCOMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF MONTHLY REPORTS ON THE OIL MARKET
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF MONTHLY REPORTS ON THE OIL MARKET AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY FORUM PUBLICATION AUGUST 2018 RIYADH, SAUDI ARABIA AUGUST 2018 SUMMARY FINDINGS FROM A COMPARISON OF DATA AND FORECASTS
More informationThe Economic Letter May 2018
ASSOCIATION OF BANKS IN LEBANON Research & Statistics Department The Economic Letter May 2018 Summary: In May 2018, real sector indicators were mixed with reference to the preceding month. Imports of goods
More information