Number of smokers and overall smoking prevalence (for age 15+), 2013

Transcription

1 Number of Adult Smokers 15+ (Mil) Adult (15+) smoking prevalence (%) Country profile: Socio economic context Population, million Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic Adult population (15+ years) Income group, 2015 GDP per capita, 2015 Smoking prevalence million Lower middle 1,284 USD and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2015, World Bank Country Income Classifications, July 2015, NCD Risk Factor Survey, Ages 25+ Overall Men Women Current tobacco smokers (%) Daily tobacco smokers (%) Daily cigarette smokers (%) Source: Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factor Survey, 2010; National Number of smokers and overall smoking prevalence (for age 15+), * The prevalence data reported in the graph above are age-adjusted estimates to enable cross country comparisons. Such estimates will therefore vary from the country prevalence data (as reported in the smoking prevalence table above) and should only be used to compare countries prevalence. Country profile: Bangladesh Page 1

2 Death rate (per ) att Percentage of all deaths att (%) Mortality attributable to tobacco use WHO estimated death rates (per ) and percentage attributable to tobacco (att), 2004 Men Women Overall Age Death rate, all causes 1,399 1,427 1,412 Death rate, att Percentage of deaths, att 24% 12% 18% Source: WHO Global Report on Mortality Attributable to Tobacco 2012 Death rate per 100,000 (age 30+) attributable to tobacco (att), Source: WHO Global Report on Mortality Attributable to Tobacco Bangladesh has the second highest death rate and percentage of all death attributable to tobacco compared to neighbouring countries in the above graph. Country profile: Bangladesh Page 2

3 Economic cost of tobacco use Total economic cost of smoking, bil BDT (1.85 bil USD) 3.0 % of GDP which is made up of: Direct costs: 50.9 bil BDT(856 mil USD) 46% of total cost Indirect costs (productivity loss): 59 bil BDT (993 mil USD) 54% of total cost Source: World Health Organization. Impact of Tobacco-related Illnesses in Bangladesh. New Delhi, India: World Health Organization, Regional Office for South-East Asia Tax structure and rates, 2016 Tier Retail price of 10 sticks (Taka) Supplementary Duty* Retail price of 10 sticks (Taka) Supplementary Duty* VAT Low 18 48% Medium % 23 50% High % % Premium % % 15% * Tax base for Supplementary Duty is retail price. Bangladesh applies a tiered ad valorem tax according to the retail price of 10 sticks (in Taka). The higher the retail price the higher the tax rate imposed. The retail price classification and the tax rate are adjusted yearly. A VAT rate of 15% of (VAT-exclusive) retail price also applies. Tax revenues (Cigarettes only), 2013/14 Billion BDT Million USD Excise tax revenue ,245.9 Country profile: Bangladesh Page 3

4 Reverse RIP index (2010=100) Cigarette Price Reverse Affordability index * Affordability has decreased from 2008 to 2014.This means that after taking into account inflation, population and GDP growth, cigarettes have become less affordable in 2014 than * Affordability index (RIP index) = average real price of 100 packs cigarettes (most sold brand) divided by real GDP per capita. A line (reverse affordability index) going down in the graph indicates that cigarette affordability is decreasing. Source: WHO calculations based on WHO Report on the Global Tobacco Control Report, 2015, IMF World Economic Outlook & World Bank data. Real price of the most sold brand, excise tax level (BDT) and excise and total tax share (%), (base year = 2010) % % 53% % % % % 76% % 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% % 10.0% The graph on the left shows that real prices of the most sold brand have increased, from 2008 to The real excise tax has also moved with the price increase (since it is a tiered ad valorem tax). The excise tax share and total tax share also increased every year from 2008 to Real price of 20-pack in LCU (base year = 2010) Real excise in LCU (base year = 2010) Excise share (%) Total tax share (%) 0.0% * LCU: Local Currency Unit Country profile: Bangladesh Page 4

5 Retail Price in 2014, International Dollars Price of 20 sticks comparison (in International Dollars*), % % 63% 60% % 50% % 40% % 30% % 20% 10% - Pakistan Myanmar Bangladesh Nepal India Sri Lanka Excise tax PPP Other taxes (i.e. VAT, Import duties) Price minus all taxes Excise share (%) 0% *An International Dollar is a hypothetical unit of currency with the same purchasing power parity that the USD had in the United States at a given point in time. Production and sales Tobacco production Cigarettes (billion pieces) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Unmanufactured tobacco ( 000 tonnes) n/a * n/a : not available Source: Euromonitor International 2016 Ltd; FAOSTAT 2015 Country profile: Bangladesh Page 5

6 Per capita cigarette consumption (sticks/year) for +15 Cigarette retail sales per capita (age 15+) , Source: WHO calculations using sales data from Euromonitor 2016 and population data from United Nations World Population Prospects. Bangladesh s retail sales per capita have had an increasing trend from 2000 to During , the retail sale per capita was constant. Major cigarette companies and market share Global Brand Owner Market share (%) British American Tobacco Plc Philip Morris International Inc Others Source: Euromonitor International 2016 Ltd Country profile: Bangladesh Page 6

7 Trade information, 2011 Bangladesh is a net importer of cigarettes and a net exporter of unmanufactured tobacco. Bangladesh s trade balance for tobacco products was million USD in Indonesia s imports and exports, 2012 Trade flow Commodity Trade value (Million USD) Net weight (Tonnes) Export Cigarettes Unmanufactured tobacco Import Cigarettes Unmanufactured tobacco Source: WHO calculations from UN Comtrade data. Bangladesh s main trade partners (cigarettes), 2011 Main export partners Share of total exports Main import partners Share of total imports Malaysia 41.4 Singapore 72.8 Singapore 39.1 India 23.9 UAE 18.0 Malaysia 1.9 Kuwait 1.4 Rep. of Korea 0.7 Others 0.7 Source: WHO calculations from UN Comtrade data. Bangladesh s main trade partners (unmanufactured tobacco), 2011 Main export partners Share of total exports Main import partners Share of total imports Belgium 18.4 Brazil 50.6 USA 15.6 USA 14.7 Vietnam 8.7 India 12.6 Pakistan 7.4 Germany 4.3 South Africa 6.5 United Kingdom 2.6 Others 43.3 Others 15.1 Source: WHO calculations from UN Comtrade data. Country profile: Bangladesh Page 7