Public Opinion Survey in Baghdad

Transcription

1 Public Opinion Survey in Baghdad Trial of Saddam Hussein November (1 (1 st st )) Iraq Centre for Research & Strategic Studies

2 Face to face house to house interview. 61 Interviewers - each interviewer conducted 34 interviews. 10 Supervisors. 103 Sampling points. Fieldworks (4 7 )November Margin error ± 3.1 (95%) Percentage of Response (98.7%)

3 multi stage random probability sampling design + Kish method household level. Nahia No. PSUs No.of interviews Percent of Pop No. PSUs Rusafa /Karrada % % A damiyah % Al-Sadr % Karkh / Mansour % Ma amoun % Kadhimiya % Total %

4 Sample 30% 25.2% 25% 19.4% 20% 16.7% 15% 11.9% 12.4% 10% 8.4% 5.4% 5% 0%

5 Q1 Describe your feelings when you see saddam hussein on trial? I felt very happy and relieved I felt sad I felt very angry I wasn t affected and Im not interested Others Dk Na 1.4% 3.2% 15.8% 25.2% 51.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.0% % 0.3% 0.3% 5.3% 14.7% 23.5% 54.8% 0.8% 3.8% 2.0% 6.4% 32.7% 24.7% 29.6% 1.8% 1.8% 4.5% 1.8% 23.2% 28.6% 38.4% 0.4% 4.7% 1.6% 13.2% 29.2% 49.8% 3.3% 4.1% 22.2% 28.8% 39.1% 1.7% 1.4% 7.7% 6.6% 82.6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

6 Q2 Do you think that the way saddam husseins trial is being run correctly in a legal sense? Yes Somewhat No DK NA 0.5% 40.8% 19.1% 32.6% 7.0% 43.9% 12.7% 37.0% 6.4% 1.5% 46.3% 15.8% 30.2% 6.2% 0.5% 31.6% 18.1% 37.5% 12.2% 38.4% 15.2% 34.8% 11.6% 0.4% 41.6% 26.1% 24.5% 7.4% 0.4% Karkh/M ansour 18.9% 32.1% 40.3% 8.2% 0.4% 53.3% 15.4% 28.8% 2.1%

7 Q3 What in your opinion is the verdict that the court will arrive at in the trial of saddam Hussein? Execution Life imprisonment Exile outside of iraq Innocence DK NA 1.1% 3.8% 17.9% 16.7% 13.8% 46.7% 1.7% 3.5% 18.5% 17.3% 17.3% 41.6% 3.5% 13.8% 12.6% % 1.3% 3.8% 8.7% 18.1% 33.9% 34.2% 8.0% 11.6% 19.6% 28.6% 32.1% 0.4% 10.9% 13.2% 19.5% 53.7% Karkh/M ansour 6.6% 10.7% 16.9% 27.6% 37.0% AL-sade r 4.2% 3.3% 14.3% 14.7% 63.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

8 Q4 What do you think the correct verdict in the trial of saddam should be? Execution Life imprisonment Exile outside of iraq Innocence DK NA 1.9% 10.5% 7.7% 10.0% 8.7% 61.1% 7.5% 8.7% 9.2% 11.6% 60.7% 2.1% 3.2% 10.0% 11.4% 9.4% 63.9% 2.6% 8.9% 11.7% % 35.2% 3.6% 10.7% 7.1% 17.0% % 1.6% 1.9% 4.7% 9.7% 8.9% 73.2% 3.7% 10.7% 11.5% 12.8% 28.0% 33.3% 0.2% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 3.5% 90.9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

9 Q5 a How would you evaluate saddams policies regarding The Iraq- Iran war? Crime patriotic dee ds DK NA 1.3% 9.3% 13.8% 75.6% 6.9% 12.1% 80.3% 0.9% 6.2% 13.5% 79.5% 1.8% 17.9% 23.0% 57.4% 1.8% 17.9% 18.8% 61.6% 1.9% 6.2% 90.7% 3.7% 18.5% 30.5% 47.3% 0.2% 3.1% 2.5% 94.2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

10 Q5 b How would you evaluate saddams policies regarding The invasion of Kuwait? Crime patriotic de e ds DK NA 1.1% 6.2% 12.1% 8 4.6% 12.1% 83.2% 0.3% 4.4% 13.5% 81.8% 1.5% 11.7% 21.4% 65.3% 11.6% 13.4% 75.0% 0.8% 1.9% 4.3% 93.0% 4.9% 13.2% 18.1% 63.8% 0.2% 1.4% 4.8% 93.6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

11 Q5c How would you evaluate saddams policies regarding the Missile attacks on Israel? Crime patriotic de eds DK NA 4.8% 12.2% 18.3% 64.7% 8.1% 7.5% 17.3% 67.1% 3.2% 18.2% 76.2% 3.8% 14.5% 18.1% 63.5% 2.7% 13.4% 17.0% 67.0% 6.2% % 47.9% 4.1% 11.5% 15.6% 68.7% 5.4% 12.5% 18.7% 63.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

12 Q6 a How would you evaluate saddams decisions regarding the Mass graves? Crime justified actions DK NA 0.9% 88.2% 5.0% 5.9% 89.6% 5.8% 4.0% 90.9% 4.4% 4.1% 74.7% 9.2% 13.5% 2.6% 86.6% 8.0% 5.4% 0.8% 94.2% 3.5% 1.6% 78.6% 7.8% 13.6% 0.8% 98.1%

13 Q6 b How would you evaluate saddams decisions regarding the Use of chemical weapons against the opposition? Crime justified actions DK NA 0.8% 90.7% 3.7% 4.8% 91.9% 3.5% 4.0% 93.0% 3.5% 78.1% 9.7% 10.7% 1.5% 88.4% 6.3% 4.5% 0.9% 97.3% 0.4% 85.6% 4.9% 9.5% 0.2% 1.0% 98.1% 0.8%

14 Q6 c How would you evaluate saddams decisions regarding the Uprooting communities from their original lands? Crime justified actions DK NA 89.7% 4.0% 5.6% 89.6% 6.4% 3.5% 0.9% 94.1% 2.1% 2.9% 77.0% 8.9% 12.8% 1.3% 90.2% 3.6% 5.4% 0.9% 0.8% 96.5% 1.6% 78.6% 7.8% 13.6% 0.2% 1.0% 98.3%

15 Q6 d How would you evaluate saddams decisions regarding the Assassination of political and religious leaders and personalities? Crime justified actions DK NA 91.6% 3.3% 4.5% 93.1% 2.9% 3.5% 94.7% 2.1% 2.6% 83.7% 5.1% 9.9% 1.3% 91.1% 5.4% 3.6% 0.4% 95.3% 1.9% 83.1% 5.8% 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 97.1% 1.9%

16 Q7 The committee that is responsible for defending saddam Hussein in his trial wants to switch the venue to somewhere outside Iraq, would you agree to the trial being held outside Iraq? Yes No DK NA 1.5% 5.3% 22.2% 71.10% 1.7% 20.2% 77.5% 72.7% 23.8% 11.0% 59.2% 27.6% 3.6% 7.1% 24.1% 65.2% 3.5% 79.4% 16.0% 3.3% 12.8% 32.1% 51.9% 0.2% 1.0% 15.6% 83.2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

17 Q8 a Do you think that deciding saddams fate quickly will Foil the plans of those who would spread ethnic dissent Ye s No DK NA 1.0% 6.0% 30.1% 62.9% 3.5% 30.1% 66.5% 0.9% 1.8% 24.6% 72.7% 1.8% 16.3% 38.5% 43.4% 0.9% 8.0% 35.7% 55.4% 1.6% 26.1% % 33.3% 54.7% 0.8% 1.5% 16.4% 81.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

18 Q8 b Do you think that deciding saddams fate quickly will Make society safer and more stable Ye s No DK NA 5.4% 30.7% 62.7% 4.0% 32.4% 63.0% 1.5% 26.4% 71.6% 1.3% 14.0% 43.9% 40.8% 0.9% 6.3% 37.5% 55.4% 0.8% 37.4% 60.7% 4.1% 10.3% 37.9% 47.7% 0.8% 1.4% 10.2% 87.6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

19 Q8 c Do you think that deciding saddams fate quickly will Increase the number of acts of violence on the streets Yes No DK NA 1.4% 8.5% 21.5% 68.7% 4.0% 27.7% 68.2% 3.5% 20.2% 75.1% 18.1% 23.5% 56.1% 0.9% 9.8% 30.4% 58.9% 0.8% 23.3% 73.5% 3.7% 16.9% 17.3% 62.1% 4.8% 17.8% 76.8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

20 Q8 d Do you think that deciding saddams fate quickly will Lead to departure of all foreign Forces? Ye s No DK NA 1.4% 7.0% 35.3% 56.3% 6.4% 28.9% 63.6% 38.4% 58.7% 1.5% 12.0% 25.5% 61.0% 0.9% 12.5% 32.1% 54.5% 6.6% 36.6% 55.6% 3.7% 9.9% 16.0% 70.4% 1.0% 4.2% 43.1% 51.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

21 Q9 Do you think there is a relation between the present military operations and the trial of saddam Hussein? Yes No DK NA 47.4% 41.1% 10.5% 1.0% 49.7% 42.2% 5.8% 48.7% 42.8% 7.0% 1.5% 28.8% 49.7% 20.4% 1.0% 25.9% 58.0% 14.3% 1.8% 54.5% 39.7% 5.4% 0.4% 20.2% 59.7% 19.3% 0.8% 73.9% 21.4% 4.2%0.4%

22 Q10 If the court sentences saddam Hussein to death, do you think that military operations will Increase Stay the same Decrease DK NA 50.8% 52.7% 50.7% 44.6% 41.6% 33.1% 32.7% % 30.1% 34.7% 32.1% 35.6% 27.4% 24.1% 22.4% 22.9% 23.8% 18.1% 18.6% 20.2% 15.2% 16.0% 15.6% 16.1% 14.3% 15.8% 7.7% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 0.8%

23 Q11 If the court sentences saddam Hussein to death, do you think that the security situation will Improve Stay the same Worsen DK NA 65.1% 58.1% 52.7% 51.4% 46.4% 46.2% 45.5% 40.2% 35.8% 34.1% 33.3% 29.5% 24.5% 23.8% 21.0% 17.8% 15.4% 13.6% % 16.1% 11.6% 14.5% 13.5% 13.2% 16.2% 14.0% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.4% 2.7% 1.0% 3.8% 0.7%