Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
|
|
- Cameron Sharp
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Get Global FX Insights via - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Busy Friday Features US Jobs Report Wake-up Call The US Dollar heads into Friday in a fairly good mood, trading higher across the board since the weekly open, even against the Euro which is coming off an impressive round of Thursday gains, sitting just off its 2017 high from last week. Technical highlights EURUSD Getting close to a top GBPUSD More consolidation USDJPY Risk for renewed decline EURCHF Trying to break AUDUSD Adhering to major range USDCAD Recovery expected soon NZDUSD Signs of bearish reversal US SPX 500 Focus shifts below 2400 GOLD (spot) Trying for higher low Feature USDZAR Constructive turn Daily Video Fundamental highlights EURUSD ECB Minutes push Euro back to yearly high GBPUSD BOE McCafferty policy reversal comments prop USDJPY BOJ bond operations fuel more Yen weakness EURCHF SNB fighting hard as sentiment deteriorates AUDUSD Slumping base metals prices an added strain USDCAD Canada employment and Ivey PMIs on tap NZDUSD Kiwi finds support after US data disappointment US SPX 500 Strong jobs report not so good for stocks GOLD (spot) Macro players continue to buy aggressively Feature USDZAR Political uncertainty knocks Rand Five day performance v. US dollar Suggested reading (Another) Taper Tantrum, M. Gilbert, Bloomberg (July 6, 2017) British Open Prize Money in Dollars!, J. Detrixhe, Quartz (July 6, 2017) Page 1 of 12
2 EURUSD technical overview This latest break to fresh 2017 highs beyond has confirmed a higher low at opening this latest extension towards , which also coincides with critical longer-term resistance in the area. But daily studies are looking stretched, suggesting any additional upside could be difficult, with the greater risk building for some form of a meaningful bearish reversal in the sessions ahead. Still, the uptrend in 2017 is well intact and a break below back below a confirmed higher low at would be required to officially shift the broader focus back to the downside. R Psychological Strong R Jun/2017 high Medium S Jul low Medium S Jun low Strong EURUSD fundamental overview It didn t take too long for the Euro to resume its 2017 uptrend, with the single currency racing back up on Thursday and contemplating a break to a fresh yearly high towards The catalyst for the move came from the combination of a more hawkish ECB Minutes and softer US data. The ECB Minutes revealed board members having the conversation about dropping the central bank's QE bias, while US ADP employment and US initial jobless claims disappointed. Perhaps the only thing capping the Euro somewhat was the solid US ISM non-manufacturing print and some positioning ahead of today s US employment report. German industrial production is the only notable standout on the European calendar. It s worth noting the Fed s release of its monetary policy report to Congress and Trump s meeting with Putin (for the first time) at the G20 summit should not be overlooked. Page 2 of 12
3 GBPUSD technical overview The market has entered a period of choppy consolidation over the past several sessions but is now expected to be very well supported on dips in favour of a higher low and bullish continuation towards a measured move extension objective at in the weeks ahead. A breakout above critical resistance at back in April triggered a structural shift in the major pair warning of a longer-term base. Only back below would compromise this outlook. Still, in the shorterterm, choppy consolidation in the area should not be ruled out before the market ultimately breaks higher. R May/2017 high Strong R Psychological Medium S Jul low Medium S Jun high Strong GBPUSD fundamental overview There wasn t much going on in the UK on Thursday, though the Pound still managed to find some bids on the back of discouraging US economic data. Both ADP employment and initial jobless claims were a let down, though a solid ISM nonmanufacturing print did help to cap gains somewhat. BOE McCafferty has also helped to keep the Pound supported after commenting the central bank would be needing to take away stimulus given an acceleration in inflation. Looking ahead, today will be a busy day for the Pound. First we get a batch of data out of the UK including industrial production, manufacturing production and trade, and then all of the focus shifts to the US jobs report. It s worth noting the Fed s release of its monetary policy report to Congress and Trump s meeting with Putin (for the first time) at the G20 summit should not be overlooked. Page 3 of 12
4 USDJPY technical overview Despite the latest recovery rally, the overall pressure remains on the downside. In the interim, look for any additional upside to remain capped below , though only a break back above the recent high at will negate the outlook and take the pressure off the downside. R May high Strong R Jul high Medium S Jun high Medium S Jun low Strong USDJPY fundamental overview A disappointing round of Thursday US data and some risk off flow had capped gains in the major pair before the market was bid up again early Friday on the back of BOJ bond operations which saw an increase in purchases and an unlimited fixed rate bond operation for the 5 and 10 year segments. Overall, the more hawkish policy trajectories at the Fed, ECB and BOE have already impacted the Yen in recent days, with the Japanese currency tracking lower (USDJPY higher) as yield differentials widen in favor of the US Dollar, Euro and Pound. However, there is risk all of this central bank hawkishness spooks the global equities market, which could inspire renewed Yen demand on traditional correlations (USDJPY lower). Looking ahead, the key standout on today s calendar is the US employment report. But other events to watch will be Fed s release of its monetary policy report to Congress and Trump s meeting with Putin (for the first time) at the G20 summit. Page 4 of 12
5 EURCHF technical overview A recent break above has taken the short-term pressure off the downside and could be warning of a more significant structural shift. Next key resistance comes in at , with the psychological barrier coinciding with a high from August The establishment above would force a meaningful shift in the structure and open the door for longer-term upside. At the same time, while the market holds below on a daily closes basis the overall trend is still bearish and a break back below would renew downside pressure. R Psychological Strong R Jul high/2017 high Medium S Jun high Medium S Jun low Strong EURCHF fundamental overview Overinflated, record high US equities should be a worry for the SNB as any capitulation on the equity front is likely to invite massive safe haven Franc demand the central bank will have an extremely difficult time offsetting, irrespective of the central bank s negative rate policy and intervention efforts. The SNB is hoping global sentiment will remain artificially elevated and the ECB will continue to paint a more hawkish picture. But it looks like it really should come down to the performance in US equities given the influence on broader sentiment. Any signs of intensification to the downside will likely invite a pickup in Franc demand and unwanted downside pressure on EURCHF. Page 5 of 12
6 AUDUSD technical overview Despite the latest rally, the market continues to be very well capped into medium-term resistance around Ultimately, any moves to the topside are therefore classified as corrective with the market expected to stall out and roll over again. Look for a break back below to strengthen this outlook and accelerate declines. R Jun high Strong R Jul high Medium S Jul low Medium S Jun low Strong AUDUSD fundamental overview The Australian Dollar has taken a healthy hit this week, initially triggered after the RBA failed to deliver a more upbeat, hawkish policy decision many were expecting. Weakness in copper prices, falling coal exports to China, slumping iron ore and worry over a capitulation in risk assets are other factors keeping Aussie weighed down into the latter portion of the week. Even Thursday s discouraging US ADP and jobless claims prints have done little to prop Aussie into setbacks. Looking ahead, the big focus will be on the US jobs report, though the Fed s release of its monetary policy report to Congress and Trump s meeting with Putin (for the first time) at the G20 summit should not be overlooked. Page 6 of 12
7 USDCAD technical overview The latest round of setbacks have taken the pressure off the topside for now, with the market trading back into a longerterm range. The recent break below has opened the door for a more pronounced decline through major psychological support at Ultimately however, the longer-term uptrend remains intact and setbacks should be well supported below the barrier. Still, we would now need to see a bounce in the sessions ahead and break back above at a minimum to strengthen the constructive outlook. R Jun high Strong R Jul high Medium S Jul/2017 low Strong S Figure Medium USDCAD fundamental overview Canada trade data showed a wider than expected deficit, though there were some decent components within the data to offset. Meanwhile, Thursday s round of US data was mixed as well, with ADP and claims missing, but ISM nonmanufacturing coming in better than forecast. In the end, the deciding factor proved to be the price of OIL, with another pullback ultimately resulting in a lower Canadian Dollar on the day. Still, overall, the Canadian Dollar has been well bid in recent weeks, with a very clear hawkish shift in the Bank of Canada s thinking assigned as the primary driver. Looking ahead, it should be a very busy final session of the week for the Loonie, with the currency needing to take in monthly employment reports out of Canada and the US, along with Canada Ivey PMIs. The Fed will also release its monetary policy report to Congress, which could factor into price action. Page 7 of 12
8 NZDUSD technical overview Despite the intense surge over the past several days, the overall pressure remains on the downside with the market expected to be very well capped in the s. The longer-term chart is reflective of this fact as it looks like we re seeing the formation of a major top off the 2016 high. Only a clear break back above would compromise the outlook, while back below strengthens the bearish case. R Feb/2017 high Strong R Jun high Medium S Jul low Medium S Jun low Strong NZDUSD fundamental overview The New Zealand Dollar has put in an impressive rally in recent weeks, but is starting to show signs of exhaustion. This week s wave of US Dollar demand and another negative GDT auction showing have factored into the mild Kiwi selloff. Meanwhile, fear of vulnerability in global equities is acting as an additional strain for Kiwi. We did however see some demand emerge on Thursday following the disappointing US ADP employment and initial jobless claims prints. Looking ahead, the big focus will be on the US jobs report, though the Fed s release of its monetary policy report to Congress and Trump s meeting with Putin (for the first time) at the G20 summit should not be overlooked. Page 8 of 12
9 US SPX 500 technical overview Any setbacks have been exceptionally mild thus far and at a minimum, a daily close back below 2400 would be required to take the immediate pressure off the topside, though only a break below 2320 would signal a meaningful shift in the structure. But for now, until we see a daily close below 2400, the market is capable of extending its record run towards the next measured move extension target at 2480 further up. R Measured Move Strong R Jun/Record high Medium S May low Medium S May low Strong US SPX 500 fundamental overview The US equity market has done a good job proving it s easily supported into any dip and can keep pushing to record highs as it focuses on rates staying lower for longer and the Fed continuing to underdeliver on forward guidance. But this bet will be put to the test in a big way going forward, with the Fed upgrading its commitment to policy normalisation and other major central bank jumping on the monetary policy reversal bandwagon. The major takeaway is that central banks are sending a clear message that an era of artificial support is finally coming to an end. Today s US jobs report is in focus and could open the door for an intensified liquidation if the data is strong and has investors reconsidering dovish bets, Page 9 of 12
10 GOLD (SPOT) technical overview The market has come under intense pressure since rallying to a fresh 2017 high in June, with setbacks accelerating. However, overall, setbacks have been very well supported for many months now, with the yellow metal putting in a series of higher highs and higher lows since basing out in As such, look for additional declines to be limited, with the market ideally holding above the previous higher low at 1214 on a daily close basis ahead of the next major upside extension and bullish resumption. R Jun/2017 high Strong R Jun high Medium S Jul low Medium S May low Strong GOLD (SPOT) fundamental overview Solid demand from medium and longer-term players continues to emerge on dips, with these players more concerned about exhausted monetary policy, extended global equities, political uncertainty, systemic risk and geopolitical threats. All of this should continue to keep the commodity in demand, with many market participants also fleeing to the hard asset as the grand dichotomy of record high equities and record low yields comes to an unnerving climax. Certainly the US Dollar under pressure in 2017 is adding to the metal s bid tone as well, but there is a growing sense that even in a scenario where the US Dollar is bid, gold may continue to find bids on risk off macro implications. Page 10 of 12
11 Feature technical overview USDZAR is showing signs of the formation of a meaningful base since bottoming out around earlier this year. The latest push back above strengthens this outlook and sets the stage for a continuation of gains towards next key resistance at further up. Any setbacks should ideally be well supported ahead of 12.55, with only a break back below this level to negate the constructive outlook. R May high Strong R May high Medium S Jun low Medium S Jun low Strong Feature fundamental overview The South African Rand is finally succumbing to a wave of negative drivers on the domestic front, with the currency dropping to a seven week low against the Buck. The latest Rand slide has been attributed to jitters at the ANC conference earlier this week after the ruling party proposed nationalising the central bank and expropriating land without compensation. The proposals are viewed as quite radical, something that is unsettling to an investor base already nervous about a never ending string of political uncertainty, including corruption charges surrounding Zuma. Throw in persisting recessionary forces in South Africa and the prospect for a material reversal in elevated global equities and it all points to the greater risk for Rand weakness going forward. Page 11 of 12
12 Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information ("information") contained on this document, constitutes marketing communication and it has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Further, the information contained within this Blog does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. LMAX Exchange has not verified the accuracy or basis-in-fact of any claim or statement made by any third parties as comments for every Blog entry. LMAX Exchange will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the above information. While the produced information was obtained from sources deemed to be reliable, LMAX Exchange does not provide any guarantees about the reliability of such sources. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at his or her own risk. It is not a place to slander, use unacceptable language or to promote LMAX Exchange or any other FX, Spread Betting and CFD provider and any such postings, excessive or unjust comments and attacks will not be allowed and will be removed from the site immediately. LMAX Exchange will clearly identify and mark any content it publishes or that is approved by LMAX Exchange. FX and CFDs are leveraged products that can result in losses exceeding your deposit. They are not suitable for everyone so please ensure you fully understand the risks involved. The information on this website is not directed at residents of the United States of America, Australia (we will only deal with Australian clients who are wholesale clients as defined under the Corporations Act 2001), Canada (although we may deal with Canadian residents who meet the Permitted Client criteria), Singapore or any other jurisdiction where FX trading and/or CFD trading is restricted or prohibited by local laws or regulations. LMAX Limited operates a multilateral trading facility. LMAX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (firm registration number ) and is a company registered in England and Wales (number ). Our registered address is Yellow Building, 1A Nicholas Road, London, W11 4AN. Page 12 of 12
Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Fear of Systemic
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Euro Volatility
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Central Bank
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Where We
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Back to Reality
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Rate Hike
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Yellen Props
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Markets Open
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts What s All
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Trying to
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts ECB Minutes
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Light Friday
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Markets Attempt
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Volatility
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Financial
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Three Stories
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts US Dollar
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts FX Market
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Political
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts US Dollar
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Time for
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts A Hard Time
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts New Updates
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts The US Dollar
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Currencies,
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Wednesday
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts German Coalition
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Don t Forget
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Eurozone
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Short Term
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Why Isn t
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Traders Look
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Catalonia
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts FX Watching
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Four Big
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Quiet Start
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Counterintuitive
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Plenty of
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Fed Decision
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Chilled Dollar
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts FX Traders
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Euro Suffers
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts US Tax Reform
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Different
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Thin Calendar
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Another Look
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts Eurozone
More informationGlobal FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts
Get Global FX Insights via email - click here Global FX Insights by LMAX Exchange Research & Analytics Comprehensive daily market research and analytics, with insightful commentary and charts What Could
More informationForex Sentiment Report Q2 FORECAST WEAK AS LONG AS BELOW April
Forex Sentiment Report 08 April 2015 www.ads-securities.com Q2 FORECAST WEAK AS LONG AS BELOW 1.1200 Targets on a break of 1.1534/35: 1.1740/50 1.1870/75 1.2230/35 Targets on a break of 1.0580/70: 1.0160
More informationINDEX. Forex market outlook Donald Trump s rise and impact on the US dollar. Fed s policy and their hawkish stance
FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK 2018 1 INDEX Forex market outlook 2018 Donald Trump s rise and impact on the US dollar Fed s policy and their hawkish stance EUR/USD s recovery and Euro zone s political challenges
More informationWeekly FX Insight. Weekly FX Insight. Dec 30, 2013 with data as of Dec 27. Citibank Wealth Management. FX & Eco. Figures Forecast
Citibank Wealth Management Weekly FX Insight Weekly FX Insight Dec 30, 2013 with data as of Dec 27 Market Review & Focus FX Analysis Weekly FX Recap 01 GBP/USD 03 USD/JPY 04 Weekly FX Focus 02 NZD/USD
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT MA S-TERM. 16 December, 2011 L-TERM MULTI-WEEK OBJECTIVES/COMMENTS ENTRY LEVEL STRATEGY/ POSITION
MA S-TERM MULTI-DAY Please note: None of the strategies below represent trading advice or trading recommendations of any kind. Please refer to our full disclaimer. L-TERM MULTI-WEEK STRATEGY/ POSITION
More informationFX Daily. Global Strategy Technical Analysis. Today s highlights: Today s trades/positions: Hierarchy Grid
.8 08 November 2013 Fixed Income Research FX Global Strategy Technical Analysis Today s highlights: EURUSD breaks key price, trendline and 38.2% retracement support at 1.3464/21 to mark a better top, for
More informationWeekly FX Insight. Weekly FX Insight. Sep 23, 2013 with data as of Sep 20. Citibank Wealth Management. FX & Eco. Figures Forecast
Citibank Wealth Management Weekly FX Insight Weekly FX Insight Sep 23, 2013 with data as of Sep 20 Market Review & Focus FX Analysis Weekly FX Recap 01 High Yield Currencies 04-05 Upcoming Economic Figures
More informationRisk Insight. The Central Bank Tightening Party: Who Will Be Next To Join? What are the chances... Volume 8, Issue th July 2017.
Inside this issue Big Picture... 1-2 GBPUSD... 3 GBPEUR... 4 Risk Insight Volume 8, Issue 31 24 th July 2017 EURUSD... 5 USDCAD... 6 Economic Data and Market Indicators... 7 Appendix... 8 The Central Bank
More informationWeekly Outlook. 2 nd June 2014 by Richard Perry, Market Analyst. Macro Outlook. Must watch out for: European Central Bank monetary policy
Forex and CFDs are high risk leveraged products that can result in losses greater than your initial deposit and you should therefore only speculate with money you can afford to lose. FX and CFD trading
More informationTECHNICAL REPORT DAILY RESEARCH TEAM. 04 October 2016 DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES
DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT RESEARCH TEAM DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Monitor the support at 1.1160. EUR/USD
More informationJanuary 4th, 2018 CURRENCIES USD/CAD AUD/USD USD/CHF. Market Watch
CURRENCIES USD/CAD I believe that this pair is going to continue to be rather choppy over the next couple of sessions, with the 1.25 level offering a bit of a floor. This is because we get jobs numbers
More informationTechnical Analysis. Weekly Comment. Global. SPX Overbought Relief Rally in Europe!! Equities Sales Trading Commentary
h Technical Analysis Equities Sales Trading Commentary Weekly Comment Global Michael Riesner Marc Müller 03/07/2012 michael.riesner@ubs.com marc.mueller@ubs.com +41-44-239 1676 +41-44-239 1789 SPX Overbought
More informationTechnical Strategy. Q1 Dollar top as the basis for a sharp correction
2017 Chart 38. ) DXY with Advance/Decline Line (20 Key Dollar Pairs) Chart 39. ) US Dollar with Presidential Cycle Tactically, we have been bullish US dollar since the May 2016 bottom, which is the base
More informationG10 FX Week Ahead: Waiting for the ECB
Economic and Financial Analysis 23 October 2017 FX 23 October 2017 Article G10 FX Week Ahead: Waiting for the ECB The key focus for FX markets is the ECB meeting on Thursday. Here's our view of major currency
More informationEWF YEARLY FORECAST 2/7/2017
WWW.ELLIOTTWAVE-FORECAST.COM EWF YEARLY FORECAST 2/7/2017 SPX should remain bullish against February 2016 low Cycle from 2.2016 low in SPX is mature but the Index still has scope to extend higher towards
More informationINDEX. Recap and outlook. US Dollar. Japanese Yen. Euro. British Pound. Summary
FOREX MONTHLY NOVEMBER 2017 1 INDEX Recap and outlook US Dollar Japanese Yen Euro British Pound Summary 1 2 4 6 8 10 2 Recap and outlook The US Dollar performed well in October 2017 as it outpaced other
More informationUS Dollar Struggles as Euro Gains Top Spot - A review of the Major Global Currencies
US Dollar Struggles as Euro Gains Top Spot - A review of the Major Global Currencies 26 th November 2017 My colleagues have been urging me to write a weekly commentary on Bitcoin/Cryptocurrencies. However,
More informationTECHFX TRADERS WEEKLY FX TECHNICAL REPORT
04 February 2018 TECHFX TRADERS WEEKLY FX TECHNICAL REPORT Contents FX: AUDUSD Medium Term Page 3 AUDUSD Short Term Page 4 AUDUSD VS Interest Rates Page 5 AUDNZD Medium Term Page 6 AUDNZD Short Term Page
More informationCAD OUTLOOK A BALANCED PERSPECTIVE CAMILLA SUTTON l CHIEF FX STRATEGIST l l
CONFERENCE CALL Dial in: 905 694 9451 (local to Toronto) Passcode: 549 537 728# CONFERENCE CALL COMMANDS Press 1 to skip backwards 5 seconds; press 3 skip forward 5 seconds Press 4 to skip backwards 5
More informationDaily FX Focus 9/10/2017
Important Risk Disclosure Daily FX Focus 9/1/217 Investment involves risk. It is important to note that the capital value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and may become
More informationOVERVIEW SENTIMENT FOCUS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS WEEKLY PROJECTIONS FX ORDERBOOK
TIER1FX WEEKLY OVERVIEW SENTIMENT FOC TECHNICAL ANALYSIS WEEKLY PROJECTIONS FX ORDERBOOK 2 SENTIMENT FOC The UK referendum vote to leave came as a big surprise to the financial markets as both the recent
More informationCMS Prime DAILY MARKET REPORT
CMS Prime DAILY MARKET REPORT April 25, 2018 EURUSD 1.2210 (SL) with targets at 1.2245 and 1.2265 1.2210 with targets at 1.2180 and 1.2150 Resistance 1 : 1.2245 Resistance 2 : 1.2265 Resistance 3 : 1.2290
More informationMarket Overview. Indices Week Open Week Close Change NASDAQ DOW JONES
FOREX Weekly Report Powered by Future Investment www.futureinvestments.sg Monday 18 th Feb 2019 Market Overview The US dollar rebounded from three year lows against a currency basket on Friday but still
More information14 th November General Outlook. Ian Copsey
2006 General Outlook The Dollar is higher across the board and looks generally positive for one more rally to marginal new highs at least. The 1.2745 EURUSD, 1.2523 USDCHF and 1.8925-45 GBPUSD areas all
More informationCURRENT PRICE EXPECTED HIGH EXPECTED LOW PIVOT POINT , , , , AUD/USD SMA 5 SMA 10 SMA 15
DAILY FOREX & COMMODITIES FORECAST 06-08-2012 FOREX FORECAST MAJOR PAIRS OPENING MINDS CREATING FUTURES AUD/USD CURRENT PRICE EXPECTED HIGH EXPECTED LOW PIVOT POINT 1.0557 1.0579, 1.0597, 1.0632 1.0523,
More informationDaily FX Focus 11/7/2017
Important Risk Disclosure Daily FX Focus 11/7/217 Investment involves risk. It is important to note that the capital value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and may become
More informationWEEKLY GLOBAL ROADMAP
11 February 2016 1 WEEKLY GLOBAL ROADMAP Why a lower US dollar will help to stabilize markets What s new this week? This week, we started to see reactions typically observed in major financial crisis.
More informationFOREX WEEKLY. Weekly information issued by the FOREX Advisory Team. Trader view in 2 snapshots. 4 October Global Forex Sentiment
FOREX WEEKLY 4 October 2017 Weekly information issued by the FOREX Advisory Team Global Forex Sentiment The global recovery continues, well synchronized across regions and broadening into investment. US
More informationWeekly technical analysis chart pack 9 nd June 2014 James Brodie Chartered Market Technician
Weekly technical analysis chart pack 9 nd June 2014 James Brodie Chartered Market Technician EURUSD Within 24 hours of Mario Draghi announcing the ECB s new round of rate cuts and easing policies the EURUSD
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Continued selling pressures. EUR/USD
More informationCMS Prime DAILY MARKET REPORT
CMS Prime DAILY MARKET REPORT May 09, 2018 EURUSD BEARISH BIAS short position at 1.1855 with SL : 1.1900 and with targets at 1.1835 and 1.1800 long position at 1.1900 with SL : 1.1835 and with targets
More informationBullion Weekly Technicals Monday, 15 October 2012
Technical Analysis Research Bullion Weekly Technicals Monday, 15 October 2012 Technical Outlook Axel Rudolph +44 207 475 5721 axel.rudolph@commerzbank.com For important disclosure information please see
More informationCMS Prime DAILY MARKET REPORT
CMS Prime DAILY MARKET REPORT May 1,5 2018 EURUSD BEARISH BIAS short position at 1.1935 with SL : 1.1960 and with targets at 1.1910 and 1.1890 long position at 1.1960 with SL : 1.1910 and with targets
More informationDaily FX Focus 19/3/2015
Important Risk Warning Daily FX Focus 19/3/215 The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in this product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product
More informationADS Securities Market Strategy. 2013: The Year To Be Just a Moving Average Trader
ADS Securities Market Strategy Prepared by Max Knudsen, Chief Market Strategist 18 th December 2013 2013: The Year To Be Just a Moving Average Trader With close to 3000 economic data release, 60 central
More information2018 Q2 MARKET FORECAST QUARTERLY MARKET EURUSD: FORECAST Q2 2018
QUARTERLY MARKET EURUSD: $ 1 Contents Erratic Markets Spell Uncertainty for...3 01 02 03 04 05 06 EURUSD: Supported by QE speculation, weighed by low inflation fears...5 GBPUSD: Continuing to use the 1.40
More informationRisk Insight. Are the high costs of hedging for euro investors coming to a turning point? What are the chances... Volume 9, Issue th March 2017
Inside this issue Big Picture... 1-2 GBPUSD... 3 GBPEUR... 4 Risk Insight Volume 9, Issue 11 13 th March 2017 Are the high costs of hedging for euro investors coming to a turning point? As far as hedging
More informationIFA GLOBAL RESEARCH DESK Blog: 24 January-2018
24 January-2018 FROM CEO'S DESK The US Dollar has slumped to its lowest level since 2014. The DXY is currently at 90.02. There are reports that say Muller may question Trump on his dismissal of Comey and
More informationCurrencies Daily Report
Currencies Daily Report www.karvycurrency.com Friday 02 Jun 2017 Market Overview Asian shares were mostly higher today with attention on U.S. jobs data later in the day. Overnight, U.S. stocks made a winning
More informationDaily FX Focus 3/10/2018
Important Risk Warning Daily FX Focus The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in this product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable
More informationMarch Trade Ideas: «Fairly Soon» Means May or June
March Trade Ideas: «Fairly Soon» Means May or June Author: Nick Korzhenevsky, senior analyst with AMarkets Company Summary: The Fed continues with its hawkish rhetoric but cautious actions. Three rate
More informationDaily Market Reflection
Daily Market Reflection Commodity Market Outlook Gold edged higher on Wednesday as the dollar weakened after the previous session's rally, though gains were seen as limited by a recovery in equity markets
More informationCurrency Weekly A C o m p r e h e n s i v e R e p o r t
Global economic review Economic performance: The last week we saw the European soverign feras coming back to haunt the markets. The Equity as well as the currency markets tumbled led by the European region.
More informationWEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK 5 FEB 2013
Review and Outlook - Commodity & Equity Markets Commodity Market Returns Impress, but equity market gains in January are worth noting Boost Copper 3x Leverage Daily ETP (3HCL) was up 11.1% last week. With
More informationMarket Overview. Indices Week Open Week Close CHANGE NASDAQ DOW JONES NIKKEI
Forex Weekly Report Powered by Future Investment www.futureinvestments.sg Monday 24 Dec 2018 Market Overview The US Dollar will be overwhelmingly pre-occupied with a single event in the week ahead: the
More informationRisk Insight. Does a flattening yield curve signal pain for the dollar? What are the chances... Volume 9, Issue 10 6 th March 2017.
Inside this issue Big Picture... 1-2 GBPUSD... 3 GBPEUR... 4 Risk Insight Volume 9, Issue 10 6 th March 2017 EURUSD... 5 USDCAD... 6 Economic Data and Market Indicators... 7 Appendix... 8 Does a flattening
More informationViews and Insights. Schroders Multi-Asset Investments. Section 1: Monthly Views November Summary Issued in November 2015
Issued in November 215 For Financial Intermediary, Institutional and Consultant use only. Not for redistribution under any circumstances. Views and Insights Section 1: Monthly Views November 215 Summary
More informationDaily FX Focus 7/6/2018
Daily FX Focus:USD/CAD Canada international merchandise trade was improved in April. USDCAD once dropped to 1.2855 levels. The upcoming release will be Canada's May housing starts figure. Currency AUD
More informationSeptember Subscribe to our newsletter address. OK Confirmation. Summary
Subscribe to our newsletter Email address OK Confirmation 1 MONTH IN 10 SNAPSHOTS September Summary 1. World economy - Synchronized global growth at last 2. United States - Back to balanced economic growth
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Bouncing further. EUR/USD has broken
More informationCurrencies Daily Report
Currencies Daily Report www.karvycurrency.com Friday 21 April 2017 Market Overview U.S. indices rallied yesterday as a round of solid earnings pushed equities higher. U.S. equities are consolidating gains
More informationCONTENTS. What is Forex Advantages of Forex Trading. 5. Currency Pairs Categories.. 6. Forex Trading Sessions...
CONTENTS What is Forex... 3 Advantages of Forex Trading. 5 Currency Pairs Categories.. 6 Forex Trading Sessions... 8 How to Read a Quote.. 10 Spread, Pips, and Lot.. 11 Margin, Leverage and Rollover. 12
More informationJune & July 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST
June & July 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST Foreign Exchange & Global Payments CURRENCY FORECAST CHART GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATES MAY Avg. JUNE & JULY f 2012 Q4 f USD/CAD 1.0107 1.0100-1.0600 0.9900 EUR/USD 1.2800
More information