June & July 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST
|
|
- Barnard Collins
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 June & July 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST Foreign Exchange & Global Payments
2 CURRENCY FORECAST CHART GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATES MAY Avg. JUNE & JULY f 2012 Q4 f USD/CAD EUR/USD GBP/USD
3 USD / CAD The USD/CAD was trading at 1 USD = 0.98 CAD when last month s report was put to print. As we publish this report, the pair trades at 1 USD = 1.03 CAD, demonstrating a 5 cent drop in the Canadian dollar. May Mayhem May mayhem has taken over financial markets, resulting in a flight to the relative safety of the greenback. The US dollar was sent on an upward trajectory against almost all major currencies as concerns surrounding the European sovereign crisis and a slowing of Chinese growth resurfaced in May. The Canadian Dollar s near-term fortunes are being determined by external events that are weighing on commodities. Therefore, we could see the CAD easing slightly further, before strengthening through parity again towards the end of Q3. Declining Oil Prices To Pressure Loonie As a commodity-rich economy, the Canadian dollar has a strong correlation to oil prices which are on the decline. If historical trading patterns are any indication, U.S. crude-oil prices should continue to fall in addition to the 18% plunge seen in May. The price currently sits at USD a barrel and a further decline in oil prices suggests further weakness in the Canadian dollar.
4 USD / CAD Lower Likelihood Of US Quantitative Easing Another factor that will determine the USD/CAD s direction will be the chances of quantitative easing from the US Federal Reserve. The probability of QE 3 is low since the US economy is expected to continue moving forward at a moderate pace. Despite disappointing employment numbers from the US, other data (such as GDP, the ISM non-manufacturing index and housing starts) show that the US economy has stabilized. No QE 3 will in turn will help keep the US Dollar well supported in June. Weak Data From China Will Keep Commodities Lower In May, softer-than-expected figures from China dented commodity prices and related currencies such as the CAD. In this light, the next batch of Chinese data, June 9-10, will be even more closely watched than usual. Analysts expect weak numbers from China which will pressure the CAD lower. In light of a lower chance of QE 3 from the United States, a Bank of Canada which is reluctant to raise rates and a soft landing in China, we expect the USD/CAD to weaken further to before reverting to a target price of USD/CAD TREND SINCE MAY 1, May 1, 2012 May 8, 2012 May 16, 2012 May 24, 2012 Jun1, 2012
5 EUR/USD Political events in Europe have once again plunged investors into uncertainty. Instead of advancing toward a lasting solution, the situation has deteriorated. The Greek election results show the extent to which hard times have undermined popular support for austerity. The same phenomenon is illustrated by French voters replacement of their government, even though its austerity had been less drastic. As if this were not enough, the global economy, while still in expansion, has recently disappointed. While the EUR has already fallen sharply over recent weeks to approach and break the most conservation of bearish estimates (1.24 was the original expected low), the political impasse in Greece and Spanish banking concerns make a near-term turnaround in fortune unlikely. Therefore, we now expect the EUR/USD to weaken further to a target price of The two major reasons behind further EUR depreciation are the elections in Greece and the stance of the European Central Bank (ECB) on interest rates. Greek Elections & Its Banking System Greek elections are due on June 17. A new Greek government may not automatically lead to an immediate departure of Greece from the Eurozone as some fear, but will at minimum raise uncertainty as austerity plans are renegotiated. The Greek elections could well see anti-bailout party Syriza (now ahead in some opinion polls) come out on top. In addition, continued depositor flight threatens the Greek banking system. Already we have seen four banks deemed to be not sufficiently capitalized to be funded by the ECB, placing them back into the Emergency Liquidity Assistance programme. Further deterioration in the banking system could trigger an early Greek EMU exit, although we do not believe this to be the most likely scenario.
6 EUR/USD European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision We expect the ECB to keep rates unchanged. A heavy calendar of events throughout June could help determine how the euro zone crisis unfolds and may encourage Europe's key monetary policymakers to hold interest rates for now. In addition to Greek elections on June 17, the heads of the G20 group of nations will hold a summit on June 18 and 19, while Europe's leaders will gather at the end of the month to decide their next response to the crisis. Elevated risk aversion favours ongoing USD outperformance and EUR weakness. The fact that the field of those already shorting the euro is so crowded might, however, limit the euro s downside. Overall, we look to maintain our bearish stance and amidst another summer of uncertainty would not rule out a test towards the 2010 lows of EUR/USD TREND SINCE MAY 1, May 1, 2012 May 8, 2012 May 16, 2012 May 24, 2012 Jun 1, 2012
7 GBP/USD The Pound Sterling may have depreciated against the US dollar in recent weeks, reflecting a flight back to the relative safety of the greenback, but it has held up remarkably well compared to many other major currencies. Some of the reasons why the GBP has fared better is because investors seem to be favouring the liquidity of sterling in the European time zone. A change in voting pattern among the UK s Monetary Policy Committee has also been a partial catalyst for sterling s relative strength, as Adam Posen, previously a strong enthusiast for QE, has moved away from calling for further stimulus. Nonetheless, QE cannot be ruled out completely given the recent spate of weak UK data and the turmoil in Europe. Although chances of QE will be keep the GBP under pressure, the general trend for GBP strengthremains intact since the Pound Sterling is viewed as an inter-diversification play currency in the Euro zone. If we see the GBP/USD break out of its broad range, it suggests a deviation from fair valuation measures. The GBP/USD currently trades at and we expect the Sterling to correct towards the mid-point of its fair valuation (1.5500). GBP/USD TREND SINCE APR 1, May 1, 2012 May 8, 2012 May 16, 2012 May 24, 2012 Jun1, 2012
8 th Avenue,Suite 306 Markham, Ontario,L3R 0B6 Quote Line (Tel) (Fax) ( ) info@mtfx.ca This Report is prepared by MTFX Inc. as a resource for the clients of MTFX Inc. and MTFX Global. While the information is from sources believed reliable, neither the information nor the forecast shall be taken as a representation for which MTFX or any of its employees incur any responsibility.
MTFX ANALYTICS OCTOBER 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST
MTFX ANALYTICS OCTOBER 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST Foreign Exchange & Global Payments MONTHLY CURRENCY FORECAST CHART GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATES SEP Avg OCT f 2012 Q4 f USD/CAD 0.9790 0.9600 1.0200 0.9800 EUR/USD
More informationAugust September 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST
August September 2012 CURRENCY FORECAST Foreign Exchange & Global Payments MONTHLY CURRENCY FORECAST CHART GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATES JUL Avg Aug, Sep f 2012 Q4 f USD/CAD 1.0149 0.9800 1.0300 0.9900 EUR/USD
More informationwithin the longer term downward trend that began almost a year ago. In our opinion, it s the latter that continues to look the most likely scenario.
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES Risk Insight Volume 6, Issue 12-30 March 2015..that EURUSD will touch 1.15 within the next month? 11.0% The Big Picture Is the euro primed for another leg lower? fter reaching a 12
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Trying to bounce. EUR/USD is bouncing
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Further sideways trading. EUR/USD sideways
More informationTECHNICAL REPORT DAILY RESEARCH TEAM. 04 October 2016 DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES
DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT RESEARCH TEAM DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Monitor the support at 1.1160. EUR/USD
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Grinding higher. EUR/USD continues its
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Decreasing. EUR/USD is declining, approaching
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Increasing. EUR/USD is bouncing back
More informationINDEX. Forex market outlook Donald Trump s rise and impact on the US dollar. Fed s policy and their hawkish stance
FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK 2018 1 INDEX Forex market outlook 2018 Donald Trump s rise and impact on the US dollar Fed s policy and their hawkish stance EUR/USD s recovery and Euro zone s political challenges
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Bouncing further. EUR/USD has broken
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Continued selling pressures. EUR/USD
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Decreasing. EUR/USD is decreasing following
More informationAustralian Dollar Outlook
Tuesday, 31 March 015 Australian Dollar Outlook Still Under Pressure We have revised our AUD forecasts for this year down slightly to reflect developments over recent months. We now expect the AUD to end
More informationGlobal FX 2 Apr 2012
Global FX 2 Apr 2012 Uncertainty reigned in the currency market over the past two weeks, with the dollar fluctuating in rather tight ranges against most other major currencies. The greenback initially
More informationInvestment Market Performance
Investment Markets in December, Review of 2014 and Outlook for 2015 Markets weakened in local currency terms in December but US and Japanese markets gained in Euro terms as the Euro weakened further. Equity
More informationGESTION DE RISQUES FINANCIERS FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT
GESTION DE RISQUES FINANCIERS FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT 2019-03 / Market Commentary Bonjour, Here s our take on currency movements for the coming weeks. Although struggling, the Canadian economy could
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT
RESEARCH TEAM DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT DISCLAIMER & DISCLOSURES Please read the disclaimer and the disclosures which can be found at the end of this report EUR / USD Declining sharply. EUR/USD has broken
More informationEurozone. Outlook for. Ernst & Young Eurozone Forecast. Summer edition 2012
Eurozone Ernst & Young Eurozone Forecast Summer edition 2012 Outlook for Published in collaboration with Andy Baldwin Head of Financial Services Europe, Middle East, India and Africa With key national
More informationMarket Insight Economy and Asset Classes December Oil Prices Downtrending: The Real Global Economic Stimulus
Market Insight Economy and Asset Classes December 2014 Oil Prices Downtrending: The Real Global Economic Stimulus 2 Equities Markets Feature In Citi analysts view, the expansion phase the US are enjoying
More informationAUD-EUR OUTLOOK Risk Appetite is the Key Wednesday, 25 January 2012 The Australian dollar has recently soared to record highs against the euro, reflecting heightened concerns about European sovereign risk,
More informationQuarterly Currency Outlook
Mature Economies Quarterly Currency Outlook MarketQuant Research Writing completed on July 12, 2017 Content 1. Key elements of background for mature market currencies... 4 2. Detailed Currency Outlook...
More informationRisk Insight. The Central Bank Tightening Party: Who Will Be Next To Join? What are the chances... Volume 8, Issue th July 2017.
Inside this issue Big Picture... 1-2 GBPUSD... 3 GBPEUR... 4 Risk Insight Volume 8, Issue 31 24 th July 2017 EURUSD... 5 USDCAD... 6 Economic Data and Market Indicators... 7 Appendix... 8 The Central Bank
More informationMarket Outlook. July 2015
Market Outlook July 2015 Greece Defaults; Contagion Risks Limited Greek government failed to make the EUR 1.6bn IMF debt payment due on 30 June and becomes the first nation to default on IMF since Mugabe's
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. July 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 Eurozone: A shift to more moderate growth with increased downward risks BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 / 2 Hard data improved in May but failed to recover
More informationSeptember PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy September 2015 Stock Market Volatility likely to Remain Elevated in Near-term on China Concerns & Fed Uncertainty.
More informationManagement Report. Banco Espírito Santo do Oriente, S.A.
Management Report Banco Espírito Santo do Oriente, S.A. Summary of Management Report International Economic Framework The year under review was marked by a slowdown in global economic activity and GDP
More informationEXCHANGE RATE FORECASTS
April 2014 EXCHANGE RATE FORECASTS MODEST ROOM FOR A STRONGER U.S. DOLLAR IN 2014-2015 AFTER 2013 S LARGE GAINS U.S. Dollar: The dollar index has inched higher in 2014 as the dollar strengthened against
More informationA recap of last week s top economic news and what s to come.
AGF INVESTMENTS September 5, 2017 A recap of last week s top economic news and what s to come. WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW CANADA REPORTS STRONG GDP GROWTH Canada s economy closed out the second quarter growing
More informationMONTHLY MARKET INSIGHTS AUGUST EDITION 2017
AUGUST EDITION 2017 USD The U.S. dollar index tumbled to its lowest level in 13-months in July and is down nearly 10% since the start of 2017. The dollar s trade-weighted average is down over two and a
More informationInvestment Report The Flexible Guarantee Bond and Flexi Guarantee Plan
Investment Report 2011 The Flexible Guarantee Bond and Flexi Guarantee Plan The Flexible Guarantee Bond and Flexi Guarantee Plan Investment Report 2011 This information does not constitute investment advice
More informationnbc.ca/fxsnapshot... FX Team Toronto Customer Service
FX Team Montreal Customer Service 514 394 6910 1 800 286 6586 FX Team Toronto Customer Service 416 869 8901 1 800 663 6673 Development Team Fixed Income & Commodity 514 394 6885 1 855 394 6885 Major News
More informationCurrency Research Desk
Currency weekly 10 June 2013 Global economic review Last week, the global market ended on a negative note. A similar INDICES LAST 1 week ago % Change NIFTY 5881.00 5985.95-1.75 trend witnessed in the US
More informationBy John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*
By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationBeyond The realm Of possibilities
Beyond The realm Of possibilities 2013 2nd Quarter Report Table of Contents - Outlook of U.S. Real Estate 3-16 - Products Performance Review 17-20 - Performance: DFSP Series 21-24 - Market Outlook 25-28
More informationDAILY TECHNICAL REPORT MA S-TERM. 16 December, 2011 L-TERM MULTI-WEEK OBJECTIVES/COMMENTS ENTRY LEVEL STRATEGY/ POSITION
MA S-TERM MULTI-DAY Please note: None of the strategies below represent trading advice or trading recommendations of any kind. Please refer to our full disclaimer. L-TERM MULTI-WEEK STRATEGY/ POSITION
More informationBy John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*
By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Supported by Renewed Central Bank Put but Face Headwinds from Continued
More informationCAD: THE STORY FROM WORST TO BEST CAMILLA SUTTON l CHIEF FX STRATEGIST l l July 2014
CAD: THE STORY FROM WORST TO BEST CAMILLA SUTTON l CHIEF FX STRATEGIST l416 866 5470 l CAMILLA.SUTTON@SCOTIABANK.COM July 2014 SCOTIABANK: FORECAST FX USD a mixed path REAL GDP US outperforms Canada 2012
More informationMarket volatility to continue
How much more? Renewed speculation that financial institutions may report increased US subprime-related losses has sent equity markets tumbling. How much more bad news can investors expect going forward?
More informationMarket Outlook November 2014 More Economic Divergences, More Volatility
2 Market Outlook November 2014 More Economic Divergences, More Volatility Equities Markets Feature As global markets hover between price peaks and volatility lows, global investors are dealing with a cacophony
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 21st August 2018 World economy performing reasonably well, but downside risks are growing as trade tensions escalate and some sizeable emerging economies experience serious
More informationNew information since the October 2011 Monetary Policy Report (3/11) 1
Meeting 14 March 2012 New information since the October 2011 Monetary Policy Report (3/11) 1 International economy According to preliminary figures, GDP for Norway s main trading partners fell by 0.2 percent
More informationSummary. Economic Update 1 / 7 May Global Global GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 2.9% in 2017 and maintain at 3.0% in 2018.
Economic Update Economic Update 1 / 7 Summary 2 Global Global GDP growth is forecast to accelerate to 2.9% in 2017 and maintain at 3.0% in 2018. 3 Eurozone The eurozone s recovery appears to strengthen
More informationGlobal FX 24 May 2010
Global FX May The decline of the euro accelerated in the past two weeks. It hit a four-year low of. on May 9 as the sovereign debt crisis spread from Greece to other eurozone countries, undermining confidence
More informationEurope Outlook. Third Quarter 2015
Europe Outlook Third Quarter 2015 Main messages 1 2 3 4 5 Moderation of global growth and slowdown in emerging economies, with downside risks The recovery continues in the eurozone, but still marked by
More informationbias for the dollar in the months ahead.
WHAT ARE THE CHANCES Risk Insight Volume 6, Issue 10-16 March 2015..that EURUSD will touch 1.0 within the next 3 months? 31.0% The Big Picture FOMC meeting shaping the direction of the currency markets
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook - July 2017
Global Economic Outlook - July 2017 June 28, 2017 by Carl Tannenbaum, Asha Bangalore, Ankit Mital, Brian Liebovich of Northern Trust Global economic activity has generally been good during the first six
More informationFixed Income Markets: Experiencing Historic Lows
Fixed Income Markets: Experiencing Historic Lows Prepared: June 7, 2012 Overview How low can they go? This seemed to be the question the fixed income markets tried to answer on June 1st. Ten-year yields
More informationMarket Outlook March 2015 Euro equities: Beyond political risks. By Citi EMEA Consumer Bank
Market Outlook March 2015 Euro equities: Beyond political risks By Citi EMEA Consumer Bank Equities Markets Feature On 22 January 2015, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its long-awaited large
More informationEUROPEAN LONG/SHORT JANUARY 2016
EUROPEAN LONG/SHORT JANUARY 2016 FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY There was certainly no shortage of talking points for investors in 2015. Monetary easing, low oil prices and political upheaval drove investor
More informationGlobal Investment Strategy. Scenario Analysis Autumn 2012
Global Investment Strategy Scenario Analysis Autumn 212 Introduction 2 The combination of bullish investors, low market volatility and low financial stress suggests that risk assets are vulnerable to a
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 30th April 2018 Global economy losses some momentum in recent months, while inflation remains subdued Fed sticks to its steady rate tightening path, but other central banks
More informationMarkets. Rates. Wednesday, 12 September 2018
Markets Wednesday, September 8 Rates,,, -, - Policy Rates,,, -, EURIBOR M / USD LIBOR M ECB FED BOE ECB Deposit EURIBORM USD LIBOR M At the latest meetings, both the Fed and ECB held rates stable. The
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook 26th August 2015
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 26th August 2015 Moderate recovery continues in advanced economies, but a weakening of activity in emerging economies is adding to global deflationary pressures Further
More informationKBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION. Defensive August 2017
KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION August 2017 Investment climate Key rate trends and outlook 2,0 2,0 1,5 VS EMU 1,5 0,5 0,5 0,0 0,0-0,5-0,5 - - 07-2012 07-2013 07-2014 07-2015 07-2016 07-2017 07-2018
More informationTotal Return Fund PCC Limited. Unaudited Interim Report for the six months ended 30 September 2011
Fitzwilliam Balanced Sterling Fund S Share Class Fitzwilliam Balanced Dollar Fund S Share Class Fitzwilliam Opportunities Sterling Fund Fitzwilliam Opportunities Dollar Fund Fitzwilliam Growth Sterling
More informationFour reasons why EUR/GBP won t reach parity
Economic and Financial Analysis 24 August 2017 FX 24 August 2017 Article Four reasons why EUR/GBP won t reach parity As the pound gets an economic and Brexit reality check, we explain why the 'Great British
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 25th October 2018 Global growth looks to have peaked. Solid growth forecast for the world economy in 2019, but downside risks are mounting, as reflected in the increased
More informationNovember PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy November 2015 John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Theresa Miller Phone:
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. April 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch April 2018 Eurozone: solid growth and broadly unchanged projections, with protectionist risks BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch / 2 Confidence has weakened in 1Q18 since the
More information1.1. Low yield environment
1. Key developments Overall, the macroeconomic outlook has deteriorated since June 215. Although many European countries continue to recover, economic growth still remains fragile reflecting high public
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 27th March 2018 Global economic recovery gains momentum, but inflation remains subdued Era of monetary easing at an end. Further rate increases on the cards in the coming
More informationFixed Income. EURO SOVEREIGN OUTLOOK SIX PRINCIPAL INFLUENCES TO CONSIDER IN 2016.
PRICE POINT February 2016 Timely intelligence and analysis for our clients. Fixed Income. EURO SOVEREIGN OUTLOOK SIX PRINCIPAL INFLUENCES TO CONSIDER IN 2016. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Kenneth Orchard Portfolio
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY
July 03, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Central banker s comments dominated
More informationGlobal Investment Perspective
Global Investment Perspective April 09 March was an exceptionally strong month for equity markets. The MSCI World Index rose 7.6% as certain macro data, and US government initiatives boosted hopes that
More informationFinancial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks John Praveen
More informationSeven-year asset class forecast returns
For professional investors and advisers only. Seven-year asset class forecast returns 2017 Update Seven-year asset class forecast returns 2017 update Introduction Our seven-year returns forecast largely
More informationMacroeconomic Outlook November 2015
Macroeconomic Outlook November 2015 Philippe WAECHTER Head of Economic Research My twitter account @phil_waechter or http://twitter.com/phil_waechter My blog http://philippewaechter.en.nam.natixis.com
More informationASSESSING THE RISK OF A DOUBLE-DIP RECESSION: KEY INDICATORS TO MONITOR
Weekly Economic Perspective ASSESSING THE RISK OF A DOUBLE-DIP RECESSION: KEY INDICATORS TO MONITOR August 2, 2010 Robert F. DeLucia, CFA Consulting Economist Summary and Major Conclusions: Heightened
More informationInvestment Report With Profits Fund
Investment Report 2011 With Profits Fund With Profits Fund Investment Report 2011 The information in this report should not be considered as investment advice and we recommend that you speak to a suitably
More informationGlobal scenario service. December 2011
December Contents Executive Summary... Overview... scenario... Disorderly Eurozone default... China hard landing... 7 Corporate reawakening... Conclusion... December Executive Summary The global economic
More informationMarket Overview. Indices Week Open Week Close Change NASDAQ DOW JONES
Forex Weekly Report Powered by Future Investment www.futureinvestments.sg Monday 24 Dec 2018 Market Overview Political issues are cropping up everywhere, and it is possible that Europe may see significant
More informationTOP ECONOMIC EVENTS OF THE DAY
OCTOBER 4, 2018 TOP ECONOMIC EVENTS OF THE DAY TIME CURRENCY EVENT EXPECTED PREVIOUS CONSENSUS IMPACT 7:00AM UCT+5:30 AUD Balance of Trade AUG A$1.3B A$1.551B A$1.4B NEGATIVE FOR AUD NEGATIVE FOR GOLD
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
January 15, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The European central bank (ECB) has indicated it should revisit its communication stance in early 2018, according to the ECB s minutes of December meeting
More informationRisk Insight. Does a flattening yield curve signal pain for the dollar? What are the chances... Volume 9, Issue 10 6 th March 2017.
Inside this issue Big Picture... 1-2 GBPUSD... 3 GBPEUR... 4 Risk Insight Volume 9, Issue 10 6 th March 2017 EURUSD... 5 USDCAD... 6 Economic Data and Market Indicators... 7 Appendix... 8 Does a flattening
More informationJanuary market performance. Equity Markets Price Indices Index
Global Central Banks continue to lower interest rates. The RBA cuts the cash rate by 25bp to 2.25% (February 2015). The ECB finally announces Quantitative Easing 60b per month. Oil prices declined again
More informationAlberta s Economic Outlook Chief Economist Katherine White Presented April 2012 Exclusively to the Members of REIN
Alberta s Economic Outlook Alberta s Economic Outlook Katherine White Chief Economist Government of Alberta April 3, 2012 1) Global Economy 2) Canadian Economy 3) Alberta Economy 4) Alberta s Housing Market
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationCurrency Weekly A C o m p r e h e n s i v e R e p o r t
Global economic review Economic performance: The last week we saw the European soverign feras coming back to haunt the markets. The Equity as well as the currency markets tumbled led by the European region.
More informationDaily Market Reflection
Daily Market Reflection Commodity Market Outlook Gold edged higher on Wednesday as the dollar weakened after the previous session's rally, though gains were seen as limited by a recovery in equity markets
More informationDaily FX Focus 9/10/2017
Important Risk Disclosure Daily FX Focus 9/1/217 Investment involves risk. It is important to note that the capital value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and may become
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 17th October 2017 Global economic recovery continues to gather momentum as IMF revises up its growth forecasts for 2017/18. Inflation, though, remains very subdued Central
More informationPerformance Summary June 2015
Performance Summary June 2015 SA Metropolitan Fire Service Superannuation Scheme Funds SA is responsible for investing the assets of the SA Metropolitan Fire Service Superannuation Scheme. In this summary,
More informationEurozone. Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017
Eurozone Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017 EUROZONE WATCH FEBRUARY 2017 Eurozone: A slight upward revision to our GDP growth projections The recovery proceeded at a steady and solid pace in, resulting in an
More informationINVESTMENT OUTLOOK. August 2017
INVESTMENT OUTLOOK August 2017 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK AUGUST 2017 MACRO-ECONOMICS AND CURRENCIES Developed and Emerging Markets A series of comments from major central banks during the month, reminded investors
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond
More informationNivesh Monthly Dollar/Rupee Outlook
Nivesh Monthly Dollar/Rupee Outlook 4 December, 2017 Currency LTP Chg. % USDINR 64.43 0.52 EURINR 76.48 1.41 GBPINR 86.79 1.40 JPYINR 57.46 0.33 DX 92.97 1.55 EURUSD 1.1898 2.16 GBPUSD 1.3530 1.86 USDJPY
More information22 EconSouth Fourth Quarter Shocks Unbalance the Global Economy
22 EconSouth Fourth Quarter Shocks Unbalance the Global Economy A number of shocks slowed the global economic recovery in. Emerging economies on the whole fared better than the advanced economies, but
More informationThe ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) First quarter of 2016
The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) First quarter of 16 January 16 Content 1 Inflation expectations maintain upward profile but have been revised down for 16 and 17 3 2 Longer-term inflation
More informationFX OUTLOOK: MAKING PROGRESS CAMILLA SUTTON l CHIEF CURRENCY STRATEGIST l NOVEMBER 2012
FX OUTLOOK: MAKING PROGRESS CAMILLA SUTTON l CHIEF CURRENCY STRATEGIST l 416 866 5470 NOVEMBER 2012 DIAL IN: 905 694 9451 (local to Toronto) PASSCODE: 336 571 076# CONFERENCE CALL COMMANDS Press 1 Skip
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook AIB Treasury Economic Research Unit
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 22nd November 2017 Global economic recovery gathering momentum, but inflation remains very subdued Central banks patient on policy tightening. Rates rise at a slow pace
More informationWeekly FX Insight. Weekly FX Insight. Dec 30, 2013 with data as of Dec 27. Citibank Wealth Management. FX & Eco. Figures Forecast
Citibank Wealth Management Weekly FX Insight Weekly FX Insight Dec 30, 2013 with data as of Dec 27 Market Review & Focus FX Analysis Weekly FX Recap 01 GBP/USD 03 USD/JPY 04 Weekly FX Focus 02 NZD/USD
More informationThe State of Global Foreign Exchange Markets
The State of Global Foreign Exchange Markets Nick Bennenbroek The State Of Global FX Markets Nick Bennenbroek Head of Currency Strategy June 2015 Please see the disclosure appendix of this publication
More informationExplore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.
ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS Fourth Quarter 2016 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.
More informationCurrencies Daily Report
Currencies Daily Report Powered by Karvy Forex & Currencies Pvt. Ltd. www.karvyforex.com Thursday 08 Jun 2017 Market Overview Political winds from elections in the U.K. and testimony to Congress by the
More informationMonetary Policy Report, June 2017
No. 32/2017 Monetary Policy Report, June 2017 Mr. Jaturong Jantarangs, Assistant Governor of the Bank of Thailand (BOT) and Secretary of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), released the June 2017 issue
More informationWhat next for the US dollar?
US dollar exchange rates are key drivers of the global economy and investment markets, particularly given the dollar s status as the global reserve currency. It is therefore important to understand the
More informationSEB FX Ringside 25 November Travel notes from trip to Asia
SEB FX Ringside 25 November 2015 Travel notes from trip to Asia Last week we travelled to Asia to meet with clients there. We summarise our impressions of what s most interesting/concerning to Asian investors
More informationZenith Monthly Economic Report December 2011
Zenith Monthly Economic Report December 211 ECONOMIC STATISTICS SUMMARY Cash Rate Inflation Rate (%) Unemployment Rate (%) GDP Annual Growth (%) Country Latest Last Change Latest Change Latest Change Past
More informationForex and Interest Rate Outlook 12th January 2016
Forex and Interest Rate Outlook 12th January 2016 Moderate recovery expected to continue in advanced economies, which to date have been able to withstand the marked slowdown in growth in emerging economies
More information