Current Political Environment Corporate Regulation Work Place Attitudes Corporate Citizenship. A Presentation to: IACI Annual Conference

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1 Current Political Environment Corporate Regulation Work Place Attitudes Corporate Citizenship A Presentation to: IACI Annual Conference June 15, 2009

2 Current Political Environment 2

3 National Mood: Historic Trends Data Source: NBC News/Wall Street Journal and CBS News Poll 3

4 Leading Issue Concern What is the most important issue facing the U.S. today? Data Source: Diageo/Hotline June

5 Leading Economic Concern Thinking now about your own financial situation, which one of the following economic issues worries you the most? Data Source: Moore Information May

6 May Unemployment Rates: USA vs. Idaho Data Source: Bureau of Labor 6

7 Obama Job Performance Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Data Source: Moore Information May

8 Obama Job Performance vs. Previous Presidents Presidential Job Performance After Approximately 100 Days Data Source: Moore Information, NBC/Wall Street Journal and Gallup 8

9 Obama Job Performance vs. Stimulus/Budget Plans Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? In general, do you support or oppose President Obama s stimulus and budget plans to improve the economy? Data Source: Moore Information May

10 Generic Congressional Ballot Looking ahead, if the election for Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate? IF DON T KNOW: As of today, which way do you lean? Data Source: Moore Information May

11 Government Should Be Smaller and Do Less In general, do you think government should be bigger and do more, or do you think government should be smaller and do less? Data Source: Moore Information May

12 Although Democrats are Favored on Generic Ballot, Check and Balance is Important Some people say it s important to vote to elect more Democrats to Congress to help support President Obama and his policies and to allow Democrats to implement their agenda. Other people say that Democrats are already in control of the White House, the Senate and the House of Representatives and we should vote for Republicans for Congress to help keep a check and balance on President Obama and the Democrats in Congress. Data Source: Moore Information May

13 Elect More Democrats vs. Keep Check and Balance: By Party Elect more Democrats Keep check and balance Net check and balance All voters 33% 53% +20% Party Republicans 10% 83% +73% Independents/the person 20% 54% +34% Democrats 57% 28% -29% Data Source: Moore Information May

14 Most Important Reason to Elect More Republicans/Keep Check and Balance Which one of the following is the most important reason to vote for Republican candidates? (Among those who prefer check/balance or undecided) Data Source: Moore Information May

15 Message Testing: Obama Stimulus & Budget Plans - 1 Here are some statements about President Obama's plans. After hearing each, please tell me if you are more likely or less likely to support Obama s stimulus and budget plans. If it makes no difference, just say so. Data Source: Moore Information May

16 Message Testing: Obama Stimulus & Budget Plans - 2 Data Source: Moore Information May

17 What if a Bank or Auto Company Wants More Federal Money? "Suppose another major bank or insurance company is on the verge of bankruptcy. If the Obama Administration determines that the new problem is similar to the situation that led to the Federal government's intervention to assist troubled banks and insurance companies in recent months, would you favor or oppose the Federal government intervening in a similar fashion to stabilize that major bank or insurance company on the verge of bankruptcy?" "As you may know, General Motors and Chrysler have received several billion dollars in government assistance to prevent them from going into bankruptcy. If those auto companies say they need more federal money, do you think the government should give them any additional assistance, or should the government let them go into bankruptcy?" Data Source: Cook Political Report and CNN/Opinion Research April

18 Employee Free Choice Act The Employee Free Choice Act is a proposed bill that would effectively eliminate the secret ballot used by workers in deciding whether or not their plant, business or small business should be unionized. Do you favor or oppose the bill? Data Source: Rasmussen Reports April

19 State and Local Tax Burden in Idaho Thinking about the taxes you pay to state and local government in Idaho, in your opinion is the total amount of taxes too high, about right or too low for the amount of services you get? Data Source: Moore Information 19

20 Least Popular Tax in Idaho Which tax do you dislike paying the most? Data Source: Moore Information 20

21 Idaho vs. USA: Presidential Elections % GOP Nominee Data Source: ID SOS, CNN, FEC 21

22 Ada County vs. Idaho: Presidential Elections % GOP Nominee Data Source: ID SOS 22

23 Corporate Regulation 23

24 Overall Amount of Government Regulation of Business and Industry In general, do you think there is too much, too little or about the right amount of government regulation of business and industry? Data Source: Moore Information, LA Times and Gallup 24

25 Amount of Government Regulation of Business and Industry: Specific Industries Data Source: Moore Information May

26 Work Place Update 26

27 Federal Unemployment Projections While opinions differ on exact projections and when a turn around will occur, the general idea is that unemployment will improve at some point in the future. Data Source: Economic projections of the Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank Presidents, April

28 May Unemployment Rates: USA vs. Idaho Data Source: Bureau of Labor 28

29 Most Employees Continue to Be Unconcerned About Losing Their Jobs Thinking about the next 12 months, how likely do you think it is that you will lose your job or be laid off? Data Source: Moore Information and Gallup 29

30 Americans Know More People Losing Jobs Today Than Two Years Ago Do you personally know anyone who has been laid off or lost their job within the last six months, or not? Data Source: Moore Information and Gallup 30

31 Trends in Work Place Issue Concerns: Which of the following work place issues are you most concerned about personally? Feb Apr May 2009 Increase in health insurance costs 27% 42% 34% Job layoff or job loss 18% 20% 29% Cut in pay or lack of pay increase 18% 13% 13% Reduction in company contribution to retirement program 10% 7% 8% Lack of career path/career opportunity 12% 4% 5% Reduction in work hours 4% 1% 3% Data Source: Moore Information 31

32 Key Subgroups: Work Place Issue Concerns Job Loss is more important than Health Insurance Costs to workers Health Insurance Costs are more important than all other issues to workers Age Earning less than $50,000 per year Women Age or age 65 and older Independent voters Earning $50,000 or more per year years education Data Source: Moore Information 32

33 What Motivates Employees to Stay in Their Jobs How important is each of the following factors is in your choice to stay at your current job? Data Source: Moore Information Feb

34 What Else Motivates Employees (or Doesn t) to Stay in Their Jobs How important is each of the following factors is in your choice to stay at your current job? Data Source: Moore Information Feb

35 Corporate Citizenship 35

36 Business Contributions: % Very Important Using a five-point scale, where five is very important and one is not important at all, what number between five and one best represents how important you think it is for businesses to contribute to or support each of the following. Data Source: Moore Information Feb

37 Summary and Highlights 37

38 Summary and Highlights President Obama is popular but voters are skeptical of his economic programs He is going left of the public Continuing economic problems plus over reach by Obama and Congressional Democrats could be helpful to the GOP in 2010 No demands for increased corporate regulation in general, except for a few specific industries Employee concern about health insurance costs still trump concerns about layoffs Teamwork, benefits ad flexibility are almost as important as pay Good corporate citizenship: education contributions are most important 38

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