Update to Phase One 2017 Investment Plan. Regional Planning Committee July 14, 2017 DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

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1 Update to Phase One 2017 Investment Plan Regional Planning Committee July 14, 2017 DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

2 SkyTrain Vehicles 2 Phase 1 Fleet Expansion called for 28 cars to provide sufficient capacity for nearterm demand; but opening of Evergreen Extension and stronger than anticipated system-wide ridership growth are straining current capacity of SkyTrain network. Without an accelerated implementation of additional vehicles, riders will experience more pass-ups and overcrowding in peak periods. DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

3 Update to the Phase One Investment Plan 3 Include 28 additional cars and storage facility expansion to be funded with Public Transit Infrastructure Fund dollars in the Phase One Plan (PTIF1) Several PTIF1 projects likely will not be completed before the March 2019 deadline Swapping these projects with the 28 cars and storage facility expansion will ensure region can spend the PTIF1 funds on-time Delayed projects will be funded from Phase One Plan base capital program To make room for the delayed projects, 28 replacement cars to be moved from Phase One into Phase Two Plan Includes incremental costs of storage and power upgrades Working with Provincial government to amend bilateral agreement with Federal government DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

4 Process 4 This action, which would expand the SkyTrain fleet 2-3 years earlier than planned, requires an update to the Phase One Investment Plan as per the South Coast British Columbia Transportation Authority (SCBCTA) Act. As part of these requirements, TransLink is consulting with the public (online from July 10-14) and Metro Vancouver (July 14 Regional Planning Committee). This update does not propose any changes to the funding sources from the original Phase One plan, and there is no impact on the borrowing limit. Update to Phase One Plan to be brought forward for TransLink Board and Mayors Council approval on July 19 th and 27 th, respectively. DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

5 Benefits of Update to Phase One Plan 5 Expand SkyTrain fleet 2 to 3 years earlier than anticipated Increases peak capacity and relieves overcrowding Enable region to support investments in transit-oriented development made by municipalities and developers Advances 10-Year Vision and supports regional objectives for economy, sustainability, livability Uses existing Phase One funding sources does not require a new revenue source DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

6 Update to the Phase One Investment Plan supports the Regional Growth Strategy 6 Strategy 1.2 Focus growth in Urban Centres and Frequent Transit Development Areas Action c) work with municipalities to support the safe and efficient movement of people to, from and within Urban Centres and Frequent Transit Development Areas Strategy 2.1 Promote land development patterns that support a diverse regional economy and employment close to where people live Action That TransLink develop and operate transportation infrastructure to support economic activity in Urban Centres, Frequent Transit Development Areas, Industrial, Mixed Employment areas and ports and airports Strategy 3.3 Encourage land use and transportation infrastructure that reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, and improve air quality Action That TransLink manage its transit fleet and operations with the goal of reducing common air contaminants and greenhouse gas emissions Strategy 4.2 Develop healthy and complete communities with access to a range of services and amenities Action That TransLink provide appropriate levels of transit service to Local Centres and Special Employment Areas, consistent with TransLink s strategic transportation plans Strategy 5.1 Coordinate land use and transportation to encourage transit, multiple-occupancy vehicles, cycling and walking Action a) prepare and implement strategic transportation plans that support focused growth in Urban Centres and Frequent Transit Development Areas, and other appropriate areas along TransLink s Frequent Transit Network DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

7 7 Questions? DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

8 Details of proposed Public Transportation Infrastructure Fund Phase 1 (PTIF1) swap for the Phase One Investment Plan Update 8 Project Action PTIF Cash Flow PTIF1 Projects with Schedule Risk Millennium Line Broadway Extension Early Works Rapid Transit Stations Rapid Transit System Rehabilitation and Maintenance Bus and SeaBus Rehabilitation and Maintenance Information Technology New Projects for PTIF1 Funding Complete planning and design of new control centre, but defer construction to Phase Two plan Complete planning and design of new entrance to Burrard Station, but defer construction to Phase Two plan Scale back escalator replacement to what can be delivered by end of 2018, and move balance of escalators to Phase Two plan Complete providing new security camera equipment for expansion vehicles, but defer converting existing fleet with new equipment Complete design of bus communications and asset management systems, but defer implementation to Phase Two plan Total ($35M) ($50M) ($15M) ($4M) ($11M) ($115M) New 28 SkyTrain cars Procure 28 additional SkyTrain cars with contract option $98M Expansion of Storage Facility Expand existing storage facility to house the 28 additional SkyTrain cars $17M Total $115M DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION

9 Shaping Our Communities Engagement Initiative RESULTS OF THE REGIONAL SURVEY ON RESIDENTS PERSPECTIVES ON WHAT MAKES NEIGHBOURHOODS GREAT Jaspal Marwah REGIONAL PLANNER Regional Planning Committee, July 14, 2017 Heidi Lam PLANNING AND DATA ANALYST

10 Key Objective The regional Shaping Our Communities survey is intended to: Gain insights into how the public values, experiences, and prioritizes land use and transportation factors that influence their everyday lives. 2

11 Survey Methodology 12 mins online Feb 15 - Mar 7, years old 3001 respondents Set quotas by municipality Results are weighted Quotas Target Completed Port Moody, Anmore, and Belcarra Burnaby Coquitlam Delta and Tsawwassen First Nation City of Langley Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows New Westminster City of North Vancouver Port Coquitlam Richmond Surrey and White Rock Vancouver and Electoral Area A West Vancouver, Bowen Island, and Lion's Bay Township of Langley District of North Vancouver Total

12 About the Respondents Age Gender % % 51% % % 23% 47% % * 3% prefer not to say * 2% prefer not to say 4

13 About the Respondents Employment Ownership Professional 26% Retired Management 16% 20% Own 71% Skilled job 9% Technical trade Homemaker 4% 6% Rent 26% Labour job 3% Unemployed 2% 2% live with family/parents Student 2% * 3% prefer not to say <1% live in a co-op 5

14 Summary of Findings 6

15 Summary of Findings No significant difference between municipalities 7

16 About the Respondents Living In / Out of Urban Centres 4.7% In Centres, 20.7% Out of Centres, 74.6% Others (blank /invalid response) 8

17 Summary of Findings No significant difference between municipalities Living In Urban Centres Car share, transit, walk / cycle Feel their neighbourhood has improved over the past 5-10 yrs Living Out of Urban Centres Personal vehicle Feel their neighbourhood has worsen or not changed over the past 5-10 yrs 9

18 What attributes are in your neighbourhood? 10

19 What attributes are in your neighbourhood? 11

20 Housing My neighbourhood has housing available that fits my budget Disagree 39% Agree 40% Neutral 19% Others 12

21 Housing My neighbourhood has housing type (e.g. house, townhouse, condo) I want or need Disagree 16% Neutral 16% Agree 66% Others 13

22 Development I like the kinds of new buildings and development being built Disagree 30% Agree 40% Neutral 27% Others 14

23 Development I'm comfortable with the speed of development in my neighbourhood Disagree 28% Agree 48% Neutral 23% Others 15

24 What are the important attributes in your neighbourhood? 16

25 What are the important attributes in your neighbourhood? (select up to 4) 17

26 What are the important attributes in your neighbourhood? Residents: <30 mins to shopping To recreational activities To recreational activities are more likely to have their top value as: closeness to grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants walkability to daily activities good public transit limited amount of noise accessibility of their neighbourhood by car 18

27 What are the important attributes in your neighbourhood? Residents: Own Rent are more likely to have their top value as: green space, parks and street trees limited amount of noise limited traffic congestion good public transit closeness to work / school housing affordability 19

28 How have you experienced change in your neighbourhood? 20

29 Perception of Change Do you think your neighbourhood is: Worst than 5-10 yrs ago 17% Don't know 10% Better than 5-10 yrs ago 19% About the same 54% 21

30 Perception of Change Do you think your neighbourhood is: About the same 54% 22

31 Perception of Change Do you think your neighbourhood is: Better than 5-10 yrs ago 19% Own 23

32 Residents are experiencing improvement in these attributes over the past 5-10 years 24

33 Residents are experiencing declines in these attributes over the past 5-10 years 25

34 Housing Housing affordability in the past 5-10 years Improved 7% Worsen 76% No change 17% 26

35 Housing Housing affordability in the past 5-10 years 10 yrs+ Decline 76% 27

36 Perception of change in transportation in the past 5-10 years Improvement in: Public transit Closeness to work /school Commute time to work /school Bike lanes Worsening in: Public transit Commute time to work /school 28

37 What do you prioritize when choosing a neighbourhood? 18 attributes 29

38 What do you prioritize when choosing a neighbourhood? 30

39 Next Steps 31

40 Thank you.

41 Metro Vancouver Trends COMPOSITION OF THE HOUSING STOCK & AGING POPULATION Terry Hoff SENIOR REGIONAL PLANNER, METRO VANCOUVER Regional Planning Committee July 2017

42 Census Data - Housing Structure Types 465,000 Share of Total 402,000 93,000 Share of Growth 2

43 Comparing Metro Areas Apartment Share of Total Housing Stock 3

44 Apartment Share of Housing Stock 4

45 Trends and Projected Composition of Housing Stock 5

46 Planned Urban Development Lands 6

47 Percent of Population by Age

48 Immigrants by Age 10-Year Trend 8

49 Projected Population Growth Components 30,000 40,000 / year 9

50 Comparing Age Composition in Metro Areas 10

51 Age Distribution in Municipalities 11

52 Inter-municipal Migration 10-year Trends City of Vancouver City of Surrey 12

53

54 Net Dwelling Unit Growth Distribution 70,000 Units 14

55 Metro Components of Population Growth 40,000 Growth Immigration (79%) Natural Increase (28%) Inter Provincial (6%) Intra Provincial (-14%) 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Net Immigration Births Natural Increase Net Inter Provincial ,000 Deaths Net Intra Provincial -20,000 15

56 Municipal Population Growth , , ,000 Vancouver 400, ,000 Surrey 200,000 Burnaby 100,000 Richmond Coquitlam Langley

57 Population in Canada s Metropolitan Areas 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000, , Total 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000, , ,000 (9%) 70% of Canada s Growth 1,000, , , ,000 - Toronto Montréal Vancouver Ottawa - Gatineau Calgary Edmonton 17

58 Metro Vancouver s Historic Growth 5 year intervals 250, , , ,000 50,