Sponsorship request for Building Housing Common Ground
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1 Sponsorship request for Building Housing Common Ground Dr. Paul Kershaw Founder, Generation Squeeze. UBC School of Population Health Presented at Metro Vancouver Regional Planning Committee September 9, 2016
2 YOUNG CANADIANS HAVE TO SAVE LONGER FOR A 20% DOWN PAYMENT yrs TODAY (Canada) 12 yrs TODAY (Toronto) 15 yrs TODAY (B.C.) 16 yrs TODAY (Vancouver) 23 yrs text JOIN to
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5 Request $7k contribution to $32k event. Other $25,000 secured from Manulife Bank, the Co-Operators and LandlordBC. text JOIN to
6 What is the event? The event is designed to build on conversations started in meetings with thought leaders invited by the PM and Minister Duclos, and will be held as part of the City of Vancouver s week-long focus on its Housing Reset. Motivation: While housing has been growing unaffordable in our region and province for years, for too long there were too few concrete policy proposals to address the problem. In the last 18 months, many clever ideas have been put on the table, and individuals/organizations have selected top key messages to emphasize. This was demonstrated in the meetings with the PM and with M. Duclos, which lead to conversations that are relatively chaotic because they are all over the place. text JOIN to
7 Goal? Move from chaos to coherence via an Agenda-Setting Workshop to support GVRD housing goals in the Strategic plan, Metro Vancouver 2040 Goal to Develop Complete Communities, shape provincial election platforms and the National Housing strategy. To do this, we need to bring people back to the big picture. Rather than hold more "discussion forums" or "roundtables", which don't necessarily get us anywhere, we need to invite 40 thought leaders on this issue into the same room, and push to identify common ground, starting at the level of policy principles from which we can work toward a nonpartisan policy agenda. text JOIN to
8 Benefits to Metro Vancouver Identified as a sponsor in all materials Verbal acknowledgement of sponsors at the event. Invitations for at least 2 Metro Van representatives to attend the event, to be determined by Metro Vancouver. text JOIN to
9 BC is to Housing what Saskatchewan was to Medical Care. text Join to
10 Please share in your networks Grow the campaign & Refine the policy ideas text Join to
11 Squeeze Back! Become an Ally at gensqueeze.ca or text Join to
12 British Columbia s Agricultural Land Commission Kim Grout, CEO Agricultural Land Commission ALC September 9, 2016
13 Agricultural Land Commission ALC is an independent administrative tribunal Carries out mandate set out in ALC Act Interprets & applies the legislation written by gov t ALC 2
14 The ALR is a finite resource - ALR. Only of the ALC Geography of the ALR 3
15 ALR by Region ALR by Zone North Panel 48 % Interior Panel 33% Kootenay Panel 8 % Okanagan Panel 5% South Coast Panel 3% Island Panel 3% ALC Geography of the ALR 4
16 BILL 24 ALC Act Changes September 5, Came into force Split ALR into two zones (Zone 1 and Zone 2) Legislated 6 independent panels Role of the Chair defined Section 4.3 new considerations in zone 2 (economic, cultural and social values) ALC ACT Changes 5
17 ALC Governance Model Chair North Panel Interior Panel Kootenay Panel Okanagan Panel South Coast Panel Island Panel Full Commission = 19 members Regional Panels = 1 Vice Chair + 2 Commissioners Executive Committee= Chair + 6 Vice Chairs Chair ALC Governance
18 Chair Oversight Application Process Refers all applications Region Panel Executive Committee (EC) Reviews all panel decisions (within 60 days) Re-affirms decision Directs EC to reconsider ALC Governance
19 REGULATION CHANGES - FARM USES Farm retail sales Storage, packing & processing of farm products Land development works for farm use Agri-tourism activities* Gathering for an event* Timber production/harvest Agroforestry ALC Horse riding & boarding Production, storage & application of Class A compost for 100% farm use Construction of farm buildings Medical marihuana* Lease for farm use* Winery/cidery Permitted Uses subject to specific thresholds Brewery/distillery/meadery *
20 REGULATION CHANGES - NON-FARM USES Agri-tourism accommodation Additional residential uses Zone 1 & 2* Home occupation Bed & Breakfast Breeding of pets/kennels Education/research facility ALC Small aggregate extraction Telecom equipment Unpaved airstrips Production, storage & application of Class A compost (50% used on farm) Retired farmer residence lease* Open land park Permitted Uses subject to specific thresholds 9
21 Bill 25 Act/Regulation Changes Exclusion of land by Commission s own initiative or application by local government the Commission may not exclude land without written consent of property owners Weddings/Gathering for events ALC 2016 Act Changes 10
22 2016/2017 BUDGET LIFT $1.1M (33%) base-budget increase to better support: o regional panel decision making process o planning work with local governments o compliance and enforcement ALC Budget 11
23 OPERATIONAL CHANGES Monthly Panel and Executive Committee meetings 60 business day application process A doubling of ALC land use planning staff and compliance and enforcement officers Increased engagement with regional and municipal governments now possible Development of comprehensive compliance and enforcement strategy ALC Operations
24 Thank you 13
25 ENCOURAGING AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION THROUGH FARM PROPERTY TAX REFORM IN METRO VANCOUVER Theresa Duynstee, Regional Planner Regional Planning Committee September 9, 2016
26 Agricultural land is increasingly threatened from non-farm land uses 2
27 Non-farm uses of agricultural land Higher costs for agricultural land Conflicts between neighbours Increased demand for municipal services 3
28 Leased agricultural land Enables farms to expand acreage Keeps farmland in production Limited investments on leased land Less economic development 4
29 Identify tax policies to encourage farming or discourage non-farm uses in Metro Vancouver s ALR 5
30 1. School Tax Exemption 2. Classification of Land as Farm 3. The Assessed Value of Agricultural Land 4. Assessment of Buildings 6
31 1. School Tax Exemption Eliminate the 50% School Tax exemption for properties classed as residential (Class 1) in the ALR 7
32 2. Classification of Land as Farm Change the income threshold to a minimum of $3,500 regardless of farm size and develop a two tier system of benefits 8
33 3. The Assessed Value of Agricultural Land Adjust the method for valuing agricultural land not used for farming 9
34 4. Assessment of Farm Buildings Encourage sharing of information to ensure an appropriate tax assessment of buildings. 10
35 Tax reform requires changes in provincial legislation 11
36 QUESTIONS
37 Mixed Income Transit-Oriented Rental Housing Study Transit Ridership Effects Ray Kan SENIOR REGIONAL PLANNER Margaret Eberle SENIOR HOUSING PLANNER Regional Planning Committee September 9, 2016
38 Regional Challenges 3,500 new rental housing units per year needed to accommodate households making less than $50,000 per year Mismatch in demand and supply Households end up paying higher rents than what their incomes can sustainably support Transportation costs add to the overall cost burden A well-housed workforce is critical to the regional economy 2
39 Housing + Transit Convergence Metro 2040 Apartment Parking Study H + T Cost Burden Study Regional Affordable Housing Strategy Federal and Provincial Housing Funding Regional Transportation Strategy Framework Mayors Council Vision 10-Year Investment Plan Transport 2040 Federal and Provincial Transit Funding 3
40 MITORH Study Underway Activity 1: Context and Current and Innovative Practices Review Substantial Completion Underway Scoping Activity 2: Transit Ridership Effects Activity 3: Mapping Inventory of Land Ownership in Transit-Oriented Locations Activity 4: Assess Financial Viability Using Tools Advance research and knowledge of the what, why, where, how, and who More affordable rental housing in transit-oriented locations Scoping Activity 5: Communications 4
41 Strategic Partners Metro Vancouver BC Housing BC Non-Profit Housing Association TransLink Vancity 5
42 Activity 2: Key Question 300,000, ,000,000 Can a value proposition be established for affordable rental housing in transit-oriented locations? 200,000, ,000, ,000,000 Transit Ridership 50,000,000 - Source: TransLink
43 Activity 2: Transit Ridership Findings Findings 1. Compact areas with higher population near the Frequent Transit Network support higher transit ridership. 2. Accommodating renter households, in particular those making less than $50,000 per year, in transit-oriented locations is not only key to developing diverse, vibrant, and complete communities, it is key to maximizing transit ridership and the value for money of transit and housing affordability investments. 7
44 TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Source: 2011 NHS Focused Population and Transit Use Transit usage rates for workers living in denser parts of the region are up to 3X higher than for workers elsewhere High 5 Density Low 2 Density 1 8
45 TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Source: 2011 NHS Focused Population and Transit Use Renter Owner 5 0 High 5 Density Low 2 Density 1 9
46 Activity 2: Transit Ridership Findings Findings 1. Compact areas with higher population near the Frequent Transit Network support higher transit ridership. 2. Accommodating renter households, in particular those making less than $50,000 per year, in transit-oriented locations is not only key to developing diverse, vibrant, and complete communities, it is key to maximizing transit ridership and the value for money of transit and housing affordability investments. 10
47 Source: 2011 NHS Source: 2011 NHS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Tenure, Income, and Transit Use 45 Renters Owners Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Toronto Montreal Metro Vancouver Ottawa-Gatineau Calgary Edmonton Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Toronto Montreal Metro Vancouver Ottawa-Gatineau Calgary Edmonton
48 Transit Corridors Rapid Transit B-Line Frequent Bus Expo Line Millennium Line Canada Line 99 B-Line (Vancouver, UBC) 97 B-Line (Burnaby, Port Moody, Coquitlam) 96 B-Line (Surrey) Main/Marine Drive (North Shore) Willingdon Lougheed+Dewdney Trunk Hastings Oak+Granville 41 st Ave 49 th Ave 12
49 Source: 2011 NHS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Expo Line Corridor Region Similar transit usage patterns are observed at the corridor level regardless of technology (rapid transit, B-Line, and frequent bus). 0 Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more 0 Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Owners Renters
50 Source: 2011 NHS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS 96 B-Line Corridor (Surrey) Region Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more 10 0 Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Owners Renters
51 Source: 2011 NHS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS FTN Hastings Corridor (Vancouver, Burnaby) Region Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Owners Renters
52 Head of Working Household Renter Households 5% 21% 18% 26% Owner Households 1% 9% 17% 41% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Age Age Age Age Age 65+ Source: 2011 NHS Journey to Work by Age Age % Age % Age % Age % Age % 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Transit Walk/Cycle Auto Other Source: 2011 NHS 16
53 What If Scenarios What if 10,000 households were added to a transit corridor? What if tenure and income were diversified? 17
54 Composition of New Households What If Scenarios 10,000 Very Low Income Renters Low Income Renters Moderate Income Renters High Income Renters Owners 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 SC5 SC6 SC7 SC8 100% Owners 60% Owners 40% Renters 18
55 Annual Transit Trips Composition of New Households What If Scenarios 10,000 Very Low Income Renters Low Income Renters Moderate Income Renters High Income Renters Owners 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 SC5 SC6 SC7 SC8 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 0 SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 SC5 SC6 SC7 SC8 19
56 Incremental Annual Transit Trips relative to SC1 Composition of New Households What If Scenarios 10,000 Very Low Income Renters Low Income Renters Moderate Income Renters High Income Renters Owners 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, , , , , , , ,000 50,000 0 SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 SC5 SC6 SC7 SC8 Bump #1: Accommodate Renters Bump #2: Accommodate Renters Less than $50, % +11% +12% +17% +23% Bump #3: Accommodate More Renters Less than $50, % +24% SC1 SC2 SC3 SC4 SC5 SC6 SC7 SC8 20
57 Building the Business Case Federal Province National Housing Strategy $208M Affordable Rental Housing Innovation Fund $500M Affordable Rental Housing Financing Initiative $355M Provincial Investment in Affordable Housing program Housing Priority Initiatives Fund (property transfer tax revenues) $370M for Metro Vancouver Phase 1 transit capital + Phase 2 TBA $246M for Metro Vancouver transit capital Local Govts Local Government Plans and Actions Mayors Vision TransLink 10-Year Investment Plan Greater Vancouver Regional Fund 21
58 Activity 2: Transit Ridership Findings Findings 1. Compact areas with higher population near the Frequent Transit Network support higher transit ridership. 2. Accommodating renter households, in particular those making less than $50,000 per year, in transit-oriented locations is not only key to developing diverse, vibrant, and complete communities, it is key to maximizing transit ridership and the value for money of transit and housing affordability investments. 22
59 Detail Analytics 23
60 Household Size and Tenure (2011 NHS) TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Renter 1 Person Household Family, no children Family w/children Owner 5 0 Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Renter, 1-person Renter, w/children Renter, no children Owner, 1-person Owner, w/children Owner, no children Source: 2011 NHS 24
61 Source: 2011 NHS Source: 2011 NHS Transit Trips per 100 Workers Transit Trips per 100 Workers Structure Type (2011 NHS) Renters Owners Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Rent Apt < Rent Apt Rent House Rent OGO Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Own Apt< Own Apt Source: 2011 NHS Own House Own OGO
62 Source: 2006 Census TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Tenure and Transit Usage (2006 Census) Big Regions - Renters (2006) Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Toronto Montreal Ottawa-Gatineau Metro Vancouver Calgary Edmonton Big Regions - Owners (2006) Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Toronto Montreal Ottawa-Gatineau Metro Vancouver Calgary Edmonton
63 Source: 2011 NHS Source: 2011 NHS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Transit Use by Population Density (2011 NHS) Renters Owners High Density Low 2 Density 1 Rent < Rent Rent Rent High Density Low 2 Density 1 Own < Own Own Own
64 TRANSIT TRIPS PER 100 WORKERS Household Size and Tenure (2006 Census) Renter Owner 0 Less than $30,000 $30,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Owner, 1-Person Owner, w/children Owner, no children Renter, 1-person Renter, w/children Renter, no children Source: 2011 NHS 28
65 Estimated Regional Housing Demand 29
66 Mismatch Between Demand and Supply 30
67 Housing and Transportation Cost Burden 31
68 Demographic Trends Bulletin - Update FAMILIES WITH CHILDREN Jaspal Marwah REGIONAL PLANNER Regional Planning Committee, Sept 9, 2016
69 350, % 300, % 250, , % 150, % 100, % 50, % 0 Metro Vancouver Regional City Centres Rest of Region 0.0% Metro Vancouver Regional City Centres Rest of Region Total Population Children Age 0-19 Total Population Children Age 0-19 Absolute growth vs. share of growth 2
70 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% 0 to 4 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years Rest of Region Regional City Centres Growth in children s population 3
71 Figure 6: Children s Population Growth by Age Group in Regional City Centres, , ,385 0 to 4 years 5 to 9 years to 14 years 15 to 19 years Children s population growth by age 4
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