HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

Transcription

1 HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from October 15 through October 17, A total of 800 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election. Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Minnesota voter registration list that included both land-line and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turnout by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ± 3.5 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping. 1

2 STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION Do you recognize the name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of? RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE Mark Dayton 39% 31% 28% 2% GOVERNOR Tim Walz 38% 23% 25% 14% Jeff Johnson 32% 27% 26% 15% US SENATE Amy Klobuchar 51% 26% 22% 1% Jim Newberger 11% 4% 25% 60% US SENATE Tina Smith 34% 26% 23% 17% Karin Housley 27% 14% 24% 35% ATTORNEY GENERAL Keith Ellison 23% 35% 24% 18% Doug Wardlow 13% 8% 23% 56% 2

3 QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Minnesota governor were held today, would you vote for: - Tim Walz, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate - Jeff Johnson, the Republican candidate - Chris Wright, the Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis candidate - Josh Welter, the Libertarian candidate WALZ JOHNSON OTHER UNDECIDED STATE 45% 39% 4% 12% REGION WALZ JOHNSON OTHER UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 60% 27% 4% 9% Metro Suburbs 36% 45% 7% 12% Southern Minnesota 45% 43% 2% 10% Northern Minnesota 35% 45% 4% 16% SEX WALZ JOHNSON OTHER UNDECIDED Men 38% 47% 4% 11% Women 52% 32% 4% 12% PARTY ID WALZ JOHNSON OTHER UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 91% 1% 4% 4% Republican 2% 84% 4% 10% Independent/Other 33% 38% 6% 23% AGE WALZ JOHNSON OTHER UNDECIDED % 34% 4% 6% % 37% 5% 12% % 42% 3% 11% % 40% 5% 16% INCOME WALZ JOHNSON OTHER UNDECIDED <$50,000 51% 30% 5% 14% $50, % 44% 5% 10% ** Welter 2.6% ** Wright 1.8% 3

4 QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Minnesota attorney general were held today, would you vote for: - Keith Ellison, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate - Doug Wardlow, the Republican candidate - Noah Johnson, the Grassroots Legalize Cannabis candidate ELLISON WARDLOW JOHNSON UNDECIDED STATE 36% 43% 5% 16% REGION ELLISON WARDLOW JOHNSON UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 50% 29% 4% 17% Metro Suburbs 27% 51% 5% 17% Southern Minnesota 36% 49% 3% 12% Northern Minnesota 30% 48% 9% 13% SEX ELLISON WARDLOW JOHNSON UNDECIDED Men 33% 49% 5% 13% Women 39% 38% 5% 18% PARTY ID ELLISON WARDLOW JOHNSON UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 76% 3% 1% 20% Republican 3% 86% 2% 9% Independent/Other 21% 47% 14% 18% AGE ELLISON WARDLOW JOHNSON UNDECIDED % 37% 3% 12% % 43% 6% 18% % 45% 7% 12% % 46% 4% 19% INCOME ELLISON WARDLOW JOHNSON UNDECIDED <$50,000 42% 35% 5% 18% $50, % 48% 5% 14% 4

5 QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for U.S. senator were held today, would you vote for: - Amy Klobuchar, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate - Jim Newberger, the Republican candidate - Dennis Schuller, the Legal Marijuana Now candidate - Paula Overby, the Green Party candidate KLOBUCHAR NEWBERGER OTHER UNDECIDED STATE 56% 33% 4% 7% REGION KLOBUCHAR NEWBERGER OTHER UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 70% 23% 1% 6% Metro Suburbs 50% 38% 3% 9% Southern Minnesota 53% 34% 5% 8% Northern Minnesota 44% 41% 7% 8% SEX KLOBUCHAR NEWBERGER OTHER UNDECIDED Men 51% 37% 4% 8% Women 60% 29% 4% 7% PARTY ID KLOBUCHAR NEWBERGER OTHER UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 99% 1% - - Republican 14% 73% 4% 9% Independent/Other 46% 31% 8% 15% AGE KLOBUCHAR NEWBERGER OTHER UNDECIDED % 29% 1% 5% % 31% 4% 5% % 35% 5% 10% % 37% 3% 9% INCOME KLOBUCHAR NEWBERGER OTHER UNDECIDED <$50,000 65% 24% 3% 8% $50, % 38% 4% 8% ** Overby 1.9% ** Schuller 1.8% 5

6 QUESTION: If the 2018 special election for U.S. senator were held today, would you vote for: - Tina Smith, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate - Karin Housley, the Republican candidate - Sarah Wellington, the Legal Marijuana Now candidate - Jerry Trooien, the unaffiliated candidate SMITH HOUSLEY OTHER UNDECIDED STATE 47% 41% 2% 10% REGION SMITH HOUSLEY OTHER UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 63% 28% 1% 8% Metro Suburbs 40% 49% 2% 9% Southern Minnesota 43% 43% 4% 10% Northern Minnesota 37% 47% 4% 12% SEX SMITH HOUSLEY OTHER UNDECIDED Men 41% 48% 2% 9% Women 53% 34% 3% 10% PARTY ID SMITH HOUSLEY OTHER UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 95% 1% - 4% Republican 4% 86% 2% 8% Independent/Other 33% 42% 6% 19% AGE SMITH HOUSLEY OTHER UNDECIDED % 35% 1% 6% % 40% 2% 9% % 45% 2% 10% % 41% 4% 12% INCOME SMITH HOUSLEY OTHER UNDECIDED <$50,000 55% 31% 3% 11% $50, % 46% 2% 8% ** Troolen 1.3% ** Wellington 1.1% 6

7 QUESTION: Mark Dayton is nearing the end of eight years as governor of Minnesota. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of his job performance during his two terms in office? (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?) ST APPROVE SW APPROVE SW DISAPPROVE ST DISAPPROVE DK STATE 30% 27% 15% 26% 2% REGION ST APPROVE SW APPROVE SW DISAPPROVE ST DISAPPROVE DK Hennepin/Ramsey 42% 28% 11% 16% 3% Metro Suburbs 26% 26% 16% 31% 1% Southern Minnesota 27% 24% 22% 25% 2% Northern Minnesota 22% 26% 16% 33% 3% SEX ST APPROVE SW APPROVE SW DISAPPROVE ST DISAPPROVE DK Men 27% 25% 17% 30% 1% Women 34% 27% 14% 22% 3% PARTY ID ST APPROVE SW APPROVE SW DISAPPROVE ST DISAPPROVE DK DFL/Democrat 58% 34% 6% - 2% Republican 4% 16% 26% 52% 2% Independent/Other 25% 28% 14% 31% 2% AGE ST APPROVE SW APPROVE SW DISAPPROVE ST DISAPPROVE DK % 26% 16% 22% 2% % 26% 14% 26% 2% % 27% 17% 26% 1% % 27% 15% 28% 3% INCOME ST APPROVE SW APPROVE SW DISAPPROVE ST DISAPPROVE DK <$50,000 35% 26% 17% 19% 3% $50, % 26% 16% 29% 1% 7

8 QUESTION: The ex-girlfriend of Keith Ellison, the Democratic nominee for attorney general, has alleged that he committed an act of domestic violence against her. Do you believe her allegation, or not? YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE STATE 30% 21% 49% REGION YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 24% 25% 51% Metro Suburbs 36% 20% 44% Southern Minnesota 29% 22% 49% Northern Minnesota 33% 14% 53% SEX YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE Men 36% 20% 44% Women 25% 22% 53% PARTY ID YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 13% 31% 56% Republican 48% 14% 38% Independent/Other 33% 16% 51% AGE YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE % 21% 51% % 21% 52% % 18% 49% % 25% 43% INCOME YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE <$50,000 28% 25% 47% $50, % 19% 48% 8

9 QUESTION: In general, do you approve or disapprove of how President Trump is handling trade negotiations with other countries? APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE STATE 42% 48% 10% REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 26% 64% 10% Metro Suburbs 50% 42% 8% Southern Minnesota 45% 44% 11% Northern Minnesota 53% 37% 10% SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE Men 49% 42% 9% Women 35% 54% 11% PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 3% 88% 9% Republican 85% 6% 9% Independent /Other 44% 44% 12% AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE % 61% 8% % 51% 8% % 44% 10% % 43% 12% INCOME APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE <$50,000 38% 51% 11% $50, % 47% 9% 9

10 QUESTION: Thinking about the tariffs President Trump has imposed on goods imported from other countries, which of the following is closest to your view? - They will protect American jobs and help the U.S. economy - They will raise the cost of consumer goods and hurt the U.S. economy - They will not have much of a difference PROTECT JOBS RAISE COSTS NO DIFFERENCE NOT SURE STATE 34% 46% 12% 8% REGION PROTECT JOBS RAISE COSTS NO DIFFERENCE NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 21% 57% 11% 11% Metro Suburbs 44% 40% 10% 6% Southern Minnesota 38% 46% 9% 7% Northern Minnesota 39% 38% 16% 7% SEX PROTECT JOBS RAISE COSTS NO DIFFERENCE NOT SURE Men 41% 40% 12% 7% Women 28% 52% 11% 9% PARTY ID PROTECT JOBS RAISE COSTS NO DIFFERENCE NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 8% 76% 8% 8% Republican 73% 10% 9% 8% Independent/Other 24% 47% 20% 9% AGE PROTECT JOBS RAISE COSTS NO DIFFERENCE NOT SURE % 54% 10% 10% % 50% 10% 4% % 44% 9% 11% % 39% 17% 8% INCOME PROTECT JOBS RAISE COSTS NO DIFFERENCE NOT SURE <$50,000 28% 47% 14% 11% $50, % 44% 12% 7% 10

11 QUESTION: In the long run, do you think the tariffs imposed by President Trump will leave you personally better off financially, worse off or about the same? BETTER WORSE SAME NOT SURE STATE 19% 35% 40% 6% REGION BETTER WORSE SAME NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 12% 48% 34% 6% Metro Suburbs 23% 29% 44% 4% Southern Minnesota 23% 35% 37% 5% Northern Minnesota 23% 24% 46% 7% BETTER WORSE SAME NOT SURE Men 26% 29% 40% 5% Women 14% 40% 40% 6% PARTY ID BETTER WORSE SAME NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 3% 65% 27% 5% Republican 40% 4% 51% 5% Independent/Other 18% 31% 44% 7% AGE BETTER WORSE SAME NOT SURE % 40% 39% 6% % 37% 35% 5% % 33% 44% 6% % 32% 40% 6% INCOME BETTER WORSE SAME NOT SURE <$50,000 15% 37% 40% 8% $50, % 35% 39% 4% 11

12 QUESTION: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of President Trump s handling of U.S. immigration policy? APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE STATE 42% 52% 6% REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 26% 67% 7% Metro Suburbs 50% 44% 6% Southern Minnesota 46% 48% 6% Northern Minnesota 54% 41% 5% SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE Men 50% 43% 7% Women 35% 60% 5% PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 2% 96% 2% Republican 85% 10% 5% Independent /Other 47% 41% 12% AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE % 62% 5% % 54% 7% % 48% 7% % 47% 5% INCOME APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE <$50,000 38% 56% 6% $50, % 48% 6% 12

13 QUESTION: Do you support or oppose building a wall along the Mexican border if the U.S. has to pay for it? SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED STATE 34% 59% 7% REGION SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 21% 73% 6% Metro Suburbs 42% 51% 7% Southern Minnesota 33% 56% 11% Northern Minnesota 44% 51% 5% SEX SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Men 40% 52% 8% Women 28% 65% 7% PARTY ID SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 6% 91% 3% Republican 66% 24% 10% Independent /Other 33% 58% 9% AGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED % 66% 8% % 62% 7% % 54% 7% % 56% 7% INCOME SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED <$50,000 30% 63% 7% $50, % 57% 8% 13

14 QUESTION: Which of the following statements comes closest to your point of view: (ORDER ROTATED) - All undocumented immigrants should be deported - Undocumented immigrants should be allowed to stay in the U.S. in order to work, but not allowed to become citizens - Undocumented immigrants should be allowed to stay and become U.S. citizens if they meet certain requirements over time DEPORTED STAY/NO CITIZENSIP CITIZENSHIP NOT SURE STATE 12% 31% 50% 7% REGION DEPORTED STAY/NO CITIZENSIP CITIZENSHIP NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 9% 29% 58% 4% Metro Suburbs 12% 35% 45% 8% Southern Minnesota 14% 29% 48% 9% Northern Minnesota 14% 33% 45% 8% SEX DEPORTED STAY/NO CITIZENSIP CITIZENSHIP NOT SURE Men 16% 31% 47% 6% Women 7% 32% 53% 8% PARTY ID DEPORTED STAY/NO CITIZENSIP CITIZENSHIP NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 1% 22% 73% 4% Republican 20% 40% 34% 6% Independent/Other 16% 34% 38% 12% AGE DEPORTED STAY/NO CITIZENSIP CITIZENSHIP NOT SURE % 35% 49% 5% % 31% 51% 7% % 32% 49% 8% % 28% 50% 8% INCOME DEPORTED STAY/NO CITIZENSIP CITIZENSHIP NOT SURE <$50,000 12% 29% 52% 7% $50, % 30% 51% 6% 14

15 QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh as a Supreme Court justice? APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE STATE 49% 43% 8% REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 33% 58% 9% Metro Suburbs 56% 36% 8% Southern Minnesota 53% 38% 9% Northern Minnesota 60% 33% 7% SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE Men 57% 36% 7% Women 42% 49% 9% PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 6% 84% 10% Republican 93% 4% 3% Independent /Other 55% 33% 12% AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE % 57% 4% % 43% 11% % 39% 9% % 38% 8% INCOME APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE <$50,000 40% 48% 12% $50, % 42% 5% 15

16 QUESTION: Does the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court make you more likely to vote for Democrats or Republicans? DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS NEITHER NOT SURE STATE 41% 39% 13% 7% REGION DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS NEITHER NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 56% 24% 15% 5% Metro Suburbs 33% 47% 11% 9% Southern Minnesota 35% 44% 11% 10% Northern Minnesota 33% 44% 17% 6% SEX DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS NEITHER NOT SURE Men 34% 45% 15% 6% Women 47% 33% 11% 9% PARTY ID DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS NEITHER NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 84% 1% 9% 6% Republican 2% 86% 7% 5% Independent/Other 27% 34% 27% 12% AGE DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS NEITHER NOT SURE % 32% 11% 5% % 38% 12% 7% % 42% 15% 7% % 41% 14% 10% INCOME DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS NEITHER NOT SURE <$50,000 45% 30% 16% 9% $50, % 44% 12% 6% 16

17 QUESTION: As you may know, Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has been accused of committing sexual assault when he was a teenager. Do you believe this allegation, or not? YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE STATE 35% 41% 24% REGION YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 48% 27% 25% Metro Suburbs 28% 47% 25% Southern Minnesota 29% 47% 24% Northern Minnesota 30% 51% 19% SEX YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE Men 32% 48% 20% Women 38% 35% 27% PARTY ID YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 69% 7% 24% Republican 5% 82% 13% Independent/Other 26% 40% 34% AGE YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE % 35% 23% % 37% 27% % 44% 21% % 47% 23% INCOME YES, BELIEVE NO, DO NOT NOT SURE <$50,000 39% 37% 24% $50, % 45% 21% 17

18 QUESTION: Brett Kavanaugh said he would be an independent and impartial justice if confirmed to the Supreme Court. Now that he has been confirmed, do believe Kavanaugh will or will not be independent and impartial? YES, HE WILL NO, HE WILL NOT NOT SURE STATE 52% 39% 9% REGION YES, HE WILL NO, HE WILL NOT NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 40% 53% 7% Metro Suburbs 57% 33% 10% Southern Minnesota 57% 34% 9% Northern Minnesota 59% 31% 10% SEX YES, HE WILL NO, HE WILL NOT NOT SURE Men 60% 34% 6% Women 44% 44% 12% PARTY ID YES, HE WILL NO, HE WILL NOT NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 11% 77% 12% Republican 96% 3% 1% Independent/Other 56% 31% 13% AGE YES, HE WILL NO, HE WILL NOT NOT SURE % 53% 10% % 40% 7% % 37% 7% % 33% 11% INCOME YES, HE WILL NO, HE WILL NOT NOT SURE <$50,000 47% 47% 6% $50, % 36% 8% 18

19 QUESTION: Do you think it is or is not the responsibility of the federal government to make sure all Americans have health care insurance? YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE STATE 52% 40% 8% REGION YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE Hennepin/Ramsey 65% 28% 7% Metro Suburbs 48% 44% 8% Southern Minnesota 50% 41% 9% Northern Minnesota 39% 53% 8% SEX YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE Men 46% 46% 8% Women 58% 35% 7% PARTY ID YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE DFL/Democrat 84% 11% 5% Republican 23% 70% 7% Independent/Other 43% 45% 12% AGE YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE % 38% 7% % 39% 8% % 42% 7% % 41% 8% INCOME YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE <$50,000 56% 36% 8% $50, % 42% 7% SENATE VOTES YES, IS NO, IS NOT NOT SURE Klobuchar Voters 80% 13% 7% Newberger Voters 16% 76% 8% Undecided Voters 22% 73% 5% Smith Voters 87% 7% 6% Housley Voters 16% 77% 7% Undecided Voters 42% 42% 16% 19

20 QUESTION: Do you support or oppose letting people buy in to public health insurance programs including Medicare and MinnesotaCare? SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED STATE 70% 11% 19% REGION SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 73% 8% 19% Metro Suburbs 66% 15% 19% Southern Minnesota 68% 9% 23% Northern Minnesota 73% 10% 17% SEX SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Men 69% 12% 19% Women 71% 10% 19% PARTY ID SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 82% 2% 16% Republican 63% 16% 21% Independent /Other 63% 15% 22% AGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED % 7% 19% % 13% 15% % 8% 22% % 12% 21% INCOME SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED <$50,000 69% 8% 23% $50, % 10% 16% SENATE VOTES SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Klobuchar Voters 78% 6% 16% Newberger Voters 60% 21% 19% Undecided Voters 55% 3% 42% Smith Voters 79% 4% 17% Housely Voters 59% 20% 21% Undecided Voters 71% 7% 22% 20

21 QUESTION: Do you support or oppose raising the state tax on gasoline and other fuels by 10-cents per gallon to fund road and bridge construction and maintenance projects? SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED STATE 56% 36% 8% REGION SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 62% 32% 6% Metro Suburbs 54% 39% 7% Southern Minnesota 55% 35% 10% Northern Minnesota 52% 40% 8% SEX SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Men 55% 39% 6% Women 57% 33% 10% PARTY ID SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 72% 20% 8% Republican 33% 61% 6% Independent /Other 62% 28% 10% AGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED % 33% 7% % 38% 7% % 36% 8% % 37% 8% INCOME SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED <$50,000 56% 35% 9% $50, % 37% 6% GOVERNOR VOTE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED Walz Voters 75% 17% 8% Johnson Voters 38% 55% 7% Undecided Voters 46% 45% 9% 21

22 QUESTION: Between 2007 and 2015, the Minnesota Refugee Resettlement Program took in an average of almost 2,000 refugees per year, mostly from impoverished and war torn countries. In 2016, that number increased to slightly over 3,000, but Trump administration policies reduced that number to about 1,000 last year. Which of the following options do you most support for handling refugee settlement in Minnesota? Maintain the current average of 1,000 new refugees per year Return to the average of 2,000 per year that was normal prior to 2016 Increase the average to about 3,000 per year Temporarily stop accepting refugees MAINTAIN 1,000 RETURN 2,000 INCREASE 3,000 TEMP STOP DK STATE 27% 25% 12% 27% 9% REGION MAINTAIN 1,000 RETURN 2,000 INCREASE 3,000 TEMP STOP DK Hennepin/Ramsey 23% 32% 18% 17% 10% Metro Suburbs 31% 22% 11% 30% 6% Southern Minnesota 24% 23% 11% 28% 14% Northern Minnesota 32% 20% 7% 35% 6% SEX MAINTAIN 1,000 RETURN 2,000 INCREASE 3,000 TEMP STOP DK Men 28% 22% 10% 31% 9% Women 27% 28% 15% 22% 8% PARTY ID MAINTAIN 1,000 RETURN 2,000 INCREASE 3,000 TEMP STOP DK DFL/Democrat 16% 42% 24% 7% 11% Republican 38% 6% - 47% 9% Independent/Other 30% 25% 12% 29% 4% AGE MAINTAIN 1,000 RETURN 2,000 INCREASE 3,000 TEMP STOP DK % 21% 19% 25% 7% % 29% 12% 25% 9% % 26% 10% 30% 7% % 22% 11% 26% 12% INCOME MAINTAIN 1,000 RETURN 2,000 INCREASE 3,000 TEMP STOP DK <$50,000 24% 25% 15% 25% 11% $50, % 26% 11% 27% 6% 22

23 DEMOGRAPHICS PARTY IDENTIFICATION: DFL/Democrat 306 (38%) Republican 265 (33%) Independent/Other 229 (29%) AGE: (17%) (26%) (30%) (26%) Refused 7 (1%) INCOME: <$25, (13%) $25,000-$49, (15%) $50,000-$74, (16%) $75,000-$99, (16%) $100, (18%) Refused 175 (22%) SEX: Male 384 (48%) Female 416 (52%) REGION: Hennepin/Ramsey 255 (32%) Metro Suburbs 230 (29%) Southern Minnesota 160 (20%) Northern Minnesota 155 (19%) INTERVIEW: Land-line 479 (60%) Cell Phone 321 (40%) 23