DERIVATIVES, OSLO BØRS FEBRUARY 2010
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1 DERIVATIVES, OSLO BØRS FEBRUARY 2010 The OBX index fell 3.7% to points in February. The index is down 6.4% during the first two months of The turnover for single stock derivatives fell from January to February, but compared to the 2009 average, February was a relatively good month. The stock option premium turnover fell by 39% to 90.8 MNOK (2009 avg: 93.6 MNOK) from January, while the stock forwards/futures exposure dropped by 30% to 785 MNOK (2009 avg: 600 MNOK). The OBX option turnover increased last month. The premium turnover rose by 85% to 58.8 MNOK. Although the turnover for the OBX futures fell in February, the numbers remained high. The OBX futures exposure decreased by 5% to 22.9 BNOK. The 2009 average for these two groups was 37.8 MNOK and 19.9 BNOK respectively. The average number of contracts traded in February was contracts/day (2010 avg: ). The most traded stock option in February was Statoil with 17 MNOK or 18.6% of the stock option premium turnover. Yara and REC followed with 18.2% and 17.6% of the total. Statoil was the most traded stock forward/future with 340 MNOK, 43% of the total turnover. Norsk Hydro and Yara followed with 15% and 10% of the total exposure. The last Tandberg derivatives expired in February, and we no longer offer derivatives on this underlying as the company is being acquired by Cisco. Options on Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) will be introduced in March. Expirations in February: OBX, Statoil, DnB NOR, Norsk Hydro, Storebrand, Tandberg and Yara. Expirations next month (18 March): OBX, Statoil, Norske Skog, Tomra, Marine Harvest and Seadrill. For more detailed information, please read ahead This summary continues with a presentation of general statistics, followed by a productand volatility overview towards the end. We hope to see you back in the derivatives market next month. Disclaimer: All information in this presentation is obtained from documents already available to the public. Oslo Børs does not guarantee the accuracy of the information included in the presentation. The presentation does not in any way constitute a recommendation by Oslo Børs.
2 Contracts/ day Contract Distribution Index Futures Single Stock Fwd/Fut OBX Index Options Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10
3 TURNOVER - CONTRACTS/DAY (average) Contracts/day last month OBX - FUTURES STOCK FWD/FUT STOCK OPTIONS OBX - OPTIONS Contracts/day YTD 2010 OBX - FUTURES STOCK FWD/FUT STOCK OPTIONS OBX - OPTIONS 3 151
4 LIQUIDITY - OPTION PREMIUM DISTRIBUTION Option Premium last month OBX - options 11.0 % 10.7 % 6.6 % 5.4 % Statoil Yara International Renewable Energy Corp. Telenor 5.3 % Orkla 3.3 % Norsk Hydro 11.3 % 2.6 % 1.6 % 1.1 % 0.9 % 0.4 % 0.3 % 0.1 % 0.0 % Petroleum Geo-Services Seadrill Acergy DnB NOR Marine Harvest Group Norske Skog Storebrand 39.3 % Tomra Tandberg Option Premium YTD % 8.4 % 5.5 % OBX - options Statoil Renewable Energy Corp % 17.0 % 4.2 % 3.8 % 3.2 % 2.6 % 2.4 % 1.0 % 0.8 % 0.4 % 0.1 % 0.0 % Yara International Norsk Hydro Telenor Orkla DnB NOR Seadrill Petroleum Geo-Services Acergy Marine Harvest Group Norske Skog Storebrand 27.5 % Tomra Tandberg 4
5 SINGLE STOCK FORWARDS - EXPOSURE DISTRIBUTION Stock Fwd/Fut Premium last month 9.7 % 6.3 % 5.1 % Statoil Norsk Hydro 14.9 % 4.8 % 3.9 % 3.4 % Yara International Royal Caribbean C. Telenor Seadrill Tandberg 2.8 % 2.4 % DnB NOR Renewable Energy Corp. TGS Nopec Geo. 1.1 % Petroleum Geo-Services 0.8 % 0.7 % 0.4 % Orkla Storebrand Acergy 0.4 % Marine Harvest Group 0.0 % Norske Skog 43.3 % 0.0 % Tomra Stock Fwd/Fut Premium YTD % 8.5 % 7.3 % Statoil Norsk Hydro Yara International 10.0 % 12.3 % 4.7 % 3.8 % 3.7 % 2.2 % 1.8 % 1.3 % 1.2 % 0.3 % 0.3 % 0.0 % 0.0 % Royal Caribbean Cruises Telenor Renewable Energy Corp. Seadrill Orkla DnB NOR Petroleum Geo-Services Tandberg TGS Nopec Geo. Marine Harvest Group Acergy Storebrand Norske Skog Tomra 33.4 % 5
6 Turnover Premium MNOK Open Interest (avg) - Contracts Turnover Premium MNOK Open Interest (avg) - Contracts PREMIUM - SINGLE STOCK DERIVATIVES Single Stock Options Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 0 Turnover premium/month - Stock Options Open Interest (avg) - Stock Options Single Stock Forwards Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 0 Turnover premium/ month - Single Stock Fwds Open Interest (avg) - Single Stock Fwds 6
7 Turnover exposure MNOK Open Interest (avg)- Contracts Turnover Premium MNOK Open Interest (avg)- Contracts PREMIUM - OBX DERIVATIVES OBX - Index Options Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 Turnover premium/ month - OBX-indexoptions Open Interest (avg) - OBX-indexoptions 0 OBX - Index Futures Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 Turnover exposure/month - OBX-indexfutures Open Interest (avg) - OBX-indexfutures
8 BROKER STATISTICS - FEBRUARY 2010 Only companies with more than 0,5% of the total market share are shown. Options 19.8 % 5.3 % 26.8 % 4.2 % 3.3 % 2.4 % 2.4 % 2.2 % 1.2 % SEB Enskilda DnB NOR Non-Norwegian Handelsbanken Pareto Nordea Nordnet Net Fonds Argo Carnegie 31.6 % Stock Forwards & Futures 96.3 % 2.1 % 0.7 % 0.5 % DnB NOR First Argo Orion 8
9 OBX Futures 5.8 % 3.9 % 39.2 % 3.5 % 3.4 % 2.9 % 0.6 % 0.5 % Handelsbanken DnB NOR Non-Norwegian SEB Enskilda Argo Nordea Erik Penser ABG Sundal Collier Nordnet 39.4 % 9
10 OBX INDEX - CONSTITUENTS AND OTHER INFORMATION The OBX Index consists of the 25 most traded securities in the OSEBX Index. The constituents are selected on the basis of six months turnover rating. It is a semi-annually revised free float adjusted total return index (dividend adjusted) with composition changes and cappings implemented on the third Friday in June and December. In the period between the composition review dates, the number of shares for each constituent is fixed with exception of cappings and continuous adjustments for corporate actions. The OBX Index is a tradable index with exchange traded futures and options available : All time high ( close):
11 The current OBX Index composition can be found below. The Derivatives department at Oslo Børs distributes a daily report with information on the OBX Index and its components. If you would like to receive this daily update, please send Request for OBX Morning Report to mps@oslobors.no. 11
12 OSLO BØRS - LISTED DERIVATIVES OPEN INTEREST - OPTIONS AND OBX FUTURES ONLY 12
13 Marine Harvest Group (MHG) MARINE HARVEST is the world's leading seafood company. They offer customers and consumers a wide range of seafood products and produce one fourth of the world's farmed salmon. The company is present in 18 countries and has 7500 employees worldwide. Home: Sector : Packaged Foods & Meats Last (NOK): 5.17 ISIN: NO Avg.Imp.Vol last month: 40 % Reuters : MHG.OL Expiry: Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec Bloomberg : MHG NO Open Int (avg): Liquidity: Tradable in blocks of OBX Weight: 2.22% O/I avg. 2010: Domicile: Norway contracts. Derivatives : Options & Fwd/Fut Market Maker(s): 3 Norsk Hydro (NHY) Sector : Aluminium Last (NOK): NORSK HYDRO is a global supplier of aluminium and aluminium products. Based in Norway, the company employs 25,000 people in more than 30 countries. Home: ISIN: NO Avg.Imp.Vol last month: 40 % Reuters : NHY.OL Expiry: Feb, May, Aug, Nov Bloomberg : NHY NO and NOHYF US Open Int (avg): Liquidity: Tradable in blocks of 3000 OBX Weight : 4.54% O/I avg. 2010: Domicile: Norway contracts. Derivatives : Options & Fwd/Fut Market Maker(s): 6 Norske Skog (NSG) NORSKE SKOG is one of the world's biggest producers of publication paper, with 16 paper mills in 12 countries and a production capacity of around 5.2 mill. tonnes per year. Home: Sector: Paper Products Last (NOK): 8.52 ISIN: NO Avg.Imp.Vol last month: 64 % Reuters: NSG.OL Bloomberg: NSG NO Expiry: Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec Open Int (avg): Liquidity: Tradable in blocks of OBX Weight: N/A O/I avg. 2010: Domicile: Norway contracts. Derivatives: Options & Fwd/Fut Market Maker(s):
14 Orkla (ORK) ORKLA operates in the branded consumer goods, aluminium solutions, materials, renewable energy and financial investment sectors. The group has a turnover of NOK 70 billion and 35,000 employees in more than 40 countries. Home: Sector : Industrial Conglomerates ISIN: NO Avg.Imp.Vol last month: 29 % Last (NOK): Reuters : ORK.OL Expiry: Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct Bloomberg : ORK NO Open Int (avg): Liquidity: Tradable for volumes around OBX Weight : 6.49% O/I avg. 2010: Domicile: Norway 2000 contracts. Derivatives : Options & Fwd/Fut Market Maker(s): 5 Petroleum Geo- Services (PGS) PETROLEUM GEO-SERVICES offers seismic and electromagnetic services, data acquisition, processing, reservoir analysis/interpretation and multi-client library data. PGS helps oil companies to find oil and gas reserves worldwide. Home: Sector : Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Last (NOK): ISIN: NO Avg.Imp.Vol last month: 42 % Reuters : PGS.OL Expiry: Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct Bloomberg : PGS NO Open Int (avg): Liquidity: Tradable for volumes around OBX Weight : 2.42% O/I avg. 2010: Domicile: Norway 1000 contracts. Derivatives : Options & Fwd/Fut Market Maker(s): 3 Renewable Energy Corporation (REC) RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION was founded in REC has a presence in all parts of the industry value chain from production of raw material to solar energy products. The company has customers around the world and approx employees in 4 countries on 3 continents. Home: Sector : Electrical Components & Equipment Last (NOK): ISIN: NO Avg.Imp.Vol last month: 65 % Reuters : REC.OL Expiry: Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct Bloomberg : REC NO Open Int (avg): Liquidity: Tradable in blocks of 2000 OBX Weight : 1.20% O/I avg. 2010: Domicile: Norway contracts. Derivatives : Options & Fwd/Fut Market Maker(s): 3 14
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18 MARKET MAKERS Argo Securities: DnB NOR Markets: Handelsbanken Capital Markets: Nordea Markets: SEB Enskilda: Timber Hill Europe: OBX, DNBNOR, NHY, ORK, RCL, SDRL, STL, TEL OBX, ACY, MHG, NHY, NSG, ORK, PGS, REC, SDRL, STB, STL, TAA, TEL, TOM, YAR, RCL, TGS OBX, ACY, DNBNOR, MHG, NHY, NSG, ORK, PGS, REC, SDRL, STB, STL, TEL, TOM, YAR, RCL, TGS OBX, ACY, NHY, NSG, ORK, PGS, REC, STL, TEL, TOM OBX, DNBNOR, NHY, STL, TEL OBX, DNBNOR, MHG, NHY, NSG, ORK, SDRL, STB, STL, TEL, TOM, YAR 18
19 OPTIONS - OBSERVED ATM IMPLIED VOLATILITIES (WEEK 9) Weekly Volatilities = average of Last Buy+Sell vol. for ATM CALLS and PUTS for front+back month. If no trade - last Bid/Offer is used. Lack of data may occur, thus volatilities should be seen as indicative. OBX Observed ATM Implied Volatility ACY Observed ATM Implied Volatility DNBNOR Observed ATM Implied Volatility
20 MHG Observed ATM Implied Volatility NHY Observed ATM Implied Volatility NSG Observed ATM Implied Volatility
21 ORK Observed ATM Implied Volatility PGS Observed ATM Implied Volatility REC Observed ATM Implied Volatility
22 SDRL Observed ATM Implied Volatility STB Observed ATM Implied Volatility STL Observed ATM Implied Volatility
23 TEL Observed ATM Implied Volatility TOM Observed ATM Implied Volatility YAR Observed ATM Implied Volatility Disclaimer: All information in this presentation is obtained from documents already available to the public. Oslo Børs does not guarantee the accuracy of the information included in the presentation. The presentation does not in any way constitute a recommendation by Oslo Børs. 23
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