DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update:

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1 Chile EU Trade World Trade China + H. Kong Brazil Mexico (up to Apr) Russia (up to Apr) Chile China + H. Kong Brazil Mexico (up to Apr) Russia (up to Apr) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Japan Mexico (up to Apr) South Korea United States Russia (up to Apr) Australia Japan Mexico (up to Apr) South Korea United States Russia (up to Apr) Australia United States Qty in 1000 Tonnes EU United States China + H. Kong China + H. Kong EU EU Production World Production Special Issues Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August World Quotations Livestock Survey Carcass Classes EU Prices /100 kg carcass weight DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: EU Prices Average (S-E) Evolution since last week - 0.0% Class S % Class E % Evolution since last month - 3.3% - 3.0% - 3.8% Evolution since last year + 5.1% + 5.9% + 3.9% EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices ( / 100kg) Latest price ==> EUR/100 kg/cw EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices ( /head) Latest price ==> EUR/head Piglet 49.3 /head - 2.8% % % Average (12-16) Average (12-16) Piglet Piglet Piglet World weekly average Pig prices in Euro/ 100kg carcase (EU, Brazil, and USA) EUR = USD EUR = BRL EUR = CDN 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% Change in pig population Livestock survey December 2016 compared to December % Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2016) E 34% EU BR US CAN EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat. As from % class E and 58%S. US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn lb (Feedstuffs.com) BR = average of "ValorVista" prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino) CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca) 8 MSs = 83% of total production Others % BE % EU Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) NL % DE % ES % IT % DK % FR % PL % EU Exports evolution (In 1000 tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May 16 EU total exports Year 2016 Total = (+1.2 % over 2015) Jan-May Period: EU pig slaughter by year (In heads) EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2017/16) PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 % Chg Extra-EU % China % Japan % Hong Kong % South Korea % Philippines % USA % Others % 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.5% -3.0% 7 countries = 86% of total production Others % % -1.0% -1.4% -2.0% -1.6% -2.6% Live swine, domestic species Piglets, less than 20 kg Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) Russian Federation % Pigs, from 20 kg to less than 50 kg Breeding sows China % Brazil % Covered Sows Viet Nam % Sows covered for the first time Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to May) United States of America % 2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May) -1.0% Fattening pigs, from 50 kg to less than 80 kg Year Total = (+ 2 % over 2013) European Union % % + 2% + 0% - 2% - 4% - 6% S 57% S E U R O P R.Slaughter 2017 / Experts GIP 2017 / R.Slaughter 2016 GIP 2016 Q % + 5.0% + 0.3% - 3.3% - 3.2% Q2-1.3% + 3.4% + 2.5% - 1.9% Q % + 1.3% + 0.5% - 2.9% Q % + 1.3% - 0.8% - 3.2% EU_ % + 2.7% + 0.6% - 2.8% Main Importers of PIG Products (up to May) 2016 (up to May) 2017 (up to May) U 7% R O 2% P 0% 0% Change in EU pigmeat slaughter (2017 forecast based on GIP and experts estimations) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Experts 2017f over GIP 2016 Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185), GTA, FAO

2 /100 kg carcass weight EU Prices 31 Evolution since last week Evolution since last month Evolution since last year Average (S-E) % - 3.3% + 5.1% Class S % Class E % Piglet 49.3 /head - 2.8% - 3.0% - 3.8% % + 5.9% + 3.9% % Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185)

3 EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices ( / 100kg) 190 Latest price ==> EUR/100 kg/cw Average (12-16) Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185)

4 EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices ( /head) 65 Latest price ==> EUR/head Average (12-16) Piglet Piglet Piglet Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185)

5 World weekly average Pig prices in Euro/ 100kg carcase (EU, Brazil, and USA) EU BR US CAN EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat. As from % class E and 58%S. US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn lb (Feedstuffs.com) BR = average of "ValorVista" prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino) CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca)

6 Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August Oct. Dec. Feb Apr June August EUR = USD EUR = BRL EUR = CDN Source : ECB (European Central Bank)

7 Change in pig population Livestock survey December 2016 compared to December % 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.5% -3.0% -1.0% -1.4% Live swine, domestic species Piglets, less than 20 kg -2.6% Pigs, from 20 kg to less than 50 kg -2.0% -1.6% Breeding sows Covered Sows 1.4% Sows covered for the first time -1.0% Fattening pigs, from 50 kg to less than 80 kg Source : Eurostat

8 Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2016) E 34% S 57% S E U R O P P 0% O 0% U 7% R 2% Source : MSs

9 EU Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) 8 MSs = 83% of total production Others % BE % NL % DE % ES % IT % DK % PL % FR % Year 2016 Total = (+1.2 % over 2015) Source : Eurostat

10 EU pig slaughter by year (In heads) Source : Eurostat

11 7 countries = 86% of total production Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) China % Year Total = (+ 2 % over 2013) Others % European Union % % Russian Federation % Brazil % Viet Nam % United States of America % Source : FAO

12 Change in EU pigmeat slaughter (2017 forecast based on GIP and experts estimations) + 4% + 2% + 0% - 2% - 4% - 6% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Experts 2017f over GIP R.Slaug ht er / R.Slaug ht er Exp ert s GIP / GIP Q % + 5.0% + 0.3% - 3.3% - 3.2% Q2-1.3% + 3.4% + 2.5% - 1.9% Q % + 1.3% + 0.5% - 2.9% Q % + 1.3% - 0.8% - 3.2% EU_ % + 2.7% + 0.6% - 2.8% Source : Eurostat

13 EU Exports evolution (In 1000 tonnes carcase weight) Source : Eurostat Jan-May 16 EU total exports Jan-May 17

14 Period: EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2017/16) PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-May Jan-May 16 Jan-May 17 % Chg Extra-EU % China % Japan % Hong Kong % South Korea % Philippines % USA % Others % Source : Eurostat & GTA

15 Chile China + H. Kong Brazil Mexico (up to Apr) Russia (up to Apr) Chile China + H. Kong Brazil Mexico (up to Apr) Russia (up to Apr) Qty in 1000 Tonnes United States EU United States EU Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to May) (up to May) 2017 (up to May) 0 Source : Eurostat & GTA

16 Japan Mexico (up to Apr) South Korea United States Russia (up to Apr) Australia Japan Mexico (up to Apr) South Korea United States Russia (up to Apr) Australia Qty in 1000 Tonnes China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Main Importers of PIG Products (up to May) (up to May) 2017 (up to May) 0 Source : Eurostat & GTA

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