Visit Norfolk Tourism Business Confidence Monitor

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1 Visit Norfolk Tourism Business Confidence Monitor March 2017

2 Welcome This business confidence monitor aims to provide the Norfolk tourism sector with an indication of recent business performance and the level of confidence amongst businesses. Destination Research is commissioned by Visit Norfolk to conduct the survey, collate the results and publish this report. The sample size for this report is 175 businesses. The results are based on an online survey conducted during March The survey was run concurrently with surveys for Visit Suffolk and Visit Essex as well as a nation-wide survey conducted by Visit England. The combined regional sample for the three surveys is 402 businesses. This report covers performance from the New Year and measures confidence levels up to the Easter holidays % 48% 2 12% 11% 9% Who is taking part 8% 9% 5% 6% 6% 3% 2% 1% Norfolk 2017 Norfolk Summary This edition covers recent performance over the Christmas and New Year period and measures confidence levels for the period up to the end of Easter. High levels of satisfaction with recent performance, with 87% saying they were satisfied with their business performance during the Christmas and New Year period. Over half (5) report an increase in the volume of visitors / guests for, compared to the previous year. Most were satisfied with their performance for 2017 so far. Two in five were 'very satisfied' (4) and just over half were 'quite satisfied' (53%). Looking ahead, up to the end of Easter, confidence levels are strong, with 66% of all businesses feeling confident or 'very confident'. Over half (5) of respondents are reporting 'good' or 'very good' levels of advanced bookings, up from 46% in. Just under half (49%) are confident in their ability to generate growth throughout the rest of the year, with a further 4 expecting to achieve a similar level of performance to. Four in five have not experienced any initial impact from the referendum vote. Two thirds expect more visitors in the coming months, specially from within the UK. The same proportion agree that it is too early to judge what impact Brexit will have on their business.

3 Overview Participants were asked to assess their performance during the Christmas and New Year period. Two out of every five respondents (42%) were 'very satisfied with their performance over the festive period, compared to 4 the previous year. The proportion of respondents 'Quite satisfied with their performance was also higher than in (45% this year compared to 35% last year). Satisfaction levels are slightly below the national average. Levels of Satisfaction / /16 England 2015/16 46% 45% 45% 42% 4 35% 12% 13% 5% 5% 2% 2% Very satisfied Quite satisfied Not very satisfied Not at all satisfied Don't know Participants were asked to assess their performance for. Over half (5) reported an increase in the volume of visitors / guests compared to the previous year. A further 28% attracted 'the same volume of visitors' than in These results are slightly below the volumes achieved in 2015 and in line with the national average. Volume of visitors / guests 2015 England 58% 5 56% 28% 25% 26% 18% 1 13% 1% 1% 3% 3% More than last year The same as last year Fewer than last year Not open for business this period last year Don't know

4 2017 So far A first assessment of the 2017 performance shows that 83% of respondents were either very satisfied' (4) or 'quite satisfied' (53%) with recent performance. This is slightly below when 45% of businesses said they were very satisfied' and a further 48% 'quite satisfied'. Note that the proportion of businesses who were 'very satisfied' with their performance in 2017 is lower than in. Satisfaction with performance so far this year 4 45% 53% 48% % 1% 2% 1% Very satisfied Quite satisfied Not very satisfied Not at all satisfied Don't know Easter Period - Confidence levels Optimism is strong but lower than the levels achieved last year although Easter was earlier in. Norfolk is so far more optimistic about performance over the Easter period than the national average. Confidence levels up to Easter 2017 England 45% 58% 21% 21% 18% 3 27% 22% 15% 8% 2% 1 8% 5% Very confident Fairly confident Not very confident Not at all confident Don't know

5 Easter Period - Booking Levels Advance booking levels among accommodation establishments are higher than they were this time last year. Over half (5) reported booking levels for this year to be 'good' (38%) or 'very good' (16%). Almost two in five (38%) feel that booking levels are 'just OK' for the time of year. A few businesses think that their bookings for the Easter period are 'poor' (5%) or 'very poor' (3%). Booking levels over Easter 45% 4 35% 3 25% 2 15% 1 5% 41% 38% 38% 3 16% 12% 1 5% 3% 2% Very good Good Just OK Poor Very Poor Overall Expectations Participants were asked to assess their performance for 2017 as a whole. Just under half (49%) expect to perform as better than in. Two in five (4) expect to perform at the same level as in. These results a slightly below the assessment made across England. Overall performance over England % 4 39% % 16% 9% 7% 6% 2% 1% 2% 3% Much better than A little better than The same as A little worse than A lot worse than Don't know

6 EU Referendum Four out of every five businesses have not experienced any initial impact from the referendum vote. However, 12% have noticed an increase in the number of enquiries, driven primarily by the domestic market. EU Referendum - Early impacts EU Referendum - Likely Impact 12% More enquiries Fewer enquiries No change 81% 7% More visitors Fewer visitors 32% 68% Has the EU referendum already affected your business? More enquiries Fewer enquiries Cancellations EU 12% 11% 11% USA 8% 5% UK 19% 3% Other Long haul 1 9% Looking ahead, two third of businesses are expecting more visitors, specially from within the UK. Respondents are also relatively optimistic about the impact of Brexit on European visitors with a positive net impact. Do you think the outcome of the EU referendum will affect your business in the future? More visitors Fewer visitors EU 23% 15% USA 15% 1 UK 45% 5% Other Long haul 1 1 Despite the early predictions, two thirds of respondents agree, strongly (33%) or slightly (35%), that it is too early to judge what impact of Brexit will have on their business. It's too early to say what impact the EU referendum will have on my business...? Agree strongly 33% Agree slightly 35% Neither agree nor disagree 22% Disagree slightly 8% Disagree strongly 2%

7 Pete Waters Executive Director Visit East Anglia M: E: W:

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