UK Monthly Commentary Valuation Advisory
|
|
- Prudence Brown
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 UK Monthly Commentary Valuation Advisory June 2018
2 UK Commentary Finance US Federal Reserve rate at 1.75%. UK Base Rate at 0.50%, further increases expected. 5-Year Swap Rate 1.25% (Beginning May 1.33%). 10-Year Rate 1.50% (Beginning May 1.55%). LIBOR at Bank lending, 65% LTV maximum, margins range from 150 basis points plus, depending on asset, borrower and LTV, expanding group of lenders and range of loan terms including development finance. Mezzanine funding available. European Banking Market Q.E. support continuing, tapering in Economic view The FTSE 100 index at 7,678 up from 7,520 at the beginning of May. This compares to 7,520 this time last year. Inflation RPIX (excluding mortgage interest payments) at 3.4% as of April CPI 12-month rate was 2.4% in April 2018, down from 2.5% in March Weekly Earnings for employees in Great Britain in nominal terms increased by 2.9% excluding bonuses, and by 2.6% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier. Retail Sales in April 2018 increased by 1.6 % when compared with the previous month, as all sectors, excluding department stores, recovered from the declines seen in March. The Index of Services (79.3% of UK GDP in 2015) increased by 0.1% between February 2018 and March Distribution, hotels and restaurants contributed negative 0.16 percentage 2018 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. points to the monthly movement and partially offset positive contributions from the other three main components. The total UK trade (goods and services) deficit narrowed 0.7 billion to 6.9 billion in the three months to March 2018; due mainly to falling goods imports from non-eu countries. Excluding erratic commodities, the total trade deficit widened 1.2 billion to 8.5 billion. Manufacturing grows in May. PMI showed a reading of 54.4, up from higher than the 53.9 in April. Unemployment Rate was 4.2%, down from 4.6% for a year earlier. There were 1.42 million unemployed people, 46,000 fewer than for October to December 2017 but 116,000 fewer than for a year earlier. UK Annual house price growth slowed to 2.4%. Prices fell 0.2% month-on-month. GDP forecast for 2018 at 1.3% and at 1.4% in Property view IPD Total Returns for all Property in the 12 months to April % (March %). IPD Total Returns for the sectors in the 12 months to April 2018 were: Offices 8.5% (March %), Industrial 21.6% (March %), Retail 6.7% (March %). Rental growth (monthly rates) up 0.05% (Offices up 0.04%, Industrial up 0.26% and Retail down -0.07%). Investment Volumes 18,223m Year to Date (Jan-May). (Compared to 21,542m in 2017). 2
3 UK Commentary Sentiment Prices steady supported by rental growth as yields flattening out. Shortage of product. Demand competitive for quality assets across UK especially in South East London, attracting safe haven and of trophy investment. Buyers from Sovereign Wealth Funds, Asia Pacific, Germany, US, Middle East also UK private/ opportunity fund/investors property companies, UK institutions. Yields stabilised. IPD all property equivalent yield at the end of April 2018 is 5.9%. International US economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in May, and the overall economy grew for the 109th consecutive month. The May manufacturing PMI registered 58.7 percent, an increase of 1.4 percentage points from the April reading of 57.3 percent. GDP 2018 forecast at 2.8% and 2019 forecast at 2.2%. The US Economy grew 2.9% (y-o-y) in Q Brent Crude at $77.7 a barrel. In the Eurozone GDP growth forecast at 2.2% in 2018 and 1.7% in Across the EU, GDP is forecast to expand by 2.1% in 2018 and 1.8% in Unemployment in the Eurozone at 8.5% in April 2018 ( m people), down from 8.6% in March 2018 and from 9.2 % in April Unemployment rate at 20.8% in Greece (youth 45.4%), 15.9% in Spain (youth 34.4%). Eurozone youth unemployment was 17.2% in April Czech Republic unemployment rate at 2.2%, Germany 3.4%. Asia GDP growth forecast for 2018 at 4.6% and 4.5% in Malaysia: GDP 2018 forecast at 5.3% and 4.5% in 2019; Vietnam: 2018 forecast at 6.6% and 6.3% in 2019; Japan GDP growth at 1.2% in 2018 and 1.1% in South Korea GDP growth forecast at 2.7% in 2018 and 2.6% in Economic strength persists. Merchandise exports receipts rebounded in May, driven by ongoing demand for semiconductors and petrochemical products. Global demand supports export growth. Singapore: Q1 GDP growth was revised up marginally to 4.4%. Q1 is expected to mark the peak in economic growth this year, with export growth and manufacturing activity to ease as Chinese import demand cools. Residential investment is projected to become less of a drag on headline GDP and improving labour market conditions are expected to support household spending. Overall, GDP growth is forecast at 3.1% for 2018 as whole, before moderating to 2.4% in China: consumption growth is a key driver in the economy. Three major trends underpin the outlook (i) rising demand for discretionary items (ii) consumption of services now outpacing that of goods (iii) widening adoption of digital technologies. GDP growth forecast at 6.4% for 2018 and 6% Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. 3
4 JLL prime yields Sector Retail High Street Yield Movement since last month Movement over last 12 months Prime 4.25% Regional 5.00% Market Towns 5.75% Small Market Towns 6.25% Shopping Centres Super Prime 4.00% Prime 5.25% Town Central Dominant 6.25% Secondary Centres 9.00% Tertiary Centres 12.00% Retail Warehouses Parks Open A1/fashion 4.75% Parks Bulky Restricted 5.50% Parks Secondary 7.25% Solus Units A1 4.75% Solus Units Bulky 5.50% Food Stores Supermarkets 4.75% Leisure City Centre 5.00% Out of Town 5.25% Office City < 40m 4.25% City 40m - 125m 4.25% City > 125m 4.25% Sector Offices Yield Movement since last month Movement over last 12 months West End < 10m 3.50% West End 10m - 80m 3.75% West End > 80m 4.00% Greater London Area Preferred 4.75% M25 Towns Preferred 5.00% Top Regional Cities 4.75% Secondary Towns/Cities 7.00% Business Parks South East 5.75% Business Parks Regional 7.00% Industrial/Logistics South East Single Let 4.00% Regional Single Let 4.50% South East Multi-Let 4.00% Regional Multi-Let 4.75% Alternatives Car Showrooms 4.50% Healthcare Care Homes 4.25% Hotels 4.25% Student Accommodation 4.00% JLL Prime Yield 4.61% Money Markets LIBOR 3 month 0.62% SWAP 5 years 1.27% Gilt 10 years 1.33% Base rate 0.50% 2018 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. 4
5 Contacts London Hugo Raworth North West Tim Luckman North East Simon Cullimore Midlands James Daffern South West Daniel Bishop Scotland Niall Bryers Jll.co.uk 2018 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. The information contained in this document is proprietary to JLL and shall be used solely for the purposes of evaluating this proposal. All such documentation and information remains the property of JLL and shall be kept confidential. Reproduction of any part of this document is authorized only to the extent necessary for its evaluation. It is not to be shown to any third party without the prior written authorization of JLL. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy thereof. 5
Danske Bank March 1 ST 2016 Economic Update,
Monthly update: Tuesday 1 March 2016 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan Local job and investment announcements during January 2016: The NI economy suffered a significant blow during the
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. July 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 Eurozone: A shift to more moderate growth with increased downward risks BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch July 2018 / 2 Hard data improved in May but failed to recover
More informationEurozone. EY Eurozone Forecast September 2013
Eurozone EY Eurozone Forecast September 2013 Austria Belgium Cyprus Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Outlook for Ireland
More informationMid-Year Market View. The State of the Lodging Industry
Mid-Year Market View The State of the Lodging Industry July 2017 2 Industry in consensus lodging market is stable Steady On Further Upside? At the conclusion of NYU s International Hospitality Industry
More informationAsia Bond Monitor March 2015
June 1 asianbondsonline.adb.org Key Developments in Asian Local Currency Markets Consumer price inflation in Malaysia accelerated to.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in May from 1.8% y-o-y in April, mainly due
More informationQuarterly market summary
Quarterly market summary 3rd Quarter 2017 Economic overview Economic data released during the quarter seemed to signal a continuation of synchronised global recovery in almost all regions. This is being
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. May 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch May 2018 BBVA Research - Eurozone Economic Watch / 2 Eurozone: more moderate growth with higher uncertainty The eurozone GDP growth slowed in more than expected. Beyond temporary
More informationThe Global Economy. RISI Asian Forest Products Summit 22 June, David Katsnelson Director, Macroeconomics
The Global Economy Heightened drisks RISI Asian Forest Products Summit 22 June, 2016 David Katsnelson Director, Macroeconomics Agenda 1. Global Snapshot A Two-Track World 2. China Slowing, Not Crashing
More informationInterest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle
Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and the Real Estate Cycle Stephen Hester, Chief Executive We are real estate investors and create value by actively managing, financing and developing prime commercial property
More informationAsia Bond Monitor June 2018
September 8 asianbondsonline.adb.org Key Developments in Asian Local Currency Markets Japan s industrial production fell.% on a month-on-month (m-o-m) basis but rose.% on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis in
More informationGlobal Macroeconomic Monthly Review
Global Macroeconomic Monthly Review August 14 th, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist Capital Markets Division, Economics Department 1 Please see disclaimer on the last page of this report Key Issues Global
More informationYear in review Year in review Global Markets. Year ending: December 31, 2017 CAN: S&P/TSX 16,209 15, % MSCI All Country World Index
Year in review Year in review Global Markets Year ending: December 31, EQUITY INDICES 29-DEC- 30-DEC- % CHG CAN: S&P/TSX 16,209 15,288 6.0% US: INDU 24,719 19,763 25.1% US: SPX 2,674 2,239 19.4% Nasdaq:
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
January 22, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» The U.S economy and inflation expanded at a Modest to Moderate pace during December 2017, while wages continued to push higher according to the Federal
More informationPrudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010
Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com
More informationSUMMARY OF MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS
SUMMARY OF MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS FEBRUARY 2018 2 Summary of macroeconomic developments, February 2018 Forecasts for global economic developments over the medium term are optimistic. In its January
More informationMonthly Economic Review
Monthly Economic Review FEBRUARY 2018 Based on January 2018 data releases Bedfordshire Chamber of Commerce Headlines UK GDP growth picked up in Q4, driven by stronger output from the services sector The
More informationAsia Bond Monitor November 2018
January 9 asianbondsonline.adb.org Key Developments in Asian Local Currency Markets L ast week, the Philippines raised USD. billion from the sale of -year global bonds priced at basis points above benchmark
More informationMalaysia- GDP & BOP 1Q17
Real GDP growth surprised on the upside in 1Q17 Real GDP growth rose by 5.6% in 1Q17, exceeding market expectations Malaysia s real GDP growth rose by 5.6% yoy in 1Q17 (4.5% in 4Q16), significantly higher
More informationEconomic Outlook June Economic Policy Division
Economic Outlook June 215 Economic Policy Division U.S. GDP Actual and Potential Quarterly, Q1 198 to Q4 215 Real GDP Trillion 29 Dollars Log Scale $18. Forecast $15. $12.5 Actual Potential $9. $6.5 198
More informationNew information since the October 2011 Monetary Policy Report (3/11) 1
Meeting 14 March 2012 New information since the October 2011 Monetary Policy Report (3/11) 1 International economy According to preliminary figures, GDP for Norway s main trading partners fell by 0.2 percent
More informationStrong performance for real estate assets
Strong performance for real estate assets Annualized returns, United States, 212 Percent 2 18 16 14 1 year 1 year 12 1 8 6 4 2 REITs Equities Real property Govt bonds CPI T-bills Sources: CBRE, NCREIF.
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook Will growth continue and at what pace? International Containerboard Conference Chicago November 2018 Lasse Sinikallas Director, Macroeconomics Copyright 2018 RISI, Inc. Proprietary
More informationEurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for January 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch Higher growth forecasts for 2018-19 January 2018 Eurozone Economic Watch January 2018 Eurozone: Higher growth forecasts for 2018-19 Our MICA-BBVA model estimates a broadly stable
More informationEuropean Investment Bulletin
European Investment Bulletin Spring 2009 Prime yield decompression per sector (yoy) Rents in decline in line with business sentiment 200 CBD offices Warehouses Shopping Centres European average prime office
More informationMarket Watch. July Review Global economic outlook. Australia
Market Watch Latest monthly commentary from the Investment Markets Research team at BT. Global economic outlook Australia Available data for the June quarter is consistent with a moderation in GDP growth
More informationQuarterly market summary
Quarterly market summary 1st Quarter 2017 Economic overview Data appears to signal that economic activity is picking up around the world, with many forecasts for growth being revised upwards. This has
More informationSouth African Reserve Bank STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT EMBARGO DELIVERY 30 March 2017 STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the previous
More informationJapan Chart Book. 5 February 2014
Japan Chart Book 5 February Japan: Economic Forecast Dashboard Forecast highlights Real GDP growth forecast at. in and. in 5 Slower consumption in -5 but offset by improved exports and investment Gradual
More informationGlobal Investment Outlook & Strategy
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy February 2017 Global Stock Market Rally likely to Continue with Solid Q4 Earnings & Stronger 2017 Earnings, ECB
More informationEurozone Economic Watch
BBVA Research - Global Economic Watch December 2018 / 1 Eurozone Economic Watch December 2018 Eurozone GDP growth still slows gradually, but high uncertainty could take its toll GDP growth could grow by
More informationLong Income Commercial Ground Rents Continue to Outperform
LONG INCOME VALUATION Valuation & Advisory, Q4 2015 Long Income Commercial Ground Rents Continue to Outperform Q3 IPD Long Income 2.10% Long Term Gilt Blend 12bps (2.44% 2.57%) UK RPI 30 yr Swaps -4bps
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. March 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch March 20 Eurozone Economic Watch March 20 Eurozone: The moderation of confidence continues We expect GDP growth to remain steady early this year supported mostly by strong global
More informationWEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY
July 31, 2017 [ W E E K LY E C O N O M I C C O M M E N TA R Y ] WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR THE MOST CRITICAL ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
More informationThe SunGard Retirement Benefits Scheme Quarterly Investment Monitoring Report to 31 March 2012
Quarterly Investment Monitoring Report to 31 March 2012 Executive Summary Scheme Asset Valuation The SunGard Section's assets increased in value over the quarter to 75,233,620. This is an increase of 5,188,852
More informationModest Economic Growth and Falling GDP Gap
Modest Economic Growth and Falling GDP Gap -. -. U.S. Economic Output (Real GDP - Quarterly Growth Rate).................................... : : : : : : : : : : -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -. -.
More informationThe euro area economy: an update Euro Challenge November 2016
The euro area economy: an update Euro Challenge November 2016 Delegation of the European Union to the United States www.euro-challenge.org What this presentation will cover A. Update on the economic situation
More informationFocus on: Hong Kong. International Business Report 2011 Economy focus series
Focus on: Hong Kong International Business Report 11 Economy focus series The recovery The economy rebounded strongly in, posting growth of 6.8 per cent as recovering global demand boosted exports. Prospects
More informationAsianBondsOnline WEEKLY DEBT HIGHLIGHTS
AsianBondsOnline WEEKLY 9 January 7 asianbondsonline.adb.org Key Developments in Asian Local Currency Markets Consumer price inflation in Indonesia eased to.% year-on-year (y-o-y) in December from.6% y-o-y
More informationQ HK$billion Total exports. Feb HK$billion Private Consumption Expenditure. HK$billion Q Dec 2010 Feb 2011 %
PROPERTY INSIGHTS Hong Kong Quarter 1, 2011 Market Overview Hong Kong s real GDP increased by 6.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q4, whereas the growth is primarily driven by merchandise trading and financial
More informationThe Global Economy Modest Improvement
Title line 1 Title line 2 The Global Economy Modest Improvement Name David Katsnelson, Director Title, date RISI Macroeconomic Service 3 June, 2015 1 Agenda 1. Global Snapshot 2. China 3. External Environment
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
February 12, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» In the early hours of last Friday, U.S Congress approved a major budget deal that opens the door for more increase in defense and non-defense spending
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. November 2017
Eurozone Economic Watch November 2017 Eurozone: improved outlook, still subdued inflation Our MICA-BBVA model for growth estimates for the moment a quarterly GDP figure of around -0.7% in, after % QoQ
More informationGlobal Real Estate Capital Markets
Global Real Estate Capital Markets Real Estate Data as of 2Q 2017 Economic/Capital Markets Data as of September 2017 Jon H. Zehner Presentation to ULI Scotland Thursday 28 September 2017 LaSalle Investment
More informationEconomic Outlook June Economic Policy Division
Economic Outlook June 215 Economic Policy Division U.S. GDP Actual and Potential Quarterly, Q1 198 to Q4 215 Real GDP Trillion 29 Dollars Log Scale $18. Forecast $15. $12.5 Actual Potential $9. $6.5 198
More informationAsia Bond Monitor November 2018
7 December 8 Key Developments in Asian Local Currency Markets T he monetary board of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas decided to keep its key policy rates steady during its final meeting for the year on
More informationEQUITY INDICES Close % chg Week % chg YTD EQUITY INDICES Close % chg Week % chg YTD
Week ending: January 25, 2013 MAJOR NEWS: Markets were up owing to encouraging economic data and better-than-expected earnings reports. Looking ahead: Initial estimates of the U.S. GDP data to be released.
More informationDevelopments in Emerging East Asia Bond Markets
Developments in Emerging East Asia Bond Markets Donghyun Park, Principal Economist Economic Research and Regional Cooperation Department, Asian Development Bank Overview The outlook for economic growth
More informationTRINIDAD AND TOBAGO. 1. General trends
Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2014 1 TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 1. General trends Economic growth in Trinidad and Tobago continues to rebound from the negative and negligibly positive rates
More informationThe Saturday Economist UK Economic Outlook Q1 2015
The Saturday Economist The Saturday Economist UK Economic Outlook Q1 2015 Leisure and Construction driving recovery UK Economic Outlook March 2015 Page 1 The UK recovery continues. We expect growth of
More informationFed described the economy as "slow" and said employers remained reluctant to create jobs and Inflation "somewhat low.
08 Nov 2010 UNITED STATES The ISM manufacturing index rose to 56.9 in October from 54.4 in September, led by growth in autos, computers and exported goods. The ISM non-manufacturing index rose to 54.3
More informationGLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY
May 2018 John Praveen, PhD Managing Director FOLLOW Us ON TWITTER: @prustrategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Kristin Meza Phone: 973-367-4104 Email: kristin.meza@ prudential.com PGIM is the Global Investment
More informationECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong
ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN 2016-17 Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong I. The Current Trends Real gross domestic product (GDP) in Hong Kong increased 1.7 percent
More informationECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong
ECONOMIC PROSPECTS FOR HONG KONG IN 2014-15 Win Lin Chou, ACE Centre for Business and Economic Research, Hong Kong I. The Current Trends Real gross domestic product (GDP) in Hong Kong slowed to 1.8 percent
More informationEconomic ProjEctions for
Economic Projections for 2016-2018 ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS FOR 2016-2018 Outlook for the Maltese economy 1 Economic growth is expected to ease Following three years of strong expansion, the Bank s latest
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook Will the growth continue and at what pace? Latin American Conference São Paulo August 2018 Lasse Sinikallas Director, Macroeconomics Copyright 2018 RISI, Inc. Proprietary Information
More informationSummary of macroeconomic developments, August 2018
2 Summary of macroeconomic developments, August 2018 Escalating trade disputes have brought significant uncertainty to the global economy. Global activity indicators are suggesting a slowdown in growth,
More informationSingle-family home sales and construction are not expected to regain 2005 peaks
Single-family home sales and construction are not expected to regain 25 peaks Millions of units 8. 7. 6. 5. Housing starts (right axis) 4. Home sales (left axis) 3. 2. 1. 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 21 215
More informationEuropean Quarterly Outlook JULY 2011
European Quarterly Outlook JULY 2011 EUROPE Executive Summary Key Themes Economic growth is improving steadily and interest rates are rising, although concerns about the outlook persist. Forecasts could
More informationDanske Bank May 2015 Economic Update,
Monthly update: June 1st 2015 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan Local Labour Market: NI Unemployment Quarterly Measure: Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, as measured by the Labour
More informationLeumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. July 12, Capital Markets Division, Economics Department. leumiusa.
Global Economics Monthly Review July 12, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist Capital Markets Division, Economics Department Leumi leumiusa.com Please see important disclaimer on the last page of this report
More informationMonthly Economic Review
Monthly Economic Review DECEMBER 2017 Based on November 2017 data releases Bedfordshire Chamber of Commerce Headlines UK GDP growth in Q3 unrevised as business investment and the UK s trade position weakens
More informationErnst & Young ITEM Club
Issue number 8 ITEM Club Spring 2013 Ernst & Young ITEM Club Outlook for financial services Ernst & Young ITEM Club The ITEM club outlook for financial services examines the implications of ITEM Club s
More information[ ] WEEKLY CHANGES AGAINST THE USD
February 19, 2018 [ ] MACRO & MARKETS COMMENTARY» Last week, Global stock markets witnessed one of their best weeks in almost six years after two consecutive weeks in the red. The last week rally was mainly
More informationThe Global Economy Heightened Risks
The Global Economy Heightened Risks RISI North American Conference 5 October, 2016 David Katsnelson Director, Macroeconomics Agenda 1. Global Snapshot 2. USA Steady Growth 3. Europe Growing Slowly 4. China
More informationSouth African Reserve Bank STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE. Issued by Gill Marcus, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT EMBARGO DELIVERY 27 March 2014 STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE Issued by Gill Marcus, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the previous
More informationLeumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. May 8, The Finance Division, Economics Department. leumiusa.
Global Economics Monthly Review May 8, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist The Finance Division, Economics Department Leumi leumiusa.com Please see important disclaimer on the last page of this report Key
More informationIndonesia Economic Outlook and Policy Challenges
Indonesia Economic Outlook and Policy Challenges Daniel A. Citrin Asia and Pacific Department, IMF April 3, 28 Global Financial Stability Map: risks have risen; conditions have deteriorated October 27
More informationPRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook
PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook February 2015 Stocks to Fully Rebound from Late 2014/Early 2015 Sell-off with ECB Launching Aggressive QE, Rate Cuts by Several
More informationBaseline U.S. Economic Outlook, Summary Table*
July 218 Gus Faucher Stuart Hoffman William Adams Kurt Rankin Chief Economist Senior Economic Advisor Senior Economist Economist Executive Summary Economy Continues to Expand in Mid-218, But Trade Remains
More informationMarch June Summary. A sharp improvement in nominal growth. Components of GDP. 4Q16 GDP Growth
GDP Australian 4Q16: GDP: A return XXX to growth June 2015 March 2017 Summary The economy returned decisively to growth in the final quarter of 2016, recording 1.1% growth q-q. This was boosted by household
More informationManagement Report. Banco Espírito Santo do Oriente, S.A.
Management Report Banco Espírito Santo do Oriente, S.A. Summary of Management Report International Economic Framework The year under review was marked by a slowdown in global economic activity and GDP
More informationjanuary 2012 Prospects for secondary commercial property
COMMERCIAL RESEARCH january 2012 Prospects for secondary Waiting for the tide highlights Recent months have seen the tide of investor sentiment turn against lesser quality and short income secondary assets.
More informationMalaysia s export growth at record high in 2017
Dr. Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid Chief Economist 03-2088 8075 afzanizam@bankislam.com.my Malaysia s export growth at record high in 2017 Facts Total exports in 2017 grew by 18.9% (2016: 1.2%) to RM935.4
More informationPoland s Economic Prospects
Poland s Economic Prospects Unicredit Conference Warsaw, June 8, 11 Mark Allen Senior IMF Resident Representative for Central and Eastern Europe Recovery is driven by domestic demand Contributions to Real
More informationMonthly Market View. October Latest monthly commentary from the Investment Markets Research team at Colonial First State
Monthly Market View October 2012 Latest monthly commentary from the Investment Markets Research team at Colonial First State Investors maintained their appetite for risk in October. This followed the Federal
More informationB-GUIDE: Economic Outlook
Aug-12 Apr-13 Dec-13 Aug-14 Apr-15 Dec-15 Aug-16 Apr-17 Jul-15 Nov-15 Mar-16 Jul-16 Nov-16 Mar-17 Jul-17 Quarterly Economic Outlook: Quarter 4 2017 4 January 2018 B-GUIDE: Economic Outlook The economy
More informationSolutions Conference Year End Global Economy & World Political Outlook Leon C. LaBrecque, JD, CPA, CFP, CFA RAIN IN EUROPE?
Solutions Conference Year End 2014 Global Economy & World Political Outlook Leon C. LaBrecque, JD, CPA, CFP, CFA RAIN IN EUROPE? Global Equity Markets: Returns EAFE Return to Reach 2007 peak* EME Return
More informationThe real change in private inventories added 0.15 percentage points to the second quarter GDP growth, after subtracting 0.65% in the first quarter.
QIRGRETA Monthly Macroeconomic Commentary United States The U.S. economy rebounded in the second quarter of 2007, growing at an annual rate of 3.4% Q/Q (+1.8% Y/Y), according to the GDP advance estimates
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook Will growth continue and at what pace? North American Conference San Francisco October 2018 Lasse Sinikallas Director, Macroeconomics Copyright 2018 RISI, Inc. Proprietary Information
More informationAsian Insights What to watch closely in Asia in 2016
Asian Insights What to watch closely in Asia in 2016 Q1 2016 The past year turned out to be a year where one of the oldest investment adages came true: Sell in May and go away, don t come back until St.
More informationFund Information. Fund Name. Fund Category. Fund Investment Objective. Fund Performance Benchmark. Fund Distribution Policy
Fund Information Fund Name PB Asia Pacific Dividend Fund () Fund Category Equity Fund Investment Objective To provide income by investing in a portfolio of stocks in domestic and regional markets which
More informationEurozone Economic Watch. February 2018
Eurozone Economic Watch February 2018 Eurozone: Strong growth continues in 1Q18, but confidence seems to peak GDP growth moderated slightly in, but there was an upward revision to previous quarters. Available
More informationSouth African Reserve Bank STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT 24 January 2017 STATEMENT OF THE MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the previous meeting of
More informationMarkit economic overview
Markit Economics Markit economic overview PMI data highlight growing variations in likely policy paths 9 June 2015 Global growth slows for second month running in May Global economic growth edged lower
More information2.5% 0.7% 10.8% Inflation, June 2017 y-o-y. Retail Sales, May 2017 y-o-y, Croatia
City Report H1 2017 2.5% 0.7% 10.8% GDP Growth, Q1 2017 y-o-y Inflation, June 2017 y-o-y Unemployment rate, June 2017, Croatia 920 3.5% 3.3% Net Salary April 2017, Zagreb Retail Sales, May 2017 y-o-y,
More informationThe Global Economy Heightened Risks
The Global Economy Heightened Risks RISI Latin American Conference 16 August, 2016 David Katsnelson Director, Macroeconomics Agenda 1. Global Snapshot A Two-Track World 2. Latin America Some Improvement
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond
More informationMarket Bulletin. China: Still sneezing hard. January 20, 2016 MARKET INSIGHTS. In brief
MARKET INSIGHTS Market Bulletin January 20, 2016 China: Still sneezing hard In brief Slower 4Q15 GDP growth and soft December data add to concerns about China s economic health. On a more encouraging note,
More informationShort-term indicators and Updated Forecasts. Eurozone NOVEMBER 2016
Short-term indicators and Updated Forecasts Eurozone NOVEMBER 2016 EUROZONE WATCH NOVEMBER 2016 Key messages: resilience and unchanged projections The moderate pace of economic growth continued in the
More informationSlower take-up but most prices continue to rise
PROPERTY INSIGHTS Singapore Quarter 1, 211 Slower take-up but most prices continue to rise Market Overview Following a 14.5% GDP growth in 21, the economy is forecasted to grow by 4-6% in 211. While interest
More informationMarket Report for Republic of Korea
Market Report for Republic of Korea November 2014 Korea Financial Investment Association 1 I. Economic and Financial Background 1. General Economic Development Although economic recovery has continued
More informationDevelopment Updates and Trends : Opportunities and Risks Local Details Operating for a Global Strategy
Development s and Trends : Opportunities and Risks Local Details Operating for a Global Strategy Claro dg. Cordero, Jr. Head Research, Consulting & Valuation Services 19 October 2012 1 Discussion agenda
More informationFinancial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised
For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: FurtherStock Gains Likely, Year-end Target Raised. Bond Under Pressure
More informationEurozone. Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017
Eurozone Economic Watch FEBRUARY 2017 EUROZONE WATCH FEBRUARY 2017 Eurozone: A slight upward revision to our GDP growth projections The recovery proceeded at a steady and solid pace in, resulting in an
More informationSavills plc. Results for the six months ended 30 th June August 2017
Savills plc Results for the six months ended 30 th June 2017 10 August 2017 Disclaimer: Forward-looking statements These slides contain certain forward-looking statements including the Group s financial
More informationU.S. Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook
U.S. Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook December 211 Economic Policy Division Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 2 1 1 - -1 197 197 198 198 199 199 2 2 21 U.S. GDP Actual and Potential Quarterly,
More informationOVERVIEW. The EU recovery is firming. Table 1: Overview - the winter 2014 forecast Real GDP. Unemployment rate. Inflation. Winter 2014 Winter 2014
OVERVIEW The EU recovery is firming Europe's economic recovery, which began in the second quarter of 2013, is expected to continue spreading across countries and gaining strength while at the same time
More informationEconomics Hong Kong chart book HKD rates are sensitive to rising USD rates
Economics Hong Kong chart book HKD rates are sensitive to rising USD rates Group Research 11 October 218 Samuel Tse Economist Please direct distribution queries to Violet Lee +6 6878281 violetleeyh@dbs.com
More informationB-GUIDE: Market Outlook
Quarterly Market Outlook: Quarter 1 2018 on 5 th January 2018 Investment Outlook for 1 st Quarter 2018 Accelerating Global Economy Supports the Rising Earnings Equity Thailand US Europe Japan Asia Bond
More informationTENDER PRICE INDICATOR 3 RD QUARTER 2016
TENDER PRICE INDICATOR 3 RD QUARTER 2016 Our first post Brexit forecast indicates that the current growth cycle is slowing due to economic uncertainty which could impact future demand for construction.
More information