Subject: Florida Statewide Democratic Primary Election survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com
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1 th St. N., Suite 200 St. Petersburg, FL Phone: (727) Fax: (727) info@stpetepolls.org Website: Matt Florell, President Subject: Florida Statewide Democratic Primary Election survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com Date: August 19, 2018 Executive Summary: This poll of 2,202 likely Florida Democratic primary voters was conducted from August 18, 2018 to August 19, This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of July 10, The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of the state of Florida. The issues surveyed included questions related to Florida's 2018 Democratic Primary Election. Methodology: The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active Democratic primary voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics used were: race, age, gender and media market. The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered Democratic voter population within the state of Florida. Voters who said they were not planning to vote were excluded from the results below. The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 2,202 and a 2.1% Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) website:
2 Respondents' Demographics: Here is a summary of the demographic breakdown of the Registered Democratic party voters who responded to this survey: White, Not Hispanic 1282 = 58.2% Black, Not Hispanic 640 = 29.1% Asian or Pacific Islander 29 = 1.3% Hispanic 164 = 7.4% Other or Unknown 87 = 4.0% Male 862 = 39.1% Female 1331 = 60.4% 18 to = 4.2% 30 to = 14.0% 50 to = 45.0% 70 and up 811 = 36.8% Pensacola 63 = 2.9% Panama City 44 = 2.0% Tallahassee 122 = 5.5% Jacksonville 159 = 7.2% Gainesville 50 = 2.3% Orlando 428 = 19.4% Tampa 518 = 23.5% West Palm Beach 241 = 10.9% Fort Myers 117 = 5.3% Miami 460 = 20.9%
3 Summary of Scientific Results: In the Democratic primary race for Governor, who would you vote for: Andrew Gillum, Gwen Graham, Jeff Greene, Chris King, Philip Levine or someone else? Andrew Gillum: 21.4% 20.3% 21.9% Gwen Graham: 27.0% 27.8% 26.7% Jeff Greene: 14.5% 16.5% 13.5% Chris King: 2.7% 3.5% 2.3% Philip Levine: 25.2% 27.8% 24.0% Someone else: 3.5% 1.8% 4.2% Undecided: 5.7% 2.2% 7.4% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Andrew Gillum? Favorable: 50.4% 52.9% 49.2% Unfavorable: 11.2% 10.5% 11.6% Unsure: 38.4% 36.6% 39.2% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gwen Graham? Favorable: 49.7% 51.9% 48.7% Unfavorable: 26.1% 26.7% 25.8% Unsure: 24.2% 21.4% 25.5% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeff Greene? Favorable: 33.9% 37.3% 32.1% Unfavorable: 42.5% 44.1% 41.8% Unsure: 23.6% 18.6% 26.0% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris King? Favorable: 20.7% 25.3% 18.5% Unfavorable: 28.9% 30.6% 28.1% Unsure: 50.3% 44.1% 53.4% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Philip Levine? Favorable: 53.9% 60.1% 51.0% Unfavorable: 22.5% 21.1% 23.1% Unsure: 23.6% 18.7% 25.9% Have you already voted or do you plan to vote in the upcoming Democratic Primary Election? Already voted: 32.4% Plan to vote: 67.6% 2018 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) website:
4 Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question: In the Democratic primary race for Governor, who would you vote for: Andrew Gillum, Gwen Graham, Jeff Greene, Chris King, Philip Levine or someone else? Andrew Gillum: 21.4% Philip Levine: 25.2% Gwen Graham: 27.0% Someone else: 3.5% Jeff Greene: 14.5% Undecided: 5.7% Chris King: 2.7% Gillum: 21.3% Levine: 25.2% Graham: 27.1% someone else: 3.5% Greene: 14.5% Undecided: 5.7% King: 2.7% Gillum: 12.3% Graham: 34.9% Greene: 14.1% King: 2.7% Levine: 27.8% someone else: 3.3% Undecided: 4.8% Gillum: 41.6% Graham: 13.1% Greene: 12.8% King: 2.0% Levine: 19.2% someone else: 3.0% Undecided: 8.3% Gillum: 27.6% Graham: 24.1% Greene: 13.8% King: 0% Levine: 20.7% someone else: 6.9% Undecided: 6.9% Gillum: 14.6% Graham: 20.7% Greene: 23.2% King: 4.3% Levine: 26.2% someone else: 6.7% Undecided: 4.3% Gillum: 16.1% Graham: 26.4% Greene: 16.1% King: 4.6% Levine: 31.0% someone else: 2.3% Undecided: 3.4% Gillum: 20.1% Graham: 29.8% Greene: 14.7% King: 3.4% Levine: 23.3% someone else: 3.8% Undecided: 4.9% Gillum: 22.3% Graham: 25.4% Greene: 14.2% King: 2.2% Levine: 26.4% someone else: 3.2% Undecided: 6.2% Gillum: 31.5% Graham: 14.1% Greene: 16.3% King: 2.2% Levine: 21.7% someone else: 6.5% Undecided: 7.6% Gillum: 27.3% Graham: 26.0% Greene: 15.3% King: 3.2% Levine: 18.5% someone else: 3.9% Undecided: 5.8% Gillum: 23.9% Graham: 25.5% Greene: 13.6% King: 2.6% Levine: 26.3% someone else: 3.2% Undecided: 4.7% Gillum: 14.8% Graham: 30.8% Greene: 15.0% King: 2.6% Levine: 26.9% someone else: 3.2% Undecided: 6.7% Gillum: 31.7% Graham: 11.1% Greene: 20.6% King: 3.2% Levine: 23.8% someone else: 1.6% Undecided: 7.9% Gillum: 13.6% Graham: 52.3% Greene: 6.8% King: 2.3% Levine: 15.9% someone else: 4.5% Undecided: 4.5% Gillum: 27.0% Graham: 45.9% Greene: 5.7% King: 2.5% Levine: 9.0% someone else: 8.2% Undecided: 1.6% Gillum: 23.3% Graham: 25.2% Greene: 17.6% King: 3.1% Levine: 20.8% someone else: 2.5% Undecided: 7.5% Gillum: 28.0% Graham: 34.0% Greene: 10.0% King: 0% Levine: 14.0% someone else: 2.0% Undecided: 12.0% Gillum: 21.0% Graham: 37.6% Greene: 13.1% King: 2.3% Levine: 17.3% someone else: 3.0% Undecided: 5.6% Gillum: 22.0% Graham: 33.4% Greene: 11.4% King: 2.9% Levine: 23.0% someone else: 3.3% Undecided: 4.1% Gillum: 19.5% Graham: 21.2% Greene: 20.7% King: 1.7% Levine: 26.6% someone else: 2.9% Undecided: 7.5% Gillum: 12.0% Graham: 15.4% Greene: 13.7% King: 0.9% Levine: 44.4% someone else: 3.4% Undecided: 10.3% Gillum: 20.7% Graham: 10.9% Greene: 17.8% King: 3.9% Levine: 37.8% someone else: 3.7% Undecided: 5.2%
5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Andrew Gillum? Favorable: 50.4% Unfavorable: 11.2% Unsure: 38.4% Favorable: 50.4% Unfavorable: 11.2% Unsure: 38.4% Favorable: 44.6% Unfavorable: 13.5% Unsure: 41.9% Favorable: 63.7% Unfavorable: 5.3% Unsure: 30.9% Favorable: 51.7% Unfavorable: 13.8% Unsure: 34.5% Favorable: 45.1% Unfavorable: 14.0% Unsure: 40.9% Favorable: 47.1% Unfavorable: 14.9% Unsure: 37.9% Favorable: 50.7% Unfavorable: 13.6% Unsure: 35.7% Favorable: 50.1% Unfavorable: 9.7% Unsure: 40.2% Favorable: 63.0% Unfavorable: 9.8% Unsure: 27.2% Favorable: 53.6% Unfavorable: 14.9% Unsure: 31.5% Favorable: 53.9% Unfavorable: 11.1% Unsure: 35.0% Favorable: 43.5% Unfavorable: 10.1% Unsure: 46.4% Favorable: 47.6% Unfavorable: 17.5% Unsure: 34.9% Favorable: 34.1% Unfavorable: 9.1% Unsure: 56.8% Favorable: 51.6% Unfavorable: 24.6% Unsure: 23.8% Favorable: 57.2% Unfavorable: 8.2% Unsure: 34.6% Favorable: 48.0% Unfavorable: 10.0% Unsure: 42.0% Favorable: 54.7% Unfavorable: 10.0% Unsure: 35.3% Favorable: 55.8% Unfavorable: 13.5% Unsure: 30.7% Favorable: 46.1% Unfavorable: 7.5% Unsure: 46.5% Favorable: 37.6% Unfavorable: 11.1% Unsure: 51.3% Favorable: 45.4% Unfavorable: 8.7% Unsure: 45.9% 2018 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) website:
6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gwen Graham? Favorable: 49.7% Unfavorable: 26.1% Unsure: 24.2% Favorable: 49.7% Unfavorable: 26.1% Unsure: 24.2% Favorable: 56.9% Unfavorable: 24.8% Unsure: 18.3% Favorable: 38.9% Unfavorable: 27.5% Unsure: 33.6% Favorable: 37.9% Unfavorable: 27.6% Unsure: 34.5% Favorable: 37.2% Unfavorable: 31.1% Unsure: 31.7% Favorable: 51.7% Unfavorable: 25.3% Unsure: 23.0% Favorable: 53.6% Unfavorable: 25.3% Unsure: 21.1% Favorable: 47.1% Unfavorable: 26.7% Unsure: 26.2% Favorable: 42.4% Unfavorable: 33.7% Unsure: 23.9% Favorable: 50.0% Unfavorable: 23.1% Unsure: 26.9% Favorable: 48.2% Unfavorable: 28.3% Unsure: 23.5% Favorable: 52.3% Unfavorable: 23.8% Unsure: 23.9% Favorable: 25.4% Unfavorable: 39.7% Unsure: 34.9% Favorable: 68.2% Unfavorable: 20.5% Unsure: 11.4% Favorable: 63.9% Unfavorable: 21.3% Unsure: 14.8% Favorable: 56.6% Unfavorable: 22.0% Unsure: 21.4% Favorable: 58.0% Unfavorable: 22.0% Unsure: 20.0% Favorable: 62.6% Unfavorable: 18.2% Unsure: 19.2% Favorable: 59.7% Unfavorable: 21.8% Unsure: 18.5% Favorable: 42.3% Unfavorable: 30.3% Unsure: 27.4% Favorable: 28.2% Unfavorable: 28.2% Unsure: 43.6% Favorable: 30.4% Unfavorable: 37.4% Unsure: 32.2%
7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeff Greene? Favorable: 33.9% Unfavorable: 42.5% Unsure: 23.6% Favorable: 33.8% Unfavorable: 42.6% Unsure: 23.6% Favorable: 32.1% Unfavorable: 47.3% Unsure: 20.7% Favorable: 35.8% Unfavorable: 35.2% Unsure: 29.1% Favorable: 31.0% Unfavorable: 44.8% Unsure: 24.1% Favorable: 39.0% Unfavorable: 36.0% Unsure: 25.0% Favorable: 36.8% Unfavorable: 39.1% Unsure: 24.1% Favorable: 31.8% Unfavorable: 45.2% Unsure: 23.0% Favorable: 35.2% Unfavorable: 40.9% Unsure: 24.0% Favorable: 31.5% Unfavorable: 46.7% Unsure: 21.7% Favorable: 35.1% Unfavorable: 38.0% Unsure: 26.9% Favorable: 34.0% Unfavorable: 45.2% Unsure: 20.8% Favorable: 33.4% Unfavorable: 40.6% Unsure: 26.0% Favorable: 41.3% Unfavorable: 31.7% Unsure: 27.0% Favorable: 22.7% Unfavorable: 45.5% Unsure: 31.8% Favorable: 22.1% Unfavorable: 47.5% Unsure: 30.3% Favorable: 43.4% Unfavorable: 39.0% Unsure: 17.6% Favorable: 24.0% Unfavorable: 50.0% Unsure: 26.0% Favorable: 35.7% Unfavorable: 40.4% Unsure: 23.8% Favorable: 30.7% Unfavorable: 46.7% Unsure: 22.6% Favorable: 42.3% Unfavorable: 37.3% Unsure: 20.3% Favorable: 23.9% Unfavorable: 40.2% Unsure: 35.9% Favorable: 34.6% Unfavorable: 43.5% Unsure: 22.0% 2018 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) website:
8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris King? Favorable: 20.7% Unfavorable: 28.9% Unsure: 50.3% Favorable: 20.7% Unfavorable: 28.9% Unsure: 50.4% Favorable: 23.1% Unfavorable: 26.4% Unsure: 50.5% Favorable: 15.5% Unfavorable: 34.7% Unsure: 49.8% Favorable: 13.8% Unfavorable: 51.7% Unsure: 34.5% Favorable: 22.0% Unfavorable: 28.0% Unsure: 50.0% Favorable: 24.1% Unfavorable: 18.4% Unsure: 57.5% Favorable: 21.9% Unfavorable: 30.4% Unsure: 47.7% Favorable: 19.9% Unfavorable: 28.1% Unsure: 52.0% Favorable: 15.2% Unfavorable: 37.0% Unsure: 47.8% Favorable: 21.8% Unfavorable: 29.9% Unsure: 48.4% Favorable: 22.8% Unfavorable: 28.7% Unsure: 48.5% Favorable: 18.4% Unfavorable: 28.0% Unsure: 53.6% Favorable: 9.5% Unfavorable: 30.2% Unsure: 60.3% Favorable: 18.2% Unfavorable: 31.8% Unsure: 50.0% Favorable: 12.3% Unfavorable: 44.3% Unsure: 43.4% Favorable: 29.6% Unfavorable: 28.3% Unsure: 42.1% Favorable: 8.0% Unfavorable: 32.0% Unsure: 60.0% Favorable: 29.7% Unfavorable: 26.6% Unsure: 43.7% Favorable: 25.3% Unfavorable: 28.4% Unsure: 46.3% Favorable: 16.2% Unfavorable: 30.7% Unsure: 53.1% Favorable: 14.5% Unfavorable: 28.2% Unsure: 57.3% Favorable: 13.5% Unfavorable: 26.3% Unsure: 60.2%
9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Philip Levine? Favorable: 53.9% Unfavorable: 22.5% Unsure: 23.6% Favorable: 54.0% Unfavorable: 22.4% Unsure: 23.6% Favorable: 55.1% Unfavorable: 23.1% Unsure: 21.8% Favorable: 52.0% Unfavorable: 20.5% Unsure: 27.5% Favorable: 51.7% Unfavorable: 24.1% Unsure: 24.1% Favorable: 51.2% Unfavorable: 26.8% Unsure: 22.0% Favorable: 57.5% Unfavorable: 18.4% Unsure: 24.1% Favorable: 52.0% Unfavorable: 24.1% Unsure: 23.9% Favorable: 55.4% Unfavorable: 21.4% Unsure: 23.2% Favorable: 50.0% Unfavorable: 25.0% Unsure: 25.0% Favorable: 49.0% Unfavorable: 26.0% Unsure: 25.0% Favorable: 56.5% Unfavorable: 22.3% Unsure: 21.2% Favorable: 53.3% Unfavorable: 21.0% Unsure: 25.8% Favorable: 50.8% Unfavorable: 28.6% Unsure: 20.6% Favorable: 31.8% Unfavorable: 29.5% Unsure: 38.6% Favorable: 36.1% Unfavorable: 37.7% Unsure: 26.2% Favorable: 56.0% Unfavorable: 19.5% Unsure: 24.5% Favorable: 40.0% Unfavorable: 26.0% Unsure: 34.0% Favorable: 47.0% Unfavorable: 25.2% Unsure: 27.8% Favorable: 52.5% Unfavorable: 24.3% Unsure: 23.2% Favorable: 61.0% Unfavorable: 17.4% Unsure: 21.6% Favorable: 70.1% Unfavorable: 15.4% Unsure: 14.5% Favorable: 62.6% Unfavorable: 17.2% Unsure: 20.2% 2018 Fextel, Inc. phone: (727) website:
10 Have you already voted or do you plan to vote in the upcoming Democratic Primary Election? Already voted: 32.4% Plan to vote: 67.6% Alredy voted: 32.5% Plan to vote: 67.5% Alredy voted: 35.5% Plan to vote: 64.5% Alredy voted: 27.2% Plan to vote: 72.8% Alredy voted: 20.7% Plan to vote: 79.3% Alredy voted: 32.9% Plan to vote: 67.1% Alredy voted: 29.9% Plan to vote: 70.1% Alredy voted: 31.7% Plan to vote: 68.3% Alredy voted: 33.0% Plan to vote: 67.0% Alredy voted: 30.4% Plan to vote: 69.6% Alredy voted: 22.1% Plan to vote: 77.9% Alredy voted: 31.2% Plan to vote: 68.8% Alredy voted: 38.2% Plan to vote: 61.8% Alredy voted: 28.6% Plan to vote: 71.4% Alredy voted: 18.2% Plan to vote: 81.8% Alredy voted: 26.2% Plan to vote: 73.8% Alredy voted: 28.9% Plan to vote: 71.1% Alredy voted: 18.0% Plan to vote: 82.0% Alredy voted: 27.6% Plan to vote: 72.4% Alredy voted: 40.2% Plan to vote: 59.8% Alredy voted: 29.9% Plan to vote: 70.1% Alredy voted: 43.6% Plan to vote: 56.4% Alredy voted: 33.3% Plan to vote: 66.7%
Subject: Florida Statewide General-Election survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com
9887 4 th St. N., Suite 200 St. Petersburg, FL 33702 Phone: (727) 245-1962 Fax: (727) 577-7470 Email: info@stpetepolls.org Website: www.stpetepolls.org Matt Florell, President Subject: Florida Statewide
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