Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 1

Transcription

1 1 Tonight's debate between Christine O'Donnell and Chris Coons... did you watch... The entire 90-minute debate? Just the first 30 minutes? Or, did you not yet get a chance to watch the debate? 891 Adults Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.8% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Entire 77% 100% 0% 80% 72% 84% 79% 81% 70% 80% 75% 77% 74% ** ** 74% 78% 79% First Part Only 14% 0% 100% 12% 18% 9% 12% 11% 20% 11% 16% 15% 11% ** ** 16% 13% 15% Did Not 9% 0% 0% 8% 11% 7% 10% 7% 10% 9% 9% 8% 15% ** ** 10% 9% 5% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 77% 14% 62% 38% 8% 22% 33% 37% 30% 70% 88% 8% 2% 2% 33% 45% 21% 1 Tonight's debate between Christine O'Donnell and Chris Coons... did you watch... The entire 90-minute debate? Just the first 30 minutes? Or, did you not yet get a chance to watch the debate? 891 Adults Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.8% Entire 77% 72% 80% 80% First Part Only 14% 17% 15% 10% Did Not 9% 11% 6% 9% Composition of Adults 100% 32% 44% 19% 2 Regardless of who you plan to vote for... who won the debate? O'Donnell? Coons? Or, was there no clear winner? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.5% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen O'Donnell 29% 29% 32% 34% 22% 31% 29% 26% 32% 30% 29% 30% 14% ** ** 55% 10% 32% Coons 56% 57% 50% 51% 64% 56% 55% 62% 51% 55% 56% 55% 76% ** ** 26% 80% 52% No Clear Winner 15% 14% 18% 15% 14% 13% 16% 12% 17% 15% 15% 15% 10% ** ** 20% 11% 16% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Watched 100% 84% 16% 62% 38% 8% 22% 34% 36% 30% 70% 89% 8% 2% 2% 32% 45% 22% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 1

2 2 Regardless of who you plan to vote for... who won the debate? O'Donnell? Coons? Or, was there no clear winner? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.5% O'Donnell 29% 57% 21% 3% Coons 56% 19% 67% 91% No Clear Winner 15% 24% 12% 6% Composition of Who Watched 100% 32% 46% 19% 3 Before the debate, did you support one of the candidates? Or were you undecided? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.8% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Supported 79% 79% 80% 79% 79% 67% 79% 82% 80% 76% 81% 80% 79% ** ** 75% 86% 71% Undecided 21% 21% 20% 21% 21% 33% 21% 18% 20% 24% 19% 20% 21% ** ** 25% 14% 29% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Watched 100% 84% 16% 62% 38% 8% 22% 34% 36% 30% 70% 89% 8% 2% 2% 32% 45% 22% 3 Before the debate, did you support one of the candidates? Or were you undecided? Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.8% Supported 79% 81% 75% 92% Undecided 21% 19% 25% 8% Composition of Who Watched 100% 32% 46% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 2

3 4 Do you still support the same candidate? Or, did you switch as a result of the debate? 645 Who Supported Someone Befor Margin of Sampling Error: +/-1.1% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Still Support 98% 98% 97% 99% 98% 98% 97% 100% 97% 97% 98% 98% 96% ** ** 98% 98% 98% Switched 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% ** ** 2% 2% 2% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Supported Som 100% 84% 16% 62% 38% 7% 22% 35% 37% 28% 72% 89% 8% 2% 2% 31% 49% 20% 4 Do you still support the same candidate? Or, did you switch as a result of the debate? 645 Who Supported Someone Befor Margin of Sampling Error: +/-1.1% Still Support 98% 99% 98% 99% Switched 2% 1% 2% 1% Composition of Who Supported Som 100% 32% 43% 22% 5 Did you switch from Coons to O'Donnell? Or, from O'Donnell to Coons? 12 Who Switched Margin of Sampling Error: +/-27.2% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Coons To O'Donnell 67% 67% 67% 67% 67% 0% 75% 0% 83% 60% 71% 70% 50% ** ** 100% 71% 0% O'Donnell To Coons 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% 100% 25% 100% 17% 40% 29% 30% 50% ** ** 0% 29% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Switched 100% 75% 25% 50% 50% 8% 33% 8% 50% 42% 58% 83% 17% 0% 0% 25% 58% 17% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 3

4 5 Did you switch from Coons to O'Donnell? Or, from O'Donnell to Coons? 12 Who Switched Margin of Sampling Error: +/-27.2% Coons To O'Donnell 67% 100% 60% 100% O'Donnell To Coons 33% 0% 40% 0% Composition of Who Switched 100% 17% 42% 17% 6 Are you still undecided? Or, do you now support one of the candidates? 168 Who Were Undecided Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.5% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Still Undecided 23% 20% 42% 18% 32% 5% 19% 24% 32% 14% 28% 25% 8% ** ** 35% 18% 14% Now Support 77% 80% 58% 82% 68% 95% 81% 76% 68% 86% 72% 75% 92% ** ** 65% 82% 86% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Were Undecide 100% 85% 15% 63% 38% 13% 22% 30% 35% 35% 65% 87% 8% 3% 2% 39% 30% 30% 6 Are you still undecided? Or, do you now support one of the candidates? 168 Who Were Undecided Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.5% Still Undecided 23% 19% 22% 38% Now Support 77% 81% 78% 62% Composition of Who Were Undecide 100% 29% 56% 8% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 4

5 7 Which candidate do you now support? 129 Who Now Support a Candidate Margin of Sampling Error: +/-8.8% Some Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Coons 49% 47% 60% 49% 49% 60% 47% 51% 43% 52% 47% 50% 58% ** ** 38% 62% 45% O'Donnell 51% 53% 40% 51% 51% 40% 53% 49% 58% 48% 53% 50% 42% ** ** 62% 38% 55% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Now Support a 100% 88% 12% 67% 33% 16% 23% 30% 31% 39% 61% 84% 9% 3% 3% 33% 33% 34% 7 Which candidate do you now support? 129 Who Now Support a Candidate Margin of Sampling Error: +/-8.8% Coons 49% 18% 56% 100% O'Donnell 51% 82% 44% 0% Composition of Who Now Support a 100% 30% 57% 6% ** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful. Statement of Methodology: About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 5