Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 1
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- Malcolm Pitts
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1 SurveyUSA Health Care Data Gathered Using NBC News Wall Street Journal Questions: SurveyUSA asked 1,200 USA adults four questions that, word-for-word, were included in the three most recent NBC News / Wall Street Journal polls. SurveyUSA Question #2 appears in the June 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #34A. SurveyUSA Question #3 appears in the June 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #34C, in the July 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #29, and in the August 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #10. SurveyUSA Questions #4 and #5 appear in the June 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #31C, in the July 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #30, and in the August 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #11. SurveyUSA Question #6 appears in the June 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #32, in the July 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #31, and in the August 2009 NBC-WSJ poll as Question #12. SurveyUSA demographics were matched as close as practicable to demographics used by the NBC-WSJ pollsters in June, July and August The NBC-WSJ questionnaires in all cases were longer. Not all questions from the NBC-WSJ surveys were included in the SurveyUSA research. For example, in the July 2009 NBC-WSJ poll, respondents were asked questions about Congress, Sonia Sotomayor, Sarah Palin, Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, the 2010 mid-term election, job creation, deficit spending, Iraq, Afghanistan, gasoline, global warming, greenhouse gases, moral values, bank regulation and stimulus packages before respondents were asked questions about health care. There is nothing inherently worse about a longer questionnaire, there is nothing inherently better about a shorter questionnaire; there is just more opportunity for "question-order" interaction in a longer questionnaire. SurveyUSA included only the questions shown below, and no others. SurveyUSA Question #1 does not map to a specific NBC-WSJ poll; it was included to introduce the respondent to the topic of health care. SurveyUSA poll was conducted using digitally mastered, recorded audio. NBC-WSJ polls were not. NBC-WSJ August data gathered 08/15/09 through 08/17/09. SurveyUSA data gathered 08/19/09. SurveyUSA data collection for this project was underwritten by MoveOn.org. Poll respondents did not hear MoveOn's name. SurveyUSA is an independent research company and does not endorse any particular cause or ideology. SurveyUSA has no stake in the outcome of any health-care legislation and is a disinterested party in the health-care debate. 1 Are you paying... a lot of attention? A little attention? Or not very much attention?...to the debate over health care? Credibility Interval: +/-2.6 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K A Lot Of Attention 73% 77% 70% 75% 75% 66% 55% 82% 68% 73% 83% 68% 74% 79% 68% 69% 78% 73% A Little Attention 21% 19% 24% 20% 21% 27% 35% 16% 27% 19% 15% 26% 21% 19% 24% 23% 18% 24% Not Very Much Attention 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 6% 10% 2% 5% 7% 2% 6% 6% 3% 8% 8% 4% 3% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 74% 11% 10% 6% 28% 38% 31% 34% 43% 17% 50% 50% 34% 34% 32% 1 Are you paying... a lot of attention? A little attention? Or not very much attention?...to the debate over health care? Credibility Interval: +/-2.6 pct points Northea Midwes South West A Lot Of Attention 73% 72% 75% 77% 67% 56% 75% 81% 81% A Little Attention 21% 23% 20% 19% 26% 35% 22% 15% 15% Not Very Much Attention 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 9% 3% 4% 5% Composition of Adults 100% 19% 22% 36% 23% 24% 26% 30% 20% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 1
2 1 Are you paying... a lot of attention? A little attention? Or not very much attention?...to the debate over health care? Credibility Interval: +/-2.6 pct points A Lot Of Attention 73% 59% 55% 55% 76% 67% 82% 79% 80% 85% 85% ** 77% 66% 81% A Little Attention 21% 31% 33% 39% 22% 28% 15% 16% 16% 12% 9% ** 19% 28% 15% Not Very Much Attention 5% 10% 12% 6% 2% 5% 2% 5% 4% 3% 6% ** 4% 6% 4% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 8% 6% 10% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 9% 7% 5% 8% 50% 50% 2 In any health care proposal, how important do you feel it is to give people a choice of both a public plan administered by the federal government and a private plan for their health insurance--extremely important, quite important, not that important, or not at all important? Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Extremely Important 58% 55% 61% 57% 65% 59% 58% 58% 61% 54% 56% 55% 70% 55% 61% 59% 59% 55% Quite Important 19% 16% 22% 18% 19% 32% 17% 13% 25% 17% 11% 25% 20% 19% 19% 21% 15% 21% Not That Important 7% 7% 7% 8% 4% 1% 4% 6% 6% 8% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% Not At Important 15% 21% 10% 16% 9% 7% 21% 22% 6% 20% 25% 12% 3% 20% 11% 11% 19% 16% Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 74% 11% 10% 6% 28% 38% 31% 34% 43% 17% 50% 50% 34% 34% 32% 2 In any health care proposal, how important do you feel it is to give people a choice of both a public plan administered by the federal government and a private plan for their health insurance--extremely important, quite important, not that important, or not at all important? Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Northea Midwes South West Extremely Important 58% 57% 56% 62% 54% 62% 53% 59% 59% Quite Important 19% 23% 15% 16% 24% 23% 18% 18% 18% Not That Important 7% 9% 9% 5% 6% 5% 7% 7% 7% Not At Important 15% 11% 19% 15% 15% 9% 21% 15% 15% Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% Composition of Adults 100% 19% 22% 36% 23% 24% 26% 30% 20% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 2
3 2 In any health care proposal, how important do you feel it is to give people a choice of both a public plan administered by the federal government and a private plan for their health insurance--extremely important, quite important, not that important, or not at all important? Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Extremely Important 58% 68% 65% 56% 54% 47% 57% 57% 55% 66% 57% ** 56% 57% 59% Quite Important 19% 20% 20% 28% 20% 23% 11% 17% 20% 16% 17% ** 23% 20% 18% Not That Important 7% 7% 4% 4% 3% 10% 7% 11% 6% 5% 7% ** 9% 6% 7% Not At Important 15% 4% 10% 12% 21% 17% 25% 15% 17% 13% 17% ** 10% 15% 15% Not Sure 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% ** 1% 1% 1% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 8% 6% 10% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 9% 7% 5% 8% 50% 50% 3 Please tell me which ONE statement you agree with more on the issue of creating a new public health plan administered by the federal government. (choices rotated) Some people say it would help lower health care costs because it would compete with private health plans. This new public plan would provide coverage for the uninsured and all Americans would have an option for quality affordable health care. Other people say that patients might not always have access to their choice of doctors and the government would lower costs by limiting medical treatment options and decisions that should be made instead by patients and doctors. Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Provide Care for 42% 45% 40% 38% 59% 48% 50% 22% 62% 36% 20% 46% 74% 42% 42% 43% 36% 48% Limit Access to Doctors 46% 45% 47% 50% 26% 46% 42% 67% 27% 52% 70% 41% 14% 50% 43% 42% 51% 45% Not Sure 11% 10% 13% 12% 15% 6% 9% 11% 11% 12% 10% 12% 11% 8% 15% 15% 13% 7% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 74% 11% 10% 6% 28% 38% 31% 34% 43% 17% 50% 50% 34% 34% 32% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 3
4 3 Please tell me which ONE statement you agree with more on the issue of creating a new public health plan administered by the federal government. (choices rotated) Some people say it would help lower health care costs because it would compete with private health plans. This new public plan would provide coverage for the uninsured and all Americans would have an option for quality affordable health care. Other people say that patients might not always have access to their choice of doctors and the government would lower costs by limiting medical treatment options and decisions that should be made instead by patients and doctors. Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Northea Midwes South West Provide Care for 42% 49% 38% 40% 44% 47% 39% 46% 36% Limit Access to Doctors 46% 39% 50% 49% 45% 46% 49% 43% 48% Not Sure 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 7% 13% 11% 16% Composition of Adults 100% 19% 22% 36% 23% 24% 26% 30% 20% 3 Please tell me which ONE statement you agree with more on the issue of creating a new public health plan administered by the federal government. (choices rotated) Some people say it would help lower health care costs because it would compete with private health plans. This new public plan would provide coverage for the uninsured and all Americans would have an option for quality affordable health care. Other people say that patients might not always have access to their choice of doctors and the government would lower costs by limiting medical treatment options and decisions that should be made instead by patients and doctors. Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Provide Care for 42% 58% 52% 34% 43% 41% 32% 37% 49% 53% 33% ** 38% 43% 42% Limit Access to Doctors 46% 36% 34% 61% 44% 47% 55% 51% 42% 36% 54% ** 41% 47% 45% Not Sure 11% 6% 14% 5% 12% 12% 13% 12% 9% 11% 12% ** 21% 10% 13% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 8% 6% 10% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 9% 7% 5% 8% 50% 50% 4 Do you have a health plan, that is, are you covered by a private health insurance plan or by a government program such as Medicare, Medicaid, or Tricare? Credibility Interval: +/-2 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Yes 85% 86% 85% 89% 69% 81% 80% 88% 85% 85% 86% 88% 82% 89% 82% 78% 88% 91% No 13% 13% 14% 11% 25% 17% 16% 11% 12% 14% 13% 11% 16% 9% 17% 21% 11% 7% Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 1% 6% 1% 4% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 74% 11% 10% 6% 28% 38% 31% 34% 43% 17% 50% 50% 34% 34% 32% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 4
5 4 Do you have a health plan, that is, are you covered by a private health insurance plan or by a government program such as Medicare, Medicaid, or Tricare? Credibility Interval: +/-2 pct points Northea Midwes South West Yes 85% 87% 88% 84% 84% 77% 88% 83% 95% No 13% 12% 10% 14% 16% 20% 11% 16% 3% Not Sure 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 3% 1% 0% 2% Composition of Adults 100% 19% 22% 36% 23% 24% 26% 30% 20% 4 Do you have a health plan, that is, are you covered by a private health insurance plan or by a government program such as Medicare, Medicaid, or Tricare? Credibility Interval: +/-2 pct points Yes 85% 68% 79% 83% 91% 81% 91% 78% 82% 92% 96% ** 93% 83% 88% No 13% 28% 19% 14% 9% 17% 8% 22% 18% 7% 4% ** 4% 16% 11% Not Sure 1% 4% 2% 3% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% ** 3% 2% 1% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 8% 6% 10% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 9% 7% 5% 8% 50% 50% 5 Well, what kind of plan would you say your primary plan is? 1024 With a Health Plan Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Private 67% 71% 63% 67% 54% 74% 77% 69% 64% 69% 66% 69% 68% 78% 55% 32% 76% 88% Medicare 22% 18% 25% 23% 30% 11% 12% 22% 23% 19% 23% 20% 23% 15% 28% 46% 17% 6% Medicaid 4% 2% 6% 4% 9% 7% 4% 1% 6% 4% 3% 3% 6% 1% 8% 14% 1% 0% Tricare 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 2% 7% 7% 2% 6% 6% 5% 1% 4% 5% 3% 6% 5% Other 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 5% 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of With a Health Plan 100% 48% 52% 77% 9% 9% 5% 28% 38% 31% 34% 44% 16% 52% 48% 31% 35% 34% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 5
6 5 Well, what kind of plan would you say your primary plan is? 1024 With a Health Plan Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Northea Midwes South West Private 67% 67% 72% 59% 73% 71% 89% 78% 22% Medicare 22% 22% 20% 25% 17% 9% 3% 10% 71% Medicaid 4% 5% 3% 6% 2% 10% 4% 4% 1% Tricare 5% 3% 3% 7% 5% 6% 3% 6% 3% Other 2% 0% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% Not Sure 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% Composition of With a Health Plan 100% 20% 23% 35% 22% 21% 27% 29% 23% 5 Well, what kind of plan would you say your primary plan is? 1024 With a Health Plan Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Private 67% 58% 65% 83% 87% 90% 89% 77% 83% 74% 29% 19% 16% 81% 54% Medicare 22% 16% 11% 2% 1% 3% 4% 9% 6% 17% 66% 76% 72% 5% 37% Medicaid 4% 20% 1% 8% 4% 5% 2% 7% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% 6% 2% Tricare 5% 6% 10% 4% 6% 1% 3% 5% 7% 6% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% Other 2% 0% 8% 1% 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% Not Sure 1% 0% 5% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 5% 1% 1% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of With a Health Plan 100% 6% 5% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11% 9% 8% 6% 9% 48% 52% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 6
7 6 Now I am going to tell you more about the health care plan that President Obama supports and please tell me whether you would favor or oppose it. The plan requires that health insurance companies cover people with pre-existing medical conditions. It also requires all but the smallest employers to provide health coverage for their employees, or pay a percentage of their payroll to help fund coverage for the uninsured. Families and individuals with lower- and middle-incomes would receive tax credits to help them afford insurance coverage. Some of the funding for this plan would come from raising taxes on wealthier Americans. Do you favor or oppose this plan? Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Favor 51% 49% 53% 46% 75% 63% 58% 25% 75% 44% 27% 56% 82% 48% 54% 56% 46% 53% Oppose 43% 45% 40% 49% 21% 20% 38% 69% 17% 52% 69% 36% 14% 46% 40% 37% 50% 39% Not Sure 6% 5% 7% 5% 4% 17% 3% 6% 8% 5% 4% 8% 4% 6% 6% 7% 4% 8% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 48% 52% 74% 11% 10% 6% 28% 38% 31% 34% 43% 17% 50% 50% 34% 34% 32% 6 Now I am going to tell you more about the health care plan that President Obama supports and please tell me whether you would favor or oppose it. The plan requires that health insurance companies cover people with pre-existing medical conditions. It also requires all but the smallest employers to provide health coverage for their employees, or pay a percentage of their payroll to help fund coverage for the uninsured. Families and individuals with lower- and middle-incomes would receive tax credits to help them afford insurance coverage. Some of the funding for this plan would come from raising taxes on wealthier Americans. Do you favor or oppose this plan? Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Northea Midwes South West Favor 51% 62% 45% 50% 50% 60% 47% 55% 41% Oppose 43% 32% 49% 45% 41% 29% 47% 43% 52% Not Sure 6% 6% 6% 5% 9% 11% 5% 3% 7% Composition of Adults 100% 19% 22% 36% 23% 24% 26% 30% 20% 6 Now I am going to tell you more about the health care plan that President Obama supports and please tell me whether you would favor or oppose it. The plan requires that health insurance companies cover people with pre-existing medical conditions. It also requires all but the smallest employers to provide health coverage for their employees, or pay a percentage of their payroll to help fund coverage for the uninsured. Families and individuals with lower- and middle-incomes would receive tax credits to help them afford insurance coverage. Some of the funding for this plan would come from raising taxes on wealthier Americans. Do you favor or oppose this plan? Credibility Interval: +/-2.9 pct points Favor 51% 66% 74% 47% 54% 48% 41% 47% 57% 60% 43% ** 41% 53% 49% Oppose 43% 27% 25% 33% 44% 44% 54% 51% 40% 36% 52% ** 50% 39% 46% Not Sure 6% 7% 1% 20% 2% 8% 5% 2% 3% 4% 5% ** 9% 8% 4% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 8% 6% 10% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 9% 7% 5% 8% 50% 50% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 7
8 7 And do you strongly or only somewhat favor this plan? 614 Who Favor Plan Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Strongly Favor 79% 84% 74% 78% 79% 81% 81% 68% 82% 75% 66% 75% 91% 81% 76% 78% 79% 82% Somewhat Favor 20% 16% 24% 21% 20% 16% 18% 31% 16% 25% 33% 23% 8% 17% 23% 22% 19% 18% Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Favor Plan 100% 46% 54% 66% 16% 12% 6% 14% 56% 27% 18% 47% 27% 47% 53% 37% 31% 33% 7 And do you strongly or only somewhat favor this plan? 614 Who Favor Plan Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Northea Midwes South West Strongly Favor 79% 82% 73% 78% 80% 82% 78% 80% 72% Somewhat Favor 20% 18% 26% 20% 18% 18% 22% 17% 26% Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% Composition of Who Favor Plan 100% 23% 20% 35% 22% 28% 24% 32% 16% 7 And do you strongly or only somewhat favor this plan? 614 Who Favor Plan Credibility Interval: +/-3.3 pct points Strongly Favor 79% 78% 85% 82% 73% 80% 80% 74% 79% 87% 75% ** 70% 80% 77% Somewhat Favor 20% 22% 15% 18% 27% 20% 20% 25% 16% 12% 23% ** 29% 20% 20% Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 1% 2% ** 0% 0% 2% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Favor Plan 100% 10% 8% 9% 8% 9% 7% 9% 12% 10% 6% 4% 6% 52% 48% Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 8
9 8 And do you strongly or only somewhat oppose this plan? 511 Who Oppose Plan Credibility Interval: +/-3 pct points Male Female White Black Hispani Other Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal College No Coll < $40K $40K - > $80K Strongly Oppose 86% 88% 84% 86% 89% ** 88% 90% 72% 88% 94% 77% 64% 89% 83% 83% 89% 88% Somewhat Oppose 13% 12% 14% 13% 11% ** 12% 9% 27% 11% 5% 21% 36% 11% 15% 16% 10% 11% Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% ** 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Oppose Plan 100% 51% 49% 85% 5% 5% 5% 45% 15% 38% 55% 36% 6% 53% 47% 30% 41% 29% 8 And do you strongly or only somewhat oppose this plan? 511 Who Oppose Plan Credibility Interval: +/-3 pct points Northea Midwes South West Strongly Oppose 86% 83% 86% 86% 89% 86% 91% 87% 80% Somewhat Oppose 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 14% 9% 12% 18% Not Sure 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% Composition of Who Oppose Plan 100% 14% 26% 38% 22% 16% 29% 30% 25% 8 And do you strongly or only somewhat oppose this plan? 511 Who Oppose Plan Credibility Interval: +/-3 pct points Strongly Oppose 86% ** ** 88% 92% 88% 93% 87% 92% 79% 87% 84% 70% 89% 84% Somewhat Oppose 13% ** ** 12% 8% 12% 7% 12% 8% 18% 11% 14% 27% 11% 15% Not Sure 1% ** ** 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3% 2% 3% 2% 0% 2% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Who Oppose Plan 100% 5% 4% 8% 8% 10% 11% 12% 10% 7% 9% 6% 9% 45% 55% ** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful. Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 9
10 Statement of Methodology: About the Poll: This poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. respondents heard the questions asked identically. The pollster's report includes the geography that was surveyed; the date(s) interviews were conducted, the number of respondents who answered each question and the theoretical margin of sampling error for each question. Where necessary, respondents were weighted using the most recent US Census estimates for age, gender, ethnic origin and region, to align the sample to the population. In theory, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents with home telephones been interviewed with complete accuracy. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than sampling error. These include: the difficulty of interviewing respondents who do not have a home telephone; the refusal by some with home telephones to be interviewed; the order in which questions are asked; the wording of questions; the way and extent to which data are weighted; and the manner in which specialized populations, such as likely voters, are determined. It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these and other factors. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. Results of SurveyUSA News Poll # Page 10
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