Tools & Methods for Monitoring Performance Results

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1 Tools & Methods for Monitoring Performance Results Craig B. Newell Bureau of Transportation Planning Manager Michigan Department of Transportation

2 Overview of MDOT s Tools & Methods for Monitoring Performance The Vision 2007 Pavement Condition Goal The Tool Road Quality Forecasting System (RQFS) Program Development Process Call for Projects Monitoring and Adjustments Improvements Adopted Current Activities

3 MDOT Unique Agency Practices MDOT has jurisdiction of about 25% of the state s federal aid eligible routes $450 million per year for pavement preservation $360M Rehabilitation & Reconstruction $90M Preventive Maintenance Annual Call for Projects Publish a rolling five-year plan annually

4 The Vision 2007 Pavement Preservation Goals Pavement preservation goal established in 1997 by State Transportation Commission 95% of Freeways in good/fair condition 85 % of non-freeways in good/fair condition Remaining Service Life (RSL) established as performance measure

5 The Tool Road Quality Forecasting System (RQFS) RQFS is a program level model used to forecast future MDOT pavement condition based on RSL RQFS is also used to determine funding need based on desired future condition RSL 0-2 Years = Poor RSL 3-7 Years = Fair RSL >7 Years = Good

6 The Tool Road Quality Forecasting System (RQFS) Fix Strategies identify percentage of network to move from one RSL category to another Lane miles or percent of network improved Average regional costs for each major category fix type (Recon, Rehab, Preventive Maintenance) Strategy most effective with a mix of fixes

7 Program Development Process Call for Projects Program funding template targets established Allocates funding in alignment with investment strategy Pavement funding allocated by formula to Regions RQFS fix strategies guide project selection Strategies constrained to funding targets Review and approval required Analysis to ensure strategies are being implemented

8 Monitoring and Adjustments Along the Way Identified need for additional $500 million in funding starting in 2003 (Preserve First) Intiial RQFS Strategy Analysis of Preserve First Initiative 100% 95% % Good/Fair Pavement 90% 85% 80% 75% Original Strategy Preserve First Strategy Goal 70% Year

9 Monitoring and Adjustments Along the Way Identified need for additional $270 million in funding starting in 2006 (Jobs Today) Initial Jobs Today Analysis 95% 90% % Good/Fair 85% 80% Original Strategy Jobs Today Strategy 75% Year Goal

10 Monitoring and Adjustments Along the Way Goal was achieved thanks to many adjustments along the way 100% MDOT Trunkline Pavement Condition % 80% % Good/Fair 70% 60% 50% Trunkline Pavement Condition Goal 40% 30% Year

11 Improvements Adopted Improvements to RQFS Addressing worst first Fix Life annual review Cost Matrix annual review Account for Inflation Call for Projects Process Improvement Strategy emphasis Funding formula allocation

12 Future Forecasts Alarming There is insufficient funding to keep pavement condition at current levels. This is the result of increasing costs and down trending revenues % Combined Freeway and Non-Freeway Five Year Program Pavement Condition Forecast 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Historical RSL 5YP Strategy Goal

13 Pavement Needs Identified in Legislative Report

14 Pavement Investment Scenario s MDOT Trunkline Investment Scenarios 100% 90% 80% % Good/Fair 70% 60% 50% 40% Reduced (Does Not Match All Federal Aid) 5YP (Match All Federal Aid) Match All Plus $200M 30% Match All Plus $400M 20% Match All Plus $600M 10% Match All Plus $917M 0% Year

15 Other Programs Monitoring Performance in Other Highway Programs: Bridge Safety - ITS - Congestion

16 Bridge Monitoring Bridge Condition Forecasting (BCFS) uses National Bridge Inspection (NBIS) Ratings to measure the bridge network condition Bridge Condition Forecast System MDOT All Highway Bridges % Percent Bridges in Fair or Good Condition Mi-Dashboard Condition Goal = 93.6% Good or Fair 95.00% 90.00% 85.00% Year Current Program Plus $60 Million Mi-Dashboard Condition Goal

17 Congestion Monitoring Developed Statewide Congestion Definitions Congested LOS F : Freeway LOS E, F : Non-Freeway Approaching Congested LOS D, E : Freeway LOS D : Non-Freeway Congested and Approaching Congested Segments Utilize cost by area type and road type Adding lanes to lower congestion factors $3.2 B annually needed to eliminate congestion

18 ITS Monitoring Developed requirements and tool for asset management of our ITS system The asset management tool serves as an inventory system, and provides a work order development and tracking system Hope to develop budget forecasting component to forecast maintenance needs in the near future

19 Safety Monitoring Infusion of additional safety funding has resulted in a decline of serious injuries and fatalities over the past several years

20 Safety Monitoring Reducing Traffic Crashes, Fatalities and Injuries Serious Injuries Trunkline Serious Injuries Actual Goal Year A reduction of 23% in five years for trunkline

21 Questions?