GROWTH AND JOBS: NEXT STEPS

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1 GROWTH AND JOBS: NEXT STEPS Presentation of J.M. Barroso, President of the European Commission, to the informal European Council of 30 January 2012

2 Tackling the «vicious circles» affecting Europe Europe 2020 Macro-imbalances procedure Euro Plus Pact Low competitiveness Higher taxes Low tax revenue Low productivity Low growth Low demand Limited access to finance Government debts Private and financial sector indebtedness Bank guarantees and recapitalisation International agreement Stability and Growth Pact Financial stability funds Euro Plus Pact Lower values of bonds EU supervisory framework Macro-imbalances procedure Euro Plus Pact Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

3 Restoring growth: a pressing priority EU GDP level in recent years (first quarter 2005 = 100) GDP level ? Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

4 Discipline and growth must be combined Government balance in % of GDP * EA EU -2 SE FI DE EE LU IT BG CY* DK PL* NL BE* MT* AT RO LV PT HU* LT CZ SK FR ES SI -10 UK EL IE -12 * This forecast is based on an Autumn 2011 scenario of «no policy change» and does not reflect announcements made since then, except for BE, CY, HU, MT and PL, where information for 2013 dates from January Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

5 Europe 2020: the EU s growth strategy Strengthened EU economic governance Macro-economic & fiscal surveillance Regulation of financial services Targets and guidance for structural reforms Flagships for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth Digital Agenda Youth on the Move Innovation Union New Industrial Policy New Skills and new Jobs Platform against Poverty Resource Efficiency Modernised EU levers for growth and jobs Single Market Act Trade and external policies Structural Funds and future EU budget Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

6 EU recommendations for action at national level Public finances Labour market Structural policies Financial stability AT BE BG CY CZ DE DK EE ES FI FR HU IT LT LU MT NL PL SE SI SK UK Fiscal consolidation Long-term Sustainability Fiscal framew ork Taxation Wage Setting Active Labour Market Policy Labour Market participation Education Note: Recommendations adopted by the EU in July 2011 for For IE, LV, EL, PT and RO, the only recommendation is to implement existing commitments under EU/IMF financial assistance programmes. Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January Netw ork industries Energy efficiency Service sector Business environment and SMEs R & D and innovation Public services and cohesion policy Banking Housing market

7 Commitments made under the Euro Plus Pact Foster competitiveness Foster employment Sustainability of public finances Reinforce financial stability Wage setting mechanisms Public sector wage developments Competition in services Education, R&D, innovation Labour market flexicurity Labour Undeclared participation work Life-long learning Low er labour taxes Business environment Participation of 2nd earners Align pensions to demography Incentives for older workers National fiscal rule National legislation for banking resolution and other financial stabilisation measures AT BE BG CY DE DK EE EL ES FI FR IE IT LT LU LV MT NL PL PT RO SI SK Note: this table summarises commitments taken by Member States participating in the Euro Plus Pact since Spring Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

8 Annual Growth Survey: five priorities for 2012 Pursuing growth-friendly fiscal consolidation Restoring normal lending to the economy Promoting growth and competitiveness Tackling unemployment and the social consequences of the crisis Modernising public administration Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

9 FOCUS 1: Tackling youth unemployment Youth unemployment rates (November 2011) % of labour force (EU average = 22%) < > 40 Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

10 Unemployment levels vary greatly Unemployment rates and numbers of unemployed (November 2011) Unemployment rates in % (total population) Number of persons unemployed (rounded) Youth unemployment rates in % Number of young unemployed (rounded) Unemployment rates in % (total population) Number of persons unemployed (rounded) Youth unemployment rates in % Number of young unemployed (rounded) EU BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

11 The EU opens up opportunities for young people STUDY: ERASMUS 3 million students so far > a year > 90% satisfaction TRAIN: LEONARDO people so far > placements a year 86% find it beneficial WORK: EURES 1.3 million vacancies employers registered jobs/offers a year Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

12 A Youth on the move Pact (1) EACH MEMBER STATE TO: Develop youth jobs plans by mid-april as part of National Reform Programmes Guarantee job, education or training for each young person within 4 months of leaving school Agree with social partners to increase number of apprenticeships and traineeships Use existing EU support schemes to facilitate youth mobility (with EU and/or top-up national funding) Re-direct EU Structural Funds to give priority to youth unemployment Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

13 A Youth on the move Pact (2) WHERE YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT IS SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE EU AVERAGE: Action teams with Commission, Member States & social partners to develop youth jobs plans Use of unallocated EU Structural Funds to fund training and work experience Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

14 FOCUS 2: Helping our entrepreneurs What is the most pressing problem your firm is facing? (all SMEs in the EU, %, survey from December 2011) Finding customers Access to finance Competition Availability of skilled staff or experienced managers Costs of production or labour Regulation Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

15 and boosting the competitiveness of our SMEs Access to finance EU schemes for SMEs: Direct funding and loans Guarantees Working capital EIB EU market for venture capital Innovative financing instruments (project bonds) At home: Cutting red-tape E-government and e-commerce 3 days to start a business Reduction of late payments Exemptions for micro-firms Access to markets Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January Abroad: Enforce Single Market legislation Fast-track Single Market Act Use of public procurement Support for internationalisation New trade agreements

16 Tapping the potential of EU Funds ESF* unallocated ( m) EU Structural Funds still to be allocated for the period (estimate end 2011) ERDF* unallocated ( m) Total unallocated ( m) Unallocated funds as % of total EU funds ESF* unallocated ( m) ERDF* unallocated ( m) Total unallocated ( m) Unallocated funds as % of total EU funds EU % BE % BG % CZ % DK % DE % EE % IE % EL % ES % FR % IT % CY % LV % LT % LU % HU % MT % NL % AT % PL % PT % RO % SI % SK % FI % SE % UK % Note: Commission estimate of EU funding in programmes still to be allocated to specific operations on the ground. * ESF = European Social Fund. ERDF = European Regional Development Fund. Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

17 European Semester: working together on next steps Now: Prepare youth jobs plan in each National Reform Programme Commission / Member State action on youth unemployment in worst affected Member States (accelerating / redirecting structural funds for youth and SME support) March: EU-level guidance from Spring summit (based on Annual Growth Survey) April: May: June: Member State commitments in National Reform Programmes Commission country-specific recommendations European Council decisions on country-specific recommendations Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

18 E U R O P E Presentation of J.M. Barroso to the informal European Council, 30 January

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