Safer Neighborhoods Initiative

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2 What is the Safer Neighborhoods Initiative The Safer Neighborhoods Initiative is a plan to increase public safety and reduce crime, improve police and fire response times, and increase participation/collaboration with neighborhood groups by focusing resources on: crime and fire prevention, public safety resources, growing neighborhood leadership capacity, positive youth activities, homelessness and tagging prevention. The City Council has committed to using Measure G funds to support the Safer Neighborhoods Initiative. City of Modesto voters will have the opportunity to vote for on Measure G at the Slide Municipal Election. Measure G proposes a local ½ percent transaction and use (sales) tax for general fund purposes.

3 State of the City ECONOMIC RECOVERY CHANGING CITY GOVERNMENT THE CHALLENGE Modest Tax Revenue Growth Declining Unemployment Increased Assessed Valuation of Property New & Innovative Leadership New Strategic Plan New Priorities Modesto Ranks 4 th in Violent Crime in CA Staff Reductions Result in Substandard Response General Fund Insufficient to Meet Needs Slide 3

4 FY General Fund Revenue $1,868,500 $987,273 $1,600,000 $2,042,000 $143,000 $4,206,884 Sales Tax (26.0%) Utility Users Tax (17.4%) Property Tax (11.7%) Vehicle $14,083,984 Sales Tax $30,047,332 Utility Tax $20,056,157 Departmental Revenues (13.5%) Vehicle License Fees Swap (12.2%) Business License/Mill Tax (9.8%) Franchise Fees (3.6%) Construction Revenues (1.8%) Transient Occupancy Tax (1.6%) Property $13,515,210 Transfers In to General Fund (0.9%) One-Time MRFA Dissolution Funds (1.4%) Motor Vehicle Fees (0.1%) Slide 4

5 Total General Fund Revenue (in Millions) $145 $135 $125 $115 $105 $120.4 $126.5 $118.2 $104.3 $106.6 $107.3 $108.0 Should Be Here $136 $115.5 $113.0 $110.1 Below Adjusted 2007 Revenue Projection $95 19% $85 $ Actual 2015 Budget 2016 Proposed Total Revenue Real Revenue Adjusted to 2007 Dollars Slide 5

6 10 Year General Fund Forecast FORECAST SUMMARY Actual Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Unassigned Balance ($ in Mil.) Total Revenues Total Expense Total Beginning Fund Balance Total Ending Fund Balance Unassigned Balance Res+Bal % of Total Expense (1.07) (3.98) (5.38) (1.07) (3.98) (5.38) (5.59) (2.99) (4.58) (8.40) (12.41) (15.32) (16.72) (16.93) 13.6% 10.0% 9.4% 5.8% 2.0% (1.1%) (4.2%) (6.3%) (7.3%) (7.4%) Res + Bal % of Total Expense 2019 Slide 6

7 Millions Dollars ($) Benchmark - Property Tax Comparison GF Property Tax FY GF Property Tax FY $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 $27 Peer Average FY Peer Average FY $25 $66 $65 $72 $108 $53 $53 $145 $131 $32 $29 $32 Modesto Bakersfield Fresno Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino $46 Stockton $65 $60 $19 $20 Visalia Below Peer Average 61% Sources: FY Sources: Adopted FY City Budgets Adopted and City FY Budgets Proposed & FY and/or Proposed Adopted City and/or Budgets. Adopted City Budgets Slide 7

8 $1 in Sales Tax Where Does it go? 85 to STATE OF CA 10 to CITY OF MODESTO 3 to COUNTY LOCAL TRANSPORTATION FUND 2 to STANISLAUS COUNTY LIBRARIES Source: Budget Division via information from the State Board of Equalization Slide 8

9 Benchmark Sales Tax Comparison Ceres 8.125% Oakdale 8.125% Turlock 7.625% Fresno 8.225% Stockton 9.0% Manteca 8.5% Tracy 8.5% Slide 9

10 Benchmark Sales Tax per Capita $250 $200 $150 GF Sales Tax per Capita FY GF Sales Tax per Capita FY Peer Average FY Peer Average FY $133 $137 $209 $187 $163 $153 $179 $183 $164 $153 $152 $209 $139 $230 $188 $223 $194 $167 Below Peer Average $100 $50 $0 29% Sources: FY Sources: Adopted FY City Budgets Adopted and City FY Budgets Proposed & FY and/or Proposed Adopted City and/or Budgets. Adopted City Budgets Slide 10

11 Total FTE Per Capita Comparison FY and FY (in Thousands) Total Authorized FTE per Capita FY Peer Average FY Total Authorized FTE per Capita FY Peer Average FY Since % Modesto Bakersfield Fresno Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino Stockton Visialia Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets and FY Proposed or Adopted City Budgets Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets & FY Proposed and/or Adopted City Budgets Slide 11

12 Workload of Violent Cities Modesto Violent Cities 3 rd highest work load/fte 4 th highest work load per Sworn Officer FBI Uniform Crime Report 2012 Slide 12

13 Top 25 California Cities by Population Modesto Ranks 4th in Violent Crime up from 5 th Last Year (Per Capita) Modesto Ranks 2nd in Property Crime up from 4 th Last Year (Per Capita) FBI Uniform Crime Reports 2012 Slide 13

14 Cost Per Citizen in FY City Population Budget Annual Cost Per Citizen Stockton 306,999 $105,046,041 $342 Fresno 520,148 $151,400,400 $297 Riverside 317,307 $88,378,601 $279 Police Cost Per Citizen San Bernardino 213,933 $56,069,751 $262 Sacramento 480,105 $124,607,303 $260 Modesto 209,186 $53,483,783 $255 6th Bakersfield 369,505 $82,240,301 $226 Visalia 130,753 $22,249,600 $170

15 Police FTE Comparison FY and FY Police Authorized FTE FY Peer Average FY Police Authorized FTE FY Peer Average FY Since % Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets and FY Proposed or Adopted City Budgets Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets & FY Proposed and/or Adopted City Budgets Slide 15

16 Emergency Response Time Minute Response Average In 2014, we arrived on scene within 6 minutes to emergencies 92% of the time. GOAL: 90% % Higher Than Goal Slide 16

17 700 Firefighter Comparison FY Since % Modesto Bakersfield Fresno Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino 180 Stockton Peer Average FY Visialia Average based on total serving in Bakersfield, Fresno, Riverside, Sacramento, San Bernardino, Stockton & Visalia. Sources: Proposed or Adopted City Budgets of Each Agency Source: FY City Budget Slide 17

18 Structure Fire Response Time 10 Minute Response Average In 2014, we arrived on scene within 10 minutes to structure fires 49% of the time. GOAL: 90% 41% 41% Lower Than Goal Slide 18

19 Cost Per Citizen in FY City Population Budget Annual Cost Per Citizen Sacramento 479,686 $104,074,640 $217 Stockton 298,118 $45,396,301 $152 San Bernardino 213,708 $30,636,319 $143 Fire Cost Per Citizen Riverside 316,619 $42,956,347 $136 Modesto 210,000 $25,293,754 $120 Fresno 509,924 $60,635,800 $119 Visalia 127,763 $14,739,800 $115 5th Bakersfield 363,630 $37,684,202 $104 Slide 19

20 In Conclusion Resource Challenge General Fund Revenues not Recovered from Recession Lowest Sales Tax Among Peer Agencies Prop 13 Impact on Property Tax Sworn Personnel Reduced by 100 Positions Impacted Service Delivery 4 th highest City in Violent Crime in California 2 nd highest City in Property Crime in California High response times to Structure Fires and Priority 1 crimes Highest Part 1 Crime Workload among Top 25 Cities Slide 20

21 Our City s Challenge Our mission is to keep our citizens safe and prevent crime. What we are doing now is reactive policing we are not able to do the preventative policing the city needs. - Modesto Police Chief, Galen Carroll The City recognizes that it needs to grow its revenue base - Fitch Ratings The City s high-risk areas are driven largely by an environment of limited resources Moss Adams LLP Risk Assessment Slide 21

22 Safer Neighborhoods Initiative Explore new approaches to public safety, working in partnership with the community to reduce crime and maintain a safe and inviting community in which to live, work and play. Crime & Fire Prevention Public Safety Resources Deployment Growing Neighborhood Leadership Capacity Positive Youth Activities Homelessness & Tagging Prevention Slide 22

23 Overarching Goals Reduce Crime to State Per Capita Levels Faster Response by Police Department Faster Response by Fire Department Increase Participation & Collaboration with Neighborhood Groups

24 Crime & Fire Prevention Techniques Community Policing INVEST - $2.85M for 20 additional Officers, 3 Patrol Sergeants TO - Engage community, solve neighborhood issues & proactively fight crime IMPACT % free time for officers to engage in community policing rather than just reacting to calls for service. Also results in decreased response times for priority 1 calls for service and regular response calls Beat Health INVEST - $2.7 M for 16 Officers, 2 Sergeants, 2 Code Enforcement Officers, 1 City Attorney TO - Develop multi-functional team of police officers, code enforcement officers, community service officers; Dedicated city attorney working with property owners, neighborhoods and businesses IMPACT - Area Commanders would have team of dedicated officers to handle neighbor projects from inception to resolution. Residents would see reduction in nuisance properties and increased safety and well being in their neighborhoods Slide 24

25 Crime & Fire Prevention Techniques, cont. Enhanced Detective Unit INVEST - $1.8M for 12 Detectives, 1 Community Service Officer, 2 Police Sergeants TO - Enable Investigations Division to investigate crimes with workable leads; Enhance safety with a team of detectives to work human trafficking, sex registrants and vice related investigations IMPACT - Dedicated auto theft detectives would assist the city and department in reducing our high auto theft rates by specifically targeting the most prolific auto thieves, and an overall improvement in crime solving capabilities. Slide 25

26 Crime & Fire Prevention Techniques, cont. Enhanced Area Command INVEST - $550K for 4 Lieutenant/Area Commanders TO - Allow for a full time Area Commander for each command in the city IMPACT - Further building accountability, strategic use of resources, and ensuring needs of various areas are attended to, and officers are responsive. The Area Commanders would have the autonomy to develop and implement action plans specific and geared to the needs of their area command. Residents would experience more community involvement. Enhanced Fire Inspection Services INVEST - $215K for 2 Fire Inspectors TO - Eradicate fires in vacant and blighted buildings, dedicate time to Emergency Preparedness- a position that is not currently filled. IMPACT - The goal would include reducing structural fires and savings lives through prevention. Slide 26

27 Crime & Fire Prevention Techniques, cont. Increased Blight Abatement INVEST - $200K for 2 Code Enforcement Officers TO - Engage in proactive code enforcement IMPACT - The City currently performs major property abatements on 25 properties per year. This investment will provide a substantial increase in abated properties, and code compliance by providing resources in targeted areas. By reducing blight, property values will rise. Explore New Ordinances INVEST - $100K for Legal Staffing TO - Enhance enforcement and compliance tools IMPACT - Additional staffing will result in a more streamlined abatement process, increase penalties for violation and increase business and property owner accountability Slide 27

28 Effective & Efficient Deployment of Public Safety Resources Inter- Department Teams Shift existing internal resources TO - Work with police divisions, providing support for residents to reduce crime and improve the health and safety of our neighborhoods. IMPACT - Utilize existing City resources from multiple departments to provide additional support for Neighborhood initiatives. Expanded Traffic Enforcement INVEST - $1.4M for 12 Traffic Officers TO - Increase department from 4 traffic officers and one sergeant in order to create safer neighborhoods for traffic enforcement citywide. IMPACT - Safer roadways. Decrease in injury and non-injury traffic accidents. Officers will target speeding complaints around schools and throughout neighborhoods. Increased collaboration with traffic engineering to improve safety at risky intersections. Improve traffic safety education for citizens. Residents would see improved DUI enforcement and increased safety on our roadways. Slide 28

29 Deployment of Public Safety Resources, cont. Station 6 INVEST - $1.6M annually TO - Keep Fire Station 6 open IMPACT - Response times will be maintained throughout the City. Keeping station 6 open increases response times and reduces stress on fire companies that are extremely busy. Additional Ladder Truck INVEST - $1.8M for Additional Company & Truck TO - Re-establishing a ladder truck will improve the number of times the fire department provides the effective force within 10 minutes. IMPACT - Currently, the MFD meets an effective structural fire response within 10 minutes of dispatch only 49% of the time. Reestablishing a ladder truck will improve the number of times the fire department provides the effective fire fighting force within 10 minutes Slide 29

30 Deployment of Public Safety Resources, cont. Re- Establish Battalion 2 INVEST- $720K in 3 Battalion Chiefs TO - provide additional management and oversight to the Fire Department IMPACT - Increase leadership, mentorship, system reliability, improve response times and safety for firefighters and citizens. Bring the span of control of department leadership to 8:1. Alternate Response Vehicle (ARV) INVEST - $1.1M per ARV Unit TO - Utilize a smaller vehicle to respond to medical emergencies. IMPACT - Fire engines and trucks are kept available for more serious emergencies. Fire trucks and engines experience less wear and tear. Units will be able to respond to medical emergencies more quickly. Slide 30

31 Grow Neighborhood Leadership Implement A City of Great Neighbors Strategy Encourage citizen engagement in neighborhoods, churches and schools. Community based problem solving throughout Modesto with citizens partnership to abate tagging, rebuild infrastructure and organize community needs. Leverages resources and maximizes opportunities. Focused Outreach for Neighborhood Watch INVEST - $180,000 in 3 Community Service Officers TO - Assist current CSOs with 300+ neighborhood watch groups, and have dedicated staff available for each area command to focus on outreach, crime-free multi-housing, business watch and capacity-building. IMPACT - Increased availability for neighborhood orgs, greater participation in neighborhood watch & events. Increased safety for residents and strategic partnership with the City. Outreach with Neighborhoods INVEST - $150,000 in Collateral Materials, Support & Neighborhood Projects TO - Strengthen joint efforts through Modesto Neighborhoods Inc. via collateral materials, support & Neighborhood Project development IMPACT - Greater outreach within groups to develop and grow Modesto Neighborhoods Slide 31

32 Support Positive Youth Activities Expand and Enhance Gang Prevention INVEST - $1.5M for 8 Police Officers TO Focus on prevention, intervention, and suppression. Utilize School Liaison Officers for outreach and leadership building & gang resistance training in our schools. Early intervention in elementary & junior high schools along with leadership development and training to divert children away from gangs IMPACT Reduce gang activity and reduced crime Expand and Create Youth Programs INVEST - $465,000 for 2 Recreation Coordinators & Expansion of Youth Programs TO Increase hours at Neighborhood Youth Centers, Modesto Senior Center & Other Programs. Restore youth programs cut by budget reductions. IMPACT Increase summer programs, teen programs and opps. that focus on positive activities & promote development. The programs would engage the youth of the community with a focus on prevention. Slide 32

33 Address Homelessness & Prevent Tagging Anti-tagging Initiative Tag We re On It INVEST - $300,000 in Tagging Crew & Equipment TO - Expand of Tagging Abatement Program for an additional crew through this budget year only IMPACT - The quicker tagging is removed, the less likely it is to return. This will allow for quicker removal, lowered return rate, and higher property value while creating a more attractive neighborhood. Participate in Focus on Prevention Homeless Collaborative FOCUS ON PREVENTION A proactive approach to addressing short and long term homeless and vagrancy issues in our community. Program kickoff: October, 2015 Slide 33

34 Safer Neighborhoods Initiative The Investments Crime & Fire Prevention 27 Police Officers 4 Code Enforcers 7 Sergeants 12 Detectives 4 Lieutenants 2 Fire Inspectors 1 City Attorney Public Safety Resources Deployment 12 Traffic Officers Fire Station #6 Open 3 Battalion Chiefs 1 Fire Truck 1 ARV Unit Growing Neighborhood Leadership Capacity 3 Community Services Officers Collateral Materials Positive Youth Activities 8 Officers 2 Recreation Coordinators Homelessness & Tagging Prevention 1 Tagging Crew Equipment $8.4M $6.6M $1.95M $1.96M $300K Strategic Plan: Slide 34

35 Questions?