Safer Neighborhoods Initiative. Presenter: Jim Holgersson, City Manager City of Modesto June 9, 2015

Transcription

1 Safer Neighborhoods Initiative Presenter: Jim Holgersson, City Manager City of Modesto June 9, 2015

2 Overview Challenge Economy Fiscal State of the City Two Big Metrics Benchmarks and Comparisons Strategic Approach Strategic Plan (Four Core Commitments) City of Great Neighbors Filling the Gap Safer Neighborhoods Initiative Slide 2

3 State of the City Economic Recovery Modest Tax Revenue Growth Declining Unemployment Increased Assessed Valuation of Property Changing City Government New & Innovative Leadership New Strategic Plan New Priorities Community Collaboration Engaging Communities Align and Leverage Resources Recognize Diverse and Unique Neighborhoods Slide 3

4 The Challenge Revenues continue to grow but only nominally. Increases in major revenues like Sales Tax, Property Tax, and Business License/Mill Tax are not keeping pace. Over 67% of total General Fund revenue is made up of resident driven taxes. Ten year revenue projection showing sizable long-term deficits. Slide 4

5 FY General Fund Revenue $1,868,500 $987,273 $1,600,000 $143,000 $2,042,000 $4,206,884 Sales Tax (26.0%) Utility Users Tax (17.4%) Property Tax (11.7%) Sales Tax $30,047,332 Vehicle Departmental Revenues (13.5%) Vehicle License Fees Swap (12.2%) Business License/Mill Tax (9.8%) Franchise Fees (3.6%) $14,083,984 Utility Tax $20,056,157 Property $13,515,210 Construction Revenues (1.8%) Transient Occupancy Tax (1.6%) Transfers In to General Fund (0.9%) One-Time MRFA Dissolution Funds (1.4%) Motor Vehicle Fees (0.1%) Slide 5

6 Total General Fund Revenues (in Millions) $145 Should Be Here $136 $135 $126.5 $125 $120.4 $118.2 $115.5 $113.0 $115 $110.1 $106.6 $107.3 $108.0 Below Adjusted 2007 Revenue Projection $104.3 $105 19% $95 $85 $ Total Revenue Actual 2015 Budget 2016 Proposed Real Revenue Adjusted to 2007 Dollars Slide 6

7 10 Year General Fund Forecast FORECAST SUMMARY Actual ($ in Mil.) 2014 Total Revenues Total Expense Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Total Beginning Fund Balance (1.07) (3.98) (5.38) Total Ending Fund Balance (1.07) (3.98) (5.38) (5.59) (2.99) (4.58) (8.40) (12.41) (15.32) (16.72) (16.93) 13.6% 10.0% 9.4% 5.8% 2.0% (1.1%) (4.2%) (6.3%) (7.3%) (7.4%) Unassigned Balance Res+Bal % of Total Expense Unassigned Balance Res + Bal % of Total Expense 2019 Slide 7

8 Millions Dollars ($) Benchmark - Property Tax Comparison $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 GF Property Tax FY GF Property Tax FY Peer Average FY Peer Average FY Below Peer Average $145 $131 $108 61% $66 $65 $72 $65 $53 $53 $46 $32 $29 $27 $25 Modesto $60 $32 $19 $20 Bakersfield Fresno Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets and FY Proposed and/or Adopted City Budgets. Stockton Visalia Slide 8

9 Benchmark Sales Tax Comparison Modesto 7.625% (Rate Lower Than Average,16th Percentile Statewide) Slide 9

10 Benchmark Sales Tax per Capita GF Sales Tax per Capita FY Peer Average FY GF Sales Tax per Capita FY Peer Average FY $250 $230 $209 $187 $200 $150 $133$137 $209 $163 $153 $179$183 $223 $188 $164 $153 $152 $139 Below Peer Average $194 $167 29% $100 $50 $0 Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets and FY Proposed and/or Adopted City Budgets. Slide 10

11 $1 in Sales Tax Where does it go? Only 10% or Just 10 cents of Each Dollar Slide 11

12 Total FTE Per Capita Comparison FY and FY , in Thousands 14 Total Authorized FTE per Capita FY Total Authorized FTE per Capita FY Peer Average FY Peer Average FY Since % Modesto Bakersfield Fresno Riverside Sacramento Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets and FY Proposed or Adopted City Budgets San Bernardino Stockton Visialia Slide 12

13 Police FTE Comparison FY and FY Police Authorized FTE FY Police Authorized FTE FY Peer Average FY Peer Average FY Since % Modesto Bakersfield Fresno Riverside Sacramento Sources: FY Adopted City Budgets and FY Proposed or Adopted City Budgets San Bernardino Stockton Visialia Slide 13

14 Property Crimes per 1,000 Residents 2009 and Property Crimes Per 1, Peer Average 2012 Property Crimes Per 1, Peer Average % Sources: FBI Uniform Crime Report 2009; FBI Uniform Crime Report 2012 Higher Than Peer Average Slide 14

15 Workload of Violent Cities Modesto Violent Cities 3rd highest work load per FTE 4th highest work load per Sworn Officer Slide 15

16 Top 25 California Cities by Population Modesto Ranks 4th in Violent Crime Climbing from 5th Last Year Modesto Ranks 2nd in Property Crime Climbing from 4th Last Year (Per Capita) (Per Capita) Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reports 2012 Slide 16

17 Fire Department Staffing Non Sworn since 2008 Sworn Personnel % Sworn Since 2008 Sworn Personnel 20% Personnel - FTE FY FY FY FY FY (MRFA) FY (MRFA) FY (MRFA) FY FY Incr./Dcr. Non-Sworn Sworn * 150* TOTAL: * 167* * SAFER Grant, 9 Firefighter positions Slide 17

18 Emergency Response Time In 2014, we arrived on scene within 6 minutes to emergencies 92% of the time GOAL: 90% % Higher Than Goal 6 Minute Response Average Slide 18

19 Structure Fire Response Time In 2014, we arrived on scene within 10 minutes to structure fires 49% of the time. GOAL: 90% 41 Percentage Points Lower Than Goal % 10 Minute Response Average Slide 19

20 Incidents by Type Hazardous Materials Medical Aid % Structure Fire 5000 Higher Since 2010 Fire Response Statistics Call Type % Increase from 2010 Fire 1,055 1,024 1,172 1,313 1,347 Fire 27% Structure Fire 35% 13,180 13,495 14,397 14,354 16,193 Medical Aid 22% HazMat 13% 20,288 20,650 22,476 23,353 24,739 Total 22% Structure Fire Medical Aid HazMat Total Incidents Slide 20

21 Cost Per Citizen in FY City Population Budget Annual Cost Per Citizen Glendale 196,021 $56,260,703 $287 Consumnes 160,000 $36,927,435 $231 Huntington Beach 197,575 $43,763,879 $222 Fremont 224,922 $37,352,175 $166 Lodi 63,338 $9,967,970 $157 Stockton 298,118 $45,396,301 $152 Tracy 110,000 $16,456,970 $150 San Bernardino 213,708 $30,078,535 $141 Riverside 316,619 $42,956,347 $136 Clovis 99,769 $13,174,900 $132 Modesto 210,000 $25,293,754 $120 Chula Vista 256,780 $24,300,000 $95 (Elk Grove/Galt) Cost Per Citizen 11th Slide 21

22 A New Approach Strategic Plan Collaborations Safer Neighborhoods City of Great Neighbors Initiative Partnerships

23 City of Great Neighbors A new approach to creating stronger community Slide 23

24 City of Great Neighbors Overview By partnering with our citizens to enhance neighborhood capacity we can engage our community and leverage our valuable resources to develop new models of service delivery that meet the needs for successful families and youth and raise the quality of life and opportunity for success in every neighborhood. Slide 24

25 City of Great Neighbors Strategic Objectives Foster PublicPrivate Partnerships Healthy and Successful Youth and Families Health Economy and Great Quality of Life Increase Wisdom & Skill Around Shared Results Safe Attractive Neighborhood Develop CommunityCentered Recreation Slide 25

26 In Conclusion The Challenge The City s high-risk areas are driven largely by an environment of limited resources Moss Adams LLP Risk Assessment Capital Program and asset management needs have increased in recent years, as investments in deferred maintenance have decreased Moss Adams LLP Risk Assessment The City recognizes that it needs to grow its revenue base. - Fitch Ratings Slide 26

27 Strategic Plan Building Healthy Economy Vibrant Infrastructure City of Great Neighbors Revenue Gap Effective Transparent Government Safer Neighborhoods Initiative Slide 27

28 Safer Neighborhoods Initiative Slide 28

29 Safer Neighborhoods Overview Explore new approaches to public safety, working in partnership with the community to reduce crime and maintain a safe and inviting community in which to live, work and play. Crime & Fire Prevention Public Safety Resources Deployment Growing Neighborhood Leadership Capacity Positive Youth Activities Homelessness and Tagging Prevention Slide 29

30 Overarching GOALS Reduce crime to the State per Capita levels Faster response time by our Police Department Faster response time by our Fire Department Increase participation and collaboration with Neighborhood Groups Slide 30

31 Crime and Fire Prevention Techniques Community Policing INVEST - $2.85M for 20 additional Officers, 3 Patrol Sergeants TO - Engage members of our community, solve neighborhood issues and proactively engage in fighting crime IMPACT 33-35% free time for officers to engage in community policing rather than just reacting to calls for service. Also will provide a decrease in response times for priority 1 calls for service and regular response calls Beat Health INVEST - $2.7 M for 16 Officers, 2 Sergeants, 2 Code Enforcement Officers, 1 City Attorney TO Develop multi-functional team of police officers, code enforcement officers, community service officers; Dedicated city attorney working with property owners, neighborhoods and businesses IMPACT - Area Commanders would be able to have a team of dedicated officers to handle neighbor projects from inception to successful resolution. Residents would see a reduction in nuisance properties and an increase in the level of safety and well being in their neighborhood. Slide 31

32 Crime and Fire Prevention Techniques Enhanced Detective Unit INVEST - $1.8M for 12 Detectives, 1 Community Service Officer, 2 Police Sergeants TO - Enable Investigations Division to investigate crimes with workable leads; Enhance safety with a team of detectives to work human trafficking, sex registrants and vice related investigations IMPACT - Dedicated auto theft detectives would assist the city and department in reducing our high auto theft rates by specifically targeting the most prolific auto thieves, and an overall improvement in crime solving capabilities. Slide 32

33 Crime and Fire Prevention Techniques Enhanced Area Command INVEST - $550K for 4 Lieutenant/Area Commanders TO - Allow for a full time Area Commander for each command in the city IMPACT - Further building accountability, strategic use of resources, and ensuring the needs of the various areas are attended to, and officers are responsive to the Area. The Area Commanders would have the autonomy to develop and implement action plans specific and geared to the needs of their Area command. Residents would experience more community involvement and outreach. Enhanced Fire Inspection Services INVEST - $215K for 2 Fire Inspectors TO - Eradicate fires in vacant and blighted buildings; Dedicate time to Emergency Preparedness which is a position that is not currently filled. IMPACT The goal would include reducing structural fires and savings lives through prevention. Slide 33

34 Crime and Fire Prevention Techniques Increased Blight Abatement Explore New Ordinances Invest - $200K for 2 Additional Code Enforcement Officers TO - Engage in proactive code enforcement IMPACT The City currently performs major property abatements on 25 properties per year. This investment will provide a substantial increase in abated properties, and code compliance by providing additional resources in targeted areas. By reducing blighted areas, property values will rise. Invest - $100K for Legal Staffing TO - Enhance enforcement and compliance tools IMPACT the additional staffing will result in a more streamlined abatement process, increase penalties for violation and increase business and property owner accountability. Slide 34

35 Effective & Efficient Deployment of Public Safety Resources InterDepartment Teams INVEST In shifting existing internal resources TO - Work with police divisions to provide support for residents to reduce crime and improve the health and safety within our neighborhoods. IMPACT Utilize existing City resources from multiple departments to provide additional support for Neighborhood initiatives. Expanded Traffic Enforcement INVEST - $1.4M for 12 Traffic Officers TO - Traffic and School safety are key components of safe neighborhoods. Currently four traffic officers and one sergeant are responsible for traffic enforcement citywide which has seen an increase in injury and non-injury traffic accidents. IMPACT - Will result in greater safety on our roadways. Officers will target speeding complaints around our schools and neighborhoods, increase collaboration with traffic engineering to improve safety at intersections with a high rate of accidents and improve traffic safety education for our citizens. Residents would see improved DUI enforcement and increased safety on our roadways. Slide 35

36 Effective & Efficient Deployment of Public Safety Resources Station 6 INVEST - $1.6M annually TO Keep Fire Station 6 open IMPACT Response times will be maintained throughout the City. Closing the station will increase response times and place added stress on fire companies that are already extremely busy. Additional Ladder Truck INVEST - $1.8M for additional company and truck TO - Re-establishing a ladder truck will improve the number of times the fire department provides the effective force within 10 minutes. IMPACT - Currently, the MFD meets an effective structural fire response within 10 minutes of dispatch only 49% of the time. Re-establishing a ladder truck will improve the number of times the fire department provides the effective fire fighting force within 10 minutes. Slide 36

37 Effective & Efficient Deployment of Public Safety Resources Re-Establish Battalion 2 Alternate Response Vehicle (ARV) Invest - $720K for 3 Battalion Chiefs TO provide additional management and oversight to the Fire Department. IMPACT - Increase leadership, mentorship, system reliability, improve response times and safety for the firefighters and citizens. Bring the span of control of department leadership to 8:1. Invest - $1.1M per ARV Unit TO Utilize a smaller vehicle to respond to medical emergencies. IMPACT - Keep the fire engines and trucks available for more serious emergencies. Less wear and tear on Fire Trucks and Engines. Units will be able to respond to medical emergencies much quicker and with less wear and tear on the fire apparatus. Slide 37

38 Grow Neighborhood Leadership Implement A City of Great Neighbors Strategy Citizens are actively engaged in their neighborhoods, churches and schools. Community based problem solving can be found throughout the City with citizens partnering with the City of Modesto to abate tagging, rebuild infrastructure and to organize community needs. This great work allows for leveraging of resources and maximizing opportunities. Focused Outreach for Neighborhood Watch Invest - $180,000 for 3 Community Service Officers TO Assist current CSOs with 300+ neighborhood watch groups, and have dedicated staff available for each area command to focus on outreach, crimefree multi-housing, business watch and capacity-building. IMPACT Increased availability for neighborhood organization, greater participation in neighborhood watch meetings and events. Neighborhoods would see increased safety and develop a strategic partnership with the City. Outreach with Neighborhoods Invest - $150,000 Collateral materials, support and neighborhood projects TO - Strengthen joined efforts through Modesto Neighborhoods Inc. through collateral materials, support and Neighborhood Projects. IMPACT Greater outreach with new groups to develop and grow Modesto Neighborhoods. Slide 38

39 Support Positive Youth Activities Expand and Enhance Gang Prevention INVEST - $1.5M for 8 Police Officers TO Focus on prevention, intervention, and suppression. Utilize School Liaison Officers, whose mission would be outreach and leadership building as well as gang resistance training in our schools. Early intervention in elementary / junior high schools would be the focus along with leadership development and training to divert children away from gangs. IMPACT Reduce gang activity and reduced crime. Expand and Create Youth Programs INVEST - $465,000 for 2 Recreation Coordinators and to Expand Youth Programs TO Increase hours at Neighborhood Youth Centers, Modesto Senior Center and Other Programs. Budget reductions in municipalities and schools have reduced programming available to young people. IMPACT Increase the number of summer programs, teen programs and programs that focus on positive activities that promotes development. The programs would be designed to engage the youth of the community with a focus on prevention. Slide 39

40 Homelessness and Tagging Prevention Initiative antitagging Tag We re On It INVEST - $300,000 for Tagging Crew and equipment TO - Expand our new Tagging Abatement Program for an additional crew through this budget year only. IMPACT The quicker tagging is removed, the less likely it is to return. This will allow for quicker removal, lowered return rate, and higher property value while creating a more attractive neighborhood. Participate in Focus on Prevention Homeless Collaborative A more proactive approach to addressing short and long term homeless issues in our community. Kick-off for the program is October Slide 40

41 Suggestions for a Sales Tax Initiative Duration Should it have a sunset or end date? Should it end after 6, 8, 10, 12 years? Neighborhood Suggestion = 8 Years Slide 41

42 Suggestions for a Sales Tax Initiative General Tax One-Half cent sales tax Should it be a General Tax, General Plus Advisory, or a Special Tax? Neighborhood Suggestion = General plus Advisory Slide 42

43 Suggestions for a Sales Tax Initiative Oversight Authority Should the Measure mandate a Citizen Oversight Committee? How many members should be on the Committee? Neighborhood Suggestion = Yes, with 9-11 members Slide 43

44 Questions? Slide 44