Market Timing. To Achieve Short Term Income and Long Term Wealth. Trading Skills Your Most Valuable Form of Capital

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Carol Kelley
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1 Market Timing To Achieve Short Term Income and Long Term Wealth Trading Skills Your Most Valuable Form of Capital

market moves before they happen Only by learning how to

2 Educa&on Mission We reveal the truth about profitable trading and invescng: You can learn to accurately idencfy market moves before they happen Only by learning how to Cme the market with accuracy can consistent profits be possible

Investor Uncertainty USA Today June 13, 2012 61% of investors realize

Just a 3% inflation rate over 25 years can reduce their purchasing

3 Investor Uncertainty USA Today June 13, % of investors realize they need to improve their understanding of income investing. Just a 3% inflation rate over 25 years can reduce their purchasing power by half 46% of investors are considering a later retirement, up 30% from a year ago

4 Why brokers are leaving. Yahoo Finance August 31, 2012 The transaction Wall Street gets paid to facilitate are not in their clients best interests. When times are good and people are making money, the inherent conflicts in the business are "masked," he says. But when the tide goes out, you find out who is swimming naked, Brown says, quoting Warren Buffett He was hurting clients by selling them stocks he didn t think they should buy

5 The New Normal Markets Can you buy and hold in this market? Do you need to be educated in this market? Do you need to accvely manage this market? 5

6 The Illusion of News.. The ins&tu&ons are playing a game to which the novices don't even know the rules; and most don't even know the game exists

groups InsCtuCons/Banks (very proﬁtable) & Retail

7 How Money is Really Made and Lost in the Markets The ﬁnancial markets consist of buying and selling among and between two groups InsCtuCons/Banks (very proﬁtable) & Retail Traders/Investors (Struggle for Proﬁts or Lose) Learn To Think and Act Like an Ins5tu5on

8 InsCtuConal 10K Filing Goldman Sachs own 10K filing for 2011, released in May of Results 237 Profitable days 15 Losing days 54 days (21%) of the time they made over 100 Million Dollars Goldman's Trading Losses only reached close to their limit one day in 2011 without breaking the limit

InsCtuConal Trading Profits Bloomberg May 10, 2012 Goldman Sachs generated 57% of revenue from trading in the first quarter and had only one day of loss in that quarter, down from 17 during the

9 InsCtuConal Trading Profits Bloomberg May 10, 2012 Goldman Sachs generated 57% of revenue from trading in the first quarter and had only one day of loss in that quarter, down from 17 during the preceding 3 months. Morgan Stanley said its traders lost money 4 days in the period. Bank of America reported that it had trading profits every day of the period Goldman's Trading Losses never exceeded its value at risk limit

10 How InsCtuCons handle risk 2011 VaR (Value at Risk) S&P 500 Institutions take on more risk in a down market. Retail trader panic and take less risk Our Students Learn to think like an institution

Who Really Makes Money Conven&onal Thinking OR

Demand (wholesale) Bought Head and Shoulders Top

and Resistance News Indicators Cup and Handle RSI

Bollinger Bands Dow Theory Fibonacci Profit:

11 Who Really Makes Money Conven&onal Thinking OR REAL Profitable Thinking Supply (retail) Sold Demand (wholesale) Bought Head and Shoulders Top Double BoYom Earnings Report Trend Lines Support and Resistance News Indicators Cup and Handle RSI Pivot Points Stochas&cs Broker Upgrade MACD Bollinger Bands Dow Theory Fibonacci Profit: $5, This is how you make money buying and selling anything.

12 Technical Analysis Tradi&onal Breakout By understanding traders technical using Supply analysis tradi&onal and says Demand to TA sell are ins&tu&ons at wai&ng resistance for are price able to and take break place advantage above a stop resistance of above the support resistance. to buy. and They Once place resistance price their trader crosses stop below by above, se^ng old the resistance traps stop for them. hit because and These those it is traders now traps new are that profit support sold for are pros now and buying. ins&tu&ons. Support Old support becomes new resistance

13 Why Technical Analysis is a losing strategy Support? Support and Resistance are too subjective

14 Why Technical Analysis is a losing strategy True Levels of Supply and Demand are more easily qualified objectively The key to trading in any and all markets is to find the markets turning points in advance

Why Technical Analysis is a losing strategy The Result of buying in a level where Demand exceeds Supply An entry as close as possible to the point you

15 Why Technical Analysis is a losing strategy The Result of buying in a level where Demand exceeds Supply An entry as close as possible to the point you are proven wrong means that losing on a trade costs less money. You can Either have Confirma&on or the Lowest Risk Possible, having both is Impossible.

16 The Principals of Supply and Demand Market Price is controlled by insctuconal Supply and Demand. Where they have buy and sell orders determines where price will turn and where it will move to. Our core strategy shows us where those orders are in any and all markets. This is KEY informacon for the short term trader and longer term investor

17 Buying and Selling in Markets Trading Market Demand How you make money buying and selling anything in life is EXACTLY how you make money trading! Samsung 55 LED TV Would You Buy Here? No, price is crashing No, this is a downtrend No, the news is bad No, buying is too high risk No, I am scared, nervous! Bought Would You Buy Here? Yes, the TV is on sale Yes, quickly before price goes up Yes, I would buy a few of them at these prices!

18 Market Timing Two Most Important Components To Trading Supply and Demand Human Emotion 1) Where do market prices turn? Demand (support): A price level in a market where willing demand exceeds willing supply. Supply (resistance): A price level in a market where willing supply exceeds willing demand. 2) Who is on the other side of your trade, a Pro or Novice trader? Human Emotion: The emotions of fear and greed are clearly seen on a price chart, if you know what your looking for.

19 Where and why do market prices change direc&on? Supply Why did price have to decline? Why did price have to rise? Demand The Logic: The origin of mo&on / change in price is an equa&on where one of two compe&ng forces (buyers and sellers) becomes zero at a specific price. The origin of a move in price is where supply and demand are out of balance. This is where we find low risk / high reward / high probability entry points into markets.

20 Who is on the other side of your trade? Supply (retail) Who is buying here? Demand (wholesale) Who is selling here? The Logic: The amateur/novice trader buys at retail prices and sells at wholesale prices. The professional trader simply trades with amateurs Think Like A Pro!

21 The Two Master Errors Mistake #1 and #2 when buying 1) Buying AFTER a rally in price 2) Buying at a price level where objecbvely supply EXCEEDS demand. Supply Buyers are buying AFTER a rally in price and at a price level where supply EXCEEDS demand.

22 The Two Master Errors Mistake #1 and #2 when buying 1) Selling AFTER a decline in price 2) Selling at a price level where objecbvely demand EXCEEDS supply Demand Sellers are selling AFTER a decline in price and at a price level where demand EXCEEDS supply.

23 Market Timing 25 th Oct 2012

24 The Result

25 Market Timing 8 th Nov 2012

26 The Result

27 Trade Confirma&on

28 Market Timing 14 th Nov 2012

29 The Result

30 Student Success 4/10/12 April 10, 2012 Create Your Own Income and Future Earns at least $4,000 per week

Student Success 10/1/2012 Sep. 2012 Realized Gain: $173,000 Sep. 2012 Unrealized Gain: $125,000 Account Size: $721,521.50.

31 Student Success 10/1/2012 Sep Realized Gain: $173,000 Sep Unrealized Gain: $125,000 Account Size: $721, Gain: 24% in one month Puang OTA Tools To Work OTA Market Timing + OTA OpCons Consistent Short Term Income and Long Term Wealth

32 March 2009 Performance Many people believe that picking tops and boyoms in markets is impossible..

33 March 2009 Performance S&P Monthly Chart The Bottom 2009 Market Bottom Called Live by Sam Seiden S&P Monthly Chart The Rally Foreclosures at all time highs 651,000 jobs lost in Feb 2009 Annual job losses worst since 1945 AIG disaster S&P Rallies over 600 points. Rule Based Market Timing

34 March 2009 Performance

35 Sam Seiden

36 Real Market Timing Real Market Timing Special 3 Day Class with Sam Seiden Dates: 3-5 th December 2012 Time: 6 11pm Please come to Stand No. 39 or visit for RegistraCon

Three Ways To Manage Risk 14 APRIL 2009 / VOL. 5 ISSUE 4

Sam Seiden Three Ways To Manage Risk 14 APRIL 2009 / VOL. 5 ISSUE 4 One certainty in trading is that losses will occur. Sam Seiden looks at effective ways to manage the risk in trading to enjoy a long