Weekly FX Charts Newsletter
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1 Weekly FX Charts Newsletter March 12, 2018 The Weekly FX Charts Newsletter provides Cornelius Luca s trade ideas, model signals, and absolute charts Disclaimer 2018 Luca Global Markets, LLC (LGM, LLC). All rights reserved. This content is provided as general information only and does not constitute investment advice or a representation that any investment, security or other product is suitable for any person. This content reflects the opinions only of the author and cannot be interpreted as advice. This content is the intellectual property of Cornelius Luca. Any copying, distribution or redistribution of this content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Cornelius Luca. Cornelius Luca shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. Luca Global Markets, LLC Weekly Charting Newsletter March 12, 2018
2 Trade Ideas Majors: Long USDCHF while above the 21-day exponential moving average Commodity dollars: Long AUDUSD while above the 21-day exponential moving average Crosses: Short EURGBP while below the 21-day exponential moving average Asia: Long USDINR while above its 21-day exponential moving average Latam: Long USDBRL while above its 21-day exponential moving average Eastern Europe: Long USDRUR while above its 21-day exponential moving average Cryptocurrency: Short Bitcoin while below the 21-day exponential moving average
3 FX Models Daily & Weekly FX Daily Model since Daily Bias (> or < 21-day EMA) Daily Risk Weekly Model since Majors EUR/USD S 8-Mar sideways neutral S 19-Feb GBP/USD L 9-Mar sideways neutral L 12-Mar AUD/USD L 9-Mar NZD/USD L 9-Mar L L 9-Mar 9-Mar USD/JPY L 8-Mar sideways neutral L 8-Mar USD/CHF S 12-Mar USD/CAD S 8-Mar Crosses EUR/JPY S 12-Mar EUR/GBP S 8-Mar EUR/CHF S 12-Mar GBP/JPY L 9-Mar L L S 19-Feb 2-Feb 12-Mar Weekly Bias (> or < 21-week EMA) Weekly Risk neutral S 12-Mar sideways neutral L L 26-Feb 9-Mar Source: Proprietary Luca Global Markets, LLC Model
4 FX Models Daily & Weekly FX Daily Model since Daily Bias (> or < 21-day EMA) Daily Risk Weekly Model since Weekly Bias (> or < 21-week EMA) Weekly Risk LatAm USD/MXN L 12-Mar L 12-Mar sideways neutral USD/BRL L 12-Mar L 27-Feb USD/CLP L 12-Mar L 27-Feb USD/COP S 9-Mar S 12-Mar Asia USD/CNH S 9-Mar sideways neutral L 23-Feb USD/INR S 12-Mar S 12-Mar USD/TWD S 9-Mar sideways neutral L 12-Mar USD/KRW S 9-Mar S 9-Mar USD/MYR S 12-Mar S 2-Mar USD/SGD S 12-Mar S 12-Mar USD/IDR S 12-Mar L 2-Feb Eastern USD/RUB L 12-Mar L 12-Mar Europe USD/PLN L 7-Mar L 9-Feb USD/CZK L 8-Mar L 9-Feb USD/TRY L 12-Mar L 2-Feb USD/RON L 8-Mar L 5-Feb USD/HUF L 8-Mar sideways neutral S 7-Mar Crypto Bitcoin S 5-Mar S 2-Mar Source: Proprietary Luca Global Markets, LLC Model
5 FX Majors Trade Idea Strongest: JPYUSD Weakest: GBPUSD & CHFUSD Trade idea: Long USDCHF while above the 21-day EMA All quotes in foreign currency
6 FX Majors Trade Idea Comment: Long USDCHF while above the 21-day EMA USDCHF reversed from a 2 ¾-yead low (2/16) and vaulted above its 21-day EMA It looks like an inverted headand-shoulders, but confirmation is needed. The target would be the.9800 area Initial resistance:.9537 Further resistance:.9610 &.9715 Immediate support:.9420 Further support:.9336 &.9185? Fast stochastics: MACD:
7 FX Commodity Dollars Trade Idea Strongest: NZDUSD Weakest: CADUSD Trade ideas: Long AUDUSD while above the 21-day EMA All quotes in foreign currency Luca Global Markets, LLC Weekly Charting Newsletter March 12, 2018
8 FX Commodity Dollars Trade Idea Comment: Long AUDUSD while above the 21-day EMA AUDUSD recovered from a minor low and it trades above both its 5- & 21-day EMAs The 38.2% Fibonacci cap must give way to attract additional demand Initial resistance:.7894 Further resistance:.7991,.8045 &.8138 Immediate support:.7833 Further support:.7710 & Fast stochastics: MACD: <0
9 FX Crosses Trade Idea Strongest: EURCHF (but declining) Weakest: EURGBP Trade idea: Short EURGBP while below the 21-day EMA
10 FX Crosses Trade Idea Comment: Short EURGBP while below the 21-day EMA EURGBP peaked at a 2 ½- month high and then turned south It slipped below both its 5- & 21-day EMAs The cross remains in a rising channel Immediate support:.8819 Further support:.8768 &.8686 Initial resistance:.8900 Further resistance:.8970 Fast stochastics: MACD:
11 Strongest: USDIDR & USDINR Weakest: USDTHB FX Asia Trade Idea Trade idea: Long USDINR while above its 21-day EMA Luca Global Markets, LLC Weekly Charting Newsletter March 12, 2018
12 Comment: Long USDINR while above its 21-day EMA USDINR is trading off a 3 1/2- month high and around its 21-day EMA It remains in a medium-term rising channel Only a break below the 21-day EMA would suggest long liquidation Initial resistance: Further resistance: & Immediate support: Further support: 6.543, & Fast stochastics: MACD: FX Asia Trade Idea
13 FX Latam Trade Idea Strongest: USDBRL Weakest: USDCOP Trade idea: Long USDBRL while above its 21-day EMA
14 FX Latam Trade Idea Comment: Long USDBRL while above its 21-day EMA USDBRL is consolidating around its 21-day EMA It needs more information to break out from this consolidation Initial resistance: Further resistance: Immediate support: Further support: Fast stochastics: MACD:
15 FX Eastern Europe Trade Idea Strongest: USDTRY & USDRUR Weakest: USDCZK, USDRON & USDPLZ Trade idea: Long USDRUR while above the 21-day EMA
16 FX Eastern Europe Trade Idea Comment: Long USDRUR while above the 21-day EMA USDRUR is consolidating around its 21-day EMA after reversing from an over 2 ½- year low More information is needed Initial resistance: Further resistance: & Immediate support: Further support: & Fast stochastics: MACD:
17 Bitcoin Trade Idea Comment: Short Bitcoin while below the 21-day EMA The Bitcoin is now consolidating below its 5- & 21-day EMAs It had peaked on 12/18 following its listing on the CBOE and CME (increased trading transparency) Expect a possible deluge if the 2/6 bottom gives way Immediate support: 8,494 Further support: 7,036 & 6,074 Initial resistance: 10,165 Further resistance: 11,529, 12,406 & 14,826 Fast stochastics: MACD:
18 Long or Short How to Use the Heat Map Since when Risk: Bullish or Bearish Candle as of Monday am EST Bias: If the Candle>21-period EMA = If the Candle<21-period EMA = If the Candle around 21-period EMA = sideways Commodities Daily Model since Daily Bias (> or < 21-day EMA) Daily Risk Weekly Model since Weekly Bias (> or < 21-week EMA) Weekly Risk Energy Crude (CLc1) S 27-Apr L 23-Mar Brent (LCOc1) L 21-Apr L 6-Apr Natural gas (NGc1) S 23-Apr S 20-Apr Palm oil (FCPOc1) L 24-Apr sideways neutral S 20-Apr Metals Gold (GCc1) S 24-Apr S 20-Mar Silver (SIc1) S 22-Apr S 24-Apr Platinum (PLc1) S 20-Apr S 20-Mar Copper (HGc1) L 24-Apr S 24-Apr Softs Coffee (KCN5) L 24-Apr sideways neutral L 24-Apr Cocoa (LCCN5) L 23-Apr L 13-Apr Soy meal (SMN5) S 24-Apr S 24-Apr Wheat (WN5) S 24-Apr S 24-Apr Corn (CN5) S 20-Apr S 6-Apr Source: Proprietary Luca Global Markets, LLC Model L = long S = short Luca Global Markets, LLC Weekly Charting Newsletter March 12, 2018
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Weekly FX Charts Newsletter November 13, 2017 The Weekly FX Charts Newsletter provides Cornelius Luca s trade ideas, model signals, and absolute charts Disclaimer 2017 Luca Global Markets, LLC (LGM, LLC).
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