Hindustan Zinc. 30 April QFY18 Results Update Sector: Metals. Estimate change TP change Rating change

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1 BSE SENSEX S&P CNX 35,160 10,739 Bloomberg HZ IN Equity Shares (m) 4,225 M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb) 1,377 / Week Range (INR) 331/227 1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%) -1/0/-23 Avg Val, INRm Free float (%) 35.1 Financials & Valuations (INR b) Y/E March E 2020E Net Sales EBITDA NP EPS (INR) EPS Gr. (%) BV/Sh. (INR) RoE (%) RoCE (%) P/E - x P/BV - x Estimate change TP change Rating change 30 April QFY18 Results Update Sector: Metals Hindustan Zinc CMP: INR326 TP: INR336 (+3%) Neutral In-line; Production ramp-up slower than expected Announces next phase of expansion to 1.35mt; Maintain Neutral 4Q performance on expected lines HZL s 4QFY18 EBITDA grew 12% QoQ (-3% YoY) to INR36.2b (in-line). Mine production grew 6% QoQ (-18% YoY) to 255kt. Sales volumes rose 5% QoQ (to 210kt) for zinc, 11% QoQ (to 50kt) for lead and 27% QoQ (to 167t) for silver. CoP declined 9% QoQ to USD925/t on operating leverage and an increase in linkage coal, but increased 16% YoY due to higher coal and diesel cost. Adj. PAT grew 12% QoQ (-18% YoY) to INR25.6b (est. of INR26.6b). PAT is adjusted for INR0.5b provision for gratuity enhancements and write-back of DMF. FY18: Mine production/ebitda grew 4.4%/26% to 947kt/INR123b, but adj. PAT grew slower by 7% to INR89b due to lower other income and a higher tax rate. Announces INR45b capex; guides for slower production ramp-up Mine production is expected to be slightly higher in FY19 (estimate was ~11%), with the targeted 1.2mt rate likely in FY20. Silver production is expected to be t and CoP will range USD /t in FY19 (v/s USD976 in FY18). HZL announced next phase of expansion from planned 1.2mt to 1.35mt over the next three-years (by FY21) at a capex of INR45b. Zinc price outlook bullish but priced in; Maintain Neutral We cut our EBITDA estimate by ~5% due to lower production guidance for FY19 and an increase in capex. Zinc market remains tight, despite modest growth in demand. At zinc LME of USD3,400/t for FY19E, the stock is trading at 6.2x EV/EBITDA, leaving limited upside potential. Maintain Neutral with a target price of INR336/share, based on 6.5x FY20E EV/EBITDA. Quarterly Performance (Standalone) INR m Y/E March FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18 vs Est. 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4QE % Zinc refined (kt) Lead refined (kt) Silver (tonnes) Zinc LME (USD/t) 1,918 2,252 2,518 2,777 2,589 2,950 3,236 3,180 2,366 3,048 3,175 0 Net Sales 25,306 35,257 49,799 62,602 45,760 53,090 59,220 62, , ,840 61,349 2 Change (YoY %) EBITDA 11,309 20,767 27,834 37,480 23,840 30,240 32,440 36,200 97, ,720 35,209 3 Change (YoY %) Finance cost , ,017 2,830 0 DD&A 3,644 4,317 4,589 5,321 3,600 3,940 4,810 4,590 17,871 16,940 5, Other Income 6,101 7,702 5,882 4,811 5,300 4,870 2,980 4,860 24,496 18,010 3, PBT (before EO item) 13,053 23,440 28,676 36,829 24,170 30,330 30,440 36, , ,960 33,700 7 EO exp. (income) , ,400 0 PBT (after EO item) 13,059 23,440 28,676 36,829 24,170 33,240 30,440 35, , ,360 33,700 5 Total Tax 2,680 4,421 5,477 6,259 5,410 7,790 8,140 10,460 18,837 31,800 7, % Tax Reported PAT 10,379 19,019 23,199 30,570 18,760 25,450 22,300 25,050 83,166 91,560 26,623-6 Adjusted PAT 10,374 19,019 23,199 30,570 18,760 22,540 22,300 25,560 83,161 89,160 26,623-4 Change (YoY %) Sanjay Jain Research Analyst (SanjayJain@MotilalOswal.com); Dhruv Muchhal Research Analyst (Dhruv.Muchhal@MotilalOswal.com); Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report. Motilal Oswal research is available on Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.

2 Conference call highlights Guidance: Mine metal production is expected to be slightly higher than FY18 in FY19. There is strong growth in under-ground mine production, but this is offset by the lack of open-cast production volumes, as RAM open-cast reached end-oflife in March Silver production will be t, with a target to reach 1,500t once mine production reaches 1.35mt. CoP before royalty will be USD /t, assuming coal cost of USD85/t. Project capex on mining and smelter expansion will be USD400m in FY19. Production ramp-up in FY19: Mine production capacity will reach targeted 1.2mt by end of 3QFY19. At RAM underground the south ventilation shaft system was commissioned in 4Q. Off shaft development is on track for shaft production commencement in 3QFY19. SK mines main shaft equipment was completed and winder installation commenced. Production is scheduled to commence as per schedule in 3QFY19. Next phase of expansion: The board has approved next phase of mine and smelter capacity expansion to 1.35mt by FY21 at a capex of INR45b. Termed Phase-I, it will include incremental ore production capacity of 0.5mtpa each at RAM, SK and Dariba mines to total capacity of 5mt, 6.5mt and 2mt, respectively. Total ore production capacity will increase from ~17mt in FY18 to ~20mt. New smelter of 240ktpa will be built. Zinc market outlook: Zinc market is expected to remain tight to next five years. Inventory as days of consumption is at just 6days against normative 20days. Hedges: Hedges at lower than spot prices impacted Q4 revenues by INR3b. Hedges for 70kt USD3,076/t and 15kt USD2,374/t are due in 1QFY19. No further hedges are likely. Exhibit 1: LME zinc and inventory USD/t 3,800 3,500 3,200 2,900 2,600 2,300 2,000 Inventories (RHS) Spot Apr-17 May- 17 m tons Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Source: MOSL, Company Exhibit 2: SOTP valuation EBITDA EV Enterprise Value Volumes (kt/kbpd) Prices (USD/t or bbl) FY18E FY19E FY20E EBITDA (x) FY18E FY19E FY20E FY18E FY19E FY20E FY18E FY19E FY20E Hind. Zinc HZL , ,048 3,400 3,200 Less: Net Debt ,378 2,750 2,750 Equity Value 1,020 1,226 1, INR/share (HZL) Source: MOSL, Company 30 April

3 Financials and valuations Income Statement INR million Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E Net Sales 126, , , , , , , ,259 Total Expenses 62,182 66,706 73,581 74,501 75,574 98, , ,225 EBITDA 64,816 69,654 74,303 67,763 97, , , ,033 As % of Net Sales EBITDA attribute 64,816 69,654 74,303 67,763 97, , , ,033 DDA 6,470 7,846 6,442 6,716 17,871 16,940 18,272 19,014 EBIT 58,346 61,808 67,861 61,048 79, , , ,020 Finance cost ,017 2, Other income 20,322 18,198 28,211 27,294 24,496 18,010 16,440 19,420 PBT 78,377 79,514 95,836 88, , , , ,439 Tax 9,206 10,651 13,921 4,438 18,837 31,800 30,062 34,322 Rate (%) PAT 69,170 68,863 81,915 83,735 83,161 89, , ,117 EO expense (Income) , , PAT (after EO) 68,995 69,046 81,915 81,978 83,166 91, , ,117 Minority interests Share in Asso. Attrib. PAT (after MI & asso) 69,170 68,863 81,915 83,735 83,161 89, , ,117 Change (YoY %) Balance Sheet (Consolidated) INR million Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E Share Capital 8,451 8,451 8,451 8,451 8,451 8,451 8,451 8,451 Reserves 314, , , , , , , ,883 Net Worth 322, , , , , , , ,334 Minority Interest Total Loans , Deferred Tax Liability 12,799 16,581 25,186-24,979-27,480-22,080-19,217-15,948 Capital Employed 335, , , , , , , ,385 Gross Block 122, , , , , , , ,197 Less: Accum. Deprn. 37,811 44,369 51,043 58,006 65,237 82, , ,463 Net Fixed Assets 84,837 91,473 94, ,853 99, , , ,734 Capital WIP 10,819 15,409 20,047 24,282 30,713 32,200 32,200 32,200 WC. Assets 258, , , , , , , ,903 Inventory 11,111 11,982 12,118 10,582 19,358 13,790 27,273 30,275 Account Receivables 4,029 3,995 6,588 1,068 1,360 1,840 2,045 2,271 Cash and Bank Balance 214, , , , , , , ,827 Loans and advances 29,039 38,529 48,855 14,444 17,483 24,531 24,531 24,531 WC. Liability & Prov. 19,094 26,010 31, , ,831 70,000 77,575 79,452 Trade payables 4,842 5,103 6,308 9,306 12,051 9,470 17,045 18,922 Provisions & Others 14,252 20,906 24, , ,780 60,530 60,530 60,530 Net WC. Assets 239, , , , , , , ,451 Appl. of Funds 335, , , , , , , , April

4 Financials and valuations Ratios Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E Basic (INR) EPS Cash EPS BV/Share DPS Payout (%) Valuation (x) P/E Cash P/E P/BV (incl.-goodwill) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA Dividend Yield (%) Return Ratios (%) EBITDA Margins Net Profit Margins RoE RoCE (pre-tax) RoIC (pre-tax) Working Capital Ratios Fixed Asset Turnover (x) Receivable (Days) Inventory (Days) Trade payable (Days) Leverage Ratio (x) Current Ratio Net Debt/EBITDA Net Debt/Equity Cash Flow Statement INR million FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E EBITDA 64,816 69,654 74,303 67,763 97, , , ,033 (Inc)/Dec in Wkg. Cap. -12,850-1, ,356-35,279-79,403-6,113-1,351 Tax paid -9,206-10,651-13,921-4,438-18,837-22,982-27,199-31,053 CF from Op. Activity 42,760 57,451 60,316 56,970 43,274 20, , ,629 (Inc)/Dec in FA + CWIP -12,438-17,784-14,302-20,589-9,739-19,345-26,000-26,000 Free Cash Flow 30,322 39,667 46,014 36,381 33, , ,629 Interest & Dividend Income 20,322 18,198 28,211 27,294 24,496 18,010 16,440 19,420 CF from Inv. Activity 7, ,909 6,705 14,757-1,335-9,560-6,580 Debt raised/(repaid) ,078-79,078 Dividend (incl. tax) -15,325-17,303-21,752-18, ,219-40,563-40,713-46,482 CF from Fin. Activity -15,325-17,307-21,752-18,786-89, ,770-40,713-46,482 (Inc)/Dec in Cash 35,318 40,558 52,473 44,889-31,110-99,770 61,400 77,566 Add: Opening Balance 179, , , , , , , ,260 Closing Balance 214, , , , , , , ,827 E: MOSL Estimates 30 April

5 Corporate profile Company description Hindustan Zinc is a fully integrated zinc producer, with one of the best mining assets in the world. It has steadily increased its reserves and production through regular investment in exploration activities and addition of smelting capacity. HZ's captive mines of zinc and lead ore are located in the state of Rajasthan, with total R&R of 365.1mt as at March 2014, containing ~35.2mt zinc-lead metal & 28,804tonne silver. Its captive mines and thermal power plants give the company significant cost advantage, making it one of the lowest cost producers of zinc in the world. SSLT has 64.9% stake in HZ, while 29.5% is owned by the Government of India. Exhibit 1: Sensex rebased Source: MOSL/Bloomberg Exhibit 2: Shareholding pattern (%) Mar-18 Dec-17 Mar-17 Promoter DII FII Others Note: FII Includes depository receipts Source: Capitaline Exhibit 3: Top holders Holder % Holding President of India 29.5 Source: Capitaline Exhibit 4: Top management Designation Exhibit 5: Directors Agnivesh Agarwal Chairman Navin Agarwal A R Narayanaswamy Sunil Duggal Whole Time Director & CEO Arun Todarwal Sudhir Kumar Rajendra Pandwal Company Secretary Farida M Naik Reena Sinha Puri Source: Capitaline *Independent Exhibit 6: Auditors K G Goyal & Co S R Batliboi & Co LLP Type Statutory Statutory Source: Capitaline Exhibit 7: MOSL forecast v/s consensus EPS (INR) MOSL forecast Consensus forecast Variation (%) FY FY FY Source: Bloomberg 30 April

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