State of Missouri General Election

Transcription

1 State of Missouri 2018 General Election Survey conducted October 24 through October 25, ,376 likely 2018 General Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2018 General Election. Margin of Error is +/- 2.6%. Margins of Error within specific demographics (crosstabs) is significantly higher due to smaller sample size. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout.

2 Q: The candidates in the General Election for United States Senate are the Republican Josh Hawley, the Democrat Claire McCaskill, the Libertarian Japheth Campbell, the Green Party candidate Jo Crain, and the Independent candidate Craig O Dear. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? Josh Hawley: 49% Claire McCaskill: 45% Japheth Campbell: 1% Jo Crain: 1% Craig O Dear: 1% Undecided: 3% Q: The candidates in the November 2018 General Election for State Auditor are the Republican Saundra McDowell, the Democrat Nicole Galloway, the Green Party candidate Don Fitz, the Libertarian Sean O Toole and the Constitution Party candidate Jacob Luetkemeyer. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? Saundra McDowell: 38% Nicole Galloway: 48% Don Fitz: 2% Sean O Toole: 2% Jacob Luetkemeyer: 3% Undecided: 7% Q: Amendment 1 - Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to: change process for redrawing state legislative district during reapportionment, change limits on campaign contributions that candidates for state legislature can accept from individuals or entities; establish a limit on gifts that state legislators, and their employees, can accept from paid lobbyists; prohibit state legislators, and their employees, from serving as paid lobbyists for a period of time; prohibit political fundraising by candidates for or members of the state legislature on state property; and require legislative records and proceedings to be open to the public? Yes: 64% No: 23% Undecided: 13% Q: Proposition B - Do you want to amend Missouri law to increase the state minimum wage to $8.60 per hour with 85 cents per hour increase each year until 2023, when the state minimum wage would be $12.00 per hour; exempt government employers from the above increase; and increase the penalty for paying employees less than the minimum wage? Yes: 58% No: 32% Undecided: 10%

3 Q: The candidates in the General Election for United States Senate are the Republican Josh Hawley, the Democrat Claire McCaskill, the Libertarian Japheth Campbell, the Green Party candidate Jo Crain, and the Independent candidate Craig O Dear. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? Josh Hawley 56% 48% 68% 59% 41% Claire McCaskill 37% 45% 29% 34% 52% Undecided 4% 3% 1% 3% 4% Table 1. Q1 by DMA - Categorical Josh Hawley 88% 6% 44% Claire McCaskill 8% 90% 41% Undecided 2% 2% 6% Table 2. Q1 by PARTY Josh Hawley 45% 52% Claire McCaskill 48% 41% Undecided 4% 2% Table 3. Q1 by GENDER Josh Hawley 81% 23% 5% Claire McCaskill 13% 69% 87% Undecided 3% 3% 3% Table 4. Q1 by IDEOLOGY

4 Q: The candidates in the November 2018 General Election for State Auditor are the Republican Saundra McDowell, the Democrat Nicole Galloway, the Green Party candidate Don Fitz, the Libertarian Sean O Toole and the Constitution Party candidate Jacob Luetkemeyer. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? Saundra McDowell 44% 39% 57% 45% 33% Nicole Galloway 43% 49% 27% 40% 53% Undecided 5% 6% 9% 9% 8% Table 5. Q2 by DMA - Categorical Saundra McDowell 72% 6% 29% Nicole Galloway 14% 87% 46% Undecided 8% 4% 11% Table 6. Q2 by PARTY Saundra McDowell 37% 40% Nicole Galloway 49% 45% Undecided 9% 6% Table 7. Q2 by GENDER Saundra McDowell 65% 18% 6% Nicole Galloway 20% 71% 77% Undecided 9% 5% 9% Table 8. Q2 by IDEOLOGY

5 Q: Amendment 1 - Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to: change process for redrawing state legislative district during reapportionment, change limits on campaign contributions that candidates for state legislature can accept from individuals or entities; establish a limit on gifts that state legislators, and their employees, can accept from paid lobbyists; prohibit state legislators, and their employees, from serving as paid lobbyists for a period of time; prohibit political fundraising by candidates for or members of the state legislature on state property; and require legislative records and proceedings to be open to the public? Yes 66% 65% 63% 66% 61% No 26% 21% 25% 22% 23% Undecided 9% 14% 12% 11% 15% Table 9. Q3 by DMA - Categorical Yes 58% 70% 65% No 28% 16% 24% Undecided 14% 14% 11% Table 10. Q3 by PARTY Yes 62% 67% No 21% 24% Undecided 17% 9% Table 11. Q3 by GENDER Yes 57% 70% 71% No 29% 17% 17% Undecided 14% 13% 12% Table 12. Q3 by IDEOLOGY

6 Q: Proposition B - Do you want to amend Missouri law to increase the state minimum wage to $8.60 per hour with 85 cents per hour increase each year until 2023, when the state minimum wage would be $12.00 per hour; exempt government employers from the above increase; and increase the penalty for paying employees less than the minimum wage? Yes 50% 61% 51% 57% 61% No 43% 30% 38% 33% 28% Undecided 7% 9% 11% 11% 11% Table 13. Q4 by DMA - Categorical Yes 44% 79% 50% No 45% 13% 39% Undecided 11% 8% 11% Table 14. Q4 by PARTY Yes 61% 56% No 27% 37% Undecided 13% 7% Table 15. Q4 by GENDER Yes 44% 67% 81% No 45% 24% 9% Undecided 11% 8% 10% Table 16. Q4 by IDEOLOGY

7 DEMOGRAPHICS MEDIA MARKET % Columbia 8% Joplin 3% Kansas City 24% Kirksville 1% Cape Girardeau 5% Hannibal 1% Springfield 15% St. Joseph 2% St. Louis 41% PARTY ID % Republican 41% Democrat 36% Non-Partisan 23% GENDER % Female 53% Male 47% AGE % % % % % % RACE % White 87% African-American 9% Other 4% IDEOLOGY % Conservative 48% Moderate 36% Liberal 16%